OMG IT'S A BOY OMFG

Think I'm going to avoid any Newcastle players for the time being, that place smells bad and wouldn't be at all surprised if Pardew was sacked by December, Kinnear took over and they were subsequently relegated...

Now FPL gets interesting.

Aguero 11.0 vs Negredo 9.5 + a valuable 1.5.

Who will you be getting?

Gibbs is only 5.5. BOOOM

Team with RVP, Bale and Negredo assuming it looks like he will start initially

Mignolet / 4.0
Collins / M.Turner / Parr / Chester / B.Turner
Bale / Walcott / BenArfa / Ramirez / Thomas
RVP / Negredo / Kone

Who's the best nailed on cheapest fwd for bench fodder?

Does anyone really think this new BPS will affect things that much? There seems to be a whole lot being invested in who might do well in them, yet it will probably make a 1 pt difference in most cases. I'd rather concentrate on goals, assists, clean sheets, etc.

Ive posted this before, but still interested in views of the experts. Is anyone else going with a 352 formation over 343 out of the gate? Snoddy/mirallas and 3 studs with sturridge/medium striker (berbs/lambs,etc) feels safer then reaching with j rod, Aspas or RvW? Am I crazy particular with the new bonus system that doesn't simply hand bonus points for goals?

Just had another check on Negredo stats last year.

31 goals in 42 games (73%) return in all games.
25/36 league only (69%).
Why do so many expect him to be a risk?
Who else at city has a goal return like this?

Can someone post Jonty's FFS email address?

Danke.

Lallana or Gaston?

They seem very similar!!

A new article has been posted; please commence to join me on the new thread 🙂

http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2013/07/23/fantasy-premier-league-player-list-analysis-premium-midfielders/?hc_sort_by=comment_date&hc_page=-1#hc_comment_5088666

A Jarvis and sissoko
B Nolan and Thomas
?

Oli Giroud, 6 goals in 3 pre-season games, few assists aswell. Surely can't be overlooked. Can he?

If it's true Mata/Azpil/Torres might start on bench vs hull....what's that I see on my radar....?

So much dodgy and misleading statistical analysis floating around on here with stacks of up up-votes. Some have glaring oversights in the methods used, while others nonchalantly dismiss 'minor' factors which could actually have pretty significant implications. Don't trust the conclusions of the author just because the post looks impressive or like a lot of work went in it. I appreciate the effort that goes in, but putting a lot of work into it doesn't necessarily make it right or useful. Just keep a critical eye when you're reading them, because some of these posts are very misleading.

Any thoughts on this?

De Gea/ lloris

Zabaleta/ Azpilacueta/ Walker/ Clichy/ Enrique

Pienaar/ Sigurdsson/ Adam Johnson/ wilshere/ Nolan

Bony/ Lukaku/ Jelavic

Anyone know anymore on KDB (Kevin De Bruyne) injury? I know he went off on a stretcher but I can't find anything of note on his injury?

What is your big hitter strategy?

I am thinking of just going with RVP and Bale. I can use Lambert as my other obvious captain choice.

It gives me these fixtures for those three captains:

cpl, SWA, Nor, CPL, cdf, WBA, SWA, SOU, HULL, ful, HULL, cdf, tot, AST, NEW, ast, W'HAM, hull, STO

This is up to, and including, GW19.

There is only difficult fixture there. I also have Mirallias and van Wolfswinkel (or whoever is in form at that price) to cover.

Some interesting popular choices appearing when you look at percentage owned.

Goalies;
de Gea second most popular at 16.7% even with Man U fixtures.
Davis third most popular at 15.6% so people going with cheap non-player who might get odd game

Defenders;
Merts most popular at 24.4% and at 5.5m people spotting value I guess
Garrido higher than Turner at Norwich and 9th highest at 13.9%. Is he nailed on?

Midfielders;
Quite a few taking a punt on Paulinho 14.5% in 7th place.
Over half of all teams could start with Bale 51%. Blimey!
Wanyama straight in at number 10 with 10.3%. People recognising he is more than a holding mid.
Huge faith in Coutinho as third most popular choice at 19.2% ownership. They think he's fairly priced

Attackers;
RVP has 36% ownership. Pity we can't work out Bale/RVP ownership....
Anelka 16.3% in 5th place....value choice
Lukaku getting some love and faith in him starting I guess at 15.4% in 6th place
New and unproven (in EPL) Bony in at 8th with 14.2%

Ay other surprises people are seeing? Also interested in any popular choices people see where the player might not even get game time but their price suggests they might.

In my opinion the best time to judge form and team line ups is in August, as most teams in this period start to play more challenging opponants. It is very easy to identify form players now when they play a team which no one has ever really heard of and this then leads us to choose players who did well against poor teams but havent shown much potential against more challenging teams.

berbatov or lambert??

Everybody please stop asking what if .... Fabs.... No chance for him to come to play under Moyes !!! Please stop it. Get real

For a 4.5m mid is Lucas a good choice, over Jerome Thomas, for example?

Since it is very difficult to have a well rounded team this year with RVP (and Bale) in, I have carried out some research to help me pick the ‘best three strikers’ based on form and recent stats.

From analyzing Striker’s Points Per Game last year (seen below) as well as other factors such as game time, current club, club form, transfers brought in etc. I have been able to put together an attacking three, which I believe will offer me the best return on investment.

While compiling many RMTs, I noticed a trend, a well rounded team if my strike force costs between 22-26million and a not so strong all round team if it costs 26-31mill.

As you can see I have also included the *new players below, based on 4 points per goal, 2 for 90minuts, 3 for assists and an average bonus, based on what players scored in FPL with similar stats:

*Bony, 8mill, 8.1 PPG (Rough Minutes Combined - 30 games)
Van P, 14mill, 7.55 Points Per Game (Minutes Combined - 34.7 games)
Sturridge, 9mill, 7.11 PPG (MC - 13.9 games)
Lukaku, 8mill, 7.00 PPG (MC - 22.7 games)
*Altidore, 7mill, 6.67 PPG (RMC - 33 games)
Podolski, 8.5mill, 6.66 PPG (MC - 22.1 games)
Suarez, 11mill, 6.46 PPG (MC - 32.8 games)
Rooney, 10.5mill, 6.39 PPG (MC - 22.4 games)
Aguero, 11mill, 5.60 PPG (MC - 21.6 games)
*Gayle, 5mill, 5.60 PPG (RMC - 44 games)
*Cornelius, 5.5mill, 5.5 PPG (RMC - 32 games)
Ba, 8.5mill, 5.41 PPG (MC - 28.1 games)
Lambert, 7.5mill, 5.38 PPG (MC - 34.7 games)
Benteke, 9mill, 5.30 PPG (MC - 31.3 games)
*Helenius, 5.5mill, 5.18 PPG (RMC - 33 games)
Berbatov, 7.5mill, 5.16 PPG (MC - 31.6 games)
Crouch, 6mill, 4.96 PPG (MC - 25.8 games)
*RVW, 7mill, 4.73 PPG (RMC - 30 games)
Giroud, 8.5mill, 4.67 PPG (MC - 25.9 games)
Torres, 9mill, 4.65 PPG (MC - 28.6 games)
Defoe, 8.5mill, 4.63 PPG (MC - 26.8 games)
*Aspas, 7mill, 4.62 PPG (RMC - 34 games)
J-Rod, 6mill, 4.45 PPG (MC - 24.2 games)
Carroll, 7.5mill, 4.44 PPG (MC - 21.7 games)
Kone, 7mill, 4.30 PPG (MC - 32.6 games)
Weimann, 6mill, 4.21 PPG (MC- 24.9 games)
Adebayor, 8mill, 4.05 PPG (MC - 17.7 games)
*Anelka – 5.5mill, Useless last year, but we know what he can do.

At 25million (which affords us the scope of having a strong all round team) the obvious frontline would be:

Bony / Sturridge / Lukaku (Total of 22.21 PPG)

However, this very much depends on the latter’s game time, depending on what business is conducted at Chelsea between now and 31st August.

Working on this analysis very much depends on how well the new signings can adapt to the Premier League, but as seen with Michu last year, previous seasons form can be replicated in the premier league. Hence, this research could prove vital.

More/Less game time for a certain few is also something to consider.

Other options I like the look of are:

30mill - Van Persie / Gayle / Aguero (Total of 18.72 PPG)

All guaranteed starters (I’d say), so room for improvement, but a punchy price and Crystal Palace could struggle to adapt.

And…

29mill - Aguero / Lambert / Berbatov (Total 16.14)

All on penalties, which is highly underated. All three looking to push on from last season for different reasons. Lambert was recently quoted saying he ‘didn’t perform as well as he could this season’. Aguero, understandably was disappointed, with himself and rotation. And Berbatov is looking more settled, a season under his belt at Fulham, so should do more this time out.

I welcome your ideas from the research I have carried out above.

Hope this helps…