[sbu_large_image] The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. 1234thro
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Asking again, just before bed, Cheers!
    Hmm, Im really at a loss for what to do this GW, so any tips are appreciated!! My team is:
    Howard
    Olsson Chester Zaba
    Cabaye Ramsey Silva Hazard
    Rooney Suarez Lukaku
    Subs: K.Davis Delph Rat Ward

    Some initial thoughts are either:
    A) Ramsey-->Llana
    B) Ramsey & Lukaku---> Walcott & J.Rod

    Cheers! 🙂

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    1. nimbin_headers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      you need Walcott bad. luka will come good what about
      zab cheapie ramsey walcott

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      1. 1234thro
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        It would have to be a 3.9er, not really and good ones about to be honest, haha.

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        1. FishFingers
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Chester for 3.9?

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          1. 1234thro
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            Already own him unfortunately! But, yeah, if I didn't he is 100% the pick of the bunch.

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        2. nimbin_headers
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Baker or whittaker.
          Espensive defenders are so mid-septemberish

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          1. 1234thro
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            yeah, those are great shouts actually! Cheers! The only thing that concerns me is perhaps Baker won't be first choice much longer.

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  2. Torreslove
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    current defense:

    zabaleta, jagielka, clyne, moxey, Bturner

    zab is going to be rested while clyne is a doubt. Moxey looks like he has lost his starting spot.

    Is it worth a hit to bring in another defender (Bardsley?) or play a make shift backline and pray for the best?

    news on zab:
    @IanCheeseman
    #mcfc now confirm Demichellis pulled hamstring yesterday,Nastasic back v Palace,Zaba to be rested on Saturday,Lescott still hoping to stay!

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    1. Something Clever
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Who is Ian Cheeseman though?

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      1. Torreslove
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        looked under hot topics and Demi had posted it under injury updates. cant find any other source or information so i'm going by the best i've got

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  3. Something Clever
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So often you look at all the varying factors of games and come up with a hypothesis to help you make a captain decision, only for it to make you look a fool… but when it does work out as you expected, it feels so sweet!

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  4. kingozil-The Germans once a…
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed

    Gazzaniga, Davies

    Terry, Chester, gabbidon rat, Williamson

    Cabaye, Walcott hazard, toure, get

    Rooney, Suarez, lukaku

    Team looks pretty dismal for next week. Suggestions please.

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    1. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      pick a starting 11 then go from there.

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  5. Gaz Downright
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    flipping walcott captainers

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    1. FPLCEO
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Hi 🙂

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      1. Gaz Downright
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        😀

        well done lads

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    2. nimbin_headers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      hello

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  6. Gaz Downright
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    so, Ramsey...

    back in with wild card?

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    1. kingozil-The Germans once a…
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      You've been effing consistent in this game. If you had wally captain you would have shot up quite high!!

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    2. kingozil-The Germans once a…
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      any suggestions on this? Looks really bad for the next gw

      Gazzaniga, Davies

      Terry, Chester, gabbidon rat, Williamson

      Cabaye, Walcott hazard, toure, get

      Rooney, Suarez, lukaku

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    3. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      nah gonna go the season without.

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  7. nimbin_headers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Speroni (manone)

    distin coleman Baker (Burner, cline)

    Silva Ytoure Walcott HAzard (jedinak)

    Rooney Rodrigez Suarez

    All set?

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  8. Zep
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    From last page...

    Would you consider missing out on Ramsey > Cabaye and getting up to a 5.9m midfielder instead, IF it meant you could afford to do Lukaku > Rooney (FT) next week?

    In ranking order, my preferred options in this price bracket are:

    A - Sterling (5.0 - (in great form, great fixtures - HUL sto AVL EVE - but possible rotation risk)
    B - Whittingham (5.2 - nailed on, hogs all set pieces and rotates perfectly with Redmond)
    C - Sissoko (5.5 - showing decent scoring form in a good attacking side)
    D - Januzaj (5.0 - tried that once, didn't work out too well, but there's no denying he has class)

    I reckon Sterling & Rooney will outscore Cabaye & Lukaku for the next 5 fixtures before the Jan WC deadline ends...

    Thoughts?

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    1. Something Clever
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I would risk it, yes. Rooney is central to everything United do. Worth it imo.

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    2. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling til Jan WC

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    3. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Guess the Rooney vs Luka debate has be answered now. I'd do A and get Rooney in

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    4. Koflok
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling.

      He's nailed on until mid-late Jan where Sturridge is back

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  9. Nice to Finally Michu
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Chester scored 2 more goals than Suarez yesterday. Chester (C)

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      He's the only player still in my team since GW1!
      Pity I benched him yesterday 3rd sub

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      1. GTS
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Got his 3rd sub points.
        😎

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  10. Not Irish
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Is everyone really selling Lukaku? Not that I haven't thought about it. But is it really worth the risk to punt the value for someone like Dzeko or Rodriguez? I don't see it…

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Dzeko 1 week punt
      JRod & Hooper til Jan WC

      they need money to get Rooney or Walcott

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      1. Not Irish
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I already have Suarez and Rooney. Dzeko seems a decent punt. But then again he seemed so earlier this season as well. That didn't turn out so well. Just don't see it. If anything I'll wait until Aguero's back I think. And I imagine one of the three will run into a hiccup by then anyway.

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    2. Zep
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I'm keeping for this week, but the temptation to switch to Rooney next week with my FT is undeniable...

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    3. Just A Hat
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      yeah J Rod is much better then Lukaku

      J ROD FOREVER

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    4. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I was thinking between Lambert, Hooper and Cole (only striker getting points for WHU)...Lukaku is becoming really irritating to hold..I made him the Captain this week got me 2 points

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      1. Not Irish
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Agreed. But I captained Suarez and he netted me the same. Admittedly I am a bit worried about him. Martinez needs to have a word with his wingers. Their selfishness has hindered him as much as anything.

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  11. Djerbil
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    RMT for 2mr (already done Ramsey->Barkley)

    Mannone
    Coleman Mert Chester
    Cabaye Theo Barkley Oscar
    Negredo Suarez(C) Rooney

    Bench : Shelvey M.Turner Clyne

    1)Should I start M.Turner(SUN) ahead of Mert(new)??
    and
    2) Should I do Oscar->Silva/Yaya(-4)

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    1. Not Irish
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Heard anything on Negredo? He looked to have a knock coming off…

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      1. Djerbil
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        He is "fit" but He is "tired"

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    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Might be worth it getting silva, but risk of rest is a problem.

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  12. Fabreghastly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Which is the best midfield punt until the Jan WC?

    A) Lallana
    B) Cabaye
    C) Eriksen

    Cheers

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      B

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    2. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      B edges it

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    3. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      A probably the safest, but I fancy me some C.

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  13. jwhizzy
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I have just enough to do Ramsey to J. NAVAS. Is this safe mcfc cover or shud I go Oscar to Silva instead and lose value on Ramsey?

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Navas looks dangerous...Do it! his position looks pretty safe at the moment

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      1. FishFingers
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        He was putting in some sweet crosses that is for sure.

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    2. nimbin_headers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      not safe at all rotation beckons

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  14. Phaze 1
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsey getting hurt was obv bad for the player but it was terrible for the FPL chasers who took the non ram route. Now everyone will have Walcott and one path has now closed.

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah! since the beginning I didn't have Ramsey and now everyone will take Walcott who has proved to be quite a differential till now!

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    2. FPLCEO
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Agree i lost ramsey a few weeks ago

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    3. HabitualLineSteppers
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      That is very true but some new candidates have raised their hands -

      And then you have your "mid range differentials" and your "off the beaten track differentials"

      Its that balancing act of desperately attempting to close a gap whilst knowing when to conserve your efforts (and transfers)

      Captain choices are crucial too.

      Love the game & the banter !

      Night all - cheers for the advice.

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  15. Gaz Downright
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    My Fantasy team just mirrored the Spurs home performance to Liverpool.

    Disgusting...

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  16. Shifty
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Funny that HBA had a very good game but many won't even think about getting him having been burned earlier this season.

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    1. Torreslove
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      one good home game doesn't amount for much. Sissoko on the other hand has been flying completely under the radar. I haven't seen him being mentioned even once on here. Cheap good option as 4th/5th mid

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  17. FishFingers
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I'm in a pickle with the Ramsey injury as I need to make two transfers (-4) to bring in Walcott. With Howard also suspended I need a keeper as well.

    So, will Harper or Gazzaniga be a somewhat safe bet until the January wildcard?

    Ramsey > Walcott
    Howard > Harper or Gazzaniga (for at least two game weeks, hopefully three)

    Thoughts?

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    1. Punty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I'd do it

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    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      why go with Walcott when everyone is going after him...get a differential like Navas...but if you want Walcott..get the Crystal Palace keeper they have become good defensively

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      1. FishFingers
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I already have Silva and Negredo in my team, plus I have Gabbidon in defense.
        Currently looks like this:

        Howard* (Lewis)

        Chester Mertesacker Coleman McAuley Gabbidon
        Ramsey* Hazard Silva Cabaye JWP
        Rooney Suarez Negredo

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        1. Moin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Okay then go for it! Looks good

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  18. Punty
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Morning! I have Howard and Negredo but already did Ramsey -> Silva yesterday.. should I take a hit to get out negredo or get a new keeper?

    Team for next gw is:

    Howard (4m)
    Coleman Terry chester (gabbidon vlaar)
    Hazard Walcott Silva Cabaye (Sterling)
    Suarez Rooney Negredo

    If Negredo doesn't play Sterling comes in.. or play Sterling, bench cabaye?

    Cheers

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    1. Punty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      only 0.4m in bank btw

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      1. FishFingers
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Tough one as Negredo has a few great fixtures coming up.

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    2. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      say what? hit for beast out is madness

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      1. Punty
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Yes! I saw now he has net transfers in etc, so won't loose value, panicked a bit when I saw posts about him being tired but realised now I'm being stupid, thanks

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  19. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    What can be done here??

    Mig
    Koscienly / baker / chester / distin / coloccini
    Walcott / Silva / hazard / Ramsey / cowie
    Lukaku / suarez / Rooney
    1FT
    0.3 in the bank

    Suggestions please

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    1. Punty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      ramsey -> cabaye?

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      1. FishFingers
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        hahaha Punty just beat me too it with the same comment 😛

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        1. Punty
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Now you made my comment look bad with your nice capital letters!

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        2. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Lol

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    2. FishFingers
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Ramsey > Cabaye?

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    3. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers
      Was thinking the same

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  20. Something Clever
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Really want Negrado for Palace game but concerned with rotation. Thoughts?

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    1. FishFingers
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Don't scare me with rotation talks, he did come off early though (76mins)

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    2. Dots321
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Honestly I think it'll be 50:50. If he is gonna get rested this is the game. But if Dzeko starts he'll likely come on for a short cameo

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    3. GTS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Who else do they have upfront who is in form?
      Negredo would definitely start.

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    4. nimbin_headers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I wanted him but went for yaya and rodrigez instead. just too risky.

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    5. Phaze 1
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      If fit he prob stats imo. Its not like hes been run off his feet this season and I don't think Pel wants to start Dzeko when he can really lay the hammer down and press on to the title.

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  21. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    RavMo to start this weekend?

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  22. nibir
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    A) Ramsey + Hazard = Walcott + Oscar

    Or,

    B) Ramsey + GJ = Walcott + Barsly/Tomkins

    Which one sounds good?

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    1. Punty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      NOT A at least, B but maybe some other defender

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    2. FishFingers
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Burnt so many times this season with Oscar... never going near him again this season.

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  23. Penang Sandman
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    lads, its worth to punt on Navas till the jan wildcard?

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  24. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Template for wildcard looks like taking shape

    Silva Hazard Walcott
    Rooney Suarez

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    1. Twelve years a slave
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Add Chester and Ward for the two cheap defenders

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    2. Dots321
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Seen as I have all these players I'm gonna make some money the week the wildcard comes out if your correct

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  25. Zep
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    In your opinion, which combo will score more?

    Lukaku(SOT) & Redmond(MUN)

    Lukaku(SOT) & Sterling(che)

    Rooney(nor) & Sterling(che) (-4)

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    1. Twelve years a slave
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      The last one probably , has the advantage that can capt Rooney

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      1. Zep
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Hmmm interesting...

        Basically I am planning to bring Rooney in for free next week, but with the form he is in, and the lack of form Lukaku is showing, I am wondering if I should just push it forward and free up my FT next week...

        You reckon I can make back the 4pt hit?

        I know it's asking for trouble taking Lukaku out for hit right before a home game, but he is just not firing...

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  26. rohan
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Morning folks!

    Any news on Rafael? He still hasn't been flagged and I assume I won't get anything on him from Moyes's press conference. Hold or sell?

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    1. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      You definitely should wait for Moyes' press conference before doing anything on the off chance that he might be helpful, i think i might keep and start him if he isnt falling in price

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      1. rohan
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers mate!

        Also, we have been killing it in the Big Bash league 😀

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        1. Nice to Finally Michu
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Glad to hear that! nice job by the way with the Walcott (C), a shame that you left a few points on the bench but i guess that's just how the cookie crumbles sometimes. What do you think of my transfers this week Rohan, Pozuelo and Ramsey > Eriksen and Cabaye. I think I will play them accordingly as they rotate well in term of fixtures.

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  27. GTS
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So this is my team for next GW and FT done as well.

    *Howard-Marshall
    Coleman-Williams-**Clyne-Ward-Chester
    Hazard-Silva-Walcott-Cabaye-**R.Morrison
    Suarez-Lukaku-**Berbatov

    * =Suspended
    ** =Doubtful

    I'm going to have a bad time waiting for the pressers.

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  28. Koflok
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    What to do with this lot

    Howard (sus)
    Coleman Chester Fonte Gabbidon (vs city nothx) Walker (sus)
    Hazard Walcott Silva Ramsey (inj) Redmond
    Suarez Lukakaw Negredo (pos inj)

    a) Ramsey -> Cabaye
    b) Howard Ramsey Negredo -> Mannone Cabaye Rooney (-8)
    c) Howard Ramsey Lukaku -> Mannone Sterling Rooney (-8)
    d) B but Rooney in next week (-4)
    e) C but Rooney in next week (-4)
    f) Ramsey -> Sterling now, Negredo -> Rooney next week

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  29. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Need some man city coverage this gw. Options are?

    A. Oscar > nasri (FT)

    B. Oscar > navas (FT)

    C. Oscar > silva (4 point hit involving downgrading Rav)

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  30. Dots321
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone have any news on Clyne? Only have 3 non injured defenders and I quite frankly don't feel like playing Ward vs city at the Etihad. 😀

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Ward will shut the City attackers up!

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