[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
28 November 2015 2403 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With the luxury of several hours to contemplate our Saturday transfers, we’ve longer than usual to assess Paddy Power’s reckoning ahead of Gameweek 14.

Before we peruse Paddy’s latest odds for Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheets, those of you who fancy indulging in a flutter should get up to speed with the latest range of specials lined up for the weekend.

Firstly, Saturday’s big top of the table clash at the King Power comes packaged with a Paddy Power offer for new customers that presents odds of 7/1 on a United win, together with the chance to get a £10 free bet voucher each week when you make a weekly £10 wager.

On Sunday, Paddy have lined up a European acca, with big odds of 16/1 on wins for Arsenal (at Norwich), Liverpool (vs Swansea), Juventus (at Palermo) and Borussia Dortmund (vs VFB Stuttgart. While if you fancy sticking to bets on home soil, you can get a massive 8/1 on Harry Kane to score anytime against Chelsea in the noon kick-off at the Lane.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.61
SturridgeLIV1.83
BentekeLIV1.83
De BruyneMCI2.10
BonyMCI2.10
GiroudARS2.10
SanchezARS2.29
IheanachoMCI2.29
LukakuEVE2.37
OrigiLIV2.40
SterlingMCY2.50
JelavicWHM2.60
KaneTOT2.62
FirminoLIV2.62
VardyLEI2.70

Paddy are taking no chances with the fit-again Sergio Aguero (1.66), again handing the City striker the shortest odds ahead of a home tie against Southampton. Although the 13.1-priced forward is unlikely to be afforded much beyond 60 minutes in light of his run-out in midweek, that’s ample time for the league’s premier marksman to exert his influence. Despite the fact that Saints boast the joint-best road defence in the league (four goals conceded), Kevin De Bruyne (2.10), Wilfried Bony (2.10) and Kelechi Iheanacho (2.23) also rank in the top eight. De Bruyne is therefore the most fancied midfield goalscoring option according to Paddy.

In all likelihood, Liverpool will line-up without a recognised striker when they play host to Swansea City on Sunday, but Paddy have still elected to price Daniel Sturbridge (1.83), Christian Benteke (1.83) and Divock Origi (2.40) as a response to their dominant attacking display at the Etihad last time out. Roberto Firming seems the most likely to lead the Pool attack against Swansea – the Brazilian is placed at 2.62 in Paddy’s reckoning, third behind De Bruyne and Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez when it comes to the midfield goalscoring rankings.

Sanchez (1.90) has drawn four successive blanks in the league but reaffirmed his explosive potential with a brace for Arsenal in their midweek Champions League clash. The favourable nature of the Gunners’ trip to Norwich City also finds Olivier Giroud – who’s netted in four of the last five Gameweeks – backed at 2.10.

With four goals in his previous three outings, Romelu Lukaku looks under-priced at 2.37. The Belgian frontman will certainly fancy his chances against a Bournemouth rearguard that charts top for goals conceded (27) across the entire campaign.

Elsewhere, Jamie Vardy’s odds of 2.70 are of interest – clearly Paddy feels that Man United’s steely rearguard will restrict the Leicester striker’s bid to extend his goalscoring run to a record-breaking 11 matches. Similarly, despite scoring 7 goals in his last four league outings, Harry Kane is currently priced out at 2.62, with City’s Raheem Sterling more fancied to find the net against Southampton than the Spurs striker in his clash with Chelsea. This is somewhat surprising given Kane’s outstanding record in London derbies: he has notched 12 goals in 14 derby matches and fired a brace against Chelsea when the two sides met at the Lane last season.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

TeamOdds
Liverpool2.00
Crystal Palace2.40
Manchester City2.40
West Ham2.50
Arsenal2.60
Stoke City2.70
Aston Villa2.80
Watford2.87
Manchester United2.87

Pitted against a Swans outfit that failed to score in three of their last five outings, Liverpool (2.00) are the deemed the favourites to bag a clean sheet in the Gameweek. Arguably, the Reds are a surprise entry at the summit of this table, given that they’ve carded just a single shut-out at home and in the last 10 Gameweeks.

Crystal Palace and Man City are both tipped at 2.40 ahead of their respective home match-ups. The Eagles face off against a Newcastle United side that’s scored one goal in four outings, while the Sky Blues lock horns with a Saints outfit that lacked bite in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke. Given City’s capitulation against Liverpool and the fact that they are again without their injured skipper Vincent Kompany, Paddy’s odds look a little on the skinny side.

Elsewhere, West Ham United (2.50) will attempt to rebuff the advances of West Bromwich Albion – who place bottom for attempts (118) and shots inside the box (69) – when they roll up at the Boeyln Ground. Meanwhile, Norwich City rank second-bottom for goal attempts (34) over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for Arsenal’s (2.60) clean-sheet prospects at Carrow Road.

Stoke City (2.70) and Manchester United (2.87) round off our assessment. The Potters could be the pick of the bunch in the lead up to their road clash against Sunderland, considering they registered five clean sheets in the last six Gameweeks. The Red Devils have surrendered just one goal since Gameweek 9 but will do well to silence a Leicester City team that’s scored in every fixture so far this term.

  1. Rambo Motin
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Toss up lads for C lads!

    Kane or Lukaku?

    1. Rambo Motin
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Too many lads in that sentence

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lukaku for me.

      1. SomewhatPleasing
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        As you say - toss up

    3. dcarlito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lukaku.

    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    The Bournemouth Myth - Cause vs Correlation

    It's a nice idea, especially with Lukaku traditionally being a 'troll', but this Bournemouth scaremongering is a bit daft imo.

    Yes, they're top or second or whatever for some defensive stats for the last THREE gameweeks. They've also changed formation in that time. For the record, from...

    Surman Gosling
    Ritchie CAM LW
    Striker

    ....to ....

    Surman
    Arter Gosling
    Ritchie ST LW

    BUT... Is that the reason why their defensive stats are good? In my opinion, no.

    It's the fixtures:
    sot / NEW / swa

    To make the comparison sweeter, before that they played mci / TOT.

    If you like stats.. Last four GWs, shots on target:
    Everton - 2nd
    Newcastle - 11th
    Swansea - 15th
    Southampton - 18th

    If you like logic.. Bournemouth have played:
    Southampton - Have since managed just 1 goal with sun/STO.
    Newcastle - Anyone who watched the game could see how terrible Newcastle were!
    Swansea - Again, very off form, but still managed to score twice.

    Rant over. 😉 LUKKAKAKKAKAKAKAKAKAKKAKAKAAAAAAAAAAA

    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1 clean sheet all season.

    2. Eden Hazardous
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Have you considered that because Newcastle, Southampton and Swansea played Bournemouth , their stats are low ?

    3. dcarlito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Go into transfer page and filter defenders by goals conceded.

      That's enough for me.

    4. Le Limpar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Swans Saints and Newcastle are still Prem teams with strong attacking players. The trend is pretty clear. Just a word of caution.

      And not nearly as daft as the Norwich scaremongering where the swing in stats was barely there, imo.
      Check what the bookies think too.

    5. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Luuuuk

  2. Your Mum's Athletic
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I'm VERY concerned about Sanchez playing time now......

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      What happened ?

    2. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Same, the armband is gone

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Did Wenger say something ?

          1. Your Mum's Athletic
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            that is nothing new from what he said originally in his press conference

          2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Thanks Ayew

    3. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'm not taking any risks with him in terms of the captaincy.

    4. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Me too.

    5. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Contender for most posted comment 🙂

    6. 50 Shades Oshea
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      got to go bold, going sanchez captain

  3. tabby98
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Aguero or Kane?

    1. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kane, but Lukaku over both if possible.

      1. tabby98
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Already have lukaku need a replacement for pelle

  4. Niemi
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    If Silva starts and I get a chance to do transfers before the deadline

    Sanchez and Barkley to Silva and Coutinho?

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No. I'd stay put if I were you.

  5. WWW.
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Play Mane or Mahrez?

    1. darko
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. Demí
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Mane

  6. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Non Lukaku owners. Who get's the armband?

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kane

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kane if I didn't have Lukaku.

    3. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kane if not Lukaku.

    4. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Not all Lukaku owners are captaining him 😉

    5. Giovanni Giorgio
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      So no sneaky Ighalo captainers out there? Certainly tempting

    6. Psakhotherapy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      kun

  7. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    1. De Gea

    2. Double up on Palace with Hennessey + Dann

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1.

      1. Fishy
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        1

  8. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Who is this weeks likely lad??

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Mane.

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Got him

        Anyone else?

    2. Jax
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Billy Sangueroku

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Right I will go and YouTube him

    3. darko
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I like Igahlo's chances today.

      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I don't

        1. darko
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Shame

          1. Jax
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            not really.

  9. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Great - decided to leave team as is and not panic and wake up and think ill have a cheeky look at FFS to see Rojo and Lingard ruled out by the looks of it. Ignorance is bliss.

  10. Fishy
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Ok to get aguero in 2 gws time?
    Team this gw
    Hennesey
    Belerin moreno wolscheid
    Sanchez ozil barkley firmino
    Vardy lukaku(c) kane
    Bench- ddg mahrez toby ake

  11. Johno99
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Do weave until 2pm?

    1. Johno99
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      We have*

      1. Fishy
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Yes

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Whatever rocks your boat.

    3. Niemi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Only if you use your 2pm chip.

  12. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    No one fancy Giroud ?? Nice fixtures

    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      he's breathtaking

      1. King Kav. QC at law
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I've got his calendar.

      2. Fitzy.
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        "I mean, if he thinks that that baby's breathtaking, then who's not breathtaking?"

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I always fancy him

    3. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No
      Walcott back soon

    4. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Agreed. He could be a great differential. There are just too many good options at the minute. That's the difficulty

  13. Optimus.
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Is Shelvey eligible to play vs his parent club(Liverpool) tomorrow?

    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      lolz

    2. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Eh?

    3. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Does Shelvey have parents?

      Was in not conceived in a lab

    4. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      You serious?

    5. Eden Hazardous
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No

    6. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      That red flag is suspension

      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        erm...he's joking...

    7. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      He seems to always do us a favour when we play them.

    8. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lol at your gravatar instead.

  14. FredUpAlready
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Quick poll.
    Who's the best Spurs defender to have out of
    1) Toby
    2) Rose
    3) Dier
    4) Walker

    1. Niemi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Rose IMO, especially if you didn't get Toby at a lower price.

      1. Fishy
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Why rose?

        1. Niemi
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Very attacking and cheaper, very much nailed on. 3 assist in 4 last games, also got a couple of goals last year.

          Toby is slightly more nailed though.

      2. FredUpAlready
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Is he nailed on?

        1. Niemi
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yes, should be. Spurs fan here.

    2. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1

    3. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Between 1 and 2 for me.

      Rose is more attacking, average position is around the half way line. He has had 3 assists in 4 games, and has the most (6) goal attempts of any defender. He has great BAPS potential too.

      The issue is that Davies is competing for his spot. I think Rose will miss a game over Christmas for that reason.

    4. 50 Shades Oshea
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      walker for value

    5. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      2) Attacking and a differential

  15. PB-THE-VET
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Vardy (c) simples

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      hatty today but i dont have balls to captain him. going with lukaku

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      We don't tend to concede a lot. But people are getting caught up in the Vardy romance and overlooking that.

    3. SomewhatPleasing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I sold him for this week. But, yes not a bad shout

    1. Morbius
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Not til' 2pm?

      1. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        They're talking about the people who will say this, not knowing that its at 2pm

      2. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Scaremongering.

    2. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I remember 11:30. It used to signify so much.

    3. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Aguero or Lukaku (c) ? 🙂

  16. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    With Rojo being out, should I start Van Dijk against City or Williams against Liverpool? Have Van Dijk at the moment

    1. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Vvd

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      VVD

  17. Alittude
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Start Smalling or Dawson? Have VahreZ starting too.

  18. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Westwood (WAT) or VVD (mci) first sub?

    1. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Vvd

      1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. He is the more exciting pick sure

  19. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Play Huth (MUN) or Janmaat (cry)?

    Opinions appreciated!!

    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Janmaat.

    2. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Huth

  20. bring back diop
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Play
    A) hen NEW
    B) DDG lei

    1. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A

  21. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    REPOST BECAUSE I REALLY NEED HELP!
    WC Draft thoughts?
    DDG Hennessy
    Dier Moreno Bellerin Ward Simpson
    Sanchez Ozil Cabaye Mahrez King
    Aguero Ighalo Kane
    Any changes?

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I don't think double Arsenal midfield is worth it. Silva instead of Sanchez?

    2. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Must get everton att player
      Lukaku deloufeu barkley

    3. Niemi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Wouldn´t go with Cabaye on a wc

    4. hannesdela
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Cabaye to Barkley

  22. hannesdela
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Who to transfer in for Payet?

    A) Coutinho
    B) Mahrez
    C) Barkley
    D) Lanzini

    Other 4 in my midfield: Sanchez, Özil, Ayew, Mané

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Barkley

    2. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      C

      1. hannesdela
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Hmm. Thanks for the advice. I waited the whole week to get Coutinho in actually, but his injury concern is still there. Hate it. I'll probably have to go for Barkley now.

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Barkely

    4. edfiasco
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      C or A

      1. hannesdela
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I'd personally love to get Coutinho in, but I really need him to play this weekend and his injury worries me..

  23. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Jamie and his magic boot

  24. tabby98
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    KDB to Coutinho for a hit?

    1. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No

    3. Relaxing
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Nah

  25. Sailboats
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Play toby or nyom?

    1. Fishy
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Toby

  26. Jax
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    HELP! Deadline in 4 mins...oh wait.

  27. edfiasco
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I'm taking the armband off Sanchez

    A) Ozil
    B) Kun

  28. Relaxing
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Snachez, Kane, or Kaku (c)?

    1. FredUpAlready
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kaku