[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
17 October 2015 1890 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual Saturday morning trawl for some overlooked Fantasy options sees us place our faith in a couple of hot-headed frontmen with favourable home encounters on their agendas. Southampton’s playmaker also earns a nod as Ronald Koeman’s men embark on a very kind run of fixtures.

Diego Costa

In the same way that Sergio Aguero and Alexis Sanchez silenced their critics in emphatic fashion with explosive Fantasy returns, one would imagine that Diego Costa’s undoubted class will eventually shine through and spark a much-needed hot streak. To that end, Chelsea’s home tie against Aston Villa this Gameweek could provide the perfect antidote for the Blues’ ailing offense, considering that Tim Sherwood’s men shipped eight goals in their last trio of road clashes.

Costa’s most prominent failing this term has been a lack of goal attempts; Radamel Falcao has mustered as many shots on target (four) as the combative frontman, despite being afforded less than half his pitch time (231 minutes compared to 540). It bodes well, then, that only Leicester and Norwich City surrendered more shots inside the box (22) than Villa during the last two Gameweeks.

With a large portion of Sergio Aguero’s ownership pinpointing Graziano Pelle – who’s the most transferred in player this Gameweek – as the most viable replacement, the 10.9-priced Costa (6% ownership) could be an impactful purchase. If he can rediscover his groove against the West Midlanders, Chelsea’s excellent run through to the New Year – which includes a quartet of strong home encounters (NOR, BOU, SUN, WAT) – plays right into Costa’s hands.

Dusan Tadic

Beyond Graziano Pelle (three goals and four assists in three) and Sadio Mane (two goals and three assists in three), Dusan Tadic (three goals in five) makes the most cogent argument for investment among Southampton’s attacking contingent. Priced at 7.0, the Serbian playmaker serves as a cheaper route into a Saints outfit that netted eight goals in their past four match-ups and is buoyant in the wake of a 3-1 victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.

From a statistical standpoint, Tadic has excelled over the past four Gameweeks. Aside from tallying six attempts, he ranked joint-fourth among his counterparts for key passes (14). Moreover, taking the campaign as whole, Mesut Ozil (one every 19.5 minutes) and Erik Lamela (20.2 minutes) are the only midfield starters to boast superior key-pass frequencies (23.1 minutes) than Tadic, underlining how pivotal he is to Southampton’s build-up play.

The Saints’ next match-up finds them hosting a Leicester City side that ranked second for goals against (10) and shots inside the box conceded (44) across the previous four Gameweeks, exposing their paucity of defensive resolve. With three more favourable home encounters (BOU, STO, AVL) and a trip to Sunderland also to follow in the next seven Gameweeks, the 6%-owned Tadic could be a real contender in the mid-price bracket.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Notwithstanding their 6-1 mauling at the hands of Manchester City last Gameweek, Newcastle United will take solace from Aleksandar Mitrovic’s first goal of the campaign. Fantasy managers will understandably be wary of recruiting from the Tyneside outfit – given that no side has chalked up fewer goals (six) this campaign – but it’s worth bearing in mind they’ve already squared off against six of last season’s top six teams and now embark on an agreeable schedule (NOR, sun, STO, bou, LEI, cry) through to Gameweek 15.

Despite facing off against Chelsea and Man City in the last two Gameweeks, the former Anderlecht marksman managed to rack up six shots inside the box – only five forwards carded more. Next on the agenda for the Magpies is Norwich – who’ve conceded the most shots inside the box (48) and second most big chances (11) over the last two Gameweeks – which suggests Mitrovic will have an easier time fashioning chances.

Valued at 6.2, Mitrovic is certainly friendly on the budget, though the real problem up until this point has been his temperament. If he can curtail the aggression that’s resulted in two yellow cards and a sending off in just over 300 minutes with the Magpies, his predatory eye for goal looks key to steering Steve McClaren’s outfit up the table.

1,890 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Mr.Bojangoals
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Hazard, Sanchez, or Toure for (C)?

    Had it on Sanchez but fear he's tired/liable to be rested after travelling to South America.

    1. st4rt__
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Like the idea of YYT.

    2. Egg Fried Reus
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Yaya, Aguero is out. Yaya will do well

  2. Vardy Gras PBFC
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Shame I cant play a 3-6-1 in UFPL.

    Play Pedro or Mahrez? Currently on the latter but seen a lot of Mahrez to X posts on here and wondered if I missed something.

    1. st4rt__
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pedro if you have Vardy.

  3. st4rt__
    11 years, 7 days ago

    I bottomed. Anyway...

    https://i.gyazo.com/91ca443d317fe10ef03e63f709a5e350.png

    I'm not expecting much. Costa brace would make my day though.

    Good luck guys.

    1. Jazz!
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Good luck. I have Costa but I just can't give him the armband 🙁

      1. st4rt__
        11 years, 7 days ago

        You girl.

  4. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Sigh.. Decided to be boring and go for safety and balance since i'm on WC.. Good luck to the rest of you. Final team is

    Gomes Hennessey
    Cedric Dawson Janmaat Moreno Souare
    Sanchez Hazard(c) Kdb Mane Yaya
    Pelle Vardy Ighalo

    Thanks for calming me down 🙂

    1. Ziro Becomes One
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Love the Moreno pick.

    2. FAITHNOMORENO
      11 years, 7 days ago

      hennessey before elliot?
      I am also on WC and chose elliot.

      1. Valar(Keith)
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Hennessey more chance of nailing a starting role long term.. Darlow will take the no1 spot away from elliott soon

        1. FAITHNOMORENO
          11 years, 7 days ago

          wasn't elliot always deputising when krul was injured?

          1. BobB
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            11 years, 7 days ago

            He was, but they bought a new keeper in the summer who is alleged to be above Elliot in the pecking order. He's injured at the moment, but due back in a few weeks.

            1. FAITHNOMORENO
              11 years, 7 days ago

              thanks for the info buddies.

  5. davies
    11 years, 7 days ago

    A) Play Darmian (eve)
    B) Play Francis (mci)
    C) Wanyama > 9.3 (AOA - already on -8)
    D) Kolarov out (already on -8)

    Cheers.

    1. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Replied last page

      1. davies
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Just seen. Cheers.

    2. the cromulent one
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Just play Darmian.

  6. Camp No No
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Latest on Sanchez? likely to play or not?

  7. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Would you take more hits to remove Kolarov and Aguero, already -8!

    Myhill
    Darmian Richards Targett* (Kolarov** Dier**)
    Mahrez KdB Payet Westwood Sanchez*
    Vardy Pelle (Aguero**)

    Can't field a team

    1. NATSTER
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Just another -4 to remove Kolarov, I would.

      1. davies
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Only in this cause (because of Targett) - or in general?

  8. Canelo
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Why no Mata love on here? Is it based on fixtures?

    1. ​
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Two weeks too early

  9. Acquafresca
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Will Hazard or KDB outscore Pedro by more than 4?

    1. Syd.
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Good chance as Pedro might not start

      1. Acquafresca
        11 years, 7 days ago

        I know that. So answer the question

        1. Syd.
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Yes

        2. GreatCarragherReef
          11 years, 7 days ago

          bit rude

          1. Syd.
            11 years, 7 days ago

            He hasn't had his coffee yet 🙂

            1. Acquafresca
              11 years, 7 days ago

              Sorry Syd. Long day 🙂

    2. Farnborough's Finest
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I'd get rid of Pedro for KDB. Good long term move too

    3. Cojiro
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I think the majority say get rid. My only concern is the easiness of getting Kun back...

  10. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    11 years, 7 days ago

    After listening to Jonty on the scoutcasr I'm kinda convinced to go Pelle (c) (or is he playing mind games !!!)

    However, Sanchez.... Hmm.....

    What's you thoughts guys ?

    1. Acquafresca
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pelle.

      1. Acquafresca
        11 years, 7 days ago

        See above.

        Pedro out for a hit to make it (-8) ... ?? Haz or KDB

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Tricky.

          What's your back up if pedro doesn't play?

          I think he will.

          1. Acquafresca
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Westwood. So you reckon just sit tight?

            1. Evs
              • Has Moderation Rights
              11 years, 7 days ago

              You'll get 2pts for Westwood, so that's 6 points needed just to break even....

              Dunno. Hard.

    2. Farnborough's Finest
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pelle has stats, form and fixture. He's my pick!
      Also, worried about Sanchez gametime

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        11 years, 7 days ago

        I kind of agree.

        If Sanchez hadn't have been round the world I would go him for sure.

        1. Farnborough's Finest
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Same here. I just think Pelle is a really solid pick this week.
          What are your thoughts on Costa in this week (for the next 2) vs Lukaku for the long run?

          1. Evs
            • Has Moderation Rights
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Wait and see on Diego.

            Lukakaaaaa gw11 seems sensible.

            1. Farnborough's Finest
              11 years, 7 days ago

              Cheers Evs!

    3. NATSTER
      11 years, 7 days ago

      My last 3 candidates : KDB, Sanchez, Pelle

      I feel Sanchez is in very good form and Arsenal, as a team, have created highest chances.

      KDB has form & fixtures, but City are missing many key players.

      Pelle .. What kind of Leicester will turn up at St. Mary ?

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Doesn't the long haul trip, and potential impact on game time (maybe even a start) worry you?

        1. NATSTER
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Yes. It's worried for Sanchez.

    4. Ziro Becomes One
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Lukaku?

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Haven't got Lukakaaaaa (yet)

        1. Ziro Becomes One
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Ah. K then. I have both and capping Pelle. Sanchez a slight risk so keeping in XI but not captaining.

    5. Rabbinton
      11 years, 7 days ago

      On Sanchez atm

    6. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pelle is a good shout. Good luck against the Boks!

  11. SAINTS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Aguero to Costa or Pelle in Sky Sports?

    1. Stinglikeabee
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Costa

  12. JamieLfc
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Captain Walcott,Sanchez or Mane?

    1. SAINTS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Who else are the options? I wouldn't pick any of those.

      1. JamieLfc
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Sanchez-Walcott-Mané-Mahrez

        Lukaku-Martial-Vardy... 5m ITB from Aguero but already on a -12

        1. SAINTS
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 7 days ago

          I'd probably go Sanchez out of that lot, even with question marks over playing time.

          1. JamieLfc
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Thanks

  13. creative
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Was there ever any confirmation about sturridges swollen knee!?

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Nothing of it was the last I read but that was earlier today

  14. Scotty B
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Costa, KDB, Sanchez or Gomis (c) ???

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Kdb

  15. Piggs Boson
    11 years, 7 days ago

    A Hazard(AVL) price drop?!!! Who has been selling him?!!!

    1. Cojiro
      11 years, 7 days ago

      That sucks! Same thing happened to Pelle a few weeks back (fell to 7.9) but I kept and it worked out

    2. Piggs Boson
      11 years, 7 days ago

      You'd think they'd have injuries to sort out and cash to burn...

    3. Acquafresca
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Might buy him now. lol.

      1. Cojiro
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Yeah, that's tempting me into a pedro out -4, lol

        1. Acquafresca
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Might just keep the Spaniard.. not sure.

    4. Syd.
      11 years, 7 days ago

      People who want KDB

  16. waldo666
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Would love some thoughts here if I may....take a hit here to bolster defence or sit tight?

    Schmeichel

    Azpi Cedric Richards

    Yaya Ozil Milner Depay

    Martial Pelle Sakho

    (Schwarzer Francis King Kolarov)

  17. Cojiro
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Should I take a hit?

    Bego
    Sagna, Dawson, Francis
    Sanchez(c), Payet, Mahrez, Pedro
    Pelle (vc), Costa, Gomis

    Schwarzer/ Surman/ Muniesa/ Targett. 3.6ITB

  18. Gascoigne8
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Put Costa in for -4 or play Pedro?

    I have no idea anymore 🙁

    1. st4rt__
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pedro.

    2. Evasivo
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pedro

    3. Stinglikeabee
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Go costa, I have and captained him. Surely it will happen today for him.

      Most people have taken 4's and 8's

      1. Evasivo
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Don't think he'll do much and you can't justify a hit just because others have, no everyone has!

        1. Stinglikeabee
          11 years, 7 days ago

          We will see in good time. Chelsea are a top team, it's only a matter if time until they wack someone and find there form and Villa are poor. It's more exciting than Pedro who could be dropped.

  19. Turk
    11 years, 7 days ago

    I'm hearing sturridge is on bench bcos of a knock, don't know how true

  20. pax888
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Best Southampton defender?

    1. Jazz!
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Bertrand perhaps

  21. Mesh
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Who to captain?

    A. Costa
    B. KDB

    1. Piggs Boson
      11 years, 7 days ago

      When in doubt, go with RMT

    2. Stinglikeabee
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Costa. KDB might not be as effective without Silva and Aguero.

    3. NATSTER
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I will take another -4 and remove Kolarov.

      Get Monreal or Bellerin ?

      Dawson - Richards - Targett - Simpson - Kolarov*

      1. NATSTER
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Oops. Wrong place.

  22. Evasivo
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Worth going AOA?! I think not as it'd only generate 2pt from Westwood so rather take a chance on Cresswell n Francis but wondered if you all agreed?

    Schmeichel Gomes
    Cresswell Kolarov Francis Martin Muniesa
    KDB Payet Mahrez Sanchez Westwood
    Gomis Ighalo Aguero

    £5.5ITB & 0FT

    1. Rabbinton
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Only worth it if you upgrade Westwood

      1. Evasivo
        11 years, 7 days ago

        My thoughts exactly. Thanks

  23. banskt
    11 years, 7 days ago

    My shattered defence: Kolarov / Evans / Darmian / Richards / Williams

    1) Play AOA with Vardy / Mahrez / Pelle / Gomis ?
    2) Play Darmian / Evans / Williams, and hope Evans play? Bench Vardy.

    1. Je suis le chat
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Play AOA, don't bench Vardy.

      1. banskt
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Thanks. Was confused on the potential of Leicester away attack.

        Other attackers are Yaya, KdB, Sanchez, Payet. Neither of them can be benched.

  24. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Now that the WC is out of the way i got a random question regarding the Watchlist again 🙂
    Fabianski has got 27 saves and a run of STK avl nor BOU in the next 5. Why has he been totally neglected on the watchlist? is there some table i dunno about

    1. Valar(Keith)
      11 years, 7 days ago

      And is Fernandez nailed on and really a better option than Williams? not really known for his attacking threat over his career tbh

      1. Krul Runnings
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Who is saying that Fernandez is better than Williams?

        I watch Swansea regularly and Ashley Williams could literally walk into any defence in the prem.

        Fernandez is a great player but FPL wise and in real life, Williams all day long

  25. Je suis le chat
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Kola and Westwood to Jan Maat and KDB for -8? Ta.

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      This week of all weeks.... Yes

  26. BobB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    I appreciate luck is a legitimate part of FFP, but I do think it's got to the point where the game should allow free transfers where a player is projected to be out injured for a month or more. I'm not suggesting this extends to short term injuries (judgement call involved in keep/sell, suspensions (too bad for picking a hot-head!) or rotation risks. Anyone agree?

    1. FPL Maldini
      11 years, 7 days ago

      No because this would benefit the casuals in a way

      We tacticians usually find a way round it

    2. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      No. Definitely not.

  27. Whats the Huth
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Should I play AOA to have thus team

    DDG
    Williams. bellerin.
    Sanchez. Hazard. Mahrez. Ayew. Payet.
    Vardy. Ighalo. Pelle.

    My bench is.

    Prodl. Kolv. Staylor

    1. banskt
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I am also considering a similar move, but the only thing worrying me are the Leicester attackers. How good would they be in an away match against Southampton?

  28. FPL Maldini
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Me fielding a full 11 will feel like a 50+ points week

  29. skodaole2
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Already took -12 just to field XI starting players. Would you take another hit if your starting XI involved Mahrez and Prodl? And bench one of the above?

    A) Andreu -> Wijnaldum (and bench Mahrez)
    B) Kolarov -> Monreal (and bench Prodl)
    C) Keep

  30. davies
    11 years, 7 days ago

    How long is Kolarov out for? Back next GW?

    1. waldo666
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Reports have him out for 2 atm