[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
26 February 2011 1132 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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After a gameweek that seemed to span the ages, we’re back with a snappy weekend affair, albeit one ravaged the distraction of the Carling Cup Final.

With Arsenal, Spurs and Birmingham all missing from the fixture list, modest returns look on the cards, as Fantasy Managers shift resources to muster a starting XI. Can Paddy Power’s weekend odds help us find some inspiration out of desperation?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Man City 1.90 (FUL)
  • Man United 2.10 (wig) dgw
  • Everton 2.20 (SUN)
  • Aston Villa 2.40 (BLA)
  • Stoke City 2.50 (WBA)
  • Liverpool 2.60 (whm)
  • Newcastle 2.70 (BOL)

The post-Christmas goal glut seems to be well over for league leaders United. A defeat at Wolves in the league, a pyrrhic victory over Crawley in the cup and a dull goalless draw with Marseille in the Champions league, has left Alex Ferguson asking questions of his midfield and attack. In contrast, United’s back four look stronger from week to week as Chris Smalling and the Da Silva brothers look more confident alongside veteran Nemanja Vidic. Paddy believes this mix of young and old blood should have no problem keeping Wigan, with a modest season average of 1gsh (goals scored at home), off the scoresheet.

Paddy place Manchester City up alongside their derby rivals at the top of the clean sheet market this week. They face a Fulham side who have accrued a mere average of 0.85gsa (goals scored away). Man City’s home record of 0.89gch (goals conceded at home) justifies Paddy’s price and makes them favourites over United.

Everton, Villa and Stoke all have favourable home fixtures. Paddy posts Everton highest of the three to hold out for a clean sheet, but the stats tell a different story. Stoke have struggled on the road in recent weeks, but have still held a good home defensive record of 1gch, whilst their opponents West Brom have struggled to make 0.85gsa.

The cleanie looks more secure at the Britannia then and, while Liverpool’s odds for a shut-out at Upton Park have lengthened in the last 24 hours, Paddy still has them ranked over Newcastle at home to Bolton – we’re not so sure.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • C Tevez 1.66 (FUL)
  • W Rooney 1.83 (wig) dgw
  • D Bent 1.90 (BLA)
  • D Berbatov 2.10 (wig) dgw
  • M Balotelli 2.30 (FUL)
  • E Dzeko 2.30 (FUL)
  • J Carew 2.30 (WBA)
  • K Jones 2.30 (WBA)
  • J Hernandez 2.30 (wig) dgw
  • T Cahill 2.37 (SUN)
  • L Saha 2.37 (SUN)
  • K Doyle 2.37(BLP)
  • S Ebanks-Blake 2.37 (BLP)
  • S Fletcher 2.37 (BLP)
  • G Agbonlahor 2.40 (BLA)
  • L Suarez 2.40 (whm)
  • L Best 2.50 (BOL)
  • J Beckford 2.50 (SUN)
  • M Owen 2.50 (wig) dgw
  • A Young 2.62 (BLA)
  • Nani 2.70 (wig)

Manchester City have not competed against a Premier League side for two weeks, although two legs in the Europa League and one FA Cup tie have kept them busy. Carlos Tevez has had some intermittent rest over the period, featuring as a sub in one match and getting an early bath in another, and looks more than justified as leader in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He won’t find it easy to circumvent a resolute Fulham defence, but, if City are to prevail, Tevez will surely be a key factor.

Manchester United’s strike duo also rank highly, although it’s worth noting that confidence in Dimitar Berbatov has dropped overnight as he’s fallen to longer odds – Villa’s Darren Bent is now sandwiched between the two United men. Although Rooney has been more prolific of late, Dimitar Berbatov currently heads the chase for the Golden Boot award by a single goal. This narrow margin could easily extend as United look to claim 13 out of 13 wins against relegation battlers Wigan this weekend. While Berbatov will need two starts over the Wigan and Chelsea fixtures in gameweek to reward investment, likewise Rooney owners won’t want to see their man deployed out wide in either game. It remains a tough call between the pair.

Darren Bent has scored a goal every other game in all competitions since Christmas. With him settling for only an assist at Blackpool last week, he’ll be hungry to continue the trend at home to Blackburn. Edin Dzeko and Mario Balotelli have both been in the goals recently, and are priced just behind Bent, but as Paddy’s odds suggest, they will inevitably play second fiddle to Tevez.

Tim Cahill features as the highest placed midfielder this week, and looks hopeful to return to his scoring form of last year. Doubts still remain over his fitness however; there’s every chance that he will miss out against Sunderland with Everton’s FA Cup tie with Reading looming on Tuesday.

Sticking with midfielders, Ashley Young’s odds are of interest. He comes in ranked above Nani, despite the fact that United travel to Wigan. Clearly Paddy is a big fan of Young’s potential this week.

Finally, if you’re looking for real dark-horse selections up front, the eye is drawn to Paddy’s odds on the Stoke and Wolves strikers. Both are heavily backed by our bookmaker to find the net against the obliging West Brom and Blackpool defences respectively.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

We failed to sort the usual array of Scout Specials this week but, during the week, we did bring you some specials on both Joey Barton and David Silva that might tempt you into a flutter.

Joey Barton to score 2 or more goals against either Bolton or Everton combined 10/1
Joey Barton to be sent off against either Bolton or Everton 10/1
Joey Barton to score a hat-trick against either Bolton or Everton 80/1

David Silva to score at total of 2 or more goals vs Fulham and Wigan 3/1
David Silva to get an assist against both Fulham and Wigan 7/1
David Silva to Score from outside the box vs Fulham or Wigan 9/2
DavidSilva to score a free kick against Fulham or Wigan 18/1

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy turns to Sunday’s Wembley Final for the source of this weekend’s Money Back Special. If Arsenal leads at anytime in normal time against Birmingham and fails to win the match, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

1,132 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. villian-ty
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    anyone know if Rafael is due to play?

    Rivals have played WC or used 1 transfer (no hits)

    My team currently
    is
    Bergovic (Foster)
    Rafael Kelly Simpson Coleman Huth
    Nani(C) Brunt Barton (Adam, Fab)
    Tevez Berbatov (RVP)

    If doubts to Rafael and Kelly confirmed i have 9. Rivals will be able to field 11. So i need to justify the hit.
    Yes or No?

    It will be
    Adam -> Silva/Young/Cahill

    Ideas?

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  2. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    i think a red arrow and exit from the millionaire club is inevitable this week. Taken an 8 point hit and can only field 10.

    Chances of an 8th green in a row with this lot?

    Coleman, Rafael, Kolarov, Kelly
    Nani(c), Cahill, A Young
    Tevez, Berbatov, Odemwingie

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    1. bhargi
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Sorry, but looks like a red arrow for u, and same for me

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Very doubtful on the Millionaire exit, penalties are too friendly. Next season it will be alot harder.

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  3. roscoe1891
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    would you take a 4 point hit to get rid of Brunt and bring in one of Young, Silva, Arteta or maybe even Fletcher for the double game week?

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  4. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    maybe I should jsut swap Kelly for Smalling. Liverpools fixtures stiffen up after this gw anyway. anyone thinking the same?

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  5. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    (From previous thread)

    It is the Rooney or Berba question that I haven’t been able to answer. Does anyone have any insight into how much time both will play this w/e? There sems to be people punting either way this GW - so is it a coin toss?

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    1. MTPockets
      15 years, 5 months ago

      both?

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      1. Perthite
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Nah - it is a short term RvP->Rooney/Berba to get the DGW and then I'll have to decide where I go next week.

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        1. Nomar
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          This is why I didn't get Rooney in the end and went with Tevez.

          You take Rooney out for Van Persie but you'll want RVP back next week. You'll probably also want another dgw player so you'll end up spending 4 pts getting van Persie back.

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    2. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Ended up going for Berba myself due to advanced central role, lower price and the fact he'll be in my squad for several weeks. Think Rooney may just edge this GW due to Berba possibly not playing against Chelsea. But long term it's Berba for me... So yeah, coin toss.

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      1. Perthite
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks. I am leaning towards Berba because of the cash that will be left in the bank. This will give me the flexibility next week to not take a 4 point hit depending on injuries, etc.

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        1. Perthite
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          And it look like we have pretty similar teams...

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  6. BoobyZ
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Wise to take a hit to ensure a playing XI just in case Cahill doesnt play?

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    1. Goldtop73
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      that's what i'm trying to figure out.. let me know if you get the right answer

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  7. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Good, bad or just plain ugly?

    Harper
    Olsson Huth Kolarov Coleman
    Barton Nani Silva Young
    Tevez Odem

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      only olsson is ugly.

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      1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah no doubt he's stinking up the place but at least he has a game (hopefully). Captain has got to be Nani right?

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      2. Kingston
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        And tevez

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  8. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    This is horrible, just can't decide on (c)

    Tevez, Rooney or Nani :/

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  9. Kingston
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Arteta been taken off set piece duties by moyes, oh dear. Lets hope he's still on pens

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    1. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Where did you here that?

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      1. Kingston
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Total fpl

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        1. Bubbles
          • 17 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          I was all set on bringing him in. Now this.

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          1. Kingston
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 5 months ago

            I've already bought him. Oh well

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            1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 5 months ago

              Loads of people have, no idea why

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              1. Kingston
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 5 months ago

                The lure of next weeks dgw which may not even happen!

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                1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 5 months ago

                  great. 4 points instead of his usual 2

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    2. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Thats not a big surprise and its nothing new.
      Baines has been taking the frees for a long time now this season.

      Hopefully he will still take the pens

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  10. TOP 20K
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Fab or adam out?

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  11. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    When you take a hit, when is it taken off your score? I think it's already been taken off mine!?

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      lol it won't have been mate. It will come off once the game restarts after the 11:30 update

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      1. Drip Doctor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Shit, 3rd place was closer then i thought then! I'll start just behind him now providing he doesn't make another transfer. Less point hits next season!

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  12. Kingduffer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    My team is a bit of a mare:

    Hart
    Coleman, Huth, Vidic, Collins, Kelly
    Nani, Gardner
    Bent, Berbatov Sturridge

    Adam, Bently Etheringto, Foster on the bench

    Any ideas for captain - Nani or Berbatov?

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  13. Fray Bentos
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    chance of giggs playing both double games?

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    1. bhargi
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Will play both, but not 90 min. Not worth punt considering mANU have tough fixtures coming up

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    2. Damp
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Dont know...but I have done Walcott-->Giggs

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    3. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      The chance he will play four games is impossible XD

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  14. Viper
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Gonna play it safe and captain nani, i can really see tevez outscoring nani but its so risky with everyone going for nani

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    1. bhargi
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      +1

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      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Still really undecided on this one I have a small lead in my league so should really play it safe.

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      2. mouldy_uk
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Yep, I'm pretty sure all my mini-league people will do the same. I'm going to play safe as well 🙁

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        1. Viper
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          Im top of most of leagues by a comfortable margin so it seems the safe option even though im confident tevez will outscore him, barely no1 will have him captain in my leagues but id like to move up through the overall rankings!

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          1. Art Vandelay
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 5 months ago

            Unfortunately, I only have a 20pt lead. If it was more than 50, I would definitely captain Tevez. I still might as I reckon I will still stay in front either way, and a successful outcome would see my lead become significant.

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  15. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    I'm an idiot. Completely forgot VDV didn't have a game this week!!

    Ah well 4-4-2 it is

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  16. Boom!!!
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    hey mmw my captain is nani in fpl and if u were talking about cricket then ask ab or demi 😉 ...the site is not working for me again 🙁

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Where are you ranked in the cricket? Just toss it in if you are too far behind.

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        38th 🙁 in the league of 52 ...doing much better in fox fantasy 🙂

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          Just toss it in. You obviously have computer problems with the site. Concentrate on the friendly Fox Sports one.

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  17. Jugsy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    my team:

    Hart

    Coleman Kelly Evra Givet

    Nani(c) Silva Meireles

    Berba Tevez RVP(i have no choice)

    Subs: Al Habsi, Djourou, Adam, Ferguson

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  18. Mak_Gold
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone else joining me in captaining Sloth?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      who is sloth?

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      1. mouldy_uk
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Berbatov - Berbasloth

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      2. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Berba 😕

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  19. Hegsmouth
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Is Fabregas likely to be back for his next league game?

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  20. Bonny Scott
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Will Silva play next two matches?

    Already have 11 but thinking of bring him in for a hit to play over Odemwingie.... Thoughts?

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    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      I bought him, he looks a bit more lively now with dzeko here

      i think he gets more of the ball rather than just being an additional midfielder

      his scores suggest this

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  21. Clive
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Guys,

    Who would you choose for the next few weeks:

    1) Rooney and Smalling
    2) Rooney and Kolarov
    3) Berbatov and Vidic

    It's money constraints so I can get Cahill next week! If I had a choice it'd be Rooney and Vidic obviously.

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    1. Bonny Scott
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      2

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      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        yep 2

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  22. tbhogal
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Guys – What to sign this week???
    Begovic (Szczceny)
    Huth,Kelly,Kolarov,Coleman (Johnson)
    Adam, Brunt,Nani,Barton (Fabregas)
    Tevez, Odemwinge (V.Persie).....

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  23. Back to Back Ballacks
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    VOTE Please!
    Cahill and Ferguson
    or
    Arteta and Gardner

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    1. tosey
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      1st one

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Cahill and Ferguson.

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      1. Back to Back Ballacks
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        the other 2 on pens tho!

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  24. G__100
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Does anyone think a Man Utd defender is worth a -4 hit(Smalling or Evra), to field 11 players?

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    1. Phillips
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Yes. They will repay the 4 points simply by playing twice.

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  25. Phillips
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Guessing nothing new is about concerning Cahill?

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  26. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Tillakaratne Dipshit gets one over, goes for 10 and is hauled off.... oh well.

    Pakistan are doing well!

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      dipsh1t 😆

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  27. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Holding the trigger on Cahill - 20 minutes to get some news on his fitness - guessing its not gonna happen...time to gamble me thinks.

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    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      i need him for next week anyway

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    2. Phillips
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Same mate. Can't decide whether to gamble with Cahill or just go safe with Young. Think I'm gonna go with Cahill.

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    3. Murt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      I've just taken a4pt hit to get Cahill in. Don't see anyone else worth the hit even if they do play.

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      1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Mental

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  28. Marknlard
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Churchill- JET's improving. Still a bit undisciplined, likes to come off his wing and isn't great at covering his fullback. But he's pulled a few tricks out of the bag, and played a good part in Ramsey's goal on Tuesday (was so happy that I saw him score before he left!). Last game for Ramsey- sad face.

    Busy time here, so you might not see this message, I'll try to remember to reply another time as well.

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  29. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    Less than 20 minutes, can't wait til the deadline hits....

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    1. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      What trades did you do TM? Hits?

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        1 trade, no hits yet. Rooney in.

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        1. Christina.
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          Cool. You manage to field 11?

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          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 17 Years
            15 years, 5 months ago

            11 with Cahill. He's tough & will start imo.

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    2. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 5 months ago

      Any more moves since TM?

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        Not yet. Thinking of getting Young for a hit???

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        1. njfsdkffslkf
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 5 months ago

          Could work. I would have got him if I could have afforded him.

          Probably be a few goals v Blackburn but his chalkboards and shots etc are poor many have said

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          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 17 Years
            15 years, 5 months ago

            Thought they played Blackpool. Still think he could do well.

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      2. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 5 months ago

        DB-you fielding 11?

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  30. higgo
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 5 months ago

    hope i get surprised this week but already braced for red arrow.

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