[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
26 February 2011 1132 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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After a gameweek that seemed to span the ages, we’re back with a snappy weekend affair, albeit one ravaged the distraction of the Carling Cup Final.

With Arsenal, Spurs and Birmingham all missing from the fixture list, modest returns look on the cards, as Fantasy Managers shift resources to muster a starting XI. Can Paddy Power’s weekend odds help us find some inspiration out of desperation?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Man City 1.90 (FUL)
  • Man United 2.10 (wig) dgw
  • Everton 2.20 (SUN)
  • Aston Villa 2.40 (BLA)
  • Stoke City 2.50 (WBA)
  • Liverpool 2.60 (whm)
  • Newcastle 2.70 (BOL)

The post-Christmas goal glut seems to be well over for league leaders United. A defeat at Wolves in the league, a pyrrhic victory over Crawley in the cup and a dull goalless draw with Marseille in the Champions league, has left Alex Ferguson asking questions of his midfield and attack. In contrast, United’s back four look stronger from week to week as Chris Smalling and the Da Silva brothers look more confident alongside veteran Nemanja Vidic. Paddy believes this mix of young and old blood should have no problem keeping Wigan, with a modest season average of 1gsh (goals scored at home), off the scoresheet.

Paddy place Manchester City up alongside their derby rivals at the top of the clean sheet market this week. They face a Fulham side who have accrued a mere average of 0.85gsa (goals scored away). Man City’s home record of 0.89gch (goals conceded at home) justifies Paddy’s price and makes them favourites over United.

Everton, Villa and Stoke all have favourable home fixtures. Paddy posts Everton highest of the three to hold out for a clean sheet, but the stats tell a different story. Stoke have struggled on the road in recent weeks, but have still held a good home defensive record of 1gch, whilst their opponents West Brom have struggled to make 0.85gsa.

The cleanie looks more secure at the Britannia then and, while Liverpool’s odds for a shut-out at Upton Park have lengthened in the last 24 hours, Paddy still has them ranked over Newcastle at home to Bolton – we’re not so sure.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • C Tevez 1.66 (FUL)
  • W Rooney 1.83 (wig) dgw
  • D Bent 1.90 (BLA)
  • D Berbatov 2.10 (wig) dgw
  • M Balotelli 2.30 (FUL)
  • E Dzeko 2.30 (FUL)
  • J Carew 2.30 (WBA)
  • K Jones 2.30 (WBA)
  • J Hernandez 2.30 (wig) dgw
  • T Cahill 2.37 (SUN)
  • L Saha 2.37 (SUN)
  • K Doyle 2.37(BLP)
  • S Ebanks-Blake 2.37 (BLP)
  • S Fletcher 2.37 (BLP)
  • G Agbonlahor 2.40 (BLA)
  • L Suarez 2.40 (whm)
  • L Best 2.50 (BOL)
  • J Beckford 2.50 (SUN)
  • M Owen 2.50 (wig) dgw
  • A Young 2.62 (BLA)
  • Nani 2.70 (wig)

Manchester City have not competed against a Premier League side for two weeks, although two legs in the Europa League and one FA Cup tie have kept them busy. Carlos Tevez has had some intermittent rest over the period, featuring as a sub in one match and getting an early bath in another, and looks more than justified as leader in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He won’t find it easy to circumvent a resolute Fulham defence, but, if City are to prevail, Tevez will surely be a key factor.

Manchester United’s strike duo also rank highly, although it’s worth noting that confidence in Dimitar Berbatov has dropped overnight as he’s fallen to longer odds – Villa’s Darren Bent is now sandwiched between the two United men. Although Rooney has been more prolific of late, Dimitar Berbatov currently heads the chase for the Golden Boot award by a single goal. This narrow margin could easily extend as United look to claim 13 out of 13 wins against relegation battlers Wigan this weekend. While Berbatov will need two starts over the Wigan and Chelsea fixtures in gameweek to reward investment, likewise Rooney owners won’t want to see their man deployed out wide in either game. It remains a tough call between the pair.

Darren Bent has scored a goal every other game in all competitions since Christmas. With him settling for only an assist at Blackpool last week, he’ll be hungry to continue the trend at home to Blackburn. Edin Dzeko and Mario Balotelli have both been in the goals recently, and are priced just behind Bent, but as Paddy’s odds suggest, they will inevitably play second fiddle to Tevez.

Tim Cahill features as the highest placed midfielder this week, and looks hopeful to return to his scoring form of last year. Doubts still remain over his fitness however; there’s every chance that he will miss out against Sunderland with Everton’s FA Cup tie with Reading looming on Tuesday.

Sticking with midfielders, Ashley Young’s odds are of interest. He comes in ranked above Nani, despite the fact that United travel to Wigan. Clearly Paddy is a big fan of Young’s potential this week.

Finally, if you’re looking for real dark-horse selections up front, the eye is drawn to Paddy’s odds on the Stoke and Wolves strikers. Both are heavily backed by our bookmaker to find the net against the obliging West Brom and Blackpool defences respectively.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

We failed to sort the usual array of Scout Specials this week but, during the week, we did bring you some specials on both Joey Barton and David Silva that might tempt you into a flutter.

Joey Barton to score 2 or more goals against either Bolton or Everton combined 10/1
Joey Barton to be sent off against either Bolton or Everton 10/1
Joey Barton to score a hat-trick against either Bolton or Everton 80/1

David Silva to score at total of 2 or more goals vs Fulham and Wigan 3/1
David Silva to get an assist against both Fulham and Wigan 7/1
David Silva to Score from outside the box vs Fulham or Wigan 9/2
DavidSilva to score a free kick against Fulham or Wigan 18/1

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy turns to Sunday’s Wembley Final for the source of this weekend’s Money Back Special. If Arsenal leads at anytime in normal time against Birmingham and fails to win the match, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

  1. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    First

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      second 8)

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      1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Struggling! Lol.

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Nice, guys! 🙂

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      2. ChiefMockingBird
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        losers

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          + 1st

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  2. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    anyone going for berba as captain or should i play safe and go with nani/tevez?

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    1. cucumber
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      wouldn't dare ignore nani

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      1. tosey
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        i dont even have nani! or tevez!!

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        1. gub24
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          i've got the same 3 to choose from, thinking nani- he could do more against chelsea than berbs..

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          1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            im just thinking berba is due his 3-5 goal haul plus united need to make sure they beat wigan so he should get a few....hopefully

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            1. gub24
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              berbs could score big, but could easily get 4 points. I may take the punt on berbs as well, choose nani last time when berbs scored his 29 points.

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        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          You are always a rebel tosey, it's expected. 🙂

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          1. tosey
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            rebel....or idiot! we'll know by 5pm 2moro!

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              I wouldn't say idiot, you plan in advance very well.

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              1. Boom!!!
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                what about monday then 😉

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  3. I hate Craig Gardner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Hi guys,

    Currently I need both Etherington and Cahill to play to field a full XI. Should I take 4point hit and do Etherington out for Young (or anyone else up to 9.8) or not?

    Cheers

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    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      etherington seems to be a doubt so its prob best to get rid as he missed the last two games as well

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    2. ChiefMockingBird
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Nah, leave as in. Will Young get 4....if so thats you breaking even

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      1. I hate Craig Gardner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Well that's the gamble. Young to get Etherington(which could be 0)+4, then outscore him in the coming week or 2

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  4. hillbillypete
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    so all for Nani captain?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      yes.

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        5 points.

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          i will take that 5 points in each game 😉

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  5. ChiefMockingBird
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Roo, Nani away form is average

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      roo away form is poo

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  6. Gargamel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    You around Marknlard? Got any good news on Hull vs Cardiff today? Think Cardiff will get anything from that?

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    1. Marknlard
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Hi Garg. Hull are on a bit of a good run at the moment, unbeaten for a while. Bothroyd and Chopra haven't really been firing lately, not looking too sharp. It's Ramsey's last game for Cardiff, but Olofinjana is out (his midfield partner). I can see a draw in this one.

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  7. Zep
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I don't care what anyone says... this is the hardest captain choice ever... 😕

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      not really 😉

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  8. rrcmc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    hi, i have 11 with Kelly, 10 without
    already taken a 4 pt hit, but want to bring in Cahill as well for FAB (i think Cahill will play and EVE just playing mid games, i think FAB will not play till after the BARCA tie)

    is it madness or just stupidity?

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  9. UKG
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Two free this week and to field 11:

    Etherington > Barton
    Walcott > A Young
    Nani gets the armband

    Sensible?

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    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

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  10. Viper
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Really tempted to captain tevez over nani, i just know if tevez fails and nani doesn't ill be in for a big fall in ranking, not so much if its the other way around

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    1. Oliver Reed
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      how can tevez fail to score against fulham though. nani is away to utd 2nd game so slim pickings there..

      im pondering the same diliemma, ive also got roonpig..

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    2. Churchill
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Doing the same thing here. Chelsea away will be a tough game.

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      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        I actually do think tevez will outscore nani but its such a big risk with nearly everyone going for nani!

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        1. Churchill
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          If memory serves me, Nani averages a higher PPG at home.

          It's not always the DGW player that rakes in the points. Mildly risky, but Tevez gets the armband.

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          1. Marknlard
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Tevez for me.

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            1. Churchill
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              How's JET coming along?

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          2. Viper
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Tevez got 2 goals and an assist at fulham earlier this reason, its risky given that majority of players will captain nani

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            1. Churchill
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              I'm comfortable doing that.

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    3. Damo.
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      There's not a doubt in my mind that I'm capt Tevez. Whether it works out or not, right now it's the right decision to me. Tevez at home over Nani away all day.

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  11. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of Bosingwa playing this gameweek? Relying on him to start otherwise will be a blank. Is Bosingwa -> Kolarov worth a 4 point hit in this circumstance?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Slim.

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Agreed. So does this make a 4 point hit for Kolarov a decent play?

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Getting rid of Bosingwa is a decent play. When you do it is up to you.

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          1. Jinswick
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah Bosingwa is definitely going either this week or next. Have a feeling Kolarov will score today so gonna go for him I think. Would leave me with the below this week on -8 points.

            Rafael, Kolarov, Coleman, Kelly
            Cahill, Nani, A Young
            Tevez, Berb, Wingie

            Next week probably Wingie -> Saha

            Sound ok?

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              It's ok.

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  12. greghammer95
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Loving the clean sheet odds, I have a defender from each of the top 6 teams ^^ playing this week. 🙂

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Me three ... 🙂

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  13. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    is vidic captain over nani foolish or a very clever gamble?

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    1. Demí
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      i think we both know the answer to that one 😆

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    2. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Not for me. Relatively limited upside for a a big downside.

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  14. jatlan
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    playing my WC this week, any siggestions for improvements?

    Hart (foster)
    Walker Coleman Smalling (R.Johnson Distan)
    Nani(c) Meireles A.Young Barton Nolan
    Tevez Berb (Wingie)

    Cheers

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    1. Ricardo355
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Done the same to avoid a massive hit..

      If it helps mine is:

      Begovice (Foster)
      Walker Coleman Smalling Kolarov (Carr)
      Cahill Nolan Barton Nani (YaYa)
      Tevez Rooney (c) (RVP)

      got one eye on next weeks double and yaya cover for cahill if inj..

      after this its work to cover the gw33 dbls..

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      1. jatlan
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Cool, cheers for that. Have decided to get Baines instead of Distan so fingers crossed it all works out next week as well as this week!

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      2. bring_on _the_fantasy
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        whay have you both got nolan and barton, thats shocking choices!!

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    2. Mr. Tambourine Man
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Hi jatlan, lucky you having a WC left. Quite a few things you might want to look at in that team. Pairing Hart and Foster is a lot of money to have tied up in keepers. If you want Hart play him every week and get Kingston or someone cheap. Smalling you obviously only want this week so you need a plan to trade him out. Have two Everton defenders is not a good idea, unless it was temporarily Coleman and Baines, but for their attacking potential. Personally I'm not keen on Meireles. You don't need both Barton and Nolan. Definitely wouldn't have Odemwingie in a WC team, not sure I'd be choosing Berb now either (although I did a few weeks ago). If I were you, I'd still have RVP in my team, as he should be back next week and he'll be essential.

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  15. Tommy J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Does Mark no longer have time for pre-match preamble?-would have been useful today(too late to go and buy all the papers!)

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  16. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Current team

    Begovic

    Coleman Kolarov Walker

    Fabs Adam Cahill VDV Nani

    Tevez Odemwingie

    Subs Scezscny Kelly RVP Carr

    2 free transfers - Fabs Adam Odemwingie out Rooney Young Barton in? What do we think?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      do it.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Boom!!! who's your captain this morning? 🙂

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  17. Trilogist
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    My defenders are:-

    Coleman, Huth, Hangeland, Bardsley, Kocielney

    I’m thinking of starting Coleman, Huth and either Hangeland or Bardsley.

    Sunderland have better odds of cleanie, but I dont really want to players two defenders in the same fixuture.

    So simply.

    Hangeland or Bardsley?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      bardsley.

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Play the player you think will score the most points regardless on if they play eachother. 0-0 happens abit these days.

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  18. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I've taken a 8 point hit but figured one of the guys i'm bringing in is Coleman and id be taking a hit to bring him in next week so it should be worth it, right?

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  19. Back to Back Ballacks
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    sorry,had to repost,
    Hows this WC Team look?, rvp for rooney next week

    Begovic
    Baines Smalling Kolarov

    Young A Nani Silva Arteta

    Rooney (C). Tevez Best

    subs Foster Carr Gardiner Coleman

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    1. Screaming Midget
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Play Foster Carr and Gardner, just for the great feeling of 3 come off the bench and surprise your rivals 🙂

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      You better hope the Reading game isn't a draw.

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      1. Back to Back Ballacks
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        ya, big time,,im gamblin on that!

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  20. Screaming Midget
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all.

    Anybody else think this could well be the lowest average score of the season so far, with many people not even realising they have 5 or 6 missing and many others, not checking their team to make the necessary changes to field 11.

    One of my rivals has 6 missing and he's only done 1 transfer at the minute. 10 men at best.

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Hi, K C - yup - I think you might be right, there ... but there will still be a large wodge in front of me who DO realise, so ...

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    2. Mr. Tambourine Man
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Hey KC, how do you know they've done 1 transfer?? I've seen people refer to moves their rivals have made loads of times, but I can't see where you can see that. In the transfer history link I can only see moves up to last gameweek.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Bottom right-hand corner of the "My Team" page ...

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  21. Super-Hans
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    My team after a 4 point hit;

    Begovic
    Walker - Coleman - Kolarov - Smalling
    Nani(c) - Watson - Etherington
    Rooney - Tevez - Odemwingie

    Sub: Foster - VdV - Fabregas - Djourou

    Q: Worth a further hit to take out Etherington?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      no.

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  22. Eddy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Gordon?

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    1. Mr. Tambourine Man
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Not that I've heard, I'm hoping he's ok too. Obviously just gonna play him and let auto sub take over if he's out.

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  23. Vpan
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I need some advice please:

    Djourou -> Vidic

    OR

    Adam -> Barton

    for a 4p hit.

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    1. MARVELLUS
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      vidic, if you have to do one.

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  24. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Was gonna get Rooney in, now I'm thinking Suarez, discuss

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    1. Screaming Midget
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Rooney for sure.

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  25. TOP 20K
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Smalling r walker?

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    1. MARVELLUS
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      smalling, if you can take him out next GW. walker long term.

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      1. Mr. Tambourine Man
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Was tempted by Smalling for just this week, but figure there will be plenty of other transfers needed next week so went Walker for the run in.

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  26. MARVELLUS
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Tempted by a 4pt hit to bring in Bent for Odem, crazy?
    Or another striker up to 9.7m?

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  27. Gargamel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Can anyone give me some tips for today's Championship matches please? Got a few good ones last week. Any favourite that might fall or anything like that? I'm doing a big Swedish betting game and I feel I got the Premiership matches well covered but my knowledge on the Championship is not good.

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    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      the champioship is a bit like wigan

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    2. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Bet on whoever Sheff United are playing. They havent won a game in months.

      You going Nani or Tevez capt mate?

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  28. harmonica
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    worth 4 points if I'm relying on cahill to make a full starting 11 or just chance it? Would be walcott to someone of no more than 7

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  29. greghammer95
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    4 Point hit ???

    Vela -> Best

    Or

    Vela -> Doyle

    !!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?

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    1. MARVELLUS
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      oh dear....best definately.

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      not worth a hit but if u want to take a hit then go for doyle.

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  30. BoobyZ
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone think it is wise to take a hit to ensure a playing XI just in case Cahill doesnt play?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I have the same problem & doubt I'll take the hit.

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