[sbu_large_image] Members
28 August 2014 1253 comments
Mark Mark
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As Branislav Ivanovic blazes a trail near the top of the defender rankings, it seems timely to put the position under further analysis by assessing the attacking potential of the Serb’s rivals. In this latest article for our members, we analyse the early-season data in an attempt to examine the cast of defenders offering the potential of returns at both ends of the pitch.

With Leighton Baines an ever present in such analysis, and new top flight arrivals Aaron Cresswell and Kieran Trippier receiving plenty of hype in pre-season, the attacking full-back shows great promise as a potential differential target.

This is compounded by this season’s changes to the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) bonus point system (BPS) calculation that has reduced the penalty handed out to players who raid forward to take on opponents. While it’s too early to confirm the impact of this change, it’s worth noting that four of the top five BPS scorers in defence are full-backs – right now, the dominant centre-back is not having it all his own way.

The starting point for our analysis was a custom stats table which captured a series of key indicators identified as important factors when assessing the attacking potential of a defender. We’ve chosen to sort our table by “Touches in the Final Third” in order to capture those defenders who have joined the attack most often. We’ve also included data that captures their effectiveness in terms of crossing and chances created, whilst also assessing Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions (CBI) as a means of further examining the bonus point potential of the listed candidates.

Our custom table has been made public and can be accessed here. The table will go on collecting data each week, offering a constant updated snapshot of our analysis. For now, however, let’s examine the data after the opening two Gameweeks.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Kerz
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    My rival transferred Aguero in for Costa... he has made 1 transfer, had exactly enough money to do it ITB that is no longer there... I'm sure of it.

    Would be epic if Aguero is benched and Costa bags a brace! 😀

    1. JJO
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Costa wont play so its imposibile

      1. Yome
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Source?

      2. World XI
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Looks like he will now

    2. HUMZAH96
        11 years, 6 months ago

        ^ this

        Don't listen to trolls, Costa is fit and the injury was very minor 🙂

      • Smarty Pants
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I think Aguero will play the full 90 minutes but won't score. Totally agree on the Costa brace though.

    3. World XI
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Total FPL not updating prices? Been the same all day!

      1. World XI
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Lads?

      2. YankeeDoodleDandy
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Usually takes Total FPL a couple of GWs to get the algorithm right anyways... Can't be 100% trusted yet.

    4. 50shades of o'shea
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Thoughts on this wc team (changed it 5 times today). Planning to do Jovetic to Balo after game against stoke.

      Krul (Gilks)

      Vert Clyne Janmaat (Hutton Wisdom)

      Lamela Tadic Sterling Cabella (Marney)

      Jovetic (c) Aguero Rooney

      Repost soz

      1. YankeeDoodleDandy
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Midfield is lightweight. Way too many 2pts coming your way, imo.

    5. Ludo
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      This is probably nothing, but here's a potential word of warning over Chelsea's fixtures:

      All six of their defeats in the league last season came on the weekend before a Champions League match. These were away to Everton, Newcastle, Stoke, Villa and Palace, and at home to Sunderland. Overall, in their 12 matches immediately before a CL game, they played 12, won 5, drew 1 and lost 6. The other 26 matches resulted in 20 wins and 6 draws.

      This season, they'll play Swansea, Villa, Palace, QPR, West Brom and Newcastle on the weekends before their group stage matches, which sounds like a run of games you'd expect them to win almost all of. However, if their trend of resting players and saving themselves for playing in Europe in midweek continues, they might struggle to pick up as many points as they ordinarily would.

      The problem lies in the difficulty of Chelsea's fixtures aside from these games. From now until the end of November, every fixture is either against a top side, or the match before a Champions League game. They travel to Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool, as well as facing Arsenal at home, so if they continue to struggle before Champions League matches, they may find it hard to make up the points elsewhere.

      Of course, Chelsea were excellent at playing the bigger sides last season, and so this run isn't necessarily daunting for their fantasy prospects. Another factor to consider is their excellent record at home. Last season, they dropped points before CL group matches when travelling to Everton, Tottenham, Newcastle and Stoke. This year, however, the first five of their six group matches come after a match at Stamford Bridge, which may well mean that, even if their performance drops, their fantasy options should still be able to deliver the goods. Nonetheless, if Chelsea rest a couple of players and put in a sub-par performance against Swansea in a couple of weeks, it might be worth taking note!

      1. Caine & Co.
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        stats in good use

      2. Podge
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        This is scouting.

      3. alastair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Good analysis but Chelsea are stronger this year and Mourinho will have learnt from last year - esp as Matic is there to stiffen them up

        1. Ludo
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          That's another point, their added strength in depth with Matic, Fabregas, Costa and Luis could make a big difference.

      4. LMNO
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        great post - thanks

      5. Sharkytect
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Interesting. I don't think Chelsea's fixtures look great anyway, with City's soon to improve and Liverpool's looking fantastic after playing spurs, maybe it's time to look away from the bridge.

      6. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah but our CL group is so weak. We will walk all over it. I think there is nothing to worry about

        1. Ludo
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          You had Schalke last year as well, not sure there's much in it between Sporting Lisbon and Maribor (this year) than Basel and Steaua Bucharest (last).

      7. Ghost Ship
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        great stuff

      8. YankeeDoodleDandy
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Good analysis, but their CL Group is incredibly soft.

    6. GeorgeHedley
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      does anyone know when the podcast is out?

      1. Mílanista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Usually about 9pm

      2. A.T
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        9pm ish

    7. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Hey guys, can anyone give me a a good enough reason to warrant no captaining RvP this GW?

      Cheers.

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        not captaining*

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Oh yeah, just look at United's form, no point risking it

            1. Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              i know.....but.....there's always a but lol, i have nothing else, maybe captain Aguero then.

        2. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 6 months ago

            No

          • GeorgeHedley
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            hes never scored vs burnley

          • LMNO
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            huge differential if he scores big - ALWAYS has that potential

            1. Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              i know yeah! arggghhh i wish i had enough assertaincy to cap him.

              1. LMNO
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                I am (probably 😕 )

                1. Salah’s Sonnet
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  cool, i may cap him come Friday.

          • Bubz
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            If you own RvP you can't not captain him against Burnley. Defeats the purpose of owning him otherwise

            1. Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              this is very true, only thing swaying me is that i have aguero as well who could run riot against Stoke.

              1. Bubz
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Oh god. In that case I don't know 😆

                1. Salah’s Sonnet
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  haha! makes two of us 🙂

          • Podge
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            1 shot last match, off target. Nuff said.

            1. Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              was his first game back, silly to judge from 1 game.

        3. trustmeimpurple
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          is it worth transferring out Costa for Balo or Bony for Jovetic?

          1. GeorgeHedley
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            balo yolo

          2. Sharkytect
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            No! Costa is fit again! Save him whilst the masses get rid.

        4. Les Bleus
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Have been out all week. What's the deal with Costa and Dzeko please?

          1. Defcons are for Kinnear
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            And Aguero too?

          2. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Costa only had a minor injury like I said yesterday and Aguero might start over Dzeko as he trained today 🙂

          3. aehii
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            -8 rooney costa for adebayor aguero is a bad idea right?

            1. GeorgeHedley
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              just costa to ade

              1. aehii
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                My main concern is aguero rising. He killed me last season. Costa and rooney have such high ownership.

                1. YankeeDoodleDandy
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  High ownership won't kill you this early on in the season -- not getting points will.

            2. Sharkytect
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Costa is fine, it's alright people! We're safe with Costa! (please stop transferring him out)

          4. LewanGOALski
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Will Krul rise today? And will DDG drop?

            What do you guys think..?

            1. Kerz
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Krul - no

              DDG - touch and go, most likely not

          5. Villan
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Anyone else tempted to get rid of Costa soon anyway?

            Looking at Chelsea's fixtures compared to say L'pool's make me want to possibly switch him next GW for Sturridge or Aguero.

            Thoughts?

            1. drughi
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              think I will for a forward in the 8.5 bracket, gives my team more balance and i could get ivanovic or coleman

          6. YankeeDoodleDandy
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Does anyone know why Dier isn't in the Scout's Watchlist? Surely he is amongst the best 13 defenders out there for fantasy....

            1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Because any day now Walker will walk back into the starting XI putting Dier on the bench.

            2. World XI
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Good point. Needs to make a name for himself i guess. If he keeps up the goals he will

            3. Sharkytect
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              If he scores this week he will stay on their watchlist all season.

          7. Defcons are for Kinnear
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Just seen the CL draw. Is it me or are there some really poo teams in there. Can't remember seeing so many rubbish teams in CL.

            1. OShaughnessy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Time will tell...

              Just b/c you don't *know* the name doesn't mean they're a bad side, right?

              If headlines made team's Utd. would be winning the Grand Championship Superduper Cup of the Multi-verse this year.

          8. Bøss ⭐
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Team Value check - 101.1m 😀

            1. Kerz
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              £100.3m (£0.6m ITB)

            2. Dušan Citizen
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              99.8 and 1.0 ITB

            3. halnone
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              101.2

            4. Sharkytect
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              What!? Crazy value! Interestingly; have you taken hits, and what is your score?
              My team value is 100.8 with 124 points and a -4 hit this gameweek...

              1. Bøss ⭐
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                I've taken one hit (to bring in Naismith who then rose 0.2!) but my overall score is 123 points. Siggy, Clyne, Ramsey, Fabregas, Hutton have all risen in value and no one has dropped 🙂

                1. Sharkytect
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  Nice one!
                  So the tricky bit is what to do with players like Hutton, who has a hideous fixture list but has only risen by 0.1, meaning you don't get any profit if you sell now. I have the same issue with Costa. Oooh.

                  1. Bøss ⭐
                    • 13 Years
                    11 years, 6 months ago

                    yeah, I probably won't bother subbing him out though since he's a bench player usually anyway

          9. Ayling Buyers Club
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Any decent defence rotations from the less expensive teams?

            1. Dain Bramage
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Newcastle Sunderland

          10. Ser Football 42
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            WHO WOULD BE YOUR tOP 11 TEAM IF MONEY WASNT AN ISSUE?

            1. Caine & Co.
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              aguero

            2. GeorgeHedley
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              courtois
              ivanovic coleman baines
              sanchez hazard di maria ramsey
              sturridge RVP aguero

          11. Mílanista
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Anyone else getting "We experienced problems saving your comment. We apologise for the inconvience and suggest you try again soon." but the comment is actually being posted?

            1. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Not me...

              • Defcons are for Kinnear
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Yes. Just happened to me

              • LOCO ABREU
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                yep

            2. OShaughnessy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              How good is Eva! She got Didier back in a week from a broken ankle & Costa back in a day from a ripped hamstring. pic.twitter.com/107kdXvrqx
              Scott ‏@MadMontana 17m

            3. applebonkers
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              invented a formation for van gaal. it's called the travolta. it's a simple twist on the 352 with one wing back being more attacking than the norm and the other being a bit more defensive than the norm to balance it out.
              http://i.imgur.com/gWnisTh.png

              1. Bubz
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Is Cleverly the dick?

                1. Defcons are for Kinnear
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  😆

                2. applebonkers
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  it's the 70s, fellaini's fro

              2. gravless
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                you're mental

                🙂

              3. A.T
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                😆 😆 😆

              4. Bob.
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Haha love it

            4. The Hindu Monkey
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Repost as could really do with some help thanks

              THEHINDUMONKEY Guys I need help regarding the price drops. I'm looking at that total fpl site and FOUR of my players are on minus 98 plus percent!! Does that mean that they WILL all drop at 2.30 or have we not got clarity what the main site is using yet?FlagHide (1)8 mins ago#REPLY

            5. BDMC5
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Suprised to see di maria price rising without a game played. Is it going to start vs Burnley ? I would have thought an appearance from the bench at best ?

              1. Sharkytect
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                It can't rise. Player's prices never do in their first gameweek in the league.

                1. BDMC5
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  Cheers mate

            6. Dušan Citizen
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Aguero wont rise tonight,right?

              1. SW6
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                TFPL says he will

                1. gravless
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  The Sun of price rise predictors

                2. Fi_fpl addict
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  Some of the price rises were showing yesterday , very unpredictable right now . Can't see any logic to the price rises or drops in some cases.

            7. Defcons are for Kinnear
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              I sure there's someone out there who had done the following this week

              Dzeko to Giroud
              Giroud to Costa
              Costa to Aguero

            8. Mile Plankton - Myth and Ch…
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Play Hendo or Jones?

            9. Billy Baroo
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              So, a question for you all. I have Costa on my team. Thinking of keeping atm, but not starting. Was also thinking of saving my FT and having two for after the int'l break...

              But I also have Alex Bruce. Will he be in the reckoning any more even if he stays now that Dawson is there? Should I just transfer him out to another 4.0 now and not risk him going down to 3.9m? I already have Dummett though and not sure what other 4m def is worthwhile...

              Thanks for your thoughts in advance!

              1. LOCO ABREU
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                start costa,leave bruce for now

            10. LOCO ABREU
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Team look's better now with Austin and Costa good news

              1. Les Bleus
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                How do you know about Costa?

                1. Djerbil
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  Chelsea TV

              2. JK - Cønt ⭐
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Austin good news?

                Bugger

                1. LOCO ABREU
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 6 months ago

                  should be fit

                  1. JK - Cønt ⭐
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 6 months ago

                    oh well, he has dropped twice and I had a spare FT, has allowed me to play both Caulker and Clyne

                    Great stuff on Costa though

                    1. LOCO ABREU
                      • 13 Years
                      11 years, 6 months ago

                      just droped 0.1 till now. No idea how to upgrade him next week however

                      1. JK - Cønt ⭐
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        11 years, 6 months ago

                        don't we're a shambles, he'll score

                        I brought Naismith in so I can play 4-4-2 this week then Naismith has nice fixtures

                        I'll likely do Mata to Sterling post internationals all being well, and have another FT to use if needed.

                        1. LOCO ABREU
                          • 13 Years
                          11 years, 6 months ago

                          Mata home to QPR

                          1. JK - Cønt ⭐
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 14 Years
                            11 years, 6 months ago

                            will still have Rooney

                            Pool have nice fixtures as well and i can't afford Rooney/Costa to Studge

            11. Djerbil
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              seriously though when was the last time u saw a Chelsea player actually getting injured??

              All they do is roll on the ground and feign a knock here and there just to get touched by that Hot Physio of theirs

              1. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Everyone needs a bit of pampering from a good woman.

            12. The Light Knight
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Dehli Piero now a viable team name?

              1. 50shades of o'shea
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                😀

            13. tw
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Bego to krul worth a FT or should I save it so I have two next week?

              1. Chris_White
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                save

              2. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Save

              3. LewanGOALski
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                save I guess

            14. Les Bleus
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Would you do Terry, Dzeko and Costa out for a 5.0 defender (who?) Ade and Aguero?

              1. Les Bleus
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                For a -4 btw

              2. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                No

              3. Kerz
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 6 months ago

                Nah. All three you're taking out should start.