[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
17 October 2015 1890 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual Saturday morning trawl for some overlooked Fantasy options sees us place our faith in a couple of hot-headed frontmen with favourable home encounters on their agendas. Southampton’s playmaker also earns a nod as Ronald Koeman’s men embark on a very kind run of fixtures.

Diego Costa

In the same way that Sergio Aguero and Alexis Sanchez silenced their critics in emphatic fashion with explosive Fantasy returns, one would imagine that Diego Costa’s undoubted class will eventually shine through and spark a much-needed hot streak. To that end, Chelsea’s home tie against Aston Villa this Gameweek could provide the perfect antidote for the Blues’ ailing offense, considering that Tim Sherwood’s men shipped eight goals in their last trio of road clashes.

Costa’s most prominent failing this term has been a lack of goal attempts; Radamel Falcao has mustered as many shots on target (four) as the combative frontman, despite being afforded less than half his pitch time (231 minutes compared to 540). It bodes well, then, that only Leicester and Norwich City surrendered more shots inside the box (22) than Villa during the last two Gameweeks.

With a large portion of Sergio Aguero’s ownership pinpointing Graziano Pelle – who’s the most transferred in player this Gameweek – as the most viable replacement, the 10.9-priced Costa (6% ownership) could be an impactful purchase. If he can rediscover his groove against the West Midlanders, Chelsea’s excellent run through to the New Year – which includes a quartet of strong home encounters (NOR, BOU, SUN, WAT) – plays right into Costa’s hands.

Dusan Tadic

Beyond Graziano Pelle (three goals and four assists in three) and Sadio Mane (two goals and three assists in three), Dusan Tadic (three goals in five) makes the most cogent argument for investment among Southampton’s attacking contingent. Priced at 7.0, the Serbian playmaker serves as a cheaper route into a Saints outfit that netted eight goals in their past four match-ups and is buoyant in the wake of a 3-1 victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.

From a statistical standpoint, Tadic has excelled over the past four Gameweeks. Aside from tallying six attempts, he ranked joint-fourth among his counterparts for key passes (14). Moreover, taking the campaign as whole, Mesut Ozil (one every 19.5 minutes) and Erik Lamela (20.2 minutes) are the only midfield starters to boast superior key-pass frequencies (23.1 minutes) than Tadic, underlining how pivotal he is to Southampton’s build-up play.

The Saints’ next match-up finds them hosting a Leicester City side that ranked second for goals against (10) and shots inside the box conceded (44) across the previous four Gameweeks, exposing their paucity of defensive resolve. With three more favourable home encounters (BOU, STO, AVL) and a trip to Sunderland also to follow in the next seven Gameweeks, the 6%-owned Tadic could be a real contender in the mid-price bracket.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Notwithstanding their 6-1 mauling at the hands of Manchester City last Gameweek, Newcastle United will take solace from Aleksandar Mitrovic’s first goal of the campaign. Fantasy managers will understandably be wary of recruiting from the Tyneside outfit – given that no side has chalked up fewer goals (six) this campaign – but it’s worth bearing in mind they’ve already squared off against six of last season’s top six teams and now embark on an agreeable schedule (NOR, sun, STO, bou, LEI, cry) through to Gameweek 15.

Despite facing off against Chelsea and Man City in the last two Gameweeks, the former Anderlecht marksman managed to rack up six shots inside the box – only five forwards carded more. Next on the agenda for the Magpies is Norwich – who’ve conceded the most shots inside the box (48) and second most big chances (11) over the last two Gameweeks – which suggests Mitrovic will have an easier time fashioning chances.

Valued at 6.2, Mitrovic is certainly friendly on the budget, though the real problem up until this point has been his temperament. If he can curtail the aggression that’s resulted in two yellow cards and a sending off in just over 300 minutes with the Magpies, his predatory eye for goal looks key to steering Steve McClaren’s outfit up the table.

1,890 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JamieLfc
    11 years, 7 days ago

    San(C)hez or Wal(C)ott

    1. JamieLfc
      11 years, 7 days ago

      For this week

    2. Mario Balofail
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I would say Wallone. Considering doing it myself.

    3. InSaneMan-e
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Good to go?

      Begovic

      Janmaat Monreal Hangeland
      Sanchez Payet Hazard Mane KDB
      Pelle Mitrovic

      Hennesay, francis, simpson, rantjie

    4. Syd.
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Captaining Walcott would make me nervous

  2. Mr.Bojangoals
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Too risky to captain Sanchez after his international exertions in South America?

  3. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
    11 years, 7 days ago

    My shaky back line (no WC, no AOA, on -8)

    Who to start mate?

    Butland McCarthy
    Sagna Richards Dawson Targett Francis

    Thanks.

  4. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Who have you captained and why?

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pelle, because I think he'll score the most points

      1. You've got red on you.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        hmmm, not sure about your reasoning

    2. Syd.
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Costa - differential

    3. Valar(Keith)
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Hazard.. Villa

      1. InSaneMan-e
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Same

    4. JØ
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Diego Costa. Villa + diffrential

    5. NATSTER
      11 years, 7 days ago

      KDB .. the robot says

    6. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      KDB.

      Form in PL and in International games.

      5 goals and 3 assists in 5 games.

    7. Flynniesta
      11 years, 7 days ago

      KDB...hoping that Aguero has handed him the football baton to run with for a few weeks

  5. Murder on Zidane's Flo…
    11 years, 7 days ago

    I was all set to go into this week with no hits but, after further consideration, I've thought sod it - this is the week to sort out some problem players that will probably only get me 1s. And so long as I'm getting in players for the long haul it's all good.

    Welcome Ross Barkley.

  6. Rolls-Royce
    11 years, 7 days ago

    So gents, seems all set to me. -8 currently, anything worth more?

    Butland
    Francis Janmaat Nyom*
    Hazard Sanchez Payet Mahrez Barkley
    Pelle Berahino*

    McCarthy Kolarov* Bojan Targett

    5.7 inb

  7. Danstoke82
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Ok not sure what to do;

    Kolarov > Azpi or just play either Francis or Richards

    Or

    Martial > Costa

    Either will be for an overall -8

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Definitely don't do the second, I'm currently in the same predicament with Kolarov and am leaning towards playing Richards rather than taking a hit

    2. InSaneMan-e
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Could you do neither?

      -8 is too much....
      Martial has 2 tough fixtures, but then it's easy. He might even do something at Everton

      1. Danstoke82
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Just concerned that Costa might go crazy v Villa

        1. waldo666
          11 years, 7 days ago

          He could also eat allot of pies and do his hammy again

        2. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 7 days ago

          He will and get a red card.

          1. Danstoke82
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Fair comments.

            Should I shift Kolarov at all? If so for who?

            Currently other defenders are; Dann, Dawson, Francis and Richards

            1. Weasel Boy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              11 years, 7 days ago

              I would stick with what you have as they all should play.
              My defence Is Williams Richards Darmian Gomez* Kolarov* and im sticking.
              Not taking hits this week may work out well as most are.

  8. Kaki Tido
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Any chance Lallana might be a star under Klopp? He was really good under Poch at Southampton whose gameplay is the most similar to Dortmund few seasons ago.

    1. InSaneMan-e
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Maybe, but too early to invest. Wait and see how he does in the next 2 weeks

  9. Diva
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Giggs Boson, I've decided to give you a head start this week. Use it wisely! 😀

    1. Piggs Boson
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Thanks Diva 🙂

      Almost tempted to take a hit myself now 🙂

      1. Diva
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Be my guest sir!

        I think our "sledging" is more like that of Victorian gentlemen than 21st Century sportsmen. 🙂

  10. S.Kuqi
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Planning my bets.

    - Can anyone see one the Bournemouth, Villa or Watford getting a draw?

    - Predictions for Palace - West Ham and Everton - Manu games?

    1. davies
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Nope
      1-1 both

    2. Kaki Tido
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Watford stand a chance. You'll never know when Arsenal playing against a far weaker team.

    3. S.Kuqi
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Thanks both of you.

    4. InSaneMan-e
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I can actually...
      -Watford are at home, and its typical Arsenal to thrash a team 3-0 and draw/lose the next.
      -City...without Aguero and Silva and Kolarov who knows! but it'll still be special for bournmouth to get something.
      -Villa...nah, can see Chelsea winning 3-0

    5. QPR expects... glory!
      11 years, 7 days ago

      No

      1-1 and 2-1

  11. Cojiro
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Repost. Should I take a hit?

    Bego
    Sagna, Dawson, Francis
    Sanchez(c), Payet, Mahrez, Pedro
    Pelle (vc), Costa, Gomis

    Schwarzer/ Surman/ Muniesa/ Targett. 3.6ITB

    1. Acquafresca
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Keep.

      1. Cojiro
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Thanks

  12. La Vida Latte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Is it too much of a risk to captain Sanchez?

    1. Flynniesta
      11 years, 7 days ago

      There's a risk with everything but that's moderate.

  13. NATSTER
    11 years, 7 days ago

    I will take another -4 and remove Kolarov.

    Go with Monreal or Bellerin ?

    Dawson - Richards - Targett - Simpson - Kolarov*

  14. columbo
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Hey lads,
    Aguero and mahrez - > pelle and kdb - 4
    Or
    Aguero - > Costa(c) no hit?
    Thanks in advance for any help

    1. InSaneMan-e
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Tough!

      If you go Costa can you still field enough good players?

      1. columbo
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Defensively, no! Got an injured kolarov as well, along with Watford and Leicester defenders who have to start..

  15. Acquafresca
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Pedro giving me a headache. Worst transfer maybe of all time...

    Now do I sit tight and hope he starts?

    Or ship him for (-4) for KDB or Haz...

    To keep or not to keep, that is the question.
    Tis nobler in the mind to suffer, the misfortunes of Pedro...

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 days ago

      For -4 yes, for -8 no.

      1. Acquafresca
        11 years, 7 days ago

        No it is. Goodnight then..

    2. Gascoigne8
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Do you have definite starters on the bench?

      1. Acquafresca
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Westwood 1st and only sub.

        1. Gascoigne8
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Then I would keep for one more week.

    3. S.Kuqi
      11 years, 7 days ago

      No even close being worst transfer of all time but I would ship him for Kdb despite plum fixture

    4. Cojiro
      11 years, 7 days ago

      We're in the same boat. Looking at your defence, can u start 3? Or are you playing AOA? (Look above pls)

      1. Acquafresca
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Westwood only sub. Can field XI

        1. Cojiro
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Well, don't take a hit. By the looks of it, that's a differential in its self this week

  16. Stupendous
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Gtg???

    Begovic
    Gabriel. Kompany. Dawson
    Mahrez. KDB. Hazard ( c) Payet. Sanchez
    Pelle. Vardy

    McCarthy. Souares. Richards. Wilson

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Of course.

      How many hits?

      1. Stupendous
        11 years, 7 days ago

        -12 since you know I'm a hitter.

        That plus most are -4/8 at the least

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Ooh...

        2. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 7 days ago

          How come you still have Wilson after a -12?

    2. InSaneMan-e
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Almost identical team for me.

      Got:

      Mitrovic, not Vardy
      Mane not Mahrez
      janmaat, not kompany

      and i've put Haz captain!

  17. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    11 years, 7 days ago

    For later.....

    WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAALEEEEEEEEESS 🙂 !!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. Sweetpea
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Good luck pal. Think it'll be close and anything can happen in these games.

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Gutted no outside centre, and 3rd choice full back 🙁

    2. Flynniesta
      11 years, 7 days ago

      They've already qualified for the Euro's don't you know.
      Oh wait, I forgot there was a World Cup going on 🙂

    3. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Bok Befok!!

  18. The 12th Man
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Good to go? On -12.

    Mignolet
    Bellerin, Darmian, Cedric
    Sanchez, Hazard(c) KDB, Payet
    Pelle, Lukaku, Vardy

    McCarthy, Hoolahan, Francis, Gomez

  19. Sweetpea
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Saturday morning decision time. A is the long term percentage play but ol rumbling git and short term fixtures suggest b. Hmmm....

    A Lukaku

    Or

    B Kane

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I don't fancy Kane today. LFC, New manager syndrome.

      1. Sweetpea
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Lukakaa then? Have Pelle and vardy.

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Yeah, bit of future planning plus...

          He may have a field day v Blind.

  20. KeepCalm
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Guys I need help with the following.

    A. Yaya or Bony
    B. Bavies or Watford defender
    C. Myhill or Evans
    D. Hazard or Costa

    Will appreciate loads. Cheers

  21. Jøssy ⭐
    11 years, 7 days ago

    I want to know who my opponent is in the Grand Playoffs. Anyone got any idea who jiggidyj1 is!?

  22. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 7 days ago

    If you HAD to pick between Williams and Fernandez who would you get? Williams is nailed on and has bap potential.. Fernandez is backed by the watchlist and offers some goal threat atleast(williams offers none)... is he as safe a punt as Williams though with respect to gametime?

    1. Danstoke82
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Williams.

    2. davies
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Williams every day

    3. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Williams.

      Hes Welsh 🙂

      1. S.Kuqi
        11 years, 7 days ago

        LoL 😀

    4. BobB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      How about Naughton? Best of both worlds

      1. Valar(Keith)
        11 years, 7 days ago

        i know he was benched for personal reasons last week.. but there was talk on the swans forums about him underperforming and needing a few weeks on the bench with Rangel being given a chance

        1. QPR expects... glory!
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Just had his first child. Imagine that might have had something to do with it

    5. Diva
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Valar, I've now added my views I mentioned earlier if that helps you on your Ighalo v Ayoze debate.

  23. Kronin
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Hennessey (Fabianski)
    Bellerin Martin Darmian Janmaat (Kolarov
    Barkley Hazard Hoolahan Mahrez (Wanyama)
    Sturridge Vardy (Aguero)

    Current thoughts are to swap Aguero for Pelle (or take the risk with Costa?). But do I need to jump on the band wagon and swap midfielders out to get De Bruyne and/or Sánchez?
    Could get there if I took a -12, would have to sacrifice Sturridge also.

    Any thoughts?

  24. No Pirlo No Party
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Any of these worth a hit? (not taken one this season yet.) Thoughts appreciated lads. Thank you.

    Westwood ---> KDB (or play Bojan)

    Kolarov ---> Bellerin / Monreal (or Play Prodl / Francis)

  25. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Anyone else playing AOA this gw?

    1. FPL Maldini
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I am.

      Mainly out of desperation

    2. Jafalad
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Don't think many have 11 players never mind AOA.

    3. bdwhite91
      11 years, 7 days ago

      yeah

      My hill

      Monreal souare

      KDB payet Sanchez Mahrez hoolahan

      Lukaku Pelle vardy

      Pelle or KDB cap?

    4. Camp No No
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Thinking of it, but it would mean to play Mahrez (sou) and a villa mid (che) or take a -4.

    5. Camp No No
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Awful team condition right now.

      a) Prödl

      b) Dawson -4

      c) wildcard.

      I don't like c, it's a bad moment for wildcard now.

  26. OLEgend
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Iam bringing in Zaba for Kolarov instead of Bellerin. Thoughts? Is it a bad move?

    1. Super Silva
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Considering Zabaleta has not had that much gametime. Yeah I think it's a bad move

    2. ishaandua
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Well Kompany has a slight chance to not play.Zabaleta is nailed on for at least 3 weeks, City have only two healthy full backs atm.Even after Kolarov is back Zabaleta was not rotation prone last year . I don't think it's a bad idea, gives you .5$ to spend elsewhere.

  27. Punty
    11 years, 7 days ago

    My reaction after this international break.. https://youtu.be/MYtjpIwamos?t=9s

  28. HurriKane
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Wouldnt be surprised if Giroud Ox comes in for Sanchez and Theo.

    1. S.Kuqi
      11 years, 7 days ago

      They certainly will around 70-80mins if game is won.

    2. No Pirlo No Party
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Anything could happen with players coming back from International break and Bayern mid-week. Watford won't be easy though.

  29. Super Silva
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Early kick off should be fun.
    I can see Flopps team totally flopping

    1. Syd.
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I think you could be right

  30. Jazz!
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Was with Pellè (c) but tempted to go (C)osta. What do I do?

    1. S.Kuqi
      11 years, 7 days ago

      If you have balls go for (C)osta but if you are sheep like me go for (P)elle