[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
21 March 2015 2401 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our quest to unearth some overlooked gems this week takes on a decidedly Belgian flavour as we champion a striker and defender from the international Red Devils. West Ham’s Senegalese striker completes our complement of enticing differentials.

Romelu Lukaku

Romelu Lukaku has struggled to replicate the form that earned him a £28 million switch to Everton last summer, netting just one goal in 14 starts prior to last Gameweek. There are signs, however, that the Belgian marksman is starting to rediscover his touch, given that he’s scored in the Toffees’ previous three matches in all competitions. Granted, two of those were converted penalties, yet the confidence garnered from those spot-kicks was apparent for all to see in Everton’s 5-2 Europa League defeat to Dynamo Kiev last night, in which Lukaku equalised with a pinpoint curling strike from just outside the area.

Further to his goal against Newcastle United last time out, the 8.8-priced Lukaku managed more attempts on target (three) than any other Premier League forward in Gameweek 29 and also provided the assist for James McCarthy’s first goal of the season. Everton’s upcoming run of four fixtures (qpr, SOU, swa, BUR) includes the two most obliging defences in the league (QPR and Burnley), providing a platform for the former Chelsea striker to build on his recent momentum. Considering that the R’s haven’t recorded a home clean sheet this year, backing Lukaku to score for the fourth consecutive clash this weekend seems like an astute decision.

Toby Alderweireld

Toby Alderweireld’s return from a hamstring injury offers yet another viable route into Southampton’s resilient rearguard. No team has seen their defence breached on fewer occasions (21) than Ronald Koeman’s outfit this term, so it’s no wonder Saints trio Nathaniel Clyne (35%), Ryan Bertrand (19%) and Jose Fonte (14%) are among the three most heavily-backed defenders in the Fantasy Premier League.

Alderweireld (4.7) comes with the obvious upside that he’s priced well below the other starters in Southampton’s defence – his central defensive partner Fonte, for instance, will set you back 1.2 more than the Belgian. With pivotal double Gameweeks on the horizon, sourcing value in defence to facilitate the purchase of heavy-hitting midfielders and forwards will be on many managers’ agendas.

Three clean sheets in Southampton’s last six outings strengthens Alderweireld’s case for inclusion. As does the fact that Saints go head-to-head with two of the leagues’ bottom-five scoring teams (Burnley and Hull) in their upcoming schedule (BUR, eve, HUL, sto) as Koeman’s side look to get their bid for a top four finish back on track.

Diafra Sakho

Having faced six of the top seven sides in the last seven Gameweeks, West Ham enjoy a relatively smooth run-in that includes only two teams (Manchester City and Stoke City) currently occupying berths in the league’s upper echelons. The Hammers will look to bounce back from their seven-match winless streak when they entertain Sunderland at the Boleyn Ground this Saturday, as Diafra Sakho searches for his first goal in four starts.

With Enner Valencia still sidelined by virtue of a lacerated foot, Sakho shoulders much of the goalscoring burden for the misfiring Irons. Although the Senegal international has offered little cause for celebration in recent weeks, his underlying stats reveal a knack for engineering attempts on goal – in the past four Gameweeks, only QPR’s Charlie Austin (22) has fashioned more shots than Sakho (17), with the Hammers man producing more attempts from inside the box than any player during that period. Priced at just 5.4 in FPL, Sakho could be a real bargain option if he can start tucking away his numerous opportunities.

2,401 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Boss Hogg
    11 years, 7 months ago

    I can only play one of these this week. But which one?

    a. Clichy
    b. Vertonghen

    ?

    1. Chris_White
      11 years, 7 months ago

      a

      1. mookie
        11 years, 7 months ago

        +1

    2. Coldplay
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Vert

    3. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Vert

  2. Just A Wooden Spoon
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Which one to bench:

    A. Sanchez (new)

    or

    B. Sakho (SUN)

    Currently on A..

    1. Boss Hogg
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Of those 2, Sanchez.

      Is there really no one else?

    2. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Neither, you shouldn't be putting yourself in positions where you have to bench players of this calibre!

      1. Just A Wooden Spoon
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Hear what you're saying but my rank hasn't changed for the last 12 GW's so thinking of taking a few punts. Sanchez only 1 goal in last 4 games so benching him doesn't feel like too big a gamble.

  3. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 7 months ago

    The plan was to swap Sanchez for Mane next week(Costa cash) and save my transfer this week.. with all this rest talk would you do it a week early for free instead?

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I'd still save

  4. dehat
    11 years, 7 months ago

    which one keep ?
    a)ozil
    b)cazorla

    1. Chinu
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Ozil

    2. Boss Hogg
      11 years, 7 months ago

      A

    3. mookie
      11 years, 7 months ago

      A ainec imo

  5. Chinu
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Start Naughton or Hutton? Also Fabianski starting as goalie if that matters.
    Thanks!

    1. Boss Hogg
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Naughton.

      I don't think Hutton will start by the way.

    2. stilicho
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Hutton

    3. La Roja
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Naughton

    4. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Hutton

  6. Boss Hogg
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Captain choice boils down to one of these three:

    a. Hazard
    b. Kane
    C. Aguero

    But which one?

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 months ago

      C just over B then A

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 months ago

        This

    2. Chinu
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Kane edges it for me, simply going on his form.

  7. Four Four Boyz
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Another week and no clue what to do. Are people preparing for the villa / QPR double or not too worried about them as villas fixtures are rubbish and QPR can't be trusted? I am thinking some form of villa player will come in this week but just don't know if it's worth chasing the double

    1. stilicho
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I reckon one of Austin/Benteke will be worth a short term punt, other than those two I don't think there's much to get excited about.

    2. davies
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I've brought in Mahrez for Boyd. Had the money, 2FT and gives an extra DGW player.

    3. Valar(Keith)
      11 years, 7 months ago

      i like Austin and Phillips.. can see some points there. Need to be able to bench someone to starts phillips though(good stats and in form)

  8. waldo666
    11 years, 7 months ago

    2 FT and 1.8 ITB

    Krul
    Zouma Clyne Bellerin
    Hazard Sanchez Silva Eriksen
    Aguero Kane Austin

    Foster* PVA Cork Dawson

    A) Foster -> Forster
    B) Foster -> Myhill
    C) Foster -> Someone else

    Thoughts much appreciated

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. johnbarnes
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Foster>Krul's backup. GK rotations are a mistake, imo. Just gives you an extra headache on Saturdays.

  9. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Good morning!

    Which transfer?

    A) PvA to Aldy
    B) Sanchez to Mane

    1 ft, 0.9 in the bank

    Forster (Hamer)
    Terry, Bellerin, Jones (Pva, Dawson)
    Hazard, Cazorla, Sanchez, Silva (Boyd)
    Aguero, Kane, Austin

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 months ago

      C) Save

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks! Think my defence is good enough this week or do you not fancy doubling up on SOU def?

        1. waldo666
          11 years, 7 months ago

          It couldn't hurt but I think have 2FT next GW will be more valuable

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            11 years, 7 months ago

            Thanks!

    2. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      A) and play Alderweireld over Jones imo

      1. waldo666
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Definitely this though out of the 2

      2. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks!

  10. Lawrø
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Good to go chaps? 😀

    Pants
    Terry, Koscielny, Naughton
    Sanchez, Cazorla, Silva, Hazard
    Kane, Aguero, Austin

    Boyd, Dawson, Haidara

    Anything worth the hit? (0.3itb)

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Gtg, lad

    2. FPLSuarridge
      11 years, 7 months ago

      giroud?

      1. Lawrø
        11 years, 7 months ago

        I know, I fear him immensely but already have triple Arsenal so it's difficult to accommodate him.

  11. johnbarnes
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Myhill
    JT-Clyne-Bellerin
    Haz-Sanchez-Silva-Eriksen
    Sakho-Kane(c)-Kun

    Downing, PVA, Wisdom - 1FT; 0 itb

    I dare you to say s/thing negative about my team.

    1. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Okay

      That front 8 is too expensive, I just could not bench Downing this gameweek!

      1. johnbarnes
        11 years, 7 months ago

        I usually bench Sakho and play Downing (my love for Downing this year borders the illegal), but I'm buying into the good stats argument for Sakho, and I want to give him a try.

    2. Hymie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 months ago

      You'll welcome a Sanchez rest

      1. johnbarnes
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Well I have Stewie coming off the bench in that case - which might turn out to be a blessing in disguise (depending on Dick Advocaat's defensive tactics)!

  12. FPLSuarridge
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Hi guys hovering around 5k in my 2nd season. Need some help.

    Panti
    Ivanovic Bellerin Wollschied
    Hazard(vc) Silva Ozil Eriksen
    Giroud(c) Kane Aguero

    Lloris Moses Janmaat Dawson

    1) Play panti or lloris?
    2) Wollschied out for Toby for -4?

    1. johnbarnes
      11 years, 7 months ago

      1) lloris obviously.
      2) no.

  13. megatronaldinho
    11 years, 7 months ago

    i went sanchez to mané as my free transfer this week but i'm an imbecile who doesn't value points, so follow my footsteps at your peril 😀

    1. megatronaldinho
      11 years, 7 months ago

      also, i sold mané last week, so not only do i spit in the face of fate, i do so while wearing an 'i'm with stupid' t-shirt with the arrow pointing straight up at my own fat head

      1. Darth
        11 years, 7 months ago

        🙂

      2. Jönny
        11 years, 7 months ago

        😆 I did Giroud and Mane to Austin and Eriksen, and if it wasn't for the way the doubles have fallen I'd be seriously considering doing the reverse next week. Gotta be able to admit your mistakes sometimes!

  14. Areid13
    11 years, 7 months ago

    HELP!! Captain?
    A) Aguero
    B) Kane
    C) Giroud
    D) Downing
    E) Hazard
    F) Sanchez

    Cheers

    1. La Roja
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Lol

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 months ago

      A

    3. FPLSuarridge
      11 years, 7 months ago

      C?

  15. Boss Hogg
    11 years, 7 months ago

    I hope Leicester have a clear First choice goalkeeper in 2 weeks time.

    If so, I'm buying him!

  16. Gurra
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Good to go?

    Myhill
    Terry Clark Clyne
    Eriksen Hazard Silva Cazorla
    Austin Aguero Kane

    Foster Pieters Boyd Bruce

    3,3m ITB & 1Ft

  17. dehat
    11 years, 7 months ago

    and which one bring ?
    a)downing
    b)henderson

    1. Chris_White
      11 years, 7 months ago

      a

    2. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      A)

  18. Chris_White
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Keep Ozil or get Silva?

    1. Rhinos
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Keep, I don't get the dilemma to be honest

      1. Chris_White
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Chance of rest + blank upcoming

        1. Rhinos
          11 years, 7 months ago

          Ozil won't be rested there is virtually no chance

    2. La Roja
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Silva

    3. FPLSuarridge
      11 years, 7 months ago

      keep

    4. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Get Silva if it's for free imo

  19. Le Blues
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Transfer in Sinclair or Nzogbia or save and play Austin?

    1. FPLSuarridge
      11 years, 7 months ago

      save?

    2. Billy Ketsu
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Play Austin, fer fook's sake. Save your transfer for next week.

    3. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Save...

  20. Rhinos
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Play Caz or Bellerin? Fancy cs but benching Caz seems silly

    1. FPLSuarridge
      11 years, 7 months ago

      caz

    2. Lawrø
      11 years, 7 months ago

      You know what one is the "correct'' decision.

      1. Rhinos
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Most definitely 😆

  21. Momo1987
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez will punish his sellers today. 19 pointer incoming...

    1. Hymie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I'm tossing up whether to sell for Mane or captain him!

  22. Dangerous Dave
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Siggy or Mane?

    1. mookie
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Siggy for me

  23. davies
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Hazard's (c) %?

    Hazard a guess.

  24. badpiq
    11 years, 7 months ago

    reason why should bring (again) Downing a.s.a.p. to the rest of season:

    https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=id&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Ffandom.id%2Fanalisis%2Fgames%2F2015%2F03%2Ffantasy-premier-league-gameweek-30-saatnya-membeli-downing%2F&edit-text=

    article's in Bahasa Indonesia, use googletranslate to English.

    goodluck, mates! 😀

    1. stilicho
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 months ago

      That sounds like a lot of effort for an article about Stewart Downing.

  25. jpdyolf
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Clichy or Rose? I know clichy is always a gamble just to feature.

  26. Darth
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Right, Hazard captain for me, want to try and rise in the rankings and I have enough of a lead in my mini leagues to take a risk. Thinkers crossed.

  27. Kroos Kontrol
    11 years, 7 months ago

    2 FTs

    Krul
    Terry Koscielny Wollscheid
    Sterling Hazard Eriksen Sanchez
    Aguero Austin Kane

    Foster(INJ) Boyd PVA Dawson

    What to do? I was initially planning on taking out Eriksen.

  28. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Now i've reached the point where i'm weighing how angry i'll be if
    A) I keep Sanchez and he's benched and Mane scores a hatful
    B) I sell Sanchez and he starts and scores and Mane blanks
    🙂

    1. megatronaldinho
      11 years, 7 months ago

      that's the way to go. quantify your potential regret. then multiply that number by the odds of that player scoring.
      disclaimer:i have no grasp of mathematics and/or logic

  29. fijuhmon
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Pants,
    Clyne, Bellerin, Azpi, Rose
    Eriksen, Sanchez, HAzard
    Kane, Aguero, Giroud

    Krul, Puncheon, Boyd, Dawson

    2FT, 0.9 itb. What to do with my freebie?

  30. Kuqi Monster
    11 years, 7 months ago

    puncheon out for siggy or mane?