[sbu_large_image] Opinion
11 September 2015 693 comments
J0E J0E
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In previous years, Fantasy managers have been spoiled with bandwagons that proved to be strong, season-long sources of points.

From Harry Kane’s 21 goals for Spurs last term, to Grant Holt, who scored 15 goals for Norwich in 2011/12, these often-cheap players have that rare ability to help define a Fantasy season. With the likes of Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson and Swansea’s Bafetimbi Gomis and Andrew Ayew currently attracting points and owners we ask the burning question: which early season bandwagon has the most potential for the long haul?

Jonty says…
Looking at previous seasons’ three key criteria for success emerge. The first is that they play for a good, top four or thereabouts team.

The second is are they central to the attacking play of their team, irrespective of the team’s chances of Premier League success. In short will they be the next Grant Holt or Charlie Austin?

The third is are they nailed on, the first rule of Fantasy management.

Judging the current bandwagons’ prospects for longevity against these three critieria, I am not convinced that the game’s most transferred-in midfielder, Leicester’s Riyad Mahrez, can maintain his form.

Leicester are not a top four side, so will have dips of form and have yet to face any top sides at the top of their game. Can they beat Manchester United again this season? Can they defeat Chelsea or Manchester City? I’m not convinced.

Also, Leicester do not rely only on Mahrez, with Marc Albrighton and Jamie Vardy among other strong prospects in a team managed, after all, by a man with the nickname “The Tinkerman”. Nathan Dyer’s deadline day move to the Foxes from Swansea also places further question marks over the pitch time of Leicester’s widemen.

The most transferred in defender, Aleksandar Kolarov, is another that fails my test.

Sure he plays for a top four side but while important to Manchester City’s play, he is not integral. This is a team with Sergio Aguero, Yaya Toure, David Silva, Raheem Sterling and now Kevin de Bruyne. In addition, when Gael Clichy recovers from injury he will offer a strong rotation threat, particularly when Champions League congestion strikes.

This season I believe the longest lasting bandwagons will be the game’s most transferred in striker, Bafetimbi Gomis, who is rotation-free and the focal point of his team’s attack. Swansea also look strong this season, beating Manchester United and drawing with Chelsea already. I think they could easily finish in the top six on current form, which bodes well for Gomis.

Andy85wsm says…
One of the reasons I and many others earmarked Harry Kane for bandwagon success early on last season was because he played for Tottenham Hotspur. Being good value for money and in one of the better Premier League teams is always going to help with prolonged bandwagon success in my view.

For that reason I have to look towards Andre Ayew or Bafetimbi Gomis as the players who have the potential for the long haul. Swansea finished 8th last season and I would bet on them finishing similar if not better this season.

The other candidates, like Riyad Mahrez, are obviously great value right now but I don’t see Leicester providing this kind of consistency throughout the rest of the season.

With Ayew and Gomis priced at £7.2m and £7.4m respectively they’re strong early additions to your team and are providing excellent value for money. If Ayew keeps dropping in as a second striker then he will continue to provide excellent returns at a decent price. While Gomis might not have had a double figure haul yet, he’s currently producing points at more than six per game and that is fantastic returns for the price.

Ultimately I have to make a decision, and I hate to come to the same conclusion as Jonty but I do think that Gomis has the biggest potential for being a long-term bandwagon success.

He’s the main man up front for a side likely to finish inside the top eight and I don’t see him losing too much game time to the likes of Eder. Couple that with penalties and we could get many happy returns far into the season. He’s already in my FPL team, the Ultimate game and was my first striker in a draft game I’m playing. Unless something goes horribly wrong he’ll probably be there for a good while longer.

Dufflinks (aka FPL 2014/15 champion Simon March)…
One thing I really subscribe to is idea of looking at the team first before the player, the logic being that the qualities of the overall team can either limit or amplify the output of an individual player.

Along with identifying value, I feel this process is also useful for sense-checking form and forecasting the long-term potential of talent. Any player can explode in a given Gameweek but, for scoring to be sustainable, that player needs to be in a team that will help accentuate and not restrict his output.

The next thing I like to look for is how involved a player is in the overall play of that team. Are they a key attacking outlet? Are they positioned as a central source of creativity? Are they on set-pieces or penalties? These are solid, tangible factors which help to transcend team or player form and help to identify long-term value.

Applying these criteria to the current ‘bandwagons’, Riyad Mahrez stands out as a player who not only has individual ability but, also, in the likes of Jamie Vardy and Marc Albrighton, team-mates with the quality to help him to sustain his output. Mahrez also appears to top the order for penalties and free kicks at Leicester and looks a strong candidate to maintain a solid return of points.

Of the bandwagons currently in motion, others who could qualify by this criteria might include Gomis, Kolarov and Ayew. Despite their obvious ability, I feel I need to see more of Callum Wilson, Dimitri Payet and Ross Barkley and the overall form of their respective teams to feel totally convinced by these players as long-term options.

Spencer says…
Andre Ayew has the potential to remain a bandwagon for the long haul due to three key factors. Firstly, Swansea may be a small club but it’s well run and has always seemed comfortable with its Premier League status. This offers Ayew the perfect building block to carry on his good early season form.

The second is his manager, who favours an entertaining and fluid style of football that has typified the Swans since their rise up the divisions into the top flight. This enables players like Ayew, who are attack minded, to shine.

Thirdly, we can look at the past, where former Swansea favourite Michu finished the sixth best midfielder in terms of Fantasy Premier League points in his debut season. Ayew looks primed to emulate his success based on Swansea’s track record of nurturing attacking talent.

With goals already against Chelsea and Manchester United, I can see this bandwagon rolling for a long time yet.

Paul says….
From an editorial perspective, I’d love to differ from some of the above answers purely for the sake of variety but I have to go with Andre Ayew.

For me, there are a number of reasons.

As I mentioned in the recent Big Numbers article on Midfielders, Ayew arrived with an 18.3% goal conversion record for Marseille last season – a clear sign of his capability in and around the box.

In part, this was down to the creative endeavours of Dimitri Payet, who served up chances aplenty for the Ligue 1 side, with Ayew scoring ten times. This time around, he has Jonjo Shelvey, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Jefferson Montero all chipping in – Shelvey is second for midfielders with 14 key passes, whilst the latter two have created eight scoring chances apiece. So far, this has seen Ayew’s minute per attempt jump from last year’s 43.2 to 27.5 minutes in his first four outings for the Welsh club.

Having scored against Chelsea and United, he’s already passed the fixture-proof test.

As we saw against United, Ayew will also benefit when Garry Monk rolls out a midfield diamond and is clearly the default partner for Bafetimbi Gomis when Swansea move to two up front.

When comparing him to Gomis, two factors fall in his favour from a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) perspective. Ayew has outscored the Frenchman by six bonus points to one so far – that’s despite the latter finding the net in all four of the first Gameweeks. With his midfield classification offering more points for goals and helping him benefit from clean sheets, the Swans summer signing is the standout candidate for me.

Mark says….
I make no apologies for getting carried away by this season’s bandwagons. I’ve been stung before by doubting the credentials of players who stand out early on, only to find that I’m then reluctant to back down and pay considerably more for their services than many other, less hesitant FPL managers. I think this clouds my judgement somewhat.

Reluctantly I have to admit that I have doubts that all the current bandwagons in my squad – Wilson, Mahrez, Gomis, Ayew and Kolarov can sustain their current output levels. However, with the heavy-hitters yet to fire, I don’t regret jumping on board.

Who will I hold over the season? In truth, I’ll probably cling to all of them for too long and this will likely be my downfall. However, I do believe that each one has the potential to go on presenting strong value.

Both Gomis and Mahrez have penalties to smooth out the rough patches of form and both are integral, first choice components in teams that put emphasis on good attacking football.

The same could be said for Ayew who, unanimously, appears to be the selection singled out by the writers above. I’ve just acquired him – I’m not going to argue with his potential to go on delivering.

Then there’s Kolarov and Wilson – these two are the most fragile.

The Serbian is well known to me and, while he’s cemented in City’s XI, he’ll go on delivering returns at one end of the pitch, if not both. Clichy’s return to fitness will change that, however.

As for Wilson, his hat-trick at West Ham and flashy finish against Leicester underlined his potential but it would be naive not to expect him to suffer a barren run given that even Kane endured a severe dry spell last season. Even so, having snapped him up for 5.4, I can afford to ride that out and turn to my fifth midfielder for potential cover.

That’s the real appeal of this season’s bandwagons – many of them – Mahrez, Wilson and Kolaorv in particular – come in at such a low price point we can afford to get on board without fear that we’re being taken for a ride. They don’t restrict investment elsewhere in our squads and if we supplement them with performing heavy-hitters, they’ll do their jobs as budget/mid-price assets.

The trick is to know if and when to get rid.

I fear that I could one of the many managers who stay on board just that little bit too long and miss opportunities elsewhere but I’m hoping that it will be our strategy with the heavy-hitters, not the mid-price bandwagons, that decides this campaign.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

693 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. The Chosen One...
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    De Gea lad

  2. bailllie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    WC team draft 2.something...

    Bego / Butland

    Kolarov / Cresswell / Dawson / Francis / Targett

    Sanchez / Silva / Mahrez / Ayew / Behrami

    Aguero / Gomis / Wilson

    Advice please. Not sure about defense.

    1. No Pirlo No Party
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Looks decent. Not keen on Targett - a transfer waiting to happen. Any money in the bank?

      1. bailllie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Yep I know that Bertrand will be back soon.O.1 ITB. Could swap Cresswell to Williams / Naughton and upgrade targett?

        1. No Pirlo No Party
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          I am currently on Kolarov - Williams - Cresswell - Francis - 4.5

          1. bailllie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Good defence, I want a WBA player though and thinking that Dawson is most nailed on. .

            1. No Pirlo No Party
              • 16 Years
              10 years, 5 months ago

              You're right. Dawson is the most nailed on - but for me the West Brom defence is a wait and see what happens. Just a shame that they have brought in Evans when I am on a WC or Olsson would be in my team.

              1. bailllie
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 5 months ago

                Agreed

  3. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Real Madrid fecked up

  4. Heydudes13
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    David De Gea! David De Gea!

  5. Forza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Manchester United unveil new Ed Woodward statue outside the stadium.

  6. Parm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    DAVID DE GEA

  7. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    DE GEA IS A RED! BUZZING

  8. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Well this DDG news is really bizarre, how did they pull that off?

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      The cynical part of me is saying they are going to sell to Madrid for more now in the Summer

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thats what the journos are saying on twitter. Big fee next summer

      2. BabyB
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        yeah this was my first though. Get him to sign a new contract with a buyout fee in it.

        De Gea gets an increased wage and Man U get a return on their investment. Solid business move for both IMO.

    2. pompeyfan
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      probably by saying he won't play unless he signs. Salary increase probably helped too

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Harsh world.

    3. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      £££££££££

    4. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Wage increase, loyalty bonus and clear escape clause to Madrid

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Ah yes, with a what, maybe £35m release clause?

  9. Ziegler1988
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Miguel Delaney ‏@MiguelDelaney now
    Mourinho on Courtois: "As a consequence of that he'll be out for quite a long time. I can't be more specific now."
    0 retweets 0 favorites
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    Miguel Delaney ‏@MiguelDelaney 23s23 seconds ago
    Mourinho: "No injury problems from national teams, but Courtois injured in training. Cannot tell you much but needs surgery."

  10. Jose's Magic Omelette
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Courtois having surgery on his right knee. Out for a "long time" according to José.

  11. The Light Knight
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    All hail Ed Woodward
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qdMFz-W5HaA

  12. HamezMace
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    All morning trying to figure out how to get Begovic in my team, now all afternoon will be spent trying to get DDG in...you troll!

    1. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You need both in rotation 😀

  13. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Will still be sold in the summer, just for a bigger fee 🙂

    1. The Chosen One...
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Will probably sold for the biggest fee ever for a keeper

    2. The Light Knight
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Madrid to offer £1 under release clause on deadline day 2016 😉

    3. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Real Madrid deserve this

  14. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Wonder what happened when Bale and Suarez signed contracts. Contracts mean nothing. If anything, there's probably a clear buy clause for Madrid.

    1. The Chosen One...
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Still think he's going, but should go for 30m plus

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Probably in the 25m region. He won't go free but the fee won't be large. Contracts in these situations in particular are signed on the players' terms.

        1. Rewant-WantToWinEverything!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          If he signs a new contract he would go for nothing less than 32.5 million paid for Buffon. I assume anything above 35 million

    2. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Still better for us.

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        No doubt about that

  15. King H
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Jose: 'Thibaut Coutois was injured in a training session, he needs surgery on his right knee and he will be out for quite a long time.' #CFC

  16. DaveVak
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    What does everyone do with the keepers?
    I hate my combo

    1. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Begovic or DDG every week.

      1. DaveVak
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thought about it, but both have some shitty fixtures in the very near horizon. Bego may be the better option after the next 2

  17. Mílanista
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    What are Utd fans so excited about? As soon as the deadline day fiasco occurred it was obvious DDG would sign a new contract. He gets a pay rise and Utd get a transfer fee at the end of the season.

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Exactly. It won't even be huge as they think. Madrid are dirt. They'll get him for what they want.

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Id guess it will be a World record keeper fee

      2. Camp No No
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        If that's the case, then I guess that Real just loves to pay overprice.

        However, DDG's price may drop as he hugely overachieved last season and it is unlikely he can repeat that performance.

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I guess they won't lose him for free

    3. Jay_
        10 years, 5 months ago

        This !

      • andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Excited we get to keep him for another year and don't have to play Romero who seemed okay but nothing great.

        Also we get a fee for him now which can only be better.

    4. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Madrid will HAVE to pay a world record goalkeeper fee to get him. Great business from United

    5. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      great news for United! De Gea contract extension

    6. Demí
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Great news on De Gea. Now there'll be a significant fee when he does leave next summer and we get to keep him 1 more year. 🙂

      1. The Light Knight
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        A real 10-15 points saved considering the way we play and Romero... *shudders*

      2. st4rt__
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        There's no guarantee it'll be a significant fee just because he's signed a new deal, could well have something similar to what Madrid offered as a buyout clause.

        1. Demí
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Yeah maybe. There's always a possibilty though. I guess he was always going to sign a new contract now he's staying. Just happy he's for 1 more year.

    7. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      "Quite a long time out" for Courtois. Begovic....

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Courtois has 15 % ownership . Could he be quite cheap when he comes back ?

      2. st4rt__
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        If we could defend yeah.

        1. andy85wsm
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          With Begovic in goal now the clean sheets will start up 🙂

        2. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          *Ivanovic

    8. ElliotJHP
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Mourinho just stated that Courtious needs an operation and will be out for some time.

    9. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      wonder what the release clause is, woodward probably left off a 0

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        I predict 25-30m£

        1. Daniel Exeter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          More than that

        2. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          No, a bit more.

    10. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      All aboard the Bego-wagon!
      With current GK combo of McCarthy - Hennessy , would you do

      Hennessy -> Begovic

      for a hit?

    11. dribbler
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      De Gea has signed a 4 year contract

    12. EWH2020
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Can't believe I am asking this...

      Play who?

      a) Hazard v Everton
      b) Sinclair v Leicester

      1. England's Number 1
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Tweet Eden this query. He'll soon raise his game.

    13. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Extending the contract of one of the world's best keepers is a big deal. It's practically a signing a for next season, and what a signing.

      1. The Light Knight
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Let the other teams fans have their moment, we have a whole year to enjoy this 😉

    14. England's Number 1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Best mid 5.5 or less?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Sako.

    15. England's Number 1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Oh wow, United got the paperwork done and dusted for De Gea's new contract pretty quick.

    16. ElliotJHP
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Myhil -> Begovic

      OR

      Jerome -> Wilson?