[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
26 February 2011 1132 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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After a gameweek that seemed to span the ages, we’re back with a snappy weekend affair, albeit one ravaged the distraction of the Carling Cup Final.

With Arsenal, Spurs and Birmingham all missing from the fixture list, modest returns look on the cards, as Fantasy Managers shift resources to muster a starting XI. Can Paddy Power’s weekend odds help us find some inspiration out of desperation?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Man City 1.90 (FUL)
  • Man United 2.10 (wig) dgw
  • Everton 2.20 (SUN)
  • Aston Villa 2.40 (BLA)
  • Stoke City 2.50 (WBA)
  • Liverpool 2.60 (whm)
  • Newcastle 2.70 (BOL)

The post-Christmas goal glut seems to be well over for league leaders United. A defeat at Wolves in the league, a pyrrhic victory over Crawley in the cup and a dull goalless draw with Marseille in the Champions league, has left Alex Ferguson asking questions of his midfield and attack. In contrast, United’s back four look stronger from week to week as Chris Smalling and the Da Silva brothers look more confident alongside veteran Nemanja Vidic. Paddy believes this mix of young and old blood should have no problem keeping Wigan, with a modest season average of 1gsh (goals scored at home), off the scoresheet.

Paddy place Manchester City up alongside their derby rivals at the top of the clean sheet market this week. They face a Fulham side who have accrued a mere average of 0.85gsa (goals scored away). Man City’s home record of 0.89gch (goals conceded at home) justifies Paddy’s price and makes them favourites over United.

Everton, Villa and Stoke all have favourable home fixtures. Paddy posts Everton highest of the three to hold out for a clean sheet, but the stats tell a different story. Stoke have struggled on the road in recent weeks, but have still held a good home defensive record of 1gch, whilst their opponents West Brom have struggled to make 0.85gsa.

The cleanie looks more secure at the Britannia then and, while Liverpool’s odds for a shut-out at Upton Park have lengthened in the last 24 hours, Paddy still has them ranked over Newcastle at home to Bolton – we’re not so sure.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • C Tevez 1.66 (FUL)
  • W Rooney 1.83 (wig) dgw
  • D Bent 1.90 (BLA)
  • D Berbatov 2.10 (wig) dgw
  • M Balotelli 2.30 (FUL)
  • E Dzeko 2.30 (FUL)
  • J Carew 2.30 (WBA)
  • K Jones 2.30 (WBA)
  • J Hernandez 2.30 (wig) dgw
  • T Cahill 2.37 (SUN)
  • L Saha 2.37 (SUN)
  • K Doyle 2.37(BLP)
  • S Ebanks-Blake 2.37 (BLP)
  • S Fletcher 2.37 (BLP)
  • G Agbonlahor 2.40 (BLA)
  • L Suarez 2.40 (whm)
  • L Best 2.50 (BOL)
  • J Beckford 2.50 (SUN)
  • M Owen 2.50 (wig) dgw
  • A Young 2.62 (BLA)
  • Nani 2.70 (wig)

Manchester City have not competed against a Premier League side for two weeks, although two legs in the Europa League and one FA Cup tie have kept them busy. Carlos Tevez has had some intermittent rest over the period, featuring as a sub in one match and getting an early bath in another, and looks more than justified as leader in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He won’t find it easy to circumvent a resolute Fulham defence, but, if City are to prevail, Tevez will surely be a key factor.

Manchester United’s strike duo also rank highly, although it’s worth noting that confidence in Dimitar Berbatov has dropped overnight as he’s fallen to longer odds – Villa’s Darren Bent is now sandwiched between the two United men. Although Rooney has been more prolific of late, Dimitar Berbatov currently heads the chase for the Golden Boot award by a single goal. This narrow margin could easily extend as United look to claim 13 out of 13 wins against relegation battlers Wigan this weekend. While Berbatov will need two starts over the Wigan and Chelsea fixtures in gameweek to reward investment, likewise Rooney owners won’t want to see their man deployed out wide in either game. It remains a tough call between the pair.

Darren Bent has scored a goal every other game in all competitions since Christmas. With him settling for only an assist at Blackpool last week, he’ll be hungry to continue the trend at home to Blackburn. Edin Dzeko and Mario Balotelli have both been in the goals recently, and are priced just behind Bent, but as Paddy’s odds suggest, they will inevitably play second fiddle to Tevez.

Tim Cahill features as the highest placed midfielder this week, and looks hopeful to return to his scoring form of last year. Doubts still remain over his fitness however; there’s every chance that he will miss out against Sunderland with Everton’s FA Cup tie with Reading looming on Tuesday.

Sticking with midfielders, Ashley Young’s odds are of interest. He comes in ranked above Nani, despite the fact that United travel to Wigan. Clearly Paddy is a big fan of Young’s potential this week.

Finally, if you’re looking for real dark-horse selections up front, the eye is drawn to Paddy’s odds on the Stoke and Wolves strikers. Both are heavily backed by our bookmaker to find the net against the obliging West Brom and Blackpool defences respectively.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

We failed to sort the usual array of Scout Specials this week but, during the week, we did bring you some specials on both Joey Barton and David Silva that might tempt you into a flutter.

Joey Barton to score 2 or more goals against either Bolton or Everton combined 10/1
Joey Barton to be sent off against either Bolton or Everton 10/1
Joey Barton to score a hat-trick against either Bolton or Everton 80/1

David Silva to score at total of 2 or more goals vs Fulham and Wigan 3/1
David Silva to get an assist against both Fulham and Wigan 7/1
David Silva to Score from outside the box vs Fulham or Wigan 9/2
DavidSilva to score a free kick against Fulham or Wigan 18/1

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy turns to Sunday’s Wembley Final for the source of this weekend’s Money Back Special. If Arsenal leads at anytime in normal time against Birmingham and fails to win the match, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet Β£10 Get Β£20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free Β£20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

  1. Mighty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Saha to come off early injured for Cahill. This actually is realistic.

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    1. Dave Bauer
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      +1

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      1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        possible..

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    2. mufc802
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      So Cahill IS on the bench?

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        yes

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    3. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      +2

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      1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        .. and grab the winner

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    4. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      There are still 28 minutes for Louis Haha to get injured before kick-off.

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      1. Mighty
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        LOL, also realistic.

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  2. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Clattenburg 😯 ... Wigan have no chance now..

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    1. FantasyFreak
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      MU designated referee πŸ™‚

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  3. FantasyFreak
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Oh god. Kelly must start, or else I have only 8 players playing.

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  4. ToonTom
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Cahill on the becnh..there is hope!haha

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    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Cahill may just be dropped? Looked pretty ordinary of late.

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  5. damokc
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    So Fellaini plays....hhhmmm...panic about nothing.

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  6. BHAFC BOB
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    how can gordon be fit enough to be a sub but not start?! so frustrating! 8 point hit and now only 10 players..9 if kelly doesn't play!

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    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      he's prbably not fit, just there for an emergency which 19 times out of 20 wont happen.

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  7. jamsiep
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    *to be said in smug voice*

    'That's why I picked Rooney over Berbatov, it really was the obvious choice.'

    Oh wait, I didn't expect him to benched vs Wigan, and nor did anyone else. So shaddupayaface.

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    1. AP
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      +1. Funny though.

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      1. jamsiep
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        No doubt. I'm delighted at the lack of Berba in the Utd side.... But I didn't expect it whatsoever. Major lulz if anyone tries to claim this was a reason for them going for Rooney instead.

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        1. SuperDorrans
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          I did go for Rooney though cos he was 100% certain for both games, Berbatov wasn't. Obviously thought it would be the Chelsea game he missed though.

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        2. Mighty
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          My rationale was Berbs is less effective away from home, Rooney on pens and more likely to play more minutes over the two games.

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        3. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          grr

          i won't try then

          but it is true

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    2. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      5 mnutes today and 5 minutes on Tuesday from Berbatov would be acceptable tbh

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      1. AP
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        It kinda suggests Berba will play vs Chelsea, which would be Risky McRiskrisk.

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    3. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      if anything i thought rooney would be the one benched

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        So did I.

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    4. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Plus, he'll probably come on today at some point, so im not going to be smug about picking Rooney...YET πŸ˜‰

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    5. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Think you've just summed up the next 10 pages of comments very well there jamsiep.

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    6. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      i genuinely thought berba would only play chelsea

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      1. jamsiep
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Bullshit.

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        1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          rightly or wrongly i did!

          save him for the big game! i don't have proof on here but ask my boss cos i told him this last night haha

          thought rooney would play both

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  8. Attila the Bum
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Ok before it actually starts and everything all goes tits up - I just want to say, at this point in time:

    I FUDGING WELL LOVE THIS GAMEWEEK

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    1. SuperDorrans
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I've actually liked it so far, it's felt like wildcard week, you can make lots of transfers and you can get away with it! I've made 4 transfers and it feeeeeeels good. πŸ˜€

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    2. Just_Ty
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      It surely looks different πŸ™‚

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    3. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      FORZA NEWCASTLE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        πŸ™‚
        Indeed

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  9. Mighty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Yehhhhhh 16 point hit and STILL only 9 players. FML.

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  10. Just_Ty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Am I the only one being surprised Saha plays? I knew Cahill was a gamble and assume it but Louis starting!?

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    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      saha to score anybody? bet, no bet?

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      1. Just_Ty
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Go for it! Might bring him for DGW if he stays fit (that's a big IF)

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  11. Eddy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Damn no Gordon

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    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      For a goalkeeper he's remarkably injury prone.

      Sunderland also don't have/didn't have good fixtures, so getting him in wasn't a wise move.

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  12. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    5 playing today and 9 still to come πŸ™‚

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  13. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Nolan 1st goal in the league the day 45/1 πŸ˜€

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  14. The relentless pursuit of p…
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    My prediction, Berbatov to come on and score around the 75th minute.

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  15. jamsiep
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I'm on -16 with 10 players still to come, any good lads?

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    1. Locarno
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I reckon you're good enough to have got a green arrow from that position before...

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      1. jamsiep
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        πŸ˜† For sure....

        How goes the cricket today for you, sir? Sangakarra captain is looking decent at the moment. Could have done with Dilshan getting out though, he's probably owned by a few and he was batting terribly at the start of his innings.

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        1. Locarno
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Decided to make no changes, so only Gul and Sanga (c). Don't expect anything except a red arrow.

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      katie is on -1024 so booya πŸ˜‰

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      1. jamsiep
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Really?! What the hell happened there then?!

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        1. Attila the Bum
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          She proved that she is indeed a 'she' by a big load of drama.

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          1. Locarno
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Huh? What'd I miss?

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            1. Attila the Bum
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              She took a massive, massive points hit to 'destroy' her team.
              Daft. If you can't be arsed keeping it up you just abandon it, very over the top to spend an hour making endless transfers to ruin your side.

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              1. Locarno
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 1 month ago

                Definitely a woman, then...

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          2. Fray Bentos
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            clearly she doesn't have the balls to see the season through πŸ˜‰

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        2. Just_Ty
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          she decided to quit fpl

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          1. jamsiep
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            I pushed her over the edge!! bahahahahahahaha! πŸ˜†

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            1. Fray Bentos
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              I'm sure she wont be the last πŸ˜‰

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            LOL at ur link.

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            1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              hahahahahah

              ooops

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    3. Open Controls
    4. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Dreadful

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      1. AP
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Sh*t the bed, good punt on Saha.

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        1. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Fingers crossed he makes 60 without getting injured.

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      2. jamsiep
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Well you can f*ck off.

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      3. applebonkers
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        loving the uber-serb defence STD

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        1. jamsiep
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Shame he got rid of Zigic.....

          Serb loving freak. πŸ˜›

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          1. Open Controls
            1. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              love it.

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          2. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            You had about 10 bets on Serbia at the world cup as well. Stop being so unkind.

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            1. jamsiep
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 1 month ago

              Fair dos.

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        2. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          I love my serbs what can I say.

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    5. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      blue arrow!

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  16. AP
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    On a separate note. Delighted to see Gibbo not starting.

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  17. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Some reporting Rooney pulled up in the warm up...

    Bs I'd wager

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  18. The Brummie
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    i avoided cahill and the man u strikersand that looks to have paid off. Leaving my A level coursework to the last minute though is a different story πŸ˜‰

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  19. Ole Gunnar Kush
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Fergie must be saving Giggs for the Chelsea game?

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    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      And Bebe. And Owen.

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  20. Dimitar
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I should've gone with Nani as captain, obvious choice but I was trying to be clever with Berbatov. Fail son

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  21. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    😯

    The last time Newcastle won a 3pm fixture in the premier league was August 2008

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Balls surely.

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      1. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Nope, on SSN, MO scored a header Vs Bolton

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        1. Attila the Bum
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          SSN love these disingenuous statements, we weren't in the Premier League for 2009/2010 so it makes it seem worse than it actually is.

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          1. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah, was thinking that as I typed, but still the majority of 2 seasons.

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    2. SuperDorrans
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Bolton double chance
      Boro to beat QPR

      Put that on in a double and your laughing. πŸ˜‰

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    3. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Really true? surely thats at st james park

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      1. SuperDorrans
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah St James it is.

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        1. Cheggers
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Bolton normally do ok against Newcastle (Fat Sam's time aside). Score draw for me

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    4. FantasyFreak
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      o.O interesting fact.

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    5. The Brummie
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      the last time birmingham city won was....1990? might of been in the 1980's

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  22. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I don't get it how r Villa lined up. Any help?

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    1. The Brummie
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      well theyve gone for the classic 4 wingers approach where they'll increase there amount of crosses by 4. Unfortunately if leaves a big gap in the middle with just reo-COCKer to fill so theyll be heavily dominated in midfield πŸ˜€

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  23. RoysBrotherJohnson- Irish p…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    FORZA ITALIA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! πŸ™‚

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    1. Milky
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      How much have their game improved since the last Six Nations, its crazy

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  24. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    atilla high 5 again

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    1. jamsiep
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Phew! I've just refreshed my scorecard about twenty times to see who got out (I knew you were talking about Afridi being involved in a wicket again). Thankfully it wasn't my main man Kumar....

      Tharanga
      Sanga (c)
      Mahela
      Murali
      Afridi
      Shoaib

      Not looking too shabby at the moment.....

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      1. applebonkers
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        you should check out cricket for betting btw. i've found it easier to win money on so far than football. e.g watson has been 11/4 for top aussie batsmen last 2 matches and johnson even better odds for top bowler. sangakarra was 3/1 for top sri lanka run scorer this game.

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    2. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      πŸ˜€
      Wahey! Maybe I can cling on to the top 10 after all.

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  25. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I bet Nolan will score a few today and Barton will do nothing. That would be plain typical.

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    1. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I bet they'll both score more than 5 points.

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      1. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        I'd like that.

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        1. si
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Nolan will score today. Fact. *annoying chicken dance*

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  26. AP
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Why can't Rodwell get in this Everton team... he was injured - right?

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  27. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Damn, I was sure the City game was on today too.

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  28. gooner dave
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone got any first goal scorer bets? Don't trust own judgement.

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  29. kroky
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    katie has done 257 transfers this week! she is gone

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    1. Nailer
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Wasn't she in the top 100? That seems a bit strange.

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  30. Nailer
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Is twitter totally down for anyone else?

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    1. jamsiep
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, and it's pissing me off!

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      1. Nailer
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        +1!

        It's kinda essential for a good ol' fashioned Saturday ff-ing.

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