634x258 Spot the Differential
18 August 2012 4290 comments
Paul Paul
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Having rolled out the Scout Picks on Friday evening, we now turn our attentions to the first Differential article of the new campaign. If you’re new to this, the idea is to highlight certain Fantasy assets with low ownership – typically under 5% – ahead of each Gameweek and wax lyrical over their chances for the fixture ahead. This term we’re concentrating on just one player per Gameweek and, to get the ball rolling, we’ve opted for a proven Premier League goalscorer…

Let’s be honest – last season was a bit of a write-off for Darren Bent. The Villa forward arrived on the back of 41 goals over his previous couple of campaigns but the installation of Alex McLeish to the Villa Park hotseat put paid to the forward’s Fantasy potential, as the midlands outfit attempted to grind out results under the former Birmingham boss. As a result, Villa returned a meagre 37 goals over 2011/12, the second lowest tally in the league and only one more than Stoke; starved of service up top, Bent managed just nine goals before his season was ended in early March due to an ankle injury.

With McLeish now nothing more than a bad memory, Villa fans approach the new season with far greater enthusiasm. New boss Paul Lambert has handed his players a license to attack as he looks to replicate the offensive threat of former club Norwich; the Canaries racked up 52 goals upon their top-flight return under the Scot, a goal haul bettered only by the top six last time round. Already, Bent has been singing the praises of the new man in charge, with a change in tactics set to alter how we assess Villa’s Fantasy prospects for the season ahead:

“He wants us to be really dangerous and create loads of chances. He wants us to be an attacking outfit. He has a philosophy where he says: ‘If we’re going to lose, we’re going to lose having a go’. He wants us to have a right good go at every single team. That’s how it should be. We have attacking players in the team who can cause real damage and he’s told them to go out and do their stuff. It’s certainly going to be a dream for me playing that way as a striker.”

Villa roll up to West Ham for their Upton Park opener on the back of decent pre-season form. Lambert’s side have racked up eight goals in their final four fixtures and Bent signed off on summer duties with a smartly-taken brace against Bundesliga outfit Werder Bremen – aided by the creativity of Charles N’Zogbia, Brett Holman and Stephen Ireland, he could well be set to spoil Big Sam’s party tomorrow afternoon.

Bearing in mind the Hammers managed just seven clean sheets at home in the Championship last season, Lambert’s men will be anticipating goals. With spot-kick duties in his locker, an ownership currently under 3% and a strong set of fixtures to follow, Bent looks the man most likely to produce as the Villains seek to exorcise the ghost of McLeish with a new-found sense of optimism.

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  1. Crouchy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    The sooner that 11.30 deadline comes along the better , keep making the odd change here and there.. just can't help myself ha!

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    1. romeo03
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      init

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  2. majiedo
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    graham is a positive choice, he has a had a strong pre-season. With the new coach and some minor tweaks, graham over petric

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  3. The Finnisher
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Final spot in my team up for grabs!
    N'Zogbia, Michu or Pienaar?

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      1.Michu
      2.NZog
      3.Pienaar

      if u have graham, then Nzog imo,

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    2. Matakuko
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Michu for me

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    3. Pinoche
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      N'Zog.

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    4. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      my ideal is Michu JO

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      1. kimoo
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Hoilett 7 g 6 a

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    5. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      pienaar
      nzog
      michu

      people on here give michu far too much credit, one season wonder and swansea don't look great and the PL is completely different to la liga.

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      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        michu is a must have 😉
        -great fixtures
        -fantasy friendly role (in the hole)
        -playing under an attacking manager, swansea have scored lots of goals preseason
        -scored he most goals out of the midfielders in la liga (bar ronaldo, messi)
        -already linking up well with graham

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        1. Irish Madridista ⭐
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          but before that he was struggling to score goals in spains second division...
          I'm just saying it's hard to judge a player over one season in a different league.

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          1. Nabs Kebabs
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            suits me if you pick pienaar.

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            1. Irish Madridista ⭐
              • 15 Years
              13 years, 3 months ago

              we shall see my friend 😉

              (i'm definitely gonna end up eating my words..)

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          2. The Finnisher
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            He was also frequently on the bench, so that is probably why.

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    6. tezzaboy7
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Nzog for me since I have Graham. If i didnt have graham then Michu.

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    7. The Finnisher
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      No Graham, or Bent fwiw.
      Fancy both teams to be quite attacking so Im not sure..

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  4. majiedo
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    appears not many people have picked defenders from newcastle

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      bad fixtures and many injuries

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    2. Joggers Nipple
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Chelsea def to Newc defed gw3

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  5. TheAcestarr
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Am I ready to roll??!!!

    Friedel Fed
    Lescott Vlaar Hange Clyne Cuellar
    Bale Mata Toure Nzog Pienaar
    Torres Graham Tevez

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    1. Pinoche
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Toure to Michu and Vlaar to Ivanovic.

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    2. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      You are going to have a hard decision on who to bench every week from your attacking 8

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  6. romeo03
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    POGrebnyak or PETric

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    1. tezzaboy7
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Petric

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    2. Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Pog DGW. I've got him.

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  7. Nabs Kebabs
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    anyone else on Nelsen at 4.0? he has really snuck under the radar.

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    1. romeo03
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      who does he play for

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      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        qpr. provides a good goal threat.

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    2. FPL_J05H
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Ive had a cheeky little look at him! Sparky's always had a soft spot for big Nels

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      1. Big Wilfred
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Nelsen is a spud. Massive rick

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      2. FPL_J05H
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        i cant fit him in though?

        Stevenson(AV better overall early fixtures if he stays in the side
        Clyne
        Hughes
        Vert
        Zab

        its too hard! where could he go?

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        1. Nabs Kebabs
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          in place of clyne?

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    3. Gamst - Up (?) the Rovers
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      QPR's got terrible fixtures. Leave him for now.

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  8. majiedo
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    maybe N’Zogbia for the first week and then pienaar, i substituted N’Zogbia for Ramires

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  9. Nabs Kebabs
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    for anyone interesting there is a very good fpl site run by a few of my fellow aussies:

    http://fpladdicts.com/

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  10. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Prediction for 1st Goalscorer of 2012-13 Season?
    Mine is Cazorla

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    1. China Mag
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Points for me!!

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    2. aflickering
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      1st goalscorer: d. cisse
      1st red card: d. cisse

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      1. Irish Madridista ⭐
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        😀

        or even better.. first goalscorer.. RVP.. in his own net.

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        1. Naboo
          • 13 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          well, that won't happen unless all the games until monday are 0-0 😉

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          1. Irish Madridista ⭐
            • 15 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            ...which would also stir everything up 😀
            new formations, 5-4-1..

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    3. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      D. Cisse is a good shout, could be any of the Arsenal lot too, but I'm going for Bent, 3rd minute.

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    4. LochineFDC
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Heart says Gerrard.
      Mind says Tevez

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      1. BootlegRascal
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Tough for it to be Tevez seeing as there is like 8-9 games before his.

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  11. Irish Madridista ⭐
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Ah I love that feeling when you have your perfect team set and you know exactly what's going to happen and you know you're going to win the FPL...

    ....and then tomorrow il want to make 7 transfers.

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  12. aflickering
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    so, my first RMT in a couple weeks....

    jaas | (davis)
    ivanovic | hangeland | gunter | (rangel) | (cuellar)
    hazard (C) | bale | michu | pienaar | (guthrie)
    torres | tevez | bent

    2 in the bank for torres ----> rooney, which i'm sticking with.
    plan is potentially hazard ---> VDV, ivanovic ---> baines both before GW3, taking a hit in the process, but i'll probably pussy out on that.

    what do you reckon? and would you start guthrie in that midfield?

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    1. Joggers Nipple
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      guthrie over pieenar
      Captain torres or tevez

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      1. kimoo
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        torres c cause dgw

        in mid go for Hoilett 7 g 6 a

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        1. Nabs Kebabs
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          hazard plays for chelsea aswell mate.

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          1. kimoo
            • 13 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            sure man i mena torres as captian better

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            1. kimoo
              • 13 Years
              13 years, 3 months ago

              mean*

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    2. fantasykid
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      That's a sick front 7, I would start Pienaar ahead of Guthrie. Decent team overall

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    3. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      very solid imo, personally not bothering with a chelsea mid, who will be transferred out anyway.interesting that you plan on not having any manc/manu defensive cover.

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      1. aflickering
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        that does worry me 😛

        maybe i'll go hazard ---> toure, ivanovic ---> vidic, hangeland---> zabaleta or something. plenty of options but i like being in this position for GW1.

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    4. Canadian Football
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      imo....put Zabaletta in. Nailed on for at least 10 weeks. If you want to double up on TOT in the weeks to come i reckoin Defoe rather than VDV is as good of a punt and he is Bent and cheaper by 1.0M.

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      1. aflickering
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        i wouldn't go near defoe tbh, i think they'll have a transfer in within the next week and he'll be relegated to the bench. very tempted by zab though, you're right...

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      2. Nabs Kebabs
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        zab nailed on for the first 10 weeks? have i missed something? i thought richards was out for 1 month.

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    5. Churchill
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Looks good.

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  13. Mrtehbigcheese
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    start guthrie dude 4 points for just playing
    no aguero?

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    1. aflickering
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      had aguero for ages but just found the combinations so boring that way.... i think stacking aguero + tevez + rooney is probably the way to go but i couldn't bring myself to stick with that.

      yeah i think you're right about guthrie tbh. i can just see everton scoring goals down utd's right hand side 🙁

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  14. fantasykid
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Aguero over Tevez because
    1. He's the most popular forward in FPL with more than 32% ownership, So if he scores a brace in GW1, then his price would definitely rocket & teams without Aguero would be missing out in terms of Rank & value. In case he doesn't score, then its easy to downgrade to Tevez & the loss would be minimal as everyone with Aguero in their respective teams would have the same effect.

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    1. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      but the 2.5 us Tevez owners will have invested in other players might WELL make up for that..
      sorry, i don't buy it.

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    2. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      LOL, a player with top ownership will rise his price slower than low ownership. and if he fails, his price will fall like rocket

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    3. Mrtehbigcheese
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      what are your thoughts on torres?

      and yaya or valencia?

      i have 3 man c players and 3 chelc

      is that too much coverage

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  15. The buck stops with me
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Why graham over bent?

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    1. fantasykid
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Erm I would personally consider Bent over Graham, but most people are going with two big hitters and a value forward like Petric/Graham. If you have the funds, then Bent is a fair shout

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    2. da Beeeez
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      top reason: 6.0 is less than 8.5

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  16. Mrtehbigcheese
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    lads what do you thinkk

    federici sub jask

    lescott a cole hangeland sub : demel , clyne

    bale , mata , yaya toure , guthrie sub : dyer

    aguero , torres C , graham

    kinda weird feeling not having any united players

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  17. Mrtehbigcheese
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    yaya or valencia?

    pick two of the three : tevez , aguero , torres

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    1. baulchy
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Tony and Torres and Agureo

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      1. Mrtehbigcheese
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        valencia may play rb
        yayas on form aswell
        u sure

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  18. ★A-O-Chamberlain★ COYG …
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Repost - Thanks to the guys that answered before. Just need to be sure before i go to sleep!

    Which one?

    A) Ivanovic & Cazorla
    or
    B) Lescott & Hazard

    I already have Cashley and Torres for Chelsea.

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    1. Matt
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      B) but with Mata

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    2. tezzaboy7
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Lescott and Hazard for me.

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  19. kimoo
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    any one go for Hoilett ?

    he is good player naild on last season 7 g 6 a

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      he's in my team atm

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      1. kimoo
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        cheers

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  20. toptoon
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Michu or VDV to start in my team this weekend?

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    1. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      VDV

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  21. everything I touch turns to…
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    can anyone help me decide on a 4 mil defender and 4.5 mil midfielder???

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    1. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      ew.. no.. 😛

      i have clyne and gorkks..

      i reeeeally wouldn't want a 4.5 mid. but if you have to, guthrie or britton

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    2. gdog2244
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Clyne demel and marveaux kac or guthrie

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  22. Alex Hunter
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    sinclair or nzog to start?

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    1. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      nzog 😀

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  23. frogville
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Christing lord, i think i'd rather be a heroin addict than a fantasy football addict. 4am and still i'm moving around little names on a bloody screen. Why do I do this every year?

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  24. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    @Aatish
    Check your mail

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    1. Pinoche
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Okay 🙂

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  25. Mrtehbigcheese
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    s what do you thinkk

    federici sub jask

    lescott a cole hangeland sub : demel , clyne

    bale , mata , yaya toure , guthrie sub : dyer

    aguero , torres C , graham

    kinda weird feeling not having any united players

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  26. baulchy
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Rooney or RVP??
    VAlencia, Santi or VDV to start??

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  27. Crouchy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    who's the nailed on 4.0m Norwich defender out of the lot?

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    1. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      there are none 🙁

      barnett/bennett or garrido/tierney..

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  28. majiedo
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    people looking for cheap midfielders, Guthrie seems to be a popular choice.

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      the problem is we cant play him in Gw3 (plus 3 Chelsea player). you should check your XI at Gw3

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  29. Hapless Hat-Tricks
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Ahh, just tweaked the side a bit:

    A: Aguero, Podolski, N'Zogbia
    B: Tevez, Cazorla, Bent

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    1. baulchy
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      A.) Tevez, Rooney and Valencia/VDV
      or
      B.) Podoski, Agureo and Valencia/VDV
      or
      C.) Tevez, RVP and Nasri

      cheers

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      1. FPL_J05H
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        A with VDV

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    2. BootlegRascal
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      B imo.

      Argument for both though, pretty tight

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      1. Hapless Hat-Tricks
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        B was my original three. Wouldn't want to regret making three late changes.

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    3. baulchy
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      whoops sorry i would go A

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    4. FPL_J05H
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      C: Tevez, Bent, VDV?

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  30. Alex Hunter
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    and what's this bennett v barnett business, which is the nailed on starter?

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    1. Irish Madridista ⭐
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      scouts say bennett, fpl and last season says barnett..

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      1. Alex Hunter
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        crap, need a nailed on cheap from norwich...tierney?

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