[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
7 November 2015 1766 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Paddy Power’s odds arrive in time to present another variable to consider, as we scan the bookies reckoning to help us predict where the goals will and won’t be scored in the Gameweek.

Before we shift to look at Paddy’s Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheet rankings, lets check in on their range of offers for new accounts over the weekend.

This week’s Acca offers a huge 28/1 on victories for Southampton (at Sunderland), Man United (vs West Brom), Leicester (vs Watford) and Chelsea (at Stoke). This also comes packaged with the possibility of £300 in free bets should you bet £10 weekly.

Paddy are also offering a single on a United win over the Baggies, with odds of 4/1 on show (regular odds 1/3), while Paddy’s second Saturday market presents 8/1 on a Jamie Vardy goal in a Leicester win over Watford.

Finally, the Sunday treble dangles odds of 14/1 on wins for Man City (at Villa), Liverpool (vs Palace) and Arsenal (vs Spurs).

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 12

Player Team Odds
Bony MCI 1.83
Vardy LEI 1.83
Giroud ARS 1.90
Martial MUN 1.90
Pelle SOU 1.90
Sanchez ARS 1.90
Benteke LIV 2.10
Rooney MUN 2.29
Costa CHE 2.37
Murray BOU 2.40

Wilfried Bony and Jamie Vardy top the goalscorer ranks, as both are handed odds of 1.83 for an anytime strike in the Gameweek.

Bony notched more attempts (nine) than any forward last weekend, as City ran out 2-1 winners over Norwich. The Ivorian now faces a promising trip to Aston Villa, who are yet to keep a home clean sheet having conceded 7 goals thus far.

Meanwhile, Vardy could notch for the ninth consecutive start when Leicester City welcome Watford to the King Power Stadium.

The Foxes are in imperious attacking form, having registered 68 efforts on goal over the past four Gameweeks, more than any other Premier League side. Watford’s own form is strong – Quique Flores’ side have shipped just six goals in five away trips – but, having put three past West Brom last weekend, Leicester and Vardy have to be fancied to maintain their goalscoring run.

Four players rank next – tied on odds of 1.90. Two of them, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez, head into Sunday’s north London derby in contrasting form.

Giroud has claimed goals in each of his last three appearances, while Sanchez has blanked in his last two. No team fashioned more big chances (14) or shots inside the box (48) than the Gunners over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for the duo’s attacking prospects. In addition, with Paddy fancying Spurs to score in Sunday’s clash, it seems likely that Arsene Wenger’s side will have to find more than one goal to run out winners.

Southampton’s Graziano Pelle and Man United’s Anthony Martial complete the quintet of players sitting at the 1.90 mark.

The Saints’ leading man will fancy his chances against a Sunderland defence that shipped six goals against Everton last time out. However, it should be noted that Pelle has registered just a quarter of his goal attempts(11 of 44) on the road this term.

United’s Martial could be set to return to the central-striker berth against West Brom if his midweek Champions League outing is anything to go by: that has significantly boosted his scoring odds over team-mate Wayne Rooney (2.29). In truth, those odds look a little short – the Frenchman is without a goal in five league starts and is up against a Baggies rearguard that has shipped just two goals on their travels – fewer than any other side away from home.

Liverpool’s Christian Benteke follows on, with Paddy offering odds of 2.10 on an anytime goal for the Belgian. Having notched in his last two from the bench, Benteke will surely start against Palace at Anfield. However, Alan Pardew’s side have been in excellent defensive form of late: they’ve kept three clean sheets in the last five and have conceded just four goals on their travels all season.

Finally, Diego Costa is backed at 2.37 for Chelsea’s trip to Stoke City. The Spain international lays claim to just two goals in nine league appearances and could struggle to penetrate a Potters defence that’s carded three shut-outs in four outings.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 12

Team Odds
Man United 1.66
Man City 2.10
Liverpool 2.20
Southampton 2.40
Chelsea 2.50
Leicester 2.70
Arsenal 2.80
Bournemouth 3.10
Norwich 3.10

Man United (1.66) are the favourites by a clear margin to record a clean sheet this Gameweek.

The Red Devils’ case is bolstered by the fact that only Stoke City have tallied fewer goals (10 compared to nine) and (110 to 109) than the Baggies across the entire campaign. Meanwhile, Louis van Gaal’s home rearguard is the most resolute in the league – United have shipped just a single goal at Old Trafford in five matches this season.

Man City are tipped at 2.10 ahead of their trip to struggling Villa. Remi Garde takes charge of a Villa side have scored just twice in their last four matches, with just three goals to their name in front of their own fans.

Liverpool rank next with odds of 2.20 for a shutout against Palace at Anfield. The Reds could profit from the Eagles’ current paucity of goal threat: Pardew’s men have failed to score in four of their previous seven matches.

Southampton will make the trip to the Stadium of Light to face a Sunderland side that’s also drawn blanks in four of their last seven league outings. Ronald Koeman’s men are undefeated in five and turn up on Wearside having allowed just two big chances to opponents on their travels – fewer than any other side, bar Palace.

Chelsea are backed at 2.50 for their Britannia Stadium visit, despite failing to claim a single clean sheet on their travels this term. Staying in London, Arsenal (2.80) are priced a little longer than in recent weeks, given that Spurs racked up 14 goals in their last five fixtures. Indeed, with just a single clean sheet to their name this season, Leicester are currently rated a stronger option (2.70) for a shut-out ahead of their home clash with Watford.

1,766 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ameenkw
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Who to play .. huth or williams?

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      I think I'd go with Williams.

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      huth

  2. Jinkys Oars
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Anyone else leaning towards Sanchez captain? The armband has been on KDB all week and don't like changing it on a saturday morning but...

    1. 1justlookin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Thats whos my captain. Toyed with vardy and mahrez but leaving it on Sanchez

    2. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      City will beat Villa; we have a shocking defence.

      Spurs have looked solid at the back this season to compensate for a reduction in goals. Arsenal could break them down eventually and in a derby anything goes, but I reckon KDB could be more explosive.

    3. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      don't know. I think Arsenal could be a bit jaded this week. Could be close game and little from sanchez.

    4. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Yep.

  3. FPLord
    10 years, 12 months ago

    A. AOA with Ayew / bench VVD
    or
    B. Play VVD / bench Ayew

    1. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      b

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      def b

  4. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Tempted by Pelle, even more tempted by Mahrez but....

    I think I'll stick with Vardy (c)

    Will he score 9 times on the spin?

    Dunno. Watford are good at the back 🙁

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      10 years, 12 months ago

      So we're west brom 😉

      1. Piggs Boson
        10 years, 12 months ago

        Do you think there's any truth to the 'pacey wingers' theory?

        Brunt seems unable to cope with them.

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          10 years, 12 months ago

          I have never heard this theory

          1. Piggs Boson
            10 years, 12 months ago

            It was a recent hot topic, but it's been nudged out of view now...

      2. The Farke Side Gallery
        10 years, 12 months ago

        are youse

    2. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      I've gone Pelle.

      I've only just brought Vardy in. Kept telling myself he couldn't keep doing it. Apologies that I've now inevitably jinxed it!

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      So many options this gw, Sanchez is also tempting!

    4. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Mahrez 6 double digits this season, fks and cks and might take pens.

      Leicester scored 3 past wba and 2 past Arsenal which I consider to be good defences.

      Pelle away form isn't convincing and Soton tends to start defending when leading 2-0 like on Bou game.

  5. HearMeRoar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Ruddy (SWA)
    Smalling (WBA), Kolarov (avl), Cedric (sun)
    Wijnaldum (bou), Payet (EVE), Mahrez (WAT), Sanchez (TOT)
    Vardy (WAT), Lukaku (whu), Pelle (sun) (C)

    Good to go?

    1. Lyonnais
      10 years, 12 months ago

      yes

      1. HearMeRoar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks 🙂

  6. Djerbil
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Trivia :
    1)Which player has scored the most Goals in the North London derby in the Premier League era??


    2) The last time Tottenham beat Arsenal in the League at Emirates/Highbury , who scored the winning Goal??

    (don't google)

    1. Sailboats
      10 years, 12 months ago

      1 - Dennis Bergkamp?

      2 - Bale?

      1. Djerbil
        10 years, 12 months ago

        no

        1. Sailboats
          10 years, 12 months ago

          1 - i'm sure its an Arsenal player. I think Henry?

          2 - Kane?

          1. Eden Hazardous
            10 years, 12 months ago

            Its Adebayor and Kaboul

    2. The Farke Side Gallery
      10 years, 12 months ago

      1) Gary Lineker

      2) Gary Lineker

      1. Djerbil
        10 years, 12 months ago

        no , no

    3. Siggy in the Middle
      10 years, 12 months ago

      1. Thierry Henry

      2. Emmanuel Adebayor

      Probably very stupid guesses but I'll go with it.

      1. Djerbil
        10 years, 12 months ago

        nope

    4. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Sol Campbell?(played for both clubs)

      Kane?

    5. Optimus.
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Rooney

      Lee Chapman

      1. Djerbil
        10 years, 12 months ago

        lol

    6. jdogg
      10 years, 12 months ago

      A henry

      B lennon?x

      1. Djerbil
        10 years, 12 months ago

        nah

    7. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      1) Henry
      2) Kaboul

    8. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 12 months ago

      1.Adebayor?

      1. Eden Hazardous
        10 years, 12 months ago

        2.Kaboul?

        1. Djerbil
          10 years, 12 months ago

          yup gave the ans in the next page

    9. Piggs Boson
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Adebayor

      Adebayor

      1. Eden Hazardous
        10 years, 12 months ago

        Kaboul scored winner

  7. OptimusBlack
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Guys Bench pelle or Payet ?

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Payet. Sunderland are awful.

      1. HearMeRoar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 12 months ago

        And that's coming from a Villa fan!

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      pelle

  8. Elijah's Wood
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Williams vs Norwich

    Or Moreno vs palace

    Which defence seems more trustworthy? Swansea have conceded 15 all season, at least 1 against lesser clubs, 3 against the top end of the league.
    Liverpool have let in 3 under Klopp with just 1 clean sheet.

    1. Lyonnais
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Moreno, more attacking threat

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 12 months ago

        moreno

      2. Elijah's Wood
        10 years, 12 months ago

        This I what I'm leaning towards, looked really good against chelsea

  9. Lyonnais
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Mane (C) anyone ?

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Brave.

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Punty, rewards could be huge. I'd be more convinced if he hadn't played so wide last week.

  10. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 12 months ago

    DDG | Bego
    Williams, Kompany, Cresswell | Evans, Targett
    Mahrez, Alexis, Payet, Eriksen | Redmond
    Pelle, Vardy, Martial

    2FT, 2.1 ITB. Want to save 1FT for the internationals.

    a) Cresswell/Evans > Arsenal def/VVD
    b) Bego > Hennessey
    c) Martial > Someone
    d) Eriksen > Any midfielder except KDB

    Ideally want to keep Martial for a couple of more weeks at least

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Don't think you need DDG and Begovic, so he's one player I'd lose.

  11. Jazz!
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Myhill over Butland this week, right? Chelsea have to score.

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 12 months ago

      They don't have to score.

    2. Rake
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Myhill for me. Have Butland as well.

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Butland, for me.

    4. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      I would.

      I'm going Ruddy over Butland at the moment...

    5. Jazz!
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Hmmm

      1. Jazz!
        10 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks all.

  12. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Butland -> DDG or save?

    Have Butland McCarthy

    Janmaat Kolarov Dawson (Richards, Darmian)

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 12 months ago

      I just did it

      Wanted to do Ruddy to DDG but was .1 short............. Obviously

  13. Kaki Tido
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Decided ! I'm going for Payet(C) this week. Will be going mental if this punt work out well.

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Good differential

    2. Hickey
      10 years, 12 months ago

      I fancy him and Lukaku this week but don't have your guts! Hope it works out good luck!

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Well if Sunderland can score 2 v that defence......

      1. Kaki Tido
        10 years, 12 months ago

        The same defence that helped defeat strong teams like Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City & Chelsea. I considered Everton as a strong team as well but with a leakier defence

  14. Rake
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Captain poll.

    Currently on mahrez. Leaning towards Kane.

    Who ate you guys armbanding?

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Bony

    2. Rake
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Are*

  15. tabby98
    10 years, 12 months ago

    shall i swap out my sub keeper (Mccarthy) for a -4?
    My first keeper is myhill

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 12 months ago

      No.

    2. Kaki Tido
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Wait after the internationals first.

    3. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Hell no. 0-0 fo the United game today.

    4. Fitzy.
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Can't believe you needed to ask for advice on that.

    5. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      No.

  16. ducksfly2gether
    10 years, 12 months ago

    AOA reasonable here?

    Janmaat Bertrand Kolarov

    Mane KDB Sanchez Mahrez Payet

    Bony Pelle Vardy

    Bench Janmaat? Or save AOA and bench Pelle?

    Captain Sanchez?

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Hm. I'd be tempted by AOA. If not, I'd bench Payet I think and play Pelle against Sunderland.

      Captain is tough as you have a lot of strong options; Any of your forward players could be trusted. As a Villa fan, I'd go KDB.

      1. ducksfly2gether
        10 years, 12 months ago

        I'm worried about KDB playing time due to his rest midweek. No concern there?

    2. JogaSemmedo
      10 years, 12 months ago

      I've got 7 out of 8 of your attack, I'm on Bony atm.

  17. Viprin
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Thats it.. Martial (c) for me..#thuglife

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 12 months ago

      He's not a thug.

    2. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      really? could be a great diff.

    3. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 12 months ago

      If he plays as a central striker then I reckon he will score plenty of goals. On the wing with Rooney up top he's going to struggle. Rooney doesn't stay in the box enough to get on the end of Martial's creativity when he cuts inside.

  18. 50pipsDaily
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Bellerin out, so play Janmaat or Evan? Other deff was Kolarov and VVD.
    Or just AoA with Wijnaldum?

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Janmaat

    2. Viprin
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Janmaat

    3. Rake
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Having the same dilemma with Ayoze and Souare.

    4. mastertokalosh
      10 years, 12 months ago

      janmaat

  19. Jafooli
    10 years, 12 months ago

    What is spurs deaf like atm? Decent?

    1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Best DF in the league. Not to sure about it this week though ARS are injury ravaged.

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Very.

    3. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Hearing each other well. Good communication.

  20. OneForTheTeam
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Cech
    Kolarov Clyne Fonte
    DeBruyne Mahrez Ayew Payet
    Pelle Vardy Bony

    Rate my team!
    I have Schmiechel(GK) and Barkley(MF) on bench... should i swap? who to swap?
    Who to Captain?

    Cheers

  21. funnyoldgame
    10 years, 12 months ago

    A - Keep Martial for one more week
    B - Swap for Bony
    C - Swap for giroud (sneaky punt)
    D - other

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Both B and C are short term.

      Swap for Lukaku or Kane?

      1. funnyoldgame
        10 years, 12 months ago

        all would be short term until KUn is back. Rivals have brought in LUK and Kane so was thinking of a differential.

    2. OneForTheTeam
      10 years, 12 months ago

      C

    3. DF
      10 years, 12 months ago

      D give him the armband

    4. OptimusBlack
      10 years, 12 months ago

      B

  22. Trigg ⭐️
    10 years, 12 months ago

    The annoying thing about considering AoA is that there will be 2 pointers in my front 8 this week, its just picking one of them to bench!

    1. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      probably not the best time to use AOA then. Keep for when you have strong front 8.

      1. ducksfly2gether
        10 years, 12 months ago

        I have a strong fornt 8, currently benching pelle, but should I use AOA and bench janmaat?

      2. Trigg ⭐️
        10 years, 12 months ago

        Oh, my front 8 is strong, but one of KdB, Sanchez, Mane, Payet, Ighalo, Mahrez etc will inevitably blank!

        1. ducksfly2gether
          10 years, 12 months ago

          You should bench ighalo

        2. funnyoldgame
          10 years, 12 months ago

          ah right. My fifth mid is Westwood so AOA is barely better than playing Richards as my third defender.

        3. funnyoldgame
          10 years, 12 months ago

          depends on your defenders but I wouldn't bench Pelle this week.

          1. funnyoldgame
            10 years, 12 months ago

            *last post at Ducksfly2gether!

  23. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 12 months ago

    AOA
    Cameron to Moreno
    Save and go with it

    Butland
    Toby Dawson Cameron (O'Shea Hangeland)
    Mahrez Sanchez KDB Payet (Mane)
    Kane Vardy Pelle

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Very similar dilemma, and planning to bench Mane or Pelle right now.

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 12 months ago

        Ye I'm worried about Sam parking the bus after last weekend.

  24. jernej93
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Anyone captaining Lukaku?

    1. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      either him or Mahrez. can't decide.

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Yeah.

  25. toerag
    10 years, 12 months ago

    morning all !!

    just one q. (for now) 🙂

    play either
    A.ighalo
    or
    B. wijnaldum

    answers on a postcard to...

  26. Garlana
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Anyone playing ayew over any of the other template midfielders; payet, kdb,Sanchez,mahrez,mane..Barkley!?

  27. Rambo Motin
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Still dont know who to get rid of for Moren

    A: Dawson

    B: Francis

    Doing Dawson will leave me with enough money to fund Kun but Francis wont. On the other hand I want to keep WBA for their good run in December

    1. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      A.

      You could have several weeks before Kun returns fully fit.

  28. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 12 months ago

    Any updates on this possible Vardy injury? Could balls up my AOA chip if true???

    1. Gussy
      10 years, 12 months ago

      Fear-mongering at its finest?

  29. BellsOfFreedom
    10 years, 12 months ago

    How's the weather in Leicester today?

    1. funnyoldgame
      10 years, 12 months ago

      3ft snow overnight. Game could be cancelled!!

  30. Venom Snake
    10 years, 12 months ago

    I have no idea please help !

    A. Play Dawson, save FT
    B. Ogbonna to Moreno, bench Dawson

    1. mastertokalosh
      10 years, 12 months ago

      B

    2. toerag
      10 years, 12 months ago

      b