634x258 Preamble
9 November 2013 2800 comments
Mark Mark
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Winston Churchill once said that “an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” While itโ€™s not in my nature to quote jingoistic rhetoric or, indeed, eagerly put myself forward as an “optimist” in everyday life, my Fantasy season has found me clinging to such pearls of wisdom.

This morning, faced with two stricken high value midfielders, I recognise the opportunity to turn things around. Having displayed stubborn stupidity all season, resisting points hits at all turns, suddenly it feels like a weight has been lifted. The injuries to Michu and David Silva have handed me the freedom to gamble points and grab the chance to make changes that can pay me back in the short-term, whilst strengthening my squad for the long game.

Up until now, Iโ€™ve been loathed to throw points away. Iโ€™ve never really been handed a scenario that didnโ€™t come with a healthy slice of risk โ€“ the chance that a points hit would not only fail to break even but would actually cost me points by seeing me bench a more profitable asset.

This morning the situation seems slightly different. I can ill afford to hold either David Silva or Michu over the international break and watch their value plummet further. Equally, the prospect of relying on points from Stephane Sessegnon at Chelsea or Marko Arnautovic at Swansea seems a forlorn hope.

I feel I have to trade my injured players and try to find replacements that offer the potential of earning me at least four points back. While I could stop at that, when Iโ€™m spending four, I always consider whether my chances of recouping losses and, crucially, making a difference in the long-term, can be boosted by actually spending more points. It takes a combination of fixtures and a mix of players that not only provide opportunity for the weekend in question, but also fit my plans for the next month and beyond. In this way, even if my points hit is not fully recouped, I can clutch at straws and convince myself that, beyond the immediate Gameweek, the moves will eventually see profit and help form my โ€œmaster planโ€.

This is the thought process I go through when I consider points hits. I fight a battle with myself โ€“ posing questions and seeking answers that can offer assurance or at least a get-out clause, should disaster strike and the decision fall flat in the short-term.

Hovering over the transfer button, Iโ€™m conscious that my proposed moves are knee jerks created by the malaise of my season and that, given the opportunity to spend points, Iโ€™m doing so with reckless abandon. Somewhere the logic Iโ€™m using to convince myself is deeply flawed but, for some reason, I donโ€™t seem to care all that much.

For me, I need to start playing Fantasy football again, not confining my decision making by rules and guidelines that Iโ€™ve set myself to this point. As Churchill said, the โ€œproblemsโ€ have offered me โ€œopportunityโ€ and while I could easily be left red-faced and parrying more blows from Granville in the next ScoutCast, Iโ€™m going to grasp the situation and trust my instincts. Fantasy football has been playing me to this point โ€“ suddenly, I feel I’ve been given the chance to turn the tables.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    First time ever playing four def's

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sure its not your second? ๐Ÿ˜‰

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Nope ;lol:

        1. Mílanista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Those damn mods ๐Ÿ˜€

    2. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Remove this ridiculous attempt at a "first" comment!!

      1. TuttiFrutti
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        ๐Ÿ˜€

  2. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Where's my pre-amble?

    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Remove this ridiculous attempt at a "first" comment!!!

      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Was far too long for a first attempt.

  3. SPorting
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I love a good preamble.

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      +1

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Remove this total first fail...

      1. SPorting
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I second that.

  4. Cluckfuster
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    My main rivals are captaining Suarez, RvP and Kun this weekend.

    Should I captain Lukaku, Suarez or Benteke? Obviously the scout poll suggests Suarez so should I stop the rot by selecting the same as a rival or risk a differential? Is Lukaku poised to thrash Crystal Palace?

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Captain the player you think will score most, far too early to allow their teams to affect your decisions.

      Suarez(c)

  5. ortol
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Shoud I take a 4 point hit for Sturridge > Suarez?

  6. Mark
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 19 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    From this point on, I may not include team news from the press lineups in the preamble every week, if at all. Basically, if I’m to keep the preamble going, it may have to be written prior to Saturday mornings to work around family stuff. This isn’t possible if it relies on my sifting through the morning papers every Saturday. Much as I love that, it’s not always practical with events going on at home. I hope you understand.

    I’ve posted some snippets from the papers in this comment to help folk out.

    If anyone fancies taking on this “what the papers say” element of the pre-amble for a new article, then by all means drop me a line at mark@fantasyfootballscout.co.uk.

    Anyway, here’s a couple of points of interest…

    Coutinho is not a starter in all the papers this morning – The Daily Mail, the Telegraph and The Times omit him, keeping faith with the 3-5-2 and retaining Henderson. The Sun, The Independent and The Guardian all have him in their predicted lineup, however. Glen Johnson returns at right-back in all the lineups, but Enrique is only given a chance by the Mail and the Independent.

    Eden Hazard is by no means certain of his start for Chelsea according to the press boys. The Telegraph and the Guardian both leave him out of their XI, although the other four papers all hand him a start with Willian and Mata missing out – the Times retain Willian and choose to omit Schurrle.

    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Is this what I don't pay my membership for?!

      Just get one of your lackeys to do it ๐Ÿ˜‰

      1. Mark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 19 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        hehe...its a shame to drop the press element from it but I'm guessing the preamble is enjoyed for insight into my struggles (particularly this season). I'm hopeful I can keep that going (the writing, not the struggles).

        1. SPorting
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Good man.

        2. Grumpy Camel
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          As an international I really appreciate the last minute news as it's my only way of getting news in a confined space.
          Sad to see it go.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers Mark, appreciate all the work you do.

    3. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Enjoyed this piece more than the actual preamble..

    4. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      How's about Barkley? What are the press's opinions?

    5. Alonso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Going by the training shots of Liverpool on Thurs, I'd say the press boys are wrong.

      Mignolet
      Johnson, Agger, Skrtel, Enrique
      Henderson, Gerrard, Lucas, Coutinho
      Suarez, Sturridge

      is the rumoured line-up.

      1. Alonso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        (Actually Cissokho for Enrique)

    6. Arvin-ation
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      If you can't manage it, then don't. You do way more than enough for us on this site. ๐Ÿ™‚

      1. Grumpy Camel
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        +4370

    7. Alberto Tomba
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      You already do a cracking job here. Hope the fam are well ๐Ÿ™‚

  7. Gaztafari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Aguero, Sturridge or Lukaku? Toughest captain choice ever!

    1. ortol
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      aguero

    2. tollers74
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Have the same question, but with Kun, Suarez and Lukaku....even tougher!?

      1. Jimbo123
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Suarez. Simple

  8. megatronaldinho
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    i'll preamble all over y'all's faces if ya don't shaddup

    1. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      ill preamble over ya mams

      1. megatronaldinho
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        you should. i'm certain she'd appreciate it

  9. PMz
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Who to put the armband on?

    Sturridge, Aguero, Rooney or Lallana?

    1. Rice Pudding
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I have the same three strikers. My (c) is currently on Sturridge.

      1. PMz
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Same. Sticking I think.

  10. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    ๐Ÿ™„

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      ๐Ÿ˜†

      1. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        ๐Ÿ˜€

  11. SPorting
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Blimey, quoting Churchill seems a bit gloomy.

    Once more into the breach, dear friends.....

    1. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Hehe...yeah. Well I knew the quote, I didn't realise it was Churchill until I looked it up. Quite surprised.

      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        so you're keeping michu and silva? error.

      2. Ivz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Mark.. Do you think vidic to terry i sworth a hit?

  12. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    'Fantasy football has been playing me to this point – suddenly, I feel I’ve been given the chance to turn the tables.'

    Possibly one of my favorite preambles till date. A thoroughly enjoyable read.

  13. megatronaldinho
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    given that ferdinand is ma number eleven (have chester, brady, silva. ergo et nul) i'd be even more of an idiot not to take a hit right? this is my annual reach-out. i'm confused

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      hit it..

  14. Mark
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 19 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So in case you're wondering I've gone - Wilson > G Johnson, Michu > Hazard, Silva > Nasri.

    Regretting it already ๐Ÿ˜‰

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      See hot topics.

      Your not on you own..

      PS - I've gone Nasri. ๐Ÿ˜‰

      1. Mark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 19 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Ah, the HOF-Meister....I suddenly feel a bit better

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Funny, but I have to opposite feeling ๐Ÿ˜›

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Good moves

    3. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      GJ's getting us a goal Mark. I am liking the look of those moves. Aggressive flair.

    4. Alonso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I'm in the Silva to Nasri crew, just hoping I've not missed a trick going for Coutinho even though I already have SAS. Liverpool's next 5 look tasty.

    5. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      6/10

      Must try harder.

    6. I am buoyed by that Hazard move ... ๐Ÿ˜€

    7. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      So you only need 1 of the 3 to return your risk. Seems fair to me. See below if you're trying to justify another. ๐Ÿ™‚

    8. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I like it.

    9. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      It was better when wondering and trying to predict it. BTW Liv defensive stats are awful

      1. Mark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 19 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Yes but so are the teams coming to Anfield in the next five Gameweeks.

    10. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Aha.. Yep, it'd be good to know.

    11. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      If Johnson starts delivering attacking returns you're going to be mighty smug aren't you? ๐Ÿ˜‰

  15. Blimey - a Preamble!!! Lovely! ๐Ÿ˜€

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      What-ho Doosra.

      1. Hello, mate! ๐Ÿ™‚

        1. In Like Flynn.
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Right off to sort the Metro and Sky teams. See you after the deadlines?

  16. Will - Fantasy Football Hub
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Mark, you should do more than writing ff articles. That was beautiful.

  17. FACUPARSE
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So every normal person is captaining Suarez right?? I do usually hate captaining the player that half the game captains. I'm considering Benteke but also think it's stupid as Fulham have no defenders and are rubbish

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I am Captaining Aguero. Whether or not I'm normal is up for debate

      1. SPorting
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        That was never in question.

  18. Jubilanus / BSC Small Boys …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Good to go.

    Boruc,

    Dawson, Johnson, Williams
    Oscar, nasri, Ramsey, Townsend,
    Sturridge, Suarez (c) Aguero

    (Clyne, Whittingham, Turner)

    Happy with Clyne coming in if Williams not fit.

  19. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Any football on today?

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Just Nor v W Ham at 5.30. No televised involvement today. ๐Ÿ™

      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        morrison murner.

  20. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Nice preamble as ever Mark.

    As you say, once taking hits, why not a few more? I suppose it's a percentage game in the end.
    How many hits will give you the best team and the optimum chance of one or more of them returning a big score to at least cover what you've committed to.
    On this note it may be quite reasonable to suppose a 12pt hit is not unreasonable if you get four new players each of whom may return your full risk. Any more than that as I see it and the chances of needing more than one big return to cover your gamble are likely to tip the balance.

    'Swot I think anyway. Shoot it down in flames if you wish.

  21. TeamSteam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Schurrle or Ramsey? With Williams out -> A) Chico B) M.Turner or C) Rat ?

    1. FACUPARSE
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      He's not out.

  22. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Just about the gloomiest Preamble I have read... still my fav article of the week though. ๐Ÿ™‚

  23. Cheggers
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    cant believe ive paid 7.2 for ramsey

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Cheap ain't he?

      Compared to....

      Hazard
      Oscar
      Ozil
      Michu
      Silva
      Valencia
      Etc

      1. Cheggers
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        cudda got him for 5.5 but got barkley instead, cost me about 20000 places

      2. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        This

      3. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Valencia is cheaper ๐Ÿ˜‰

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Is he?

          Still rubbish,

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Bargain

    3. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Given his returns 9.0 is not out of the way.

    4. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Be thankful..You will be paying twice that next season

    5. Rice Pudding
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I gave in at 7, and I hate myself

  24. GreennRed
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Who tf is Winstone Church Hill ?

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Left Back for Peacehaven 1946-1952

  25. tw
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    murner collins januzaj ravel

    which 1 to start?

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      jan or rav

  26. Mumm-Ra
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Ok, i think i will go with

    Mignolet
    Zabaleta Johnson Ivanovic Clyne
    Paulinho Yaya Oscar
    Aguero(vc) Sturridge (c) Lambert

    subs - Ravel Barkley Baker westwood

    I'm going balls out by benching 2 AM's, however I think the defence looks solid

    Thoughts?

  27. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Michu probably won't fall tonight again.

    Repost: So Total FPL got it wrong about Michu falling. The didn't put him in the update column. He is set to fall again tonight. If they didn't updated in the update section that means they are wrong, the price drop did happen and they haven't calculated which means he won't fall again tonight right...?

    Please I want to wait one more day

  28. GOONER
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Pantilimon or Mignolet?

  29. SPorting
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I wish Jonty would stop removing his reply fails.

    I worked hard on those withering put downs!

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Really?

  30. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Repost! Cmon guys,

    I'm on wildcard on unsure whether my team needs still changes

    Begovic
    Terry, Rat, G.Johnson
    Ramsey, Morrison, Coutinho, Hazard
    Benteke, Aguero, Suarez (C)

    subs: Harper, Januzaj, Mertesacker, Rosenior

    Too much invested in defence?
    Downgrade Johnson and upgrade somewhere? Please give comments! thanks

    1. Alonso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Looks pretty good to me, nice balance