[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
7 December 2012 2609 comments
Paul Paul
Share:

We may have stocked up the Scout Picks with double Gameweek differentials but our search for overlooked alternatives continues ahead of tomorrow morning’s deadline. Our trio of protagonists –from Arsenal, QPR and Liverpool respectively – have all earned a recent upturn in game time which we’re hoping to see translated to Fantasy points over the next weekend or so.

Gervinho

Starting seven of Arsenal’s first eight league matches, the Ivorian had offered us an intriguing mid-price alternative to Santi Cazorla in the Gunners’ midfield in the opening couple of months of the campaign. An ankle injury in Gameweek 9, however, saw Gervinho fall rapidly off Fantasy radars as Theo Walcott stepped up in performance on the right flank but, having finally recovered, he was handed a central starting role for last week’s home clash with Swansea.

Although Olivier Giroud is expected to return as the lone forward for tomorrow’s visit of West Brom, Gervinho should keep his first-team place for the Baggies clash – injuries to both Walcott and Lukas Podolski look set to see him move to the flank as Arsene Wenger attempts to bounce back from the 2-0 reverse at the hands of Michael Laudrup’s side. Intriguingly, Gervinho has started four games at the Emirates this term and has returned 29 points, averaging just over seven points per home appearance in the Arsenal first XI.

With uncertainty surrounding Walcott and Podolski’s respective comeback dates and with the fixtures picking up pace, Gervinho may continue to be relied upon by Wenger over the hectic festive period and, should he keep his place, the short-term fixtures certainly hold promise. The north London outfit also face Reading and Wigan in the following two before home games with West Ham and Newcastle see out the calendar year. Priced at 7.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) and 7.6 in the Sky Sports game (albeit as a forward), he is owned by a mere 1.5% FPL managers and could prove a decent shout over the next few, should the Gunners find their form again.

Jamie Mackie

The Scot has come in from the cold since Mark Hughes’ departure from QPR and seems to have firmly established himself as a key member of Harry Redknapp’s starting XI in recent matches. Since Hughes was turfed out on his ear just prior to the Gameweek 13 trip to United, the R’s have scored twice in three games – both times, it’s been Mackie who has found the net.

Playing every minute of the last three, QPR’s Player of the Month for November was shifted from the right flank to the lone forward role at home to Villa last Saturday, with Djibril Cisse dropping out. Mackie more than vindicated Redknapp’s decision by notching in the 1-1 draw and post-match, his manager was full of praise for the player’s performance:

“I thought Mackie worked hard. He gives you effort. He runs around. He works hard. He gives you honesty. If you had 11 Jamie Mackies you wouldn’t be in this trouble, would you? I know just how difficult it is. We must not stand here and kid ourselves. If we pull this one off, my God, it will be a miracle but I believe in miracles so I’ve got to keep trying.”

While there seems little doubt that Redknapp will look to bolster his front line options in January, Mackie appears to have won his manager over in the meantime and is expected to keep his role up top ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Wigan. With the Latics hammered by injuries and suspension at the back right now, the R’s may never have a better chance of registering their first win of the season and with home clashes against Fulham and West Brom also on the horizon, the potential for Redknapp to gather the points looks appealing.

Priced at 5.1 in FPL and 7.7 in the Sky Sports game and with an ownership of under 0.5% in both games, Mackie could be one to consider as Redknapp pins his hopes on the Scot to bag the goals and boost his side’s survival bid.

Jonjo Shelvey

It’s quite possibly the first time Jonjo Shelvey has played such a prominent part in our thinking, but with Luis Suarez suspended for Liverpool’s trip to West Ham, the midfielder could well be set to start as the lone forward at West Ham on Sunday. It’s a role Shelvey was afforded in the Reds’ recent Europa League match with Young Boys and he demonstrated a keen eye for goal by opening the scoring in the 2-2 draw – with the likes of Fabio Borini still sidelined by injury, Rodgers may well have little alternative but to field him through the middle.

Shelvey was handed a start on the flank last weekend, suggesting that while Suarez will obviously return to his usual role against Villa in Gameweek 17, the midfielder could continue in the first-team over the next few weeks. An out of position berth would undoubtedly increase his appeal ahead of a strong run of fixtures (AVL, FUL, sto, qpr, SUN) and perhaps even offer an alternative to Raheem Sterling, with the youngster having produced attacking returns just once in his last seven.

Priced at 5.2 in FPL and 4.5 in the Sky Sports game, and with an ownership of just 0.2% in both games, Shelvey is a somewhat unglamorous pick but his budget-friendly appeal may come to the fore if he continues to be afforded starts by Rodgers over the next few Gameweeks.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

  1. Rowley Birkin
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Michu or Sess for captain?

    First to 5.....

    Open Controls
    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Sess

      Open Controls
    2. â­ Bemba_Da â­
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      if you have to ask whether to captain a dgw midfielder then I would say he's not worth it.

      I mean people are getting sucked into the dgw, it's going to end badly.

      Go with michu I say

      Open Controls
    3. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Michu, imo. 🙂

      Open Controls
    4. teto
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Michu. All about form

      Open Controls
    5. Owd Big 'Ed
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      I don't like Swansea as a team and Norwich are solid. Game will be low scoring I think.

      Go for Sessegnon. He'll get at least 4 and be involved.

      Open Controls
    6. Willis.
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Sess.

      Open Controls
  2. Viper
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Which 2 to start from these 3..

    Cameron, Clyne, Sterling..?

    Open Controls
    1. Owd Big 'Ed
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Cameron and Sterling

      Open Controls
    2. Absinthe Minded
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Bench clyne

      Open Controls
  3. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Right. Offski. Night all.

    Open Controls
    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Have a good one 🙂

      Open Controls
      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Ta. 😀

        Open Controls
    2. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Ha, where were you earlier when i needed some wine advice?

      Open Controls
    3. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Night. Lacrima de Morro d'Alba? I'll look out for it.

      Open Controls
  4. Owd Big 'Ed
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    A. Hughes or Nelsen to start?
    B. Winner of A vs. Sterling to start?
    C. Jussi vs. Begovic?

    Open Controls
  5. Blue-Ghosts
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    does the 5 yellow card rule turn to 10 yellow cards after christmas?

    Open Controls
    1. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      does it

      Open Controls
  6. jonny danger
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Ba good captain choice? Hav RVP, Michu and fellani also

    Open Controls
    1. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      id go rvp or michu

      Open Controls
      1. jonny danger
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Changed to rvp

        Open Controls
  7. CravenA
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone care to have a go at these?
    
Most likely 0-0: Stam v L’pool or Swans v Nor

    Most likely keeper: Tremmel v Nor or Villa v Begovic

    Most likely cleanie: Swans, Stam or Nor

    Open Controls
  8. Pat Mustard
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Gaston (C), anyone?

    Open Controls
    1. Le Bluff
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Bit of a punt, seeing as he's spent the week in Uruguay (I think?) and has only trained for a day.

      Could work out, but I think Lambert is the safest Soton option.

      Open Controls
      1. Pat Mustard
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        He's integral to their game. He's 'available', hardly going to start from bench..

        Open Controls
    2. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      great shout, i think that game will be high scoring unlike swansea norwich

      Open Controls
      1. Pat Mustard
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        My thoughts. It's a week for a punt.

        Open Controls
  9. JWilson3
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    What are the chances of Bale being fit for next week?

    Open Controls
    1. Audere_est_Facere
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      It sounds unlikely, I'd guess about 25%.

      Open Controls
    2. Chris_Fàbregas #DOOS…
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      21.546433% chance.

      Open Controls
  10. Smakies
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Icon: about my post earlier, all i have is this
    http://www.footballsmash.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Thiago-Alc%C3%A2ntara-do-Nascimento.jpg

    Open Controls
  11. Doctor X
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    SantiagoUnreal, mate. Who's your (C) pick? I stuck it on VP at the end. Fellaini (VC)

    Open Controls
  12. Schwarzer
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    2 FT

    Bale > Sess
    Pog > Le Fondre

    Good to go?

    Open Controls
    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Bothing wrong with that at all! Good moves..

      Open Controls
      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        *Nothing 😉

        Open Controls
        1. Schwarzer
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          Thanks Viper! Just needed a final reaffirmation 😛

          Open Controls
    2. Absinthe Minded
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Yes yes yes

      Open Controls
  13. Owd Big 'Ed
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Got Sessegnon in for Bale so final team is now...

    Begovic
    Baines, Cuellar, Mertesacker
    Silva, Fellaini, Sessegnon, Sterling, Puncheon
    van Persie, Berbatov

    Jaaskelainen, Hughes, Nelsen, Suarez

    Team selection okay? Good luck guys.

    Open Controls
  14. viciousrumour
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    thinking of taking a punt on sean morrison for the double gameweek. taking nelson out for a hit to get him.

    yay or nay? looks like he has a goal in him

    Open Controls
    1. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Have you considered Shorey ?

      Open Controls
  15. kimoo
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    sorry 4 repost

    chooose 2 to play

    1- Puncheon RDG (H)

    2- Clyne RDG (H)

    3- Demel LIV (H)

    Open Controls
    1. tm245
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Have all three, am playing the first two.

      Open Controls
      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Agreed

        Open Controls
    2. kimoo
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      thnxx

      Open Controls
  16. JWilson3
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Is it worth me taking Bale out tonight for a hit when my team tomorrow is:

    Begovic

    Clyne, Mertesacker, Cuellar
    Michu, Fellaini, Puncheon, Sterling
    RVP, Giroud, Fletcher

    Not sure it is worth it.

    Open Controls
    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Nah, just bench him

      Open Controls
  17. tm245
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Is there any data or past history to justify my RVP (c) hunch? Or is it simply going the safe route? Would love to hear more talk or read more articles about captain choices on this site as I feel they are massively important in both h2h and overall leagues, but too often I feel like I am picking based on feel without a clear sense of distinguishing class v form v fixtures.

    Open Controls
    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      We all pick on feel, along with the best information we can get. Members area (if you are a member) can give you a lot, but for this one the main info is that (a) RVP has not been on fire and (b) he is away to a tough City side with an improving def and a good record against MUN. He could go wild, but this is a good week to break away from the RVP(c) habit.

      Open Controls
      1. tm245
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Just bought in a few weeks ago and am only beginning to utilize the data. The projections are where I have been looking so far.

        Agreed on the RVP habit, but I hate going by feel when differentiating between so many close choices.

        Open Controls
    2. jonny danger
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Very good comment. Hope someone can share ideas

      Open Controls
    3. Blue-Ghosts
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      he has always scored in derby matches and he has been a big game player for utd this year

      Open Controls
      1. tm245
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        I can't get away from my sense that both of those are right, but will need to look over the stats as well.

        Open Controls
    4. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Go with the man on form!

      Like the Big Lebowski grav 🙂 It is Big Lebowski isn't it or am I getting mixed up? Whatever it is from I have seen it lately..

      Open Controls
      1. tm245
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Absolutely right. The right man for all seasons, but definitely the Jesus Man fits in this one.

        Open Controls
  18. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Am I confused? Everyone keeps talking about Sunderland-Reading as if it is happening on Wednesday. It's Tuesday, right?

    Open Controls
    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      You're right, it is!

      Open Controls
  19. Brutus619
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Not read the article yet, will do in a min but just wanted to fire off my initial thought in case it changes my mind: Gervinho, you can't be serious!?

    Open Controls
    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Walcott out, he should get a game. He is either hit or miss so you could get lucky 🙂

      Open Controls
      1. Brutus619
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        I really think that he's awful value for money when you compare him to Michu Fellaini Nolan Morrison Ramirez Lallana Sterling etc the £5 - 7.5m price range is littered with plenty safer picks that are better prospects than him imo.

        Finished the article. Mackie is an intriguing shout.

        Open Controls
  20. Viper
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Just had a read through the Sunderland forums, a lot of the sunderland followers don't seem to be too impressed with him, many even calling for him to be dropped..

    Any chance of that? Please say no..

    Open Controls
    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Erm , who?

      Open Controls
      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Haha, oops! Sessegnon..

        Open Controls
      2. Ginkapo FPL
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Foster, the team scored a couple of goals without him scoring or assisting them.

        No longer required

        Open Controls
    2. Willis.
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      I hope not. I've got that guy in my team and I really like him.

      Open Controls
    3. McDog
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Sessegnon? Doubt he'd get dropped because of a lack of attacking options.

      Open Controls
    4. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Not likely as they don't have anyone to play instead of him. They are all shaite.

      Open Controls
    5. CravenA
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Fans forums are like that, loads of moaning not worth a light.

      Open Controls
  21. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Which one to bench??

    Morrison (ars)
    Clyne (REA)
    Huth (avl)

    Open Controls
    1. McDog
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Clyne

      Open Controls
    2. Deicide
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Morrison.

      Open Controls
    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Clyne

      Open Controls
      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Think I'm going with Clyne. Though he alwsys gets points on my bench!!

        Open Controls
        1. Viper
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          I need to play 2 from Clyne, Cameron & Sterling..currently on the 2 defenders strangely..

          Open Controls
  22. McDog
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Evening all, how's this lot looking then? Anything you'd change?

    Begovic
    Enrique Cuellar Demel
    Mata(c) Cazorla Michu Fellaini Puncheon
    RVP Berbatov

    Subs: McCarthy Rafael Nelsen Suarez

    Open Controls
    1. Willis.
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Don't captain Mata. Sunderland are no push-overs.

      Open Controls
      1. McDog
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        I'm going for him because of how consistent he is. Who would you pick?

        Open Controls
        1. Mull
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          I'd captain RVP, Michu or Fellaini over him.

          Open Controls
          1. McDog
            • 15 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            Alright thanks, for the opinions. I'll have to have a rethink then.

            Open Controls
    2. Mull
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      About as good as you can get it for this week. Take the (c) off of Mata because it isn't likely that there will be loads of goals in a game away at Sunderland.

      Open Controls
      1. McDog
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks Mull. Who would you captain? There's not really any standout options this week for my team.

        Open Controls
        1. Mull
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          There's no standout options anywhere as everyone has bad fixtures. You just have to hope that the one you pick does something.
          I'm captaining RVP fwiw.

          Open Controls
        2. Captain Shirokov
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          Fellaini.

          Open Controls
          1. McDog
            • 15 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            Can't do it against my Spurs 🙂 But yeah he is a decent shout this week.

            Open Controls
    3. stooshermadness
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      I'd go Cazorla(c) or Fellaini(c) or even Berbatov(c) at home v. Mata away.

      Open Controls
      1. McDog
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, Berbatov was the other option I was thinking about before. So many options this week..

        Open Controls
  23. Smakies
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Could someone explain me how the FIFA rankings works? where do they get there stats from to know which team is better than the other ?

    Open Controls
    1. Smakies
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      *country*

      Open Controls
    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      yeah there is a formula, google for it.

      Open Controls
      1. Smakies
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        alright then 🙂

        Open Controls
    3. Willis.
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Match results from the past four years, with the more recent being more heavily weighted.

      Open Controls
    4. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Dartboard
      Monkeys

      Open Controls
  24. differentgear
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Any chance Guthrie starts?

    Guthrie>Macanuff for a hit seems lateral?

    Open Controls
  25. Viper
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Sessegnon rising tonight 🙂

    It will mean I will have made at least an extra 0.1m from the Bale -> Sess transfer. Sess -> Bale with money in the bank in gwk 18 🙂

    Open Controls
    1. Deicide
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Wait wait wait

      Did Bale drop twice?

      Open Controls
      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Due to drop tonight I think!

        Open Controls
  26. Captain Shirokov
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Final check:

    Mig

    Enrique - Shorey - Cuellar

    Fellaini(c) - Michu - Sterling - Ramirez

    RVP - Tevez - Berba

    Subs: Cameron, Clyne, Bale.

    All set? 🙂

    Open Controls
    1. Deicide
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      This gameweek i'm playing Clyne over Cuellar. Reading are weak and Clyne can make an assist.

      Open Controls
      1. Mull
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        You do know that Sunderland are playing Reading as well...

        Open Controls
    2. Mull
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Looks great and should hopefully send you back into the top 50.

      Open Controls
    3. McDog
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Yep, looks good. Nice to see I'm not the only one without DGW attacking cover.

      Open Controls
  27. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    All set folks? Any changes to the line-up?

    Begovic
    Baines Demel Cuellar
    Sess (c) Cazorla Fellaini Michu Sterling
    RvP Fletcher (vc)

    Foster, Suarez, Nelsen, Gorkss

    Open Controls
    1. Deicide
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Sessegnong captain against Chelsea?

      You sure?

      Open Controls
      1. Brazooka
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        Double GW for Sunderland, you remember?

        Open Controls
        1. Deicide
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 3 months ago

          Yes but can't you choose different captains?

          Open Controls
          1. Viper
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 3 months ago

            No, its the same gameweek..

            Open Controls
      2. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        And Reading 🙂

        Open Controls
      3. Viper
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        He is playing Reading at home in the same gwk..

        Open Controls
    2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Looks good to me. Sess (c) is worth a punt with so few clear choices elsewhere.

      Open Controls
  28. PanTanti
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Double stoke cleanie or go with enrique or puncheon

    Open Controls
  29. ThorntonReed
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Is it worth hanging on to Rafael to see if he keeps his place tomorrow, or get in Enrique before his price drops any more?

    Open Controls
    1. Still No Eye Dia
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Get Enrique if for free. Even if Rafael plays tomorrow, it won't be pretty. On my bench, hope he stays there.

      Open Controls
      1. Still No Eye Dia
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 3 months ago

        ...until tomorrow night when I punt him 🙂

        Open Controls
  30. Back to Back Ballacks
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 3 months ago

    Price rises 2.30 am or 3.30 am?

    Open Controls
    1. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      2.30

      Open Controls
    2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, that's about right. 😉

      Open Controls
    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      In between the two..no exact time..

      Open Controls
    4. Back to Back Ballacks
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers

      Open Controls