[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
28 November 2015 2403 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With the luxury of several hours to contemplate our Saturday transfers, we’ve longer than usual to assess Paddy Power’s reckoning ahead of Gameweek 14.

Before we peruse Paddy’s latest odds for Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheets, those of you who fancy indulging in a flutter should get up to speed with the latest range of specials lined up for the weekend.

Firstly, Saturday’s big top of the table clash at the King Power comes packaged with a Paddy Power offer for new customers that presents odds of 7/1 on a United win, together with the chance to get a £10 free bet voucher each week when you make a weekly £10 wager.

On Sunday, Paddy have lined up a European acca, with big odds of 16/1 on wins for Arsenal (at Norwich), Liverpool (vs Swansea), Juventus (at Palermo) and Borussia Dortmund (vs VFB Stuttgart. While if you fancy sticking to bets on home soil, you can get a massive 8/1 on Harry Kane to score anytime against Chelsea in the noon kick-off at the Lane.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.61
Sturridge LIV 1.83
Benteke LIV 1.83
De Bruyne MCI 2.10
Bony MCI 2.10
Giroud ARS 2.10
Sanchez ARS 2.29
Iheanacho MCI 2.29
Lukaku EVE 2.37
Origi LIV 2.40
Sterling MCY 2.50
Jelavic WHM 2.60
Kane TOT 2.62
Firmino LIV 2.62
Vardy LEI 2.70

Paddy are taking no chances with the fit-again Sergio Aguero (1.66), again handing the City striker the shortest odds ahead of a home tie against Southampton. Although the 13.1-priced forward is unlikely to be afforded much beyond 60 minutes in light of his run-out in midweek, that’s ample time for the league’s premier marksman to exert his influence. Despite the fact that Saints boast the joint-best road defence in the league (four goals conceded), Kevin De Bruyne (2.10), Wilfried Bony (2.10) and Kelechi Iheanacho (2.23) also rank in the top eight. De Bruyne is therefore the most fancied midfield goalscoring option according to Paddy.

In all likelihood, Liverpool will line-up without a recognised striker when they play host to Swansea City on Sunday, but Paddy have still elected to price Daniel Sturbridge (1.83), Christian Benteke (1.83) and Divock Origi (2.40) as a response to their dominant attacking display at the Etihad last time out. Roberto Firming seems the most likely to lead the Pool attack against Swansea – the Brazilian is placed at 2.62 in Paddy’s reckoning, third behind De Bruyne and Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez when it comes to the midfield goalscoring rankings.

Sanchez (1.90) has drawn four successive blanks in the league but reaffirmed his explosive potential with a brace for Arsenal in their midweek Champions League clash. The favourable nature of the Gunners’ trip to Norwich City also finds Olivier Giroud – who’s netted in four of the last five Gameweeks – backed at 2.10.

With four goals in his previous three outings, Romelu Lukaku looks under-priced at 2.37. The Belgian frontman will certainly fancy his chances against a Bournemouth rearguard that charts top for goals conceded (27) across the entire campaign.

Elsewhere, Jamie Vardy’s odds of 2.70 are of interest – clearly Paddy feels that Man United’s steely rearguard will restrict the Leicester striker’s bid to extend his goalscoring run to a record-breaking 11 matches. Similarly, despite scoring 7 goals in his last four league outings, Harry Kane is currently priced out at 2.62, with City’s Raheem Sterling more fancied to find the net against Southampton than the Spurs striker in his clash with Chelsea. This is somewhat surprising given Kane’s outstanding record in London derbies: he has notched 12 goals in 14 derby matches and fired a brace against Chelsea when the two sides met at the Lane last season.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

Team Odds
Liverpool 2.00
Crystal Palace 2.40
Manchester City 2.40
West Ham 2.50
Arsenal 2.60
Stoke City 2.70
Aston Villa 2.80
Watford 2.87
Manchester United 2.87

Pitted against a Swans outfit that failed to score in three of their last five outings, Liverpool (2.00) are the deemed the favourites to bag a clean sheet in the Gameweek. Arguably, the Reds are a surprise entry at the summit of this table, given that they’ve carded just a single shut-out at home and in the last 10 Gameweeks.

Crystal Palace and Man City are both tipped at 2.40 ahead of their respective home match-ups. The Eagles face off against a Newcastle United side that’s scored one goal in four outings, while the Sky Blues lock horns with a Saints outfit that lacked bite in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke. Given City’s capitulation against Liverpool and the fact that they are again without their injured skipper Vincent Kompany, Paddy’s odds look a little on the skinny side.

Elsewhere, West Ham United (2.50) will attempt to rebuff the advances of West Bromwich Albion – who place bottom for attempts (118) and shots inside the box (69) – when they roll up at the Boeyln Ground. Meanwhile, Norwich City rank second-bottom for goal attempts (34) over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for Arsenal’s (2.60) clean-sheet prospects at Carrow Road.

Stoke City (2.70) and Manchester United (2.87) round off our assessment. The Potters could be the pick of the bunch in the lead up to their road clash against Sunderland, considering they registered five clean sheets in the last six Gameweeks. The Red Devils have surrendered just one goal since Gameweek 9 but will do well to silence a Leicester City team that’s scored in every fixture so far this term.

2,403 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. justmatt
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Is it worth doubling up on Palace defence today? Have Hennessey and Dann. Alternative is play Cech.

    1. Pariße
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Cech over Hennessey, just play Dann

    2. BecAuse79
      10 years, 11 months ago

      they got a good CS chance but i would not risk it if i have Cech

  2. ntrm
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Butland or DDG?

    And I know the "If you have DDG, you play him every week" - but who have the Best chances for s Clean Sheet this GW?

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'm happy to go with Butland this week

    2. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'm benching DDG for Myhill. Leicester will score surely.

    3. #WinterIsNotComing
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Butland 🙂

      I have got DDG + Smalling but can't risk going double at the back so better be Butland.

  3. Morbius
    10 years, 11 months ago

    11% still own Martial; me included for 1 more game week.

    Seeing as the (C) is a tough call this week, a punt on Martial isn't TOO crazy is it?

    1. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Aren't you just compounding your mistake? Classic gambler's chasing their losses.

      1. Morbius
        10 years, 11 months ago

        But, but, when it pays off it feels so good!

    2. Random87
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Sorry, but it is too crazy

      1. Morbius
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Probably right to be fair.

        Guess there's a line between inspired crazy, and insane crazy.

    3. There's Always One!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      On utd's current form that's a bad mistake

    4. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I think it's a decent shout. He'll get a lot of space and chances.

    5. St. Joseph
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Go for it! Cheers

    6. Morbius
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Pretty split vote! I know it's a massive risk, - borderline stupid - but Kane (c) could easily get 2 (4) too (even if it is less likely than Martial blanking)

  4. lennie123456789
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Butland
    Bellerin toby Moreno
    Coutinho Ozil (C) KDB Barkley
    Luk(VC) Kane Vardy

    Subs: Cech Stanislas, Smalling, Cedric

    G2G?

  5. Jafooli
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Who will have tired legs this week? And who will be fresh?

    1. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I hear Walcott's legs will be fresh.

    2. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Williams

    3. Mahesh_Kumar
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Eriksen, Kane and Son. Fresh fresh Aguero

      1. Tshelby
        10 years, 11 months ago

        THIS! now I'm convinced (c) KUN

  6. Fifa las vegas
    10 years, 11 months ago

    So: Mane and Pelle > Barkley and Kane for -4? Have to, right?

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Go for it. I would.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Sound, thanks

    2. Fifa las vegas
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Fixtures aren't half bad either actually...

    3. #WinterIsNotComing
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Don't even ask, just do it.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Done 😛

  7. AverageJoe
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Team most likely to keep a cleansheet this week?

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      villa

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Nope

        1. Jax
          10 years, 11 months ago

          villa will win

          1. Somalion
            10 years, 11 months ago

            Won't keep a CS.

            1. Jax
              10 years, 11 months ago

              1-0

              1. Somalion
                10 years, 11 months ago

                Doubt it

      2. Jay10
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Probably this or Sunderland.

    2. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Stoke

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        they won't.

    3. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Watford perhaps? I'm hoping so as I have Nyom!

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        nope.

    4. Mahesh_Kumar
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Arsenal

    5. Make United Great Again
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Stoke.

    6. Jafooli
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Villa

    7. Bøwstring The Carp
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Villa, Palace, Arsenal I reckon

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        2-1 arsenal imo

    8. There's Always One!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Utd!

    9. #WinterIsNotComing
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Leicester City

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        erm ok

    10. Kun Tozser
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Spurs

  8. Mahesh_Kumar
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Benching Mahrez, playing Wijnaldum. God have mercy on my soul.

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You are a brave man

    2. There's Always One!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Weather it pays off or not it's the right move this week

      1. Adams6
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Good God

  9. Optimus.
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Norwich vs Arsenal could be in real doubt if this is anything to go by..

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znW8Zf6jvGg

    1. Jafooli
      10 years, 11 months ago

      😆

      TGW incoming

    2. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah, could well be called off

  10. Maarrrr17
    10 years, 11 months ago

    mane or mata or mahrez?

    have vardy.

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      go with your gut

      1. Maarrrr17
        10 years, 11 months ago

        my gut says ask randoms

        1. Jax
          10 years, 11 months ago

          mahrez

    2. Fifa las vegas
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Mata

  11. GuillermoDickero
    10 years, 11 months ago

    RMWCT

    I've gone real top heavy

    Hennessy, Butland

    Moreno, Walker, Evans, Bellerin, Ward

    Sanchez, Firmino, Barkley, Mahrez, Anya

    Aguero, Kane, Lukaku

    Thoughts appreciated

    1. Soopaboonch'o'lad…
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Walker Evans has been dead 30 years and he was never that great off the ball.

    2. Niemi
      10 years, 11 months ago

      No Ozil will hurt you

  12. Captain Blanks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone have a good table showing team attacking threat?

      1. Bøwstring The Carp
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Only based on the last 2 Gameweeks though, so it's really for the short-term

    1. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Could always try the team stats area...?

  13. There's Always One!
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Watford have some nice fixtures coming up. I need a cheap defender so is any of Watford's worth a punt

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nyom

    2. Niemi
      10 years, 11 months ago

      After the next 3 they have horrible fixtures.

  14. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Crazy punting on Memphis?

    1. Arvin-ation
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Jump on board 🙂

  15. jackluhg
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Start Butland or De Gea?

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      De Gea

    2. Sweetpea
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ddg. Leicesters fun bus stops today.

  16. Jafooli
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Can Kane play vs his parent club this GW?

    1. Somalion
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Sh*t, good spot

    2. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I see what you did there

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Not playing Real Madrid this week do

  17. Sweetpea
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Tempted to do a Kun > Alexis afmbznd switch.

    On the basis 70 mins versus 90 mins in probability.

    What say ffs..

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Both have short minutes probabilities

  18. hannesdela
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Play one out of

    A) Mané (mci)
    B) Ayew (liv)
    C) Souaré (SUN)

    1. Red Star Toro
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A or B.

    2. Sweetpea
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Mane.

      City will concede.

      1. hannesdela
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Hmm in that case I might consider picking Souaré ahead of Kolarov?

    3. fc_skrald
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Play Mane - Man. C. defence wounded for the time being...

    4. St. Joseph
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ayew
      Liverpool's clean sheets are unlikely

  19. Red Star Toro
    10 years, 11 months ago

    1.9 ITB, 1 FT

    Butland
    Souare Moreno Bellerin
    Sanchez KDB Ozil Mahrez
    Lukaku (C) Ighalo Vardy

    A) Mane (he's benched), Vardy -> Surman, Kane -4
    B) Kaku -> Kane (C)
    C) Save FT, G2G

    1. BecAuse79
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A
      Then
      C

      But never B

  20. BecAuse79
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Pull :

    A) Sterling
    B) Firmino ( double up with Coutinho )
    C) Deulofeu (double up with Barkley )
    D) Eriksen
    E) Mata

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      F) Memphis

  21. okiwatevs
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Accidently benched Ighalo and Moreno and captained Vardy. Will be hoping for a Lingard no-show 🙂

    1. Whazza
      10 years, 11 months ago

      time to change til 2

    2. Somalion
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Good thing you can change your team until 2pm

    3. Konig Luther
      10 years, 11 months ago

      thankfully we still have more than 1 hour for deadline

    4. Jay10
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You can still change it.

    5. okiwatevs
      10 years, 11 months ago

      OMG thanks boys! Wouldn't have noticed!

  22. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    wavering
    Play
    Alderweireld vs CHE (H)
    or
    Dawson vs WHU (A)

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Dawson

  23. Back on the horse
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Mark using the late deadline for preamble to have a lie in?

    1. Jafooli
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Slacker....

  24. Ha.
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Lukaku (c) done.

    Sanchez behave.

  25. fatherted
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Kun v Lukaku (c)

    Decisions decisions

  26. Mull
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I'm going to look pretty foolish if Mahrez and Vardy don't stop scoring in the next few weeks.

  27. FDMS All Starz
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I can either do Kdb to gosling this week or next week, it will still cost me -4 either way (as I will get kun next week) My opponent this week took -4 but pretty sure my opponent next week won’t take a -4. If I did it this week, I will play mane today, if I did it next week I would play Kdb today? So do I do it now or next week (-4 which week to take?)?

  28. Sweetpea
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Fyi lots of money in Asia for Bournemouth today.

    Price on everton has drifted quite a bit. Beware lukaku captainers.

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 11 months ago

      wait what?

    2. Jafooli
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Interesting......fix central

      1. Sweetpea
        10 years, 11 months ago

        No fix. Syndicate betting gettting the value. Bournemouth have been better than results.

    3. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'm sure some rich people in Asia will have a monumental impact on the game.....

    4. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Thats my money 😉

      Long live King Josh V

    5. Sz21
      10 years, 11 months ago

      20% of all bets in football are made in Japan.
      They know what's going on!!

    6. St. Joseph
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Since this morning bookie..
      switched lukaku to kun (c)

  29. Jafooli
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone else got Bolasie 😀

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Is he eligible to play against his parent club?

      1. Jafooli
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Good point....

  30. @persecuted_by_mods
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Kdb gonna goal it

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nobody listens to me 🙁