Spot the Differential
30 April 2011 368 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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With just four short weeks to go, I’ve resigned myself to the fact that there is no way of catching the Contributors League leaders, but I’ll still be looking for a cheeky punt or two to make ground in the overall rankings. For those still in contention in their mini-leagues however, ‘Differentials’ take on a whole new meaning – a big score from a player that none of your rivals will have thought of is the only way to close a gap quickly. If you’re looking for a last minute gamble then, here’s our selection to consider this week…..

Stephane Sessegnon

When injuries to Asamoah Gyan and Danny Welbeck against Wigan last weekend left Sunderland without a recognised forward, it fell to Stephane Sessegnon to take on the lone striker role, and the Benin International took full advantage with a goal and an assist in the final 30 minutes of the game.

Sunderland look set to start against Fulham in exactly the same formation as they finished against Wigan, with Sessegnon up front and Steed Malbranque playing just behind. With 5’7” Sessegnon likely to be marked by 6’4” Brede Hangeland, it’s unlikely Sunderland will be relying on crosses from the wings, so the link-up between these two through the centre will be key; if they can combine as effectively as they did last week then both players look like strong Fantasy picks.

Sunderland’s recent form has been very poor, but their victory last weekend will give them confidence as they move into an easier run of fixtures [FUL, bol, WOL, whm]. All of those games should provide goals, so considering Sessegnon’s out of position role and very low ownership of just 0.1%, he looks a great value differential to tide you over to the final gameweek.

Joleon Lescott

Man City look too good to ignore this week; their home tie against bottom side West Ham is followed by a double next week and their players have rightly been the focus of much attention on this site over the last few days. While Aleksandar Kolarov, David Silva and Adam Johnson can all be classed as differentials due to their low ownership, we’ve opted for Joleon Lescott as our differential pick. With West Ham missing both Noble and Parker, it’s hard to see them breaking down an organised City side and as Lescott looks like the best option of the Man City defenders right now, he could be a great differential with just 1.7% ownership.

At 6.3 he isn’t as cheap as Kolarov but with Toure out, Lescott is a nailed on starter at centre-half, with the potential to provide attacking points on top of any clean sheets. In the 2007/2008 season Lescott scored 10 goals for Everton for a massive 196 points, and while he is a long way off that total this year, he could prove to be one of the top scoring defenders over the final few weeks of the season.

Seb Larsson

Seb Larsson is undoubtedly Birmingham’s form player at the moment; his two goals in the last three games were just reward for his influence in those matches, the only surprise was that he did not pick up more Bonus Points. As the main man on free-kicks and corners, as well as a prolific crosser of the ball (he has delivered more crosses than anyone bar Ashley Young in the last four weeks) he has the potential to pick up points against any opposition, and the return of Nikola Zigic will make Larsson’s set pieces even more valuable. Unfortunately it appears Craig Gardner is back on penalty duties, but Larsson still looks good value at 5.0m.

With all four Birmingham based sides still not safe from relegation, the atmosphere in England’s second city will be buzzing with two derbies this weekend. Birmingham may be coming off the back of two thrashings at the hands of Chelsea and Liverpool, but three points for City should see them safe for another season, and with their home form considerably better than the away form of Wolves, they will be confident of getting the goals they need.

Best of the Rest

Nearly making it this week was Maxi Rodriguez who should keep his place in the side after his hat-trick last weekend. Liverpool’s defensive form at home has been excellent recently, so 18-year-old Jack Robinson might also be worth a punt at just 4.0. Finally, Salomon Kalou’s excellent form could earn him his fourth start in a row against Spurs this evening, making him a risky, but potentially very profitable gamble.

Big Dunc If you're going to get sent off, make sure its for something worthwhile... Follow them on Twitter

368 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    who to bench….sturridge or Dempsey?

    On should i play sturridge and put dempsey 1st sub? i think sturridge will either start or wont play. cant see a last minute cameo?

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    1. statto
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      yeah that would prob be the best plan,lets hope he starts or isnt in the squad at all

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  2. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    kuyt lampard or odem for the big (C)??

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    1. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Out of the 3.... Fat

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  3. paganwinter
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Jaaskelainen,Gordon
    Djourou,Luiz,Kelly,Walker,Coleman
    VDV,Barton,Nani,Dempsey,Malouda
    RVP,Sturridge,Rooney

    Thinking of Barton---> Y Toure
    Dempsey---> Silva

    Any suggestions?

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    1. paganwinter
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      or just do Dempsey--->Kuyt

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  4. ToonTom
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Silva surely better pick than Toure...if price isnt an issue?

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    1. Big Dunc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Toure more guaranteed starter, but yes I agree Silva is more likely to score big points. We did an article on it earlier in the week...

      http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2011/04/28/the-technical-area-mancinis-middle-men/

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      1. ToonTom
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers mate, sorry to ask then, not had time to look! Cheers

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  5. Giggsy
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    I am leading my comp by 40 odd points and I have a feeling Drogba might do some damage.
    Captain him in front of the likes of Toure, Odenwingie and Malouda?
    Thoughts please

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  6. Joey Millions
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Done, leaving my team, I think.
    Foster
    Luiz, Huth, Bardsley
    Kuyt(c) Young, Yaya, VdV
    RvP, Drogba, Odem
    (Dempsey, Walker, Kelly)

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    1. Wingnut
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Nice team!

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      1. Joey Millions
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers! Dempsey alright on the bench?

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        1. Wingnut
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 7 months ago

          It's either him or VDV. I would personally play Dempsey due to his last outing, he must be full of confidence. CHE vs TOT could be tight.

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          1. Joey Millions
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 7 months ago

            I know, he did look damn good... toughest decision!!

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  7. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Does anyone here have RVP, Odemwingie & Suarez as their strikers?

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    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      No, no one at all 🙂

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        You sold RVP this week. Nice.

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    2. Wingnut
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      I do + Suarez Captain.

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    3. Denis Tueart on the wing
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Yes - Is that bad (It is in a team I adopted)

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  8. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    all trades, and line ups sorted just capt choice needed now...

    Saurez or Silva?

    What you reckon gents????

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    1. Voronin
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      I reckon Silva won't start so Suarez.

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Ridiculous suggestion.

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        1. The Stock
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 7 months ago

          +1

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        2. Voronin
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 7 months ago

          Why?

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      2. statto
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        you think silva wont start with tevez out? who do you think will start ahead of him? i have him as capt but that has put doubts in my head, lamps,drogs,rvp and adam my other options

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    2. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      100% Suarez.

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    3. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Suarez

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    4. statto
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      ive gone with silva altough i dont have suarez,if i had id captain him

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      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks all, Suarez it is... 😀 !

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  9. Leeds-Utd
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Who to capt..??drogba Van p suarez yaya t? ?still confused

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    1. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      We all hate Leeds scum!!! (nothing personal)

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      1. Leeds-Utd
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        No need for that...a little helpful comment would have done....thanks

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        1. Blue Teets
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 7 months ago

          The most helpful thing I can say is don't ask people. Make your own reasons for choosing and see how it works based on that criteria. If it works out use it again, you get better (and luckier) this way.

          Old rivalry.

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    2. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      See below. Suarez.

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    3. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Suarez.

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    4. Wingnut
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      I've gone with Suarez - Newcastle are crap and LPL are scoring plenty under the Messiah.

      Go with your gut this week, as the Captains Poll shows, it's make or break with your choice this week. (I had Zamora for the DGW) - I hate him.

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  10. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Jesus . I have just been analysing Yaya's attacking stats on the Guardian chalkboards. He has only had 6 shots in their last 8 Prem league games and worryingly only 1 shot in total for home games vs Wigan, Fulham, West Brom and Sunderland! (admittedly that was a goal).

    He is hardly a bonus or assist magnet either.

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      He is just a cheap route to having 2 or more Citeh players for next week, he's nearly 100% nailed on starter

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    2. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      he got 12 pts against sunderland and 8 against Wigan....not bad for one shot on goal. Arguably West Ham at home is an even easier fixture. Stats like that are why people (including me) have transferred him in, not just price.

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Think I am bringing him in anyway 🙂

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        1. J0E
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 7 months ago

          as punts go its very low risk and could work out very nicely over the next three games.

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  11. everyday, i'm shufflin…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Foster
    Luiz - Huth - carr
    nani - Silva - vdv - Lamps - a.young
    Drogba - RVP
    Sub: Begovic, Baird, Welbeck, Walker

    A. Nani out ; Kuyt in (-4 hits)
    B. Drogs + Welbeck out ; Suarez + Odem in (-8 hits)
    C. Nani + Welbeck out ; Hitzlsperger + Suarez in (-8 hits)

    Any move worth? I'm feeling lack of Liverpool coverage in this week.

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      A

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      1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        I think A is quite conservative and easily give Liverpool coverage. But feeling Suarez is more exciting choice.. 😉

        Or.. Drogba out, Suarez in and keep Nani ?

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  12. The Butchers Dog
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    3 Defence to pick: Evra, Baines and either Huth or Bale?

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    1. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      TFO ?

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  13. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Less than 2 hours to go.... Captain Panic in the building...

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    1. Joey Millions
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      who are ya thinkin tm?

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Too many ideas. Got new rivals to think about too.

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  14. mangoputney
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    VDV away or Gardener at home? best returns?

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    1. The Butchers Dog
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Gardner: Derby game + VDV temperament = yellow/red.

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    2. Denis Tueart on the wing
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      You would only cry if you left VDV out:-(

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  15. ToonTom
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Carroll owners-keeping?

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    1. lightspeed
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      keeping and playing

      prepared for a now show but dont want to take a hit to shift him or zamora out (seen as i got zamora in for a hit :-()

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  16. Giggsy
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Nani or VDV?

    or sell Nani and buy Kuyt for a 4 point hit?

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  17. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Bench Adam or Walters for this gw??????

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      walters

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    2. statto
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      gotta be walters,time running out for blackpool,can see 1 last big 1 from adam

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  18. niko
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Any help appreciated - chasing my rival who's 13 points ahead.

    Mignolet (Harper)
    R Johnson, Luiz, Kolarov (Coleman, Walker)
    Lampard, Nani, VDV, Walters (O'Hara)
    Van Persie, Torres, Odemwingie (C)

    Look ok for this week?

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    1. Ninjaa
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      looks good

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    2. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      You might regret not getting a Liv player.

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      1. niko
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        My rival doesn't have any Liverpool players either (he might trade someone in though). I'll take the risk as I'm a Newcastle fan. 🙂

        Thanks for the input!

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    3. The Butchers Dog
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Torres still a risk for me. 1 goal vs WHU, with an inch of water on the pitch - that doesn't mean he's back in form.

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      1. niko
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        I made the mistake of taking him over Drogba when Rooney was suspended. Regretted having him since so just preying he comes good!

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    4. Wingnut
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Play Coleman or O'Hara over Walters maybe? Apart from that, good luck with the lady boy!

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      1. niko
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah maybe, I fancy goals at Blackpool though and Walters could score big. I think Wigan will score too. Do you think Everton will keep a cleanie? Or attacking potential only?

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  19. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Play Hagaland or huth anyone?

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Huth

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    2. Damo.
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      I'm playing Huth but that's just because I've Demps too

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    3. The Butchers Dog
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Tough one. I think both will see action, Huth more likely to score.

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  20. herman murman
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    new post

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  21. Merlinho
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    5 Points up right now at the top of my Leage. Would a 4 point hit to bring in Suarez and start him ahead of Adam or Young be worth it? Could potentially give him the armband too which is worth Fatty right now. Risky tactic!

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    1. lightspeed
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      i wouldnt get him for a hit if you could play adam and young (both have decent fixtures)

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  22. Chockster23
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Bin Smalling for Kolorov / Lescott for a hit?
    Will then Have Coleman, Luiz and either Kolorov / Lescott with Huth and Walker warming the bench..

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Nah, just play Huth. Goal coming!!

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  23. FEBRI DS
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    who to be benched?

    foster - begovic

    samba luiz huth baines rjhonshon

    adam kuyt malouda young osman

    hernandez RVP sturidge

    thank's in advanced...

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Bego, Huth, RJ, Chiccha

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      1. jguti14
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        sturridge!

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      2. FEBRI DS
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        any other better suggestion?

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  24. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Foster in goal....
    3 at the back..
    who to bench??

    Ridgewell
    Huth
    Luiz
    Walker
    Coleman

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    1. jguti14
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      huth and either luiz or ridgewell, im doubling down on birm defense cuz i think they can keep a CS, but luiz is always great at home

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  25. Hecko
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Team is
    Foster
    Baines/Evatt/hangeland
    Lamps/yaya/Adams/Dempsey
    Hernandez/Drogba/Suarez

    Stuck for captain between Adams/yaya/lamps/Suarez

    Leaning towards Adams as a gamble, what do people think???

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 7 months ago

      Who is Adams??

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      1. Hecko
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 7 months ago

        Im just out of the scratcher, give us a break 🙂
        It's between Charlie and Suarez for me. Which I don't know

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  26. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Is Nani to Silva a stupid transfer? I am chasing in my mini league and everybody has Nani. I would captain Silva as well instead of Fat Frank.

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  27. Cosmos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    I reckon time is running out for catching a league rival. Therefore I have been bold and dumped my final Man U player, Nani. This is to accommodate 3 Man City players as they have favourable fixtures.

    Anyone captaining Balotelli this week?

    My team is:

    Foster

    Luiz Coleman Kolarov

    Kuyt Lampard Toure VDV

    Drogba Balotelli Van Persie

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  28. Torres76
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    Lads I have gone with

    Foster
    Kolorov, Coleman, Luiz
    Malouda, Silva, Ash Young, Kuyt (C), Adam
    RVP, Drogba

    Subs: Begovic, Caroll, Huth, Smalling

    A few questions:
    1. Should I play any of the subs?
    2. Are subs in the right order?
    3. Is Kuyt right captain?

    Can you help pleasssssssssse?

    Thanks boys...and girls

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  29. DonTheSpecialOne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 7 months ago

    My team:

    Foster
    Luiz Huth Kolarov
    Malouda Adam A.Young Silva
    Odem Suarez (c) RvP

    Robinson, Walker, Nani, Kelly

    thoughts?

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