[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
8 August 2015 2041 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We’ve decided to roll back a few seasons and start turning to our bookmaker friends at Paddy Power for some last minute guidance ahead of Saturday’s deadline.

Each week we’ll present Paddy’s clean sheet and Anytime Goalscorer odds as another variable to consider as we hurtle towards the 11.45 cut-off.

Before soaking them up, you owe it to yourself to check out Paddy’s pre-season specials before a ball is kicked.

If you’ve yet to register with Paddy and fancy a flutter on the outright Premier League winner, they’re offering a hugely generous 8/1 on Chelsea and 12/1 on Man City amongst others, with a maximum bet of £10. Plus, via this bet, you can qualify for a free £10 weekly bet for the rest of the season. Check out the T&C’s on that one.

Paddy is also dangling enhanced odds on the Premier League top goalscorer, with a maximum bet of £20. This includes Sergio Aguero at a massive 10/1 and both Harry Kane and Wayne Rooney at 40/1.

Finally, there’s also an enhanced treble for Sunday’s matches, with odds 30/1 on the table for wins for Southampton at Newcastle, Arsenal against West Ham and Liverpool at Stoke. There’s a maximum bet of £10 on that one.

Lay down your stake on that little lot, then take in Paddy’s odds for clean sheets and goalscorers over the Gameweek…

Anytime Goalscorer Odds – Gameweek Six

Player Team Odds
Costa CHE 1.72
Giroud ARS 1.8
Aguero MCI 1.83
Walcott ARS 1.9
Rooney MUN 2
Bony MCI 2
Lukaku EVE 2.1
Hernandez MUN 2.25
Remy CHE 2.25
Falcao CHE 2.25
Hazard CHE 2.25
Wilson BOU 2.37
Benteke LIV 2.37
Ozil ARS 2.4
Kermorgant BOU 2.5

Notwithstanding the question marks over his fitness, Diego Costa (1.72) has been pinpointed as the main man by Paddy in Gameweek 1. Considering that the Blues play host to a Swansea outfit they scored nine past last term, it’s no surprise that Loic Remy, Radamel Falcao and Eden Hazard (all 2.25) also rank highly.

Olivier Giroud had to settle for bench duty in the Community Shield, but that hasn’t deterred Paddy from tipping the Frenchman at 1.80 – the fact that Giroud’s bagged five goals in as many starts against the Hammers certainly strengthens his case for inclusion. In the knowledge that the Gunners won the corresponding fixture 3-0 last season and scored 2.15 goals per home match on average, Theo Walcott (1.90) and Mesut Ozil (2.40) are also handed short odds.

Passed fit by manager Manuel Pellegrini – but unlikely to start due to a lack of match fitness – Sergio Aguero is backed to net at 1.83. Wilfried Bony is poised to spearhead the Sky Blues’ attack if the Argentine marksman misses out, with odds of 2.00 reflecting Paddy’s confidence in the former Swans frontman to hit form.

Pitched in line with Bony at 2.00, Wayne Rooney is favoured to continue his hot streak at Old Trafford, having notched 11 of his 12 goals at home in the previous campaign.

In the mid-priced forward bracket, Romelu Lukaku (2.10) and Christian Benteke (2.37) could serve as key differentials during the opening batch of fixtures, although the former faces a late fitness test on his hamstring. Meanwhile, Bournemouth’s dream start at home to Aston Villa has encouraged 6.3% of Fantasy managers to recruit Cherries hitman Callum Wilson (2.37), with the 0.2%-owned Yann Kermorgant (2.50) earmarked as the second-biggest goal threat for the south coast side.

Clean Sheet Odds – Gameweek Six

Team Odds
Chelsea 1.8
Arsenal 1.9
Man United 2.29
Manchester City 2.29
Leicester 2.37
Everton 2.4
Bournemouth 2.5
Liverpool 2.75
Norwich 2.87
Southampton 3

Chelsea – who placed joint-first for home shut-outs (11) – sit atop the summit at 1.80. The fact that the Swans ranked 19th for shots inside the box away from home (100) offers further encouragement for investors in the champions’ pricey rearguard starters.

Arsenal are second favourites to batten down the hatches at 1.90. The north London club’s defence was breached just 14 times at the Emirates, with just three of these arriving in their concluding eight fixtures. Consequently, Laurent Koscielny and Per Metersacker currently sit sixth and seventh, respectively, in the Fantasy Premier League defender ownership leaderboard.

Paddy fancy United’s chances of silencing Harry Kane at 2.29, even without the influential presence of David De Gea between the sticks. City, meanwhile, can be backed at the same price to rebuff West Brom’s new-look forward line, despite the likely absence of Argentinian duo Pablo Zabaleta and Martin Demichelis in the starting XI.

Further down the list, Leicester City are backed at 2.37 to continue where they left off last term, when they racked up five clean sheets in their final seven fixtures. Priced a little longer at 2.40, Everton’s settled back four could make life tough for Watford, who’ve undergone an extensive makeover in the close season, bringing in 11 new faces.

Bournemouth (2.50) and Norwich City (2.87) are tipped for a smooth transition to the top tier. The Cherries conceded the fewest goals among the newly promoted outfits and enjoy an excellent run of fixtures up to a Gameweek 9 clash against Manchester City. As for the Canaries, they’ll need to display impressive diligence to shield against an Eagles side that ranked sixth for goals scored (27) after Alan Pardew’s appointment.

Finally, of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions on the bets. Also, if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

2,041 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Arsenal@Gunners
    11 years, 2 months ago

    roonet or depay
    kane/chadli
    hendo/tekkers

    1. S.Kuqi
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Roo
      Kane
      Tekkers

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Rooney, Chadli, Tekkers.

      1. davies
        11 years, 2 months ago

        This.

    3. jayzico
      11 years, 2 months ago

      D
      C
      T

    4. matpower_
      11 years, 2 months ago

      On the left for each

    5. turd ferguson
      11 years, 2 months ago

      depay, kane, tekkers

  2. Baggers
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Play Chadli or Darmian?

    1. jayzico
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Chadli

      1. Baggers
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Reedy
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Chadli

      1. Baggers
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks matey

    3. Belsunz
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Chadli

      1. Baggers
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks Belsunz Chadli it is 🙂

    4. Gatsby
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Chadli all day

  3. davies
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Any value in Cech?

    1. Reedy
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Negative. Stek/Myhill better than Cech/4m for same price.

  4. Reedy
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Just made 6 changes. MUST stop tinkering

    1. Art Vandelay
      11 years, 2 months ago

      I have lost count of how many I have made. Already forgotten the team I had this morning...

      1. Reedy
        11 years, 2 months ago

        🙂

  5. Art Vandelay
    11 years, 2 months ago

    A) Chadli, Pelle and Sterling (plus 0.5 to my be upgrade Ozil to Walcott)

    Or

    B) Kane, Mane and Hederson.

    Cheers and GL for the season

    1. Reedy
      11 years, 2 months ago

      B I think. GL!

      1. Art Vandelay
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Thank you.

        That is what I am on now but would like to have Sterlinng to make 2 City viable for GW 4 without WC.

        aargh!

    2. Sebastian Rooks
      11 years, 2 months ago

      B for sure Kane and Pelle on par
      mane top goals to gane ratio
      henderson bossing set pieces plus nailed on might be worth it to consider milner but hendo has pens too on balance.

      1. Art Vandelay
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks for the detailed and helpful reply.

  6. matpower_
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Any nailed on 4.5 mids not from saints or arsenal?

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Bentaleb

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Surman.

    3. Art Vandelay
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Bentaleb, Westwood close enough

    4. NATSTER
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Wanyama

      1. NATSTER
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Oh, NOT from.

        Sorry.

  7. Wej
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Simple question - apologies if it's been discussed before...

    Bellerin vs Mertesacker?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Mert.

    2. matpower_
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Interested in this. I've gone mert. Don't want a week 3 headache when debuchy pops in (seems more likely than Gabriel doing so)

    3. Belsunz
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Short term: Bellerin
      Long term: Mert

    4. Salfpilgrimlfc
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Mert

    5. Wej
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks all. I think I'm going to go Mert

  8. donbenjam
    11 years, 2 months ago

    RMT Please Help...

    Stekelenburg

    Koralov / Huth / Francis

    Walcott / Haz / Mane / Ozil*

    Rooney / Benteke / Deeney

    Bench - Ruddy / Wanyama / Alderweild / Haidara

    I AM THINKING - of swapping Ozil for Sterling? What do you think? Sterling might play up front..?

    1. Salfpilgrimlfc
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Wally for sterling would be better but i have wally and ozil currently

  9. Belsunz
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Will the rumoured arrival of Rondon have an impact on Lambert? Any better alternatives for 6M?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Probably means they'll sell Berahino.

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Get Wilson.

  10. bly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 2 months ago

    A - Ivan, Hendo, Pelle
    B - Azpi, Mane, Tekkers

  11. wendty
    11 years, 2 months ago

    One last decision to make. Which combo would your prefer for first three game weeks:

    A. Azi/Mert/Wilson (bourn)
    B. Francis/Prodl/Pelle

  12. andres
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Huth or coates for 4th def?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Huth.

      1. heylo
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Why?

        1. Gregor
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          11 years, 2 months ago

          Nailed, goal threat, Leicester got tight after he joined, underpriced in my opinion.

          1. heylo
            11 years, 2 months ago

            Would you rte him over Morgan then?

            1. Gregor
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              11 years, 2 months ago

              Yes, though either is good.

  13. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Just saw with disappointment there's no late match tonight.

    Greedy?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Chelsea vs Swans?

    2. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 2 months ago

      late match or the 5.30 Chelsea Swans game?

      1. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Oh man ignore me. My page was on gw3 haha

        1. Scoredelario
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 2 months ago

          *gw2. I'll get my coat

          1. Gregor
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            11 years, 2 months ago

            No late game in weeks 2 and 3 is bloody annoying, screw Monday Night Football!

  14. hazza44
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Hey guys, last minute tips and thoughts on my team would be great

    Ruddy (Butland)

    Mert Aspi Huth (Francis Coates)

    Walcott Sterling Hazard Chadli (Wanyama)

    Pelle Rooney Sahko (0.0mil ITB)

    Cheers :).

  15. davies
    11 years, 2 months ago

    A) Steklenburg/Bellerin
    B) Cech/Cedric

    1. mrpink32
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Cech cedric

  16. Saosin
    11 years, 2 months ago

    A) Mane + Deeney

    B) Milner + Sakho

  17. heylo
    11 years, 2 months ago

    I've been staring at this team for like 10 hours, and I've made one change.

    Not sure if good indication or bad.

    1. Reedy
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Good IMO. Take it as a sign you can't improve on it.

      1. heylo
        11 years, 2 months ago

        🙂

  18. SweeSwee
    11 years, 2 months ago

    A) Sakho
    B) Wilson

  19. chris79327
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Schmeichel

    Kos Clyne Huth

    Wally Bolasie Hazard Chadli

    Rooney Pelle Benteke

    Butland, Cedric, Wanyama, Francis

    Think this is my final draft but would appreciate some expert advice.

  20. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Guys last question - Hennessey or McCarthy?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      McCarthy.

  21. DameCorp
    11 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    Ruddy
    Azpi - Mert - Huth
    Haz (c) - Ozil - Mane - Mahrez
    Kun - Roo - Wilson

    Rudd - Coates - Targett - Benteleb

  22. OptimusBlack
    11 years, 2 months ago

    RMT out of 10

    Ruddy ( Rudd)

    Francis - Cédric - Azpilicueta ( Coates - Huth )

    Hazard -Sterling - Walcott - Ritchie (Bentaleb)

    Pellè - Ronney - Benteke

  23. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 2 months ago

    A) Chadli + Ritchie
    B) Mane + Sinclair

    Want Chadli long term but dont like his GW 1 fixture. Hoping Ritchie makes up for it.
    Not sure i trust Sinclair even though i expect Mane to do really well.

    Tricky

    1. OptimusBlack
      11 years, 2 months ago

      A

  24. suicidalidol
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone have a last minute fitness update on Lukaku? Don't wanna go into GW1 with someone who's not gonna play. Is Pelle the best alternative? (already have Cedric and Mane, don't wanna be too over reliant on saints)

  25. #WinterIsNotComing
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Mata or Depay?

    1. heylo
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Depay

  26. Camp No No
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Crazy to go without Arsenal?

    1. Hamstergod
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 2 months ago

      yep

    2. heylo
      11 years, 2 months ago

      very

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Brave.

  27. Hamstergod
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Rate My Team believes I should bench Sakho and play Mahrez, what do you think?

    1. Mr Pink
      11 years, 2 months ago

      I agree with RMT there

      1. Hamstergod
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Both too good to sit on the bench.

  28. Mr Pink
    11 years, 2 months ago

    If I get Hazard, he´ll be downgraded to a 9.0 or 8.5 after 1-2 GWs. Similarly if I spend my "Aguero-money" elsewhere.

    So, last tweak boils down to:

    A) Hazard and Cedrid

    B) Sterling and Pelle

    What say you wise people?

    1. Hamstergod
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 2 months ago

      A should give you more points in the long run

      1. Mr Pink
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Problem is that I´m set on getting Aguero in for GW3/4, meaning that either Hazard becomes Sterling/Cesc/Depay or someone, or Pelle becomes Sakho. Either way it is a short term solution until I WC.

        1. Hamstergod
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 2 months ago

          hard to say then, maybe based on early fixtures B could be better

          1. Mr Pink
            11 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks. Whatever I choose I´m sure I´ll regret it. Nature of this game. 😉

            1. Hamstergod
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              11 years, 2 months ago

              exactly, plus GW 1 results usually break down most plans

              in any case I wish you good luck!

              1. Mr Pink
                11 years, 2 months ago

                Thanks. Good luck to you too.

  29. Saints Alive
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Who will play in goal for Palace this weekend?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      McCarthy IMO.

  30. Boothy
    11 years, 2 months ago

    Henderson or Milner....

    1. Mr Pink
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Flip a coin. I´m on Milner for what it´s worth.

      1. Boothy
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Henderson it is then 😉

        1. Mr Pink
          11 years, 2 months ago

          Because of the coin, or because of my choice? 😉

          1. Boothy
            11 years, 2 months ago

            Neither. I always had Hendo, Just wanted to know everyone's thoughts. He is a must have IMO. Better than Chadli & Milner....

    2. heylo
      11 years, 2 months ago

      Blindfoldedly picked Milner

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 2 months ago

      The only way I can separate them is that less people own Milner.

      1. Boothy
        11 years, 2 months ago

        Hendo it is then 😉 He takes pens.