[sbu_large_image] Digest
21 October 2014 1599 comments
Paul Paul
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Our last look back at a sensational Gameweek 8 assesses Man City’s formidable frontman, Southampton’s ascent under Ronald Koeman and the ongoing issue of Diego Costa’s hamstring problems.

The Player

In a week where Diego Costa sat out Chelsea’s win at Palace, Sergio Aguero ran riot as City swept aside Tottenham at the Etihad. Handed the lone striker role as Manuel Pellegrini opted for a 4-2-3-1 set-up, the Argentine bagged all the hosts’ goals in a 4-1 win which elevated him to the top of the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) standings.

There’s no doubt that Aguero’s previous injury record goes against him when assessing the Fantasy landscape. Last season, for example, he managed just 20 starts and earned 22 the year before, but with Pellegrini determined to manage his star striker’s fitness more efficiently, Fantasy managers are being richly rewarded.

Furthermore, as mentioned in Sunday’s Big Numbers article, Aguero looks a different animal in the attacking third this season. The Argentine is firing shots at a quicker pace and is producing more efforts inside the box that the previous campaign – a downturn in creativity merely underlines a more selfish streak which has seen him score nine times already, or 69.% of his side’s goals, compared to having a hand in 46.9% of City’s strikes in 2013/14.

Bearing in mind the champions have produced more overall shots and efforts inside the box than any other team in the top-flight, the case for Aguero is becoming increasingly water-tight. Still only owned by 17% of FPL managers, he’s set for a very obliging run of fixtures which pits him against West Ham, United, QPR, Swansea, Southampton and Sunderland in the next six alone – a schedule which looks near-impossible to ignore and could see many happily hand him the armband in light of his extraordinary form.

The Team

An 8-0 home win over Sunderland shook the Premier League and Fantasy football world alike as Ronald Koeman’s side richly rewarded those who chose to invest in their main assets.

In every area of the pitch, the Saints racked up the points in a sensational display against the Black Cats which merely maintained their early-season form. A fourth clean sheet of the season took Fraser Forster into second spot for keepers in the FPL game, whilst Ryan Bertrand and Nathaniel Clyne earned their place in the top four defenders.

Dusan Tadic’s stunning 23-point haul elevated the Serbian into second amongst midfielders and finally dished out the returns his previous displays had long-hinted at, whilst Sadio Mane needed just 26 minutes off the bench to get amongst the goals. Up top, Graziano Pelle’s exploits continue to tear apart top-flight backlines – the Italian is joint-second in the overall standings after returning 15 points against the beleaguered Wearside outfit.

With Stoke, Hull, Leicester and Villa up next for the St Mary’s side, Southampton couldn’t be better placed to wreak havoc yet again. Loading up on their chief protagonists looks a canny short-term tactic, then, though with the schedule turning against Koeman’s side in Gameweek 13, planning an exit route may also be wise.

The Talking Point

We touched on the problem in Saturday’s Preamble article and, when the teamsheets were rolled out at Selhurst Park, our worst fears were realized when Diego Costa was omitted from Chelsea’s squad to face Palace.

Prior to the weekend clash, there’d been more than one occasion when Jose Mourinho had questioned Costa’s availability heading into a Gameweek – we’d almost become accustomed to the Spain international rated a “75% doubt” in the FPL game as a result of his manager’s Friday press conferences.

This time, however, the Special One stuck to his guns and left out his star striker, leaving those who handed Costa the armband dependent on their vice captains to do the business.

Already, the mind games have begun ahead of the weekend. Mourinho has insisted Costa has “very little chance” of making it in time for the trip to United. The Blues boss also aimed another sarcastic barb Del Bosque’s way, going on to say:

“He will be in great condition in mid-November to be back for the national team. That’s for sure. He will play for me when he has free time from the national team.”

That’s the problem we’re facing just now. Given that there’s an international break between Gameweeks 11 and 12 in the middle of next month, the uncertainty hanging over Costa is unlikely to go away any time soon.

The issue, though, is whether we can really afford to part company with a player who has quickly proven himself to be Fantasy royalty. Costa was a doubt before racking up 12 points at Everton, a doubt for the home clash with Swansea which saw him rack up 17 points and has scored in all but one of his seven appearances.

With Aguero fit and firing on all cylinders, we’ve an obvious armband alternative to Costa; the Argentine looks in the form of his Premier League career right now. Going forward, many may feel the safest approach in dealing with this situation is to simply have both on board for now – obviously, if Costa continues to be hampered by his hamstring we’ll reassess the situation, but surely you’d think if Mourinho has serious intentions of wrestling the title from City’s grasp, there are only so many times he can out-bluff us.

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1,599 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Wingate
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Ok this makes sense right:

    This week: ADM and Costa (both potentially injured plus tough game) to KUN and TADIC -4
    Next week: Haz and Welbz to CHADLI and COSTA (should be back to QPR at home...)

    1. John Nerdelbaum
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Not sure if it's really worth it especially losing Haz for the QPR game but needs (Kun) must

      1. Wingate
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Another goal and assist tonight... form of his life!

    2. Wingate
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Gives me:

      Krul,
      Baines, Terry, Clyne,
      Siggy, Sterling, Chadli, Tadic,
      Costa, Kun, Pelle....

      ??

      1. John Nerdelbaum
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Can you lose Terry for those moves? Team looks great actually.

        1. Wingate
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          12 years, 12 days ago

          i COULD... but along with Baines i think hes a season keeper... always made the mistake of finishing with an ultra weak defence but i want to keep it strong this year as it will always get points.

    3. Il Gladiatore
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Hazard and Welbeck out before they play QPR and BUR? Wouldn't do that

      1. John Nerdelbaum
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Yep, ditto Welbeck for the above

        1. Wingate
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          12 years, 12 days ago

          ITS TO GET KUN AND COSTA IN!!

          Welbz gets service and will score but lets be honest hes no Terry Henry...

          KUN and COSTA has to be the priotiy>?

    4. ASAP Rocky
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I'm doing the first 2!

  2. Jeremiah
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Have exactly enough for Moreno > Coleman for free 🙂

    Go for it?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Looks sexy. Do it.

    2. zuzuViking
      12 years, 12 days ago

      ja

  3. seano25
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Worth swapping out one of Costa/ADM for this weekend given injury doubts?

    Already have Sterling/Fab/Sigg and Pelle/Welbeck

    Want to avoid both not starting.

    If I get aguero I'll have 9.5 (as at today) to spend on a mid as I don't really want to downgrade one of Baines/Soton-double defense

  4. pundit of punts
    12 years, 12 days ago

    What game is everyone watching then?

    1. Whazza
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Roma-Bayern

    2. Fantasy Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Roma v Bayern. The only interesting game tonight

    3. BRONALDINHO
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Barca - Ajax

  5. Whazza
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Has anyone looked into who rotates the best with Krul lately?

    1. BRONALDINHO
      12 years, 12 days ago

      shouldn't that be Mannone?

      1. Whazza
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Probably yes. He just conceded 8 though so not very tempting.

    2. DoobNoob
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Foster does if he's not out for too long?

      1. Whazza
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Cheers.

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Just sell Krul

      1. Whazza
        12 years, 12 days ago

        For whom?

      2. rickardinho
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Krul has got me 2/4 cs's this season in rotation with Begovic (also 2/4)

  6. Captain Shirokov
    12 years, 12 days ago

    If I scored the most amount of points in FPL so far, I'd be 1st in the world.

    1. Fantasy Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      😯

    2. Epic Fail
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Source?

      1. Captain Shirokov
        12 years, 12 days ago

        DIEGOCOSTA19

        1. DIegoCosta19
          12 years, 12 days ago

          lol. its bcos i didnt confirm the transfers last minute. chill

    3. Kerz
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Doubt it, but OK.

    4. HuttonDressedasLahm
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Link please

    5. Zombie
      12 years, 12 days ago

      unless you haven't taken hits

    6. EmreCan Hustle
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Me too 😯

  7. Ed
    12 years, 12 days ago

    In real football terms, who do you think is the better player? Fabregas or ADM?

    1. DoobNoob
      12 years, 12 days ago

      ADM

    2. gers23
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Fab imo

    3. Captain Shirokov
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Both very different roles, difficult to compare.

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        12 years, 12 days ago

        This

        It's like saying who is better, Cahill or Wanyama

    4. Give The Todd Some Love
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Very different players. I prefer watching ADM

    5. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      12 years, 12 days ago

      both world class in their positions

    6. zuzuViking
      12 years, 12 days ago

      ADM: more artistic (more fun to watch), greater direct goal threat.

      Probably more bonus point prone due to artistry and game+team impact. Even though United has RvP, Rooney and Falcao, ADM seems to be the main man.

  8. Mak_Gold
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Any good mids for £4.8m or less apart from
    Boyd??

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I thought the point of the cheap 5th mid was to bench and never play ?

      1. Give The Todd Some Love
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Well Boyd certainly helped this week 😎

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          12 years, 12 days ago

          I'm not saying the can't come in handy but its never going to be worth a transfer

    2. Les Bleus
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Obertan.

      Yes I'm serious.

    3. SEASIDER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Obertan.

      I have Boyd.

  9. Rafa is a Geordie
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Is Baines essential going forwards? I've currently got ADM, who looked imperious last night. Debating ADM and Wilson to Eriksen and Baines (2FT). Just feel ADM could still do well despite fixtures

    1. Epic Fail
      12 years, 12 days ago

      No

    2. Wirtzle Gummidge
      12 years, 12 days ago

      No. But make sure you have him.

    3. rickardinho
      12 years, 12 days ago

      ADM is central to everything United do, however I don't think he's worth his value anymore unless you got him at 9.5. Too many others scoring well

      1. Rafa is a Geordie
        12 years, 12 days ago

        He was central to everything last night. Tough decision this weekend. Currently swaying towards Baines as rival has him but not sure

    4. PKB
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I wont drop ADM for Baines. Find another route!

    5. kalmoffit
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Imperious? He got a lot of crosses in, mostly aimless.

      1. Rafa is a Geordie
        12 years, 12 days ago

        20 crosses, admittedly low conversion but several dangerous shots and unlucky not to get an assist for RVP. He was central to everything. Currently swayed by his fixtures, as Jose will likely shut up shop and think Eriksen could begin to replicate his end of season form. Plus Baines is fantasy gold

  10. rickardinho
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Some stats on WC's here: http://fpldiscovery.wordpress.com/

    Wildcard Status
    - played 37.2%..... 58.8%
    - available 62.8%........41.2%

    First average sample from everyone, then top 10k

    So almost 60% of top 10k players have played WC (and probably closer to that for top 100k than the average due to alot of "casuals" who stop playing), meaning that anyone within 50-80 points would have a decent chance of closing the gap if they can keep pace and then keep their WC and use it well in a DGW.

    Does that make sense?

    1. Wirtzle Gummidge
      12 years, 12 days ago

      This is the first time I have looked at this and though.... I'm in the top 10k 😎

      1. rickardinho
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Needless to say, if you're in the top 10k with your WC intact you're in a pretty strong position. I have a team that many would WC to right now without having played mine, so feeling pretty solid at 58k

        1. Kerz
          12 years, 12 days ago

          58k is a nice position to be in at this stage.

    2. FPL Daniel
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I am temtped to play mine WC next week. WC in double GW is overated. That time transfer is worth -2 anyway

      1. rickardinho
        12 years, 12 days ago

        What do you mean transfers are only worth -2?

    3. Gooders
      12 years, 12 days ago

      This makes me pleased to still have my WC!

    4. MeDo_JE
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Most of my ml rivals still have wc, but i have TV 3m+ and 50pts above everyone... So i'd say wc in gw4 went great...

  11. laGan1n1
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Bojan, Naismith, Ulloa, Berahino... continue

    1. rickardinho
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I got off after Ulloa and got Welbeck instead. Don't forget Sakho as well

  12. oscardo
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Aguero looks sharp and bang on form. Stand out captain choice this gw! agree? 🙂

    1. Epic Fail
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Yeah

    2. Give The Todd Some Love
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I'm not feeling it for some reason. If it looks like Costa will start I think I'm going with him

      1. oscardo
        12 years, 12 days ago

        okay, costa fit for the weekend? Source?

        1. FantaCity
          12 years, 12 days ago

          He did say 'IF'

    3. rickardinho
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I can afford to wait until Friday to make my move, but im strongly considering Aguero as captain for the next two weeks at least. The loss on Costa would only be 0.3 in the meantime, while Aguero could feasibly explode for another big haul or two.

      It all hinges on Costa's fitness though of course

  13. S.Kuqi
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Fabregas will be my Baines enabler.

    Is it too late to jump on Tadic wagon or should I go for Eriksen instead?

    1. Il Gladiatore
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Not too late for Tadic, still got 4 good fixtures coming up. Both him and Eriksen are good choices

      1. S.Kuqi
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Thanks Gladiatore. Only room for one. Who would you suggest?

  14. PKB
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Whats wrong in doing Costa-> Kun?
    Considering my case of the forward line: Costa, Welbeck, Pelle. All 3 of them are on a scoring run, with fixtures on their side. Pelle looks undroppable, Welbeck is rare at that price and fixtures.
    Which leaves Costa, whom I can sell at 10.8 and may be buy back at 11 if essential (considering he will fall atleast once more).
    Well if Aguero needs to come in, it is now! Or else the boat might have just sailed.
    Shall I pull the trigger?

    1. FPL Daniel
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I have it and I like it. The QPR game next GW will give us answers is that that bad

      1. PKB
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Yup. Has crossed my mind. Worst case would be Costa scoring a brace maybe? And I would still say Kun has a chance of outscoring him against United's leaky defense that week

    2. Kerz
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I'm in a similar position. Really indecisive as well. The thought of not owning a fit Costa ahead of QPR at home is frightening though as he'll still have a mammoth ownership.

  15. Randy_Marsh
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Okay this is running through my mind

    Costa&Naylor to Aguero&Alcaraz

    -8

    1. Fantasy Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Definitely not

      1. Randy_Marsh
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Crazy thoughts so. Just feel incomplete without Kun.

    2. PKB
      12 years, 12 days ago

      No, never for a -8.

  16. Juve9le
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Hey guys,

    I'm stuck there and really need your help on this:

    Krul

    Naylor Baines Bertrand (Wisdom, PvA)
    Sterling ADM Siggy Fab Tadic
    Welbeck Costa (Ulloa)

    Got 0.6 ITB, no FT... Brought Tadic in

    What do you think would be the best?

    Thanks

    1. Juve9le
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Anyone?

    2. laGan1n1
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Costa to Aguero

      1. Juve9le
        12 years, 12 days ago

        cant even do a straight swap ..

        1. laGan1n1
          12 years, 12 days ago

          wc ? 🙁

          1. Juve9le
            12 years, 12 days ago

            Already use... Oamagad I'm terrible at this game ^^

            1. laGan1n1
              12 years, 12 days ago

              just relax and go with this team next week

              then try to get City player and maybe Eriksen

              good luck mate

              1. Juve9le
                12 years, 12 days ago

                Cheers! Gl to you

  17. Ramboo
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Zabaleta

    Pros and Cons? Worth getting over for instance Coleman (already have Baines).

    1. Fantasy Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Zabaleta cons:

      Card magnet
      Awful defender

      Pros:

      Good going forward
      Gets assists

      1. Wirtzle Gummidge
        12 years, 12 days ago

        Same as Wisdom.

  18. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    12 years, 12 days ago

    huge amount of people selling costa

    the no news from mourinho is v annoying. Not sure he is being serious or not when he says he doesn't know how long costa is out for

    1. THE Wild Rover
      12 years, 12 days ago

      If he was out long term I'm sure he would have been bitching about Spain and we would all know about it

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        12 years, 12 days ago

        what day is chelsea press conf for united game?

        1. Fantasy Gold
          12 years, 12 days ago

          Hopefully Maureen talks about Costa after the game tonight

          1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            12 years, 12 days ago

            hope so

    2. Fantasy Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Hate Mourinho.

  19. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
    12 years, 12 days ago

    I want to combine Roma-Bayern to draw with another bet.

    Do anyone have a value bet in the HT/FT section?
    Thinking of Apoel-PSG to be draw at HT/PSG to win at FT

    🙂

    1. Il Gladiatore
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Schalke v Lisbon - draw HT, Schalke FT

    1. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Wild Drover

      Thank you very much

  20. Who Ate All Depays?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 12 days ago

    A) Pelle & Chadli
    B) Berahino & Eriksen

    1. Wirtzle Gummidge
      12 years, 12 days ago

      A

    2. Ridge Forrester
      12 years, 12 days ago

      A

    3. Il Gladiatore
      12 years, 12 days ago

      A

  21. vNistelrooy
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Play Terry(manutd)
    or Wisdom(CRYSTAL) ?

    1. Keno
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Wisdom

    2. Chris_White
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Terry

  22. tinker
    12 years, 12 days ago

    ADM/Sterling/Fab + Welbeck to Aguero + Boyd (-4)
    Worth?

    1. zuzuViking
      12 years, 12 days ago

      I reckon no. I would mostly consider Sterling + Welbeck then.

      The former will on average get you more points over the season, and is less injury prone.

      However, if a big reason is to get a reliable captain choice in, and Agueros points will be doubbled, then perhaps, as he is more explosive and consistent. In anyways I hope Boyd is your 5th mid, and that you have a decent mid.

      Although I am myself contemplating Terry/Sterling/Ulloa to Aguero/Downing/Wisdom.
      Whats your thoughts?

  23. Mak_Gold
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Cheers. I need to downgrade ADM to a cheap fodder to be able to afford Welbeck to Agüero. Only way of getting Agüero while keeping Costa. 🙁

    1. Mak_Gold
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Argh. Reply fail above.

  24. HuttonDressedasLahm
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Interesting to see if Costa is around and about tonight?

  25. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    12 years, 12 days ago

    note to self.......never let a 6 month old get over tired!!

    🙁

    1. Sponge-worthy
      12 years, 12 days ago

      A tragic mistake you made..been There..

      1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        12 years, 12 days ago

        im covered in sweat after a marathon session trying to get him to sleep

    2. zuzuViking
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Trust me, you will remember!

      It may greatly influence research time...

  26. TINO TINO GIVE US A WAVE
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Sakho or welbeck??

    1. Chris_White
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Welbeck

  27. Lyonnais
    12 years, 12 days ago

    My team:

    Begovic, Gilks
    Baines, Clyne, Wisdom, Caulker, Chester
    Fabregas, Sterling, Di Maria, Sigurdsson, Davis
    Costa, Ulloa, Pelle

    1 FT, 2.9 ITB

    So, i've a few options for the next GW:

    A Di Maria + Ulloa ---> Chadli + Aguero (Spurs with nice fixtures. Eriksen would be the better pick, but i've not enough money for him. Di Maria with unfavourable fixtures, but could score regardless of them. Ulloa definitely has to go)

    B Fabregas + Ulloa ---> Downing + Aguero

    C Davis + Ulloa ---> Eriksen + Berahino (3-5-2, I would play Costa + Pelle up front and if Costa is still out Berahino comes from the bench. No Aguero + tough captain decision.

    Thanks in advance !

  28. zuzuViking
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Who makes the biggest swing?

    Sterling + Terry + Ulloa

    or

    Aguero + Downing + Wisdom (for -8)

  29. DynamoTomato
    12 years, 12 days ago

    Would you wildcard?

    Begovic Krul
    Cahill Baines Hutton Wisdom PVA
    Siggy ADM Sterling Zaha Fabregas
    Costa Ulloa Welbeck

    1. laGan1n1
      12 years, 12 days ago

      mope

      1. laGan1n1
        12 years, 12 days ago

        nope*

    2. rickardinho
      12 years, 12 days ago

      Yeah definitely, weak team there

    3. zuzuViking
      12 years, 12 days ago

      No way.

      Why Ulloa?