634x258 Spot the Differential
17 October 2015 1890 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual Saturday morning trawl for some overlooked Fantasy options sees us place our faith in a couple of hot-headed frontmen with favourable home encounters on their agendas. Southampton’s playmaker also earns a nod as Ronald Koeman’s men embark on a very kind run of fixtures.

Diego Costa

In the same way that Sergio Aguero and Alexis Sanchez silenced their critics in emphatic fashion with explosive Fantasy returns, one would imagine that Diego Costa’s undoubted class will eventually shine through and spark a much-needed hot streak. To that end, Chelsea’s home tie against Aston Villa this Gameweek could provide the perfect antidote for the Blues’ ailing offense, considering that Tim Sherwood’s men shipped eight goals in their last trio of road clashes.

Costa’s most prominent failing this term has been a lack of goal attempts; Radamel Falcao has mustered as many shots on target (four) as the combative frontman, despite being afforded less than half his pitch time (231 minutes compared to 540). It bodes well, then, that only Leicester and Norwich City surrendered more shots inside the box (22) than Villa during the last two Gameweeks.

With a large portion of Sergio Aguero’s ownership pinpointing Graziano Pelle – who’s the most transferred in player this Gameweek – as the most viable replacement, the 10.9-priced Costa (6% ownership) could be an impactful purchase. If he can rediscover his groove against the West Midlanders, Chelsea’s excellent run through to the New Year – which includes a quartet of strong home encounters (NOR, BOU, SUN, WAT) – plays right into Costa’s hands.

Dusan Tadic

Beyond Graziano Pelle (three goals and four assists in three) and Sadio Mane (two goals and three assists in three), Dusan Tadic (three goals in five) makes the most cogent argument for investment among Southampton’s attacking contingent. Priced at 7.0, the Serbian playmaker serves as a cheaper route into a Saints outfit that netted eight goals in their past four match-ups and is buoyant in the wake of a 3-1 victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.

From a statistical standpoint, Tadic has excelled over the past four Gameweeks. Aside from tallying six attempts, he ranked joint-fourth among his counterparts for key passes (14). Moreover, taking the campaign as whole, Mesut Ozil (one every 19.5 minutes) and Erik Lamela (20.2 minutes) are the only midfield starters to boast superior key-pass frequencies (23.1 minutes) than Tadic, underlining how pivotal he is to Southampton’s build-up play.

The Saints’ next match-up finds them hosting a Leicester City side that ranked second for goals against (10) and shots inside the box conceded (44) across the previous four Gameweeks, exposing their paucity of defensive resolve. With three more favourable home encounters (BOU, STO, AVL) and a trip to Sunderland also to follow in the next seven Gameweeks, the 6%-owned Tadic could be a real contender in the mid-price bracket.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Notwithstanding their 6-1 mauling at the hands of Manchester City last Gameweek, Newcastle United will take solace from Aleksandar Mitrovic’s first goal of the campaign. Fantasy managers will understandably be wary of recruiting from the Tyneside outfit – given that no side has chalked up fewer goals (six) this campaign – but it’s worth bearing in mind they’ve already squared off against six of last season’s top six teams and now embark on an agreeable schedule (NOR, sun, STO, bou, LEI, cry) through to Gameweek 15.

Despite facing off against Chelsea and Man City in the last two Gameweeks, the former Anderlecht marksman managed to rack up six shots inside the box – only five forwards carded more. Next on the agenda for the Magpies is Norwich – who’ve conceded the most shots inside the box (48) and second most big chances (11) over the last two Gameweeks – which suggests Mitrovic will have an easier time fashioning chances.

Valued at 6.2, Mitrovic is certainly friendly on the budget, though the real problem up until this point has been his temperament. If he can curtail the aggression that’s resulted in two yellow cards and a sending off in just over 300 minutes with the Magpies, his predatory eye for goal looks key to steering Steve McClaren’s outfit up the table.

  1. Mr.Bojangoals
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Hazard, Sanchez, or Toure for (C)?

    Had it on Sanchez but fear he's tired/liable to be rested after travelling to South America.

    1. st4rt__
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Like the idea of YYT.

    2. Egg Fried Reus
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yaya, Aguero is out. Yaya will do well

  2. Vardy Gras PBFC
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Shame I cant play a 3-6-1 in UFPL.

    Play Pedro or Mahrez? Currently on the latter but seen a lot of Mahrez to X posts on here and wondered if I missed something.

    1. st4rt__
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pedro if you have Vardy.

  3. st4rt__
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I bottomed. Anyway...

    https://i.gyazo.com/91ca443d317fe10ef03e63f709a5e350.png

    I'm not expecting much. Costa brace would make my day though.

    Good luck guys.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Good luck. I have Costa but I just can't give him the armband 🙁

      1. st4rt__
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        You girl.

  4. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Sigh.. Decided to be boring and go for safety and balance since i'm on WC.. Good luck to the rest of you. Final team is

    Gomes Hennessey
    Cedric Dawson Janmaat Moreno Souare
    Sanchez Hazard(c) Kdb Mane Yaya
    Pelle Vardy Ighalo

    Thanks for calming me down 🙂

    1. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Love the Moreno pick.

    2. FAITHNOMORENO
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      hennessey before elliot?
      I am also on WC and chose elliot.

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Hennessey more chance of nailing a starting role long term.. Darlow will take the no1 spot away from elliott soon

        1. FAITHNOMORENO
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          wasn't elliot always deputising when krul was injured?

          1. BobB
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            He was, but they bought a new keeper in the summer who is alleged to be above Elliot in the pecking order. He's injured at the moment, but due back in a few weeks.

            1. FAITHNOMORENO
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              thanks for the info buddies.

  5. davies
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    A) Play Darmian (eve)
    B) Play Francis (mci)
    C) Wanyama > 9.3 (AOA - already on -8)
    D) Kolarov out (already on -8)

    Cheers.

    1. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Replied last page

      1. davies
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Just seen. Cheers.

    2. the cromulent one
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Just play Darmian.

  6. Camp No No
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Latest on Sanchez? likely to play or not?

  7. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Would you take more hits to remove Kolarov and Aguero, already -8!

    Myhill
    Darmian Richards Targett* (Kolarov** Dier**)
    Mahrez KdB Payet Westwood Sanchez*
    Vardy Pelle (Aguero**)

    Can't field a team

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Just another -4 to remove Kolarov, I would.

      1. davies
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Only in this cause (because of Targett) - or in general?

  8. Canelo
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Why no Mata love on here? Is it based on fixtures?

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Two weeks too early

  9. Acquafresca
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Will Hazard or KDB outscore Pedro by more than 4?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Good chance as Pedro might not start

      1. Acquafresca
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I know that. So answer the question

        1. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yes

        2. GreatCarragherReef
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          bit rude

          1. Syd.
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            He hasn't had his coffee yet 🙂

            1. Acquafresca
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Sorry Syd. Long day 🙂

    2. Farnborough's Finest
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'd get rid of Pedro for KDB. Good long term move too

    3. Cojiro
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I think the majority say get rid. My only concern is the easiness of getting Kun back...

  10. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    After listening to Jonty on the scoutcasr I'm kinda convinced to go Pelle (c) (or is he playing mind games !!!)

    However, Sanchez.... Hmm.....

    What's you thoughts guys ?

    1. Acquafresca
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pelle.

      1. Acquafresca
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        See above.

        Pedro out for a hit to make it (-8) ... ?? Haz or KDB

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Tricky.

          What's your back up if pedro doesn't play?

          I think he will.

          1. Acquafresca
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Westwood. So you reckon just sit tight?

            1. Evs
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              You'll get 2pts for Westwood, so that's 6 points needed just to break even....

              Dunno. Hard.

    2. Farnborough's Finest
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pelle has stats, form and fixture. He's my pick!
      Also, worried about Sanchez gametime

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I kind of agree.

        If Sanchez hadn't have been round the world I would go him for sure.

        1. Farnborough's Finest
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Same here. I just think Pelle is a really solid pick this week.
          What are your thoughts on Costa in this week (for the next 2) vs Lukaku for the long run?

          1. Evs
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Wait and see on Diego.

            Lukakaaaaa gw11 seems sensible.

            1. Farnborough's Finest
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Cheers Evs!

    3. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      My last 3 candidates : KDB, Sanchez, Pelle

      I feel Sanchez is in very good form and Arsenal, as a team, have created highest chances.

      KDB has form & fixtures, but City are missing many key players.

      Pelle .. What kind of Leicester will turn up at St. Mary ?

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Doesn't the long haul trip, and potential impact on game time (maybe even a start) worry you?

        1. NATSTER
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yes. It's worried for Sanchez.

    4. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lukaku?

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Haven't got Lukakaaaaa (yet)

        1. Ziro Becomes One
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Ah. K then. I have both and capping Pelle. Sanchez a slight risk so keeping in XI but not captaining.

    5. Rabbinton
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      On Sanchez atm

    6. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pelle is a good shout. Good luck against the Boks!

  11. SAINTS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Aguero to Costa or Pelle in Sky Sports?

    1. Stinglikeabee
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Costa

  12. JamieLfc
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Captain Walcott,Sanchez or Mane?

    1. SAINTS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Who else are the options? I wouldn't pick any of those.

      1. JamieLfc
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Sanchez-Walcott-Mané-Mahrez

        Lukaku-Martial-Vardy... 5m ITB from Aguero but already on a -12

        1. SAINTS
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I'd probably go Sanchez out of that lot, even with question marks over playing time.

          1. JamieLfc
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Thanks

  13. creative
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Was there ever any confirmation about sturridges swollen knee!?

    1. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Nothing of it was the last I read but that was earlier today

  14. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Costa, KDB, Sanchez or Gomis (c) ???

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kdb

  15. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    A Hazard(AVL) price drop?!!! Who has been selling him?!!!

    1. Cojiro
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      That sucks! Same thing happened to Pelle a few weeks back (fell to 7.9) but I kept and it worked out

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      You'd think they'd have injuries to sort out and cash to burn...

    3. Acquafresca
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Might buy him now. lol.

      1. Cojiro
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, that's tempting me into a pedro out -4, lol

        1. Acquafresca
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Might just keep the Spaniard.. not sure.

    4. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      People who want KDB

  16. waldo666
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Would love some thoughts here if I may....take a hit here to bolster defence or sit tight?

    Schmeichel

    Azpi Cedric Richards

    Yaya Ozil Milner Depay

    Martial Pelle Sakho

    (Schwarzer Francis King Kolarov)

  17. Cojiro
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Should I take a hit?

    Bego
    Sagna, Dawson, Francis
    Sanchez(c), Payet, Mahrez, Pedro
    Pelle (vc), Costa, Gomis

    Schwarzer/ Surman/ Muniesa/ Targett. 3.6ITB

  18. Gascoigne8
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Put Costa in for -4 or play Pedro?

    I have no idea anymore 🙁

    1. st4rt__
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pedro.

    2. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pedro

    3. Stinglikeabee
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Go costa, I have and captained him. Surely it will happen today for him.

      Most people have taken 4's and 8's

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Don't think he'll do much and you can't justify a hit just because others have, no everyone has!

        1. Stinglikeabee
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          We will see in good time. Chelsea are a top team, it's only a matter if time until they wack someone and find there form and Villa are poor. It's more exciting than Pedro who could be dropped.

  19. Turk
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I'm hearing sturridge is on bench bcos of a knock, don't know how true

  20. pax888
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Best Southampton defender?

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Bertrand perhaps

  21. Mesh
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Who to captain?

    A. Costa
    B. KDB

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      When in doubt, go with RMT

    2. Stinglikeabee
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Costa. KDB might not be as effective without Silva and Aguero.

    3. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I will take another -4 and remove Kolarov.

      Get Monreal or Bellerin ?

      Dawson - Richards - Targett - Simpson - Kolarov*

      1. NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Oops. Wrong place.

  22. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Worth going AOA?! I think not as it'd only generate 2pt from Westwood so rather take a chance on Cresswell n Francis but wondered if you all agreed?

    Schmeichel Gomes
    Cresswell Kolarov Francis Martin Muniesa
    KDB Payet Mahrez Sanchez Westwood
    Gomis Ighalo Aguero

    £5.5ITB & 0FT

    1. Rabbinton
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Only worth it if you upgrade Westwood

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        My thoughts exactly. Thanks

  23. banskt
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    My shattered defence: Kolarov / Evans / Darmian / Richards / Williams

    1) Play AOA with Vardy / Mahrez / Pelle / Gomis ?
    2) Play Darmian / Evans / Williams, and hope Evans play? Bench Vardy.

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Play AOA, don't bench Vardy.

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks. Was confused on the potential of Leicester away attack.

        Other attackers are Yaya, KdB, Sanchez, Payet. Neither of them can be benched.

  24. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Now that the WC is out of the way i got a random question regarding the Watchlist again 🙂
    Fabianski has got 27 saves and a run of STK avl nor BOU in the next 5. Why has he been totally neglected on the watchlist? is there some table i dunno about

    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      And is Fernandez nailed on and really a better option than Williams? not really known for his attacking threat over his career tbh

      1. Krul Runnings
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Who is saying that Fernandez is better than Williams?

        I watch Swansea regularly and Ashley Williams could literally walk into any defence in the prem.

        Fernandez is a great player but FPL wise and in real life, Williams all day long

  25. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Kola and Westwood to Jan Maat and KDB for -8? Ta.

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      This week of all weeks.... Yes

  26. BobB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I appreciate luck is a legitimate part of FFP, but I do think it's got to the point where the game should allow free transfers where a player is projected to be out injured for a month or more. I'm not suggesting this extends to short term injuries (judgement call involved in keep/sell, suspensions (too bad for picking a hot-head!) or rotation risks. Anyone agree?

    1. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No because this would benefit the casuals in a way

      We tacticians usually find a way round it

    2. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No. Definitely not.

  27. Whats the Huth
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Should I play AOA to have thus team

    DDG
    Williams. bellerin.
    Sanchez. Hazard. Mahrez. Ayew. Payet.
    Vardy. Ighalo. Pelle.

    My bench is.

    Prodl. Kolv. Staylor

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I am also considering a similar move, but the only thing worrying me are the Leicester attackers. How good would they be in an away match against Southampton?

  28. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Me fielding a full 11 will feel like a 50+ points week

  29. skodaole2
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Already took -12 just to field XI starting players. Would you take another hit if your starting XI involved Mahrez and Prodl? And bench one of the above?

    A) Andreu -> Wijnaldum (and bench Mahrez)
    B) Kolarov -> Monreal (and bench Prodl)
    C) Keep

  30. davies
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    How long is Kolarov out for? Back next GW?

    1. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Reports have him out for 2 atm