[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
13 September 2013 4553 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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With the mind-numbing international break out of the way, all eyes turn to the Premier League to assess whether any of the glittering new signings are worth a gamble on their debuts. Fantasy managers have so much to anticipate in Gameweek 4 – not least the damage that Robin van Perise can do in the early kick-off. Let’s cast an eye over Paddy Power’s assessment of the Dutchman, this week’s other likely scorers and the clean sheet hunt.

Anytime Goalscorer Odds – Gameweek 4

PlayerTeamOdds
Van PersieMUN1.50
SoldadoTOT1.66
HernandezMUN1.90
BentekeAVL1.90
WelbeckMUN2.00
AgueroMCY2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
NegredoMCY2.29
GiroudARS2.29
LambertSOU2.29
FellainiMUN2.37
KagawaMUN2.50
DzekoMCY2.50
WalcottARS2.50
BentFUL2.70
BerbatovFUL2.70
OsvaldoSOU2.75
Eto’oCHE2.87
NaniMUN2.87
ErikisenTOT2.87
LamelaTOT2.87

According to the traders in Power Tower, United are all set to rip into Crystal Palace. There are four of David Moyes’ squad in the top ten anytime scorers, including new boy Marouane Fellaini who is 11/8 to earn a debut goal.

Not surprisingly, it’s Van Persie who tops the list, however. With three goals for Holland over the break, he now has 18 strikes in his last 21 games for club and country and is 1/2 with Paddy to deliver the goods against Ian Holloway’s troops. Not good news for the Van Persie naysayers.

Roberto Soldado is the nearest rival to the United marksman and a player who will doubtless be carrying many an armband going into the White Hart Lane clash with Norwich. The Spaniard now has five goals in seven games for club and country since signing for Spurs. Soldado is 4/6 to score at anytime against the Canaries with Paddy.

Chelsea signing Samuel Eto’o is closer to a pension than puberty, but the Cameroonian striker is the most likely player to find the back of the net at any time in Chelsea’s clash with Everton. He can be backed at 15/8 to score a goal on his debut for Jose Mourinho’s side.

Frank Lampard scored twice on Merseyside in the corresponding fixture last season and has a goal, an assist and two clean sheets to his name already in this campaign. He’s at 23/10 with Paddy to notch in the Goodison clash – Theo Walcott, at 6/4 to score at Sunderland, is the only midfielder more fancied over the weekend fixtures. Paddy are refunding all losing first/last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast singles on this match should Lampard notch.

Clean Sheet Odds – Gameweek 4

TeamOdds
Man United1.72
Tottenham2.10
Man City2.10
Arsenal2.20
Southampton2.37
Hull2.70
Aston Villa2.80
Fulham2.80
Liverpool2.80
Chelsea2.87

Just as Van Persie and Soldado dominate in the anytime scorer listing, it’s United and Spurs who rank top in the clean sheet odds. Paddy Power has David Moyes’ side at 8/11 to keep out newly promoted Palace, while Spurs are evens to rack up their third clean sheet of the season.

Despite the sizeable banana skin of a Britannia clash and the absence of Vincent Kompany in the back four, City are also well fancied here, with Arsenal not far behind as they look to shut-out Paolo Di Canio’s Black Cats at the Stadium of Light.

Goal-shy West Brom are the only side in the top flight not to score this season and face a testing trip to Craven Cottage. Fulham beat the Baggies 3-0 in this fixture last season and are 7/4 to keep a shut-out with Paddy Power. Martin Jol’s side are in the mix with Aston Villa and Liverpool, with Hull City and Southampton offering budget and mid-price options. The Tigers are 17/10 for a clean sheet at home to Cardiff, while the Saints are 11/8 with Paddy for a shut-out against Big Sam’s Hammers at St Mary’s.

Register and Bet £10 And Get £20 Free

If you’re new to Paddy Power, then you can take up any of these odds and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register an account and bet a tenner.

Finally, of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

  1. martyhan
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    A. Lampard, özil and shaw

    Or

    B. Nolan, Walcott and Vidic

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    1. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      B

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  2. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Nolan or Lampard?

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    1. martyhan
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I'd go Nolan, frees up some cash too

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    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      lamps

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  3. NLB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    best silva replacement?

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    1. FISSH
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      michu as he is gonna drop, depends if silva is actually protected?

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    2. elkunaguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Coutinho has a great run of games from GW4-9

      I think I will go for this

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  4. heroicxv
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    "new boy fellain who is ......" fill in the gap

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    1. Eboue
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Renowned as having the largest Afro in the world

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    2. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      .....missing a vowel.

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  5. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Why is Hazard on 0.3 % when he was down - 48 % last night and have negative NTI today?

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    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Same goes with Sturridge who was + 90 % and now down - 7 %

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  6. Mortal.Swinbat
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Tempted by (c) Vidic, thoughts?

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    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Seems like a guaranteed 6 points to me, assuming he isn't rested! It's a safe move, but not very exciting!

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      1. Mortal.Swinbat
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Cheeky header from a corner makes it 12 points + baps 😮

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        1. duffnasty
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          they've got fellaini for that now which will decrease vidic's goal threat on corners i suppose

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  7. FISSH
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Can I ask if anyone knows if Silva's price will stay the same as he is apparently protected?
    that way I can get michu in tomorrow if he drops.

    THANK!

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    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      The folks at totalfpl seem to really know their stuff, and they say he is protected. I would trust them.

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  8. Eboue
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    How many picks? 4 (+1 bench) for me

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    1. JWF
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      5 (+2)

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  9. b3- bish bash bosh
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Migs
    Ferdinand nastasic mert
    Ozil lamela Hazard Sinclair
    Negredo Sturridge Giroud
    Thoughts?

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    1. Eboue
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Midfield is shaky, ozil and lamela doubts, Sinclair not a great option. Add negredo as a risk too. Nice balance though

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      1. SPorting
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Nice balance except that totally unstable midfield?

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    2. JWF
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Eriksen over Lamela if you want Spurs midfield coverage

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      1. b3- bish bash bosh
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Lamela has a great scoring record though

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    3. elkunaguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Mert didnt travel with the team (ill)... who are your subs?

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  10. Romford Pele - Don't w…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Now Silva is injured I'm gonna take a gamble on Eriksen and Lamela, at least for a couple of weeks. Which one should I go for?

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    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Lamela has had more travelling, and by manager comments + Capoue injured, I would say Erikson.

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    2. JWF
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Eriksen

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  11. Jafalad
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Just tried to renew membership but this Paypal system won't recognise passwords etc. Any chance Mark you can devise an accessible method of payment rather than use this sham service?

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Use PayPal and then choose to pay via credit card.

      It's possible to do it that way but PayPal fail to mention it.

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  12. Scottys Army
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    With faye back

    whos more at risk

    chester or curtis davies

    ?

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    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      From what I'v heard, Chester isn't at risk. Not sure about Davies.

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      1. Scottys Army
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        ok thanks

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  13. Eboue
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Van Persie on A form a little strange no? Great to have watch list back though, thanks!

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  14. The Machine
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I've really gone and ruined the rest of team for this front line, will be gutted if they don't pay off

    And even more if the premium mids start firing all of a sudden

    RVP(C) Soldado Benteke

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    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Don't want the points from a Giroud hat-trick?

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      1. The Machine
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I might get Giroud after this week, but fancy Soldado to fire tomorrow

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    2. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Soldado will repay your faith. That's about it really.

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  15. Stats King-@football2space
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Shud i do Silva -> Lampard or Eriksen ? Need to take the decision now, as Lamps may rise !!!

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      If he does, just buy Eriksen instead.

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      1. Stats King-@football2space
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I am also leaning towards Erik with gr8 fixtures, more attacking potential & same rotation risk as Lamps (esp with UCL coming)...!

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        1. SPorting
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          You know it.

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      2. The Machine
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Tonight, tomorrow morning

        What difference is it gonna make?

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        1. Stats King-@football2space
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Lams is on +89.8 % on totalfpl with 13,625 NTI, looks to be on his way to rise, as more Silva owners will start to look for replacements .

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  16. yanky
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    play two: coleman, terry, chester

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    1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Chester terry

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  17. Mikegerton
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Is it silly to captain Lamela over Benteke??

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  18. lazybones18
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Dont have RVP

    i dont think i can handle it !!

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  19. The Machine
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone with a better starting line-up?

    Mig

    Vidic Cole Chester Shaw

    Michu Brady Walcott

    Soldado RVP(C) Benteke

    Wow

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Everyone without RvP.

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      1. Heels_Over_Head
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        +1

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    2. Mortal.Swinbat
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Migs
      Zabaleta, Ivanovic, Vidic
      Walcott, Lampard, Barfa, Hernandez
      Giroud, Sturridge, Soldado

      Balance is the key to beating RVP

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    3. PINKFISH (SANCTIONED AND GA…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      yes

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  20. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    is lowton nailed on for villa? for playon not fpl

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  21. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Take a hit or start with this average bunch?

    Boruc (Cech)
    Coleman Reid Toure (Collins M.Turner)
    Wally Mirallas Brady Kim (Silva)
    Benteke(c) Soldado Giroud

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  22. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I have 11 players who are nailed on tomorrow.

    Is there anyone worth taking - 4 to bring in for tomorrow in place of silva?

    Mignolet

    Chester Coleman Collins dawson

    Hba Walcott Coutinho

    Giroud benteke Soldado

    Is my current team.

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    1. elkunaguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I dont think you should take the hit. Silva might be back for the Manchester Derby and has great stats.

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    2. GREENDREAMS11
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Considering same thing chris

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  23. Tozier
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Who is more likely to start, Nani or Kagawa?

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    1. Demí
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Nani imo

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      1. Tozier
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers

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  24. elkunaguero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Mignolet Lewis
    Zabaleta Mertesacker Chester Collins Turner
    Oscar Walcott RMorrison Silva Snodgrass
    RVP Lambert Anelka

    0.9 in bank

    Silva -> Coutinho with my FT?

    Worth taking a hit elsewhere?

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  25. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Be jaysus Aresnal's fixtures look tasty! Szchesny & Giroud should defo come in, will be patient for Ozil to settle

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  26. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    4 point hit already taken,

    Would you wildcard?

    http://img853.imageshack.us/img853/7338/98t0.png

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    1. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      No but those 2 benchies are very questionable

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  27. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Sorry Repost

    Silva out For :

    A- Michu

    B- Hazard

    C- HBA

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  28. Clintymints
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Trick selection chocies this week and I still have my tranny

    Boruc

    Zab - Dawson - Collins - Coleman

    Wally - Lamps - Cout

    RVP(c) - Dzeko - Soldado

    Subs: Brady / Cester / Barkley

    Or picture form - http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/7359/r8ny.png

    Any thoughts... Seems to be set up accordingly I feel

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  29. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Flagging /Protection questions

    FLAGGING & PROTECTION OF PLAYERS

    Q: Flagging & Protection of Players? Explain away….
    A: When a player is either injured, doubtful, suspended or ineligible then the (i) next to their name on FPL will be flagged red or yellow.

    Q: Does this mean the player is protected from any price drop?
    A: NO – absolutely not and this is a major mistake many people make. Anyone who is flagged will still be able to increase and decrease in value. The increase NTI target stays the same. However the NTO Threshold for a price drop is approximately 2.5 times greater than the usual Threshold for price drops.

    Q: Why is that?
    A: The general thinking here is that when a player is injured or suspended, naturally a lot of people will want to sell that player. In order to ensure their price doesn’t fall dramatically, the Threshold is increased.

    Q: So if a player’s NTO Threshold was 40,000, it’s now going to be 2.5 times greater than that when they are flagged – so 100,000?
    A: Correct

    Q: But their NTI target for increase doesn’t change?
    A: Again correct

    Q: Is it likely a player will increase in value or even people buying him in if they are flagged?
    A: It could be. Let’s say a player got flagged red as they were being suspended for 1 game for receiving 5 yellow cards. This might not put people off from keeping this player, if they are in the knowledge that he will be back next game. Plus, if this player is already on a rise, there is no reason that more teams won’t buy him and bench him for one week.

    Q: So what is protection all about?
    A: If a player is red or yellow flagged for 2 days or more, once their (i) icon goes back to grey, they are protected for 8 days.

    Q: What does that effectively mean?
    A: It means that for the next 8 days their price is frozen. It can neither rise nor fall. Once the 8 days is up, the player’s NTI or NTO is reset to zero and the normal rules of increases/decreases kick in from there.

    Q: So their price is only frozen once the flag is lifted, not whilst they are flagged?
    A: Correct

    Q: But what happens if they are only red/yellow flagged for 1 day?
    A: Then there is no protection period – just their NTI/NTO target is reset to zero and the normal rules of increases/decreases start from there.

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  30. Crookers
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    RMWCT... some punts and some risks but I think it's fairly solid. Any comments appreciated.

    Migs (Daniels)
    Zaba, Sakho, Ivan, Fonte (Burner)
    Yaya, Ozil, Lamela (JWP, Colback)
    Giroud, Benteke, Negredo (c)

    Big risk on the captain I know, but thoughts overall?

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