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The Numbers Game – Goal Threat On A Budget

4 November 2011 462 comments
Mark Mark
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In this latest Members article, we investigate the low-to-mid price striker market, examining those forwards available for 7.5 or less in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. We put creativity and assists to one side, focusing solely on goal threat to examine shots per minute and shots on target per minute data, comparing the popular budget strikers to the performance of the heavy-hitters – Robin Van Persie, Luis Suarez, Wayne Rooney and Sergio Aguero.

The article helps to identify the prime long-term targets within the sub 7.5 price bracket and those who perhaps represent a sound short-term punt in the coming weeks.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

462 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tommy J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    I'm thinking of an 8 point hit as I have 3 doubts!

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  2. beslowbowler
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Thanks to everyone who commented on my Last Man Standing conundrum earlier, particularly DUFFMAN91, who gets bonus points for choosing Swansea last week. It was pretty evenly split between Wolves (6 votes) and Newcastle (5) but am leaning towards Newcastle as I probably won't get the chance to use them again soon.

    For those who asked, the full list of teams I have left is New, WBrom, Nor, Bla, Sun, QPR, Wol, Wig, Bol, Ful.

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    1. heco87
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Newcastle

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      1. beslowbowler
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks HEC087, although from your gravatar i get the feeling you might be slightly biased 😉

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        1. Bøwstring The Carp
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Newcastle, Everton have a good few injuries and are away. Newcastle at home, great defence and Ba on form 🙂 have newcastle myself on the bets

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        2. heco87
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Busted!

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          1. beslowbowler
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            🙂

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    2. eviemonkey
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Wolves for me this week, particularly if Diame is out for Wigan. Everton are the kind of team that can go to Newcastle and get a result.

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      1. beslowbowler
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Wolves seem to have the easier fixture but Wigan have beaten them 4/5 times. Everton are finding it hard to score while Newcastle's defence is fairly solid and Ba is good for a goal.

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  3. kaz 96
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    kompany or bos to jones?
    p.s: any reason why jones won't start this week?

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    1. hillbillypete
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      i did bos but i have richards

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    2. Squeakybumtime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Bosingwa out 100%.
      No reason why jones wont start. Utd only have 6 fit defenders, and jones' only competition to RB is rafael, who is prob only fit enough for the bench.

      Smalling and Evra are out

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      1. Rts
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Fabio can also play there, but I imagine with Evra out, he will play left back.

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        1. Hyperion
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 2 months ago

          Why is Evra out?

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  4. THE SQUARE ONE
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Surely Junior after this gw! 6.0, bargain.

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  5. hillbillypete
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    can a member have a look at the article and tell me top 3 cheapest???? please...

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    1. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Cheater.

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      1. hillbillypete
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        how so?

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        1. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Pay for it if you want to know, if not, don't 😛

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          1. heco87
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            +1 (I'm not a member)

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            1. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
              • 14 Years
              14 years, 3 months ago

              Nor am I 😉

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    2. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      just look at the forwards list in FPL and find the 3 cheapest.

      they all have prices, you know.

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      1. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Haha +1

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      2. hillbillypete
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        doesnt really tell me goal threat, etc 😉

        i know im being cheeky.

        thinkin of AJ but fixtures arent good. need a dirt cheaper striker

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        1. SPorting
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          then all you had to do was ask.

          how cheap is dirt cheap? Studge, Bendy and Aggy are all 7M and under.

          cheaper? i'd go for Graham.

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          1. hillbillypete
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            dirt cheap is 5.4 or less!

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        2. King Nil Miss ✩
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Graham!

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        3. heco87
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Do your own research if you're not paying for it ... Demba Ba, Bendtner & D Graham all good, budget options but wouldn't go for Ba at the moment, given his fixtures.

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    3. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah, I'd kind of prefer that not to happen. The articles are a benefit for members and we spend time and effort working on these to ensure our Members have such benefits in return for the support they show the site.

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      1. hillbillypete
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        busted. no prob 🙂 managed without before

        all the really cheap strikers do tend to have awful fixtures.

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        1. King Nil Miss ✩
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Well that´s logic:

          If they are cheap they play in a poor team wich means tough fixtures...

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          1. hillbillypete
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            AJ plays for Fulham which arent a poor team. they have tough fixtures.

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        2. Mark
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 19 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          No worries Hillbilly...

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          1. hillbillypete
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            while you are here...any news of first scout cup?

            will there be one for members as well as non members?

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      2. SPorting
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        +15

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        1. hillbillypete
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          plus i think you can over think this game. having stats coming out of your bum takes some of the fun away for me. sometimes a good old punt is the way forward. i realise im contradicting myself here a bit. i have thought about becoming a member...

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          1. Ginkapo FPL
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            I have to say the members articles are way better than the none member ones. Makes sense really. Depends whether your here for the wonderful voices of the regular posters, or for the well researched stuff.

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            1. hillbillypete
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 3 months ago

              im here for the party

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      3. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        The top three are kinda obvious if people combined three things form, fixtures, and price under 7.5.
        Personally I would go with Helguson.

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  6. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Part of me wants Evans, but I'm not convinced he'll keep starting.

    United's best back four is - Jones, Smalling, Vidic, Evra

    And yes, Smalling is injured, so Evans will play as such, but even then, Ferdinand could play.

    PLUS when Rafael comes back, he could play at RB, and that means that there could in theory be one slot between Jones, Smalling (when fit again), Evans and Ferdinand.

    On the other hand, he could carry on playing every week and at 4.5 with those fixtures that is hard to ignore.

    Thoughts?

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      depends on the rest of your defence and budget. if he doesn't play and Naylor is your replacement then.....ooooh.

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      1. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah ... think I may steer clear. Don't have Naylor but Boyata (who would probably leave for Evans) and Simpson are not good right now ...

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    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I think he is a 2-3 GW punt, unless he improves hes game. If he plays well he can keep others at bay, Fergie likes rotation but not at the back.

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      1. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Yep, and can't afford 3 week punts right now TBH.

        Cheers lads, helped!

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  7. DOCLES
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    What do ye think lads? My forwards have great fixtures this week! I've two free transfers but thinking of using one and having the 2 for next week! gonna play the wildcard in 2 game weeks because I've dug my self into a hole with my crap defence and surman! Basically, what 3 transfers should I make in the next two weeks regardless of the form and fixtures after that! http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/7265/event-history/10/

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  8. Taribo West on a free
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    I'm on a Wildcard this week - would appreciate some feedback on my squad as it stands...

    GKs - Krul/Vorm
    DEFs - Walker, Bosingwa, Jose Enrique, Shawcross, Kompany
    MIDs - Ramsey, Drenthe, Bale, Silva, Cleverley
    FORs - Adebayor, Sturridge, Van Persie

    I have £0.9m in the bank.

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    1. Here We Go Again
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      dont you want to ship shawcross out given he is a doubt?

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      1. Taribo West on a free
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Shawcross, Silva, and Cleverley are all doubts, and Kompany is suspended too.

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        1. Taribo West on a free
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Jones in for Shawcross, whole thing looks much peachier. Thanks.

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  9. Tommy J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    In the team news, who is Aaron Lescott?

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    1. tosey
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      joleons brother, ex-bristol rovers

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      1. Fratboy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Aren't you a Bristol Rovers fan? 😛

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      2. Mark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 19 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Lol...that's Champ Manager entering my head again....Aaron Lescott was a bit decent in lower leagues 😉

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        1. Tommy J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Mark, whilst you are on-do you not get chance for the pre-match pre-amble, used to be my favourite article.

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    2. Rwilliams90
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      They didn't even spell it right either

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      1. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Now at Halesowen Town, City could get points deductions for fielding an unregistered player!

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  10. hugothedog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    First RMT of the season - please help!

    Given - Vorm
    ShawX - Wilkinson - Kompany - Simpson - ATaylor
    Silva - VDV - Brunt - Dyer - Moses
    Adebayor - Rooney - RVP

    1.6 in the bank

    I know my midfield sucks, thinking:
    1: Rooney --> Hernandez, Dyer --> Ramsey and some upgrade on my defense

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    1. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Who's A Taylor?

      I think your defence is a little weak but otherwise you have a good team for this week imo.

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      1. hugothedog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        A Taylor is a hybrid between A Williams and N Taylor (Swansea)
        Was supposed to be N Taylor

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      2. King Nil Miss ✩
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Is which one you want him to be: a Taylor. Gives him a very flexible team.. 😉

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  11. tosey
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    hillbilly pete

    the wonga cash league monthly prize was a wonga hoody!! its on its way to me apparently

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    1. Grimmaldi - Send in the Clo…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      It's always good when you get a prize and it's basically 'Your prize is you can freely advertise for us!'

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  12. Binman_UK
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Some help much appreciated lads.........

    Given
    Brown Simpson Wilkinson
    Petrov VDV Silva Nani
    RVP(c) Sturridge Suarez(v)

    Bench: Vorm Moses Kompany Senderos
    Bank: £0.0m

    I want to do Petrov –> Walters but I need to free up 0.4m somewhere
    I’m also not happy playing Brown this week.. Ideally I need to get a defender in too.

    Any thoughts?

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    1. Binman_UK
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      anyone?

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  13. Bobby Reds
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Begovic – (Vorm)

    Enrique – S.Taylor – J.Evans – (Kompany) – (N.Taylor)

    Silva – VDV – Mata – Ramsey – (B.Johnson)

    Aguero – Graham – RVP

    Can you guys see any improvements in there?? 0.0 in the bank...

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  14. Rwilliams90
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Argh keep leaving this comment just as a new article is made.

    Who's more likely to start for the next couple of weeks: Wilkinson or Woodgate?

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    1. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Both if fit

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    2. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      both

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  15. Menly
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Afternoon lads, I have a little problem, reposted it here cos I spelt loads wrong when I posted it on the scoutcast 🙂

    Vorm,ruddy

    Barnett, R Taylor, Walker (kompany, N Taylor)

    Silva, VDV, Eagles, Murphy (Sinclair)

    Rooney, RVP, sturridge
    0.7 in the bank
    1: I am planning on benching Sinclair, but should I transfer him to sessegnon anyway to beat a possible price rise?

    2: should I do kompany > Jones?

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  16. MJ6987
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Wow!!! Without giving anything away from the article to non-members, one cheap striker looks head and shoulders above the rest in terms of goal threat and looks set to become the baragin of the season! And, it isn't who you might expect...

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    1. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      lita??

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      1. Mark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 19 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        We didn't include Lita in the sample. We only really included those who had a chance of becoming regulars or were already regulars.

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        1. Optimus.
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          was only kidding lita is never a prospect

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    2. eviemonkey
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      So it is Crouch then? You gave the game away with the 'head and shoulders above the rest' bit.

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        That was a figure of speech!!

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    3. Stern John Terry Wilson Pal…
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      You bastard. 😉

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    4. Rwilliams90
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I was considering Andy Johnson.

      Him?

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      1. Rwilliams90
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Just looked at Fulham's fixtures, maybe not.

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    5. Ginkapo FPL
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I was thinking of this guy only yesterday, so maybe I am a genius or just lucky

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    6. hillbillypete
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Junior H?

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      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        I'm looking at him or Ba gw 14 as possible replacement for Sturridge, depending what Sturridge does in next 3.

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    7. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      gonna take a shot in the dark and say hoillett? he's been lookin fantastic

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  17. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    team is

    vorm
    enrique raylor naylor
    mata silva nani vdv
    rvp ade studge

    ruddy brown kompany ferg

    have 1 ft im guessing i should do kompany to jones?

    either that or i have to play naylor or brown thoughts appreciated

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    1. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      If you make that transfer your team just becomes unfair, you're not allowed to! 🙁

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      1. Dago
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        it is very nice, id swap it for the shower of shhhhh below 🙁

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    2. Dago
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Save it for a double transfer in the international break.

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      1. beslowbowler
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        +1

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        1. Optimus.
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          yeah maybe i should save it beslowboy

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          1. beslowbowler
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            More flexibility for the break. That's what I'm doing

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      2. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        cheers for the replys dago/fb id love to save transfer and have 2 for next gw but i can see a zero score for brown/naylor

        but im stumped as id like to do that unfair transfer as fb states 🙂 good clean sheet potiential and attacting threat

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    3. RD
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Good move i feel.

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  18. Dago
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    How does this look for the weekend? Any major risks that anyone might not start as I have a no options on my bench? Thanks all.

    Given
    Wilkinson Enrique Simpson
    Ramsey Silva Petrov VDV
    Rooney Adebayor RVP

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    1. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      You have a good team not a shower of shhhhh at all.

      RVP(c) and you're in for a very good week imo!

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      1. Dago
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks FB I have a one point lead in my mini league I did Aguero>RVP earlier in the week, but started to think maybe I should of shifted Rooney instead. Im praying he plays up front at Sunderland. Good luck this game week.

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        1. Fratboy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          you too, Rooney has little chance of starting up front this particular weekend to be honest, but I think he'll play a much more attacking role than the past 2 games. (including CL).

          RVP and Rooney are both gonna go huge this weekend 😉

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    2. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      looks good mate silva prob the only doubt but most have him

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      1. Dago
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        i am concerned about him I have Kompany on the bench could swap him to Jones, but its gonna be a 4 point hit. Pointless right? Next week I was gonna upgrade DeLaet to Evans once I free up cash elsewhere.

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  19. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Likely United back four this weekend?

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    1. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Fabio Vidic Evans Jones

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    2. heco87
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Evra - Vidiv - Ferdinand/Evans - Jones

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      1. Fratboy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Evra's brother just died, don't think he'll start...

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      2. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Yep. Evans or Ferdinand.... that is the question! Unfortunately i can't afford Bosingwa > Jones

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        1. heco87
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Personally wouldn't go for Evans because it's a transfer waiting to happen ... unless you are planning on wc soon. That said, he could easily start and bag 6 again this week.

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        2. Johnny Unitas
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Evans will play I think, but with midfield depleted Jones is a better bet as he can be played in both, but you know that!

          I was considering Evans IN for Shawcross myself, but was never going to play Shawcross this week and might see how he does with International break upcoming. Evans is good for every 2 out of 3 games I would say, that will move to 2 out of 4 when Smalling comes back though. Rafael is due back soon, so that means Smalling/Evans/Jones/Ferdinand/Fabio all playing for two positions in defense with Evra and Vidic locking down the other two.

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      3. Dago
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        whats the chances of Rooney playing up top?

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        1. Johnny Unitas
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          40/60, 60 being the likelihood he will start in midfield.

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        2. adams_6
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          LOW

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    3. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Jones - Ferdinand - Vidic - Evans

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  20. beslowbowler
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone going to play Bannan this week? He's in the "Team News" team. It's either him or Dyer away to Liverpool.

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    1. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I am, not happy about it as I don't think he'll start. Would be nice if he did though!

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      1. beslowbowler
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        It's a decent fixture for him to return. Don't fancy Dyer or Naylor (my only other option with Kompany suspended) to get much at Anfield

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      2. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Fratboy cheers for the input early. Good advice from you and mac re Rooney being left out of the England squad next week.

        Just checked and Argentina have 2 games next week so Rooney -> Aguero could backfire if he's rested for the Newcastle game and Rooney is fresh for Swansea away. I am sticking with Rooney.

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  21. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Guys
     
    Can you please help me make a quick decision?!
     
     
    This is my current team:
     
    Given
     
    Ward, Richards, Simpson
     
    Silva, VDV, Moses, Petrov
     
    RVP, Rooney, Adebayor
     
     
     
    (Vorm, Kompany, Gabbidon, Dyer)
     
     
    I have one free transfer and 0.2m in the bank.
     
     
    I was thinking of doing Kompany to Jones.
     
    But then i am unsure who to bench if i make that transfer?
     
     
     
    Opinions please please please!!!!

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    1. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      3rd time i've read this. you got ample help on this problem before :/

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  22. dierstraights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    anybody think ben arfa might get a start this week?

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    1. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      has a chance with obertan out

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  23. Vpan
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Pilkington (Villa away ) or
    S.Ward (Wigan home)
    to play?

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  24. kaz 96
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    time to pull my transfer trigger now.
    so:
    1)bos>jones
    2)kom>jones
    3)sess>walters

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    1. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      2

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    2. heco87
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      1)

      Definitely keep sessegnon --> 3 lovely home games in the next 4 after Man Utd

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      1. hillbillypete
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        1

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  25. joinho
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    RMT:

    Given (Krul)
    Jones, Bosingwa, Taylor R (Simpson) (Brown)
    Dyer, VDV, Ramsey, Silva (Moses)
    Aguero, RVP, Sturridge

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  26. PlayPercentage
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    I want to swap out de Laet and have a max. of 4.2 to spend. I already have Simpson (Newcastle).

    Any point buying Wilkinson (Stoke). Or is he just in the team until Danny Higginbottom comes back from injury?

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  27. Ginkapo FPL
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Mark, you have put Foley in the Wolves midfield in Team news.

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  28. slicks1980
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    hi guys need some help with my team .....

    al asabi , ruddy
    bos , taylor r , ward , simpson , de laet
    silva , dempsey , vdv , guiteres , larson
    rooney , sturridge , dzeko

    any advice .... not sure if i should transfer or take a hit , or just leave it ..... 0.1 m in the bank

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    1. joinho
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Rooney(out)-RVP(in)

      Open Controls
  29. Epic Fail
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Which combo do you reckon is best?

    Wilkinson + Aguero
    or
    Evans + Hernandez

    Open Controls
  30. Dan
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    4 point hit this week for two defenders when my current defence is...

    Enrique, Kompany, Rangel, Brown, McAuley

    Worth it?

    Open Controls

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