[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
28 November 2015 2403 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With the luxury of several hours to contemplate our Saturday transfers, we’ve longer than usual to assess Paddy Power’s reckoning ahead of Gameweek 14.

Before we peruse Paddy’s latest odds for Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheets, those of you who fancy indulging in a flutter should get up to speed with the latest range of specials lined up for the weekend.

Firstly, Saturday’s big top of the table clash at the King Power comes packaged with a Paddy Power offer for new customers that presents odds of 7/1 on a United win, together with the chance to get a £10 free bet voucher each week when you make a weekly £10 wager.

On Sunday, Paddy have lined up a European acca, with big odds of 16/1 on wins for Arsenal (at Norwich), Liverpool (vs Swansea), Juventus (at Palermo) and Borussia Dortmund (vs VFB Stuttgart. While if you fancy sticking to bets on home soil, you can get a massive 8/1 on Harry Kane to score anytime against Chelsea in the noon kick-off at the Lane.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.61
Sturridge LIV 1.83
Benteke LIV 1.83
De Bruyne MCI 2.10
Bony MCI 2.10
Giroud ARS 2.10
Sanchez ARS 2.29
Iheanacho MCI 2.29
Lukaku EVE 2.37
Origi LIV 2.40
Sterling MCY 2.50
Jelavic WHM 2.60
Kane TOT 2.62
Firmino LIV 2.62
Vardy LEI 2.70

Paddy are taking no chances with the fit-again Sergio Aguero (1.66), again handing the City striker the shortest odds ahead of a home tie against Southampton. Although the 13.1-priced forward is unlikely to be afforded much beyond 60 minutes in light of his run-out in midweek, that’s ample time for the league’s premier marksman to exert his influence. Despite the fact that Saints boast the joint-best road defence in the league (four goals conceded), Kevin De Bruyne (2.10), Wilfried Bony (2.10) and Kelechi Iheanacho (2.23) also rank in the top eight. De Bruyne is therefore the most fancied midfield goalscoring option according to Paddy.

In all likelihood, Liverpool will line-up without a recognised striker when they play host to Swansea City on Sunday, but Paddy have still elected to price Daniel Sturbridge (1.83), Christian Benteke (1.83) and Divock Origi (2.40) as a response to their dominant attacking display at the Etihad last time out. Roberto Firming seems the most likely to lead the Pool attack against Swansea – the Brazilian is placed at 2.62 in Paddy’s reckoning, third behind De Bruyne and Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez when it comes to the midfield goalscoring rankings.

Sanchez (1.90) has drawn four successive blanks in the league but reaffirmed his explosive potential with a brace for Arsenal in their midweek Champions League clash. The favourable nature of the Gunners’ trip to Norwich City also finds Olivier Giroud – who’s netted in four of the last five Gameweeks – backed at 2.10.

With four goals in his previous three outings, Romelu Lukaku looks under-priced at 2.37. The Belgian frontman will certainly fancy his chances against a Bournemouth rearguard that charts top for goals conceded (27) across the entire campaign.

Elsewhere, Jamie Vardy’s odds of 2.70 are of interest – clearly Paddy feels that Man United’s steely rearguard will restrict the Leicester striker’s bid to extend his goalscoring run to a record-breaking 11 matches. Similarly, despite scoring 7 goals in his last four league outings, Harry Kane is currently priced out at 2.62, with City’s Raheem Sterling more fancied to find the net against Southampton than the Spurs striker in his clash with Chelsea. This is somewhat surprising given Kane’s outstanding record in London derbies: he has notched 12 goals in 14 derby matches and fired a brace against Chelsea when the two sides met at the Lane last season.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

Team Odds
Liverpool 2.00
Crystal Palace 2.40
Manchester City 2.40
West Ham 2.50
Arsenal 2.60
Stoke City 2.70
Aston Villa 2.80
Watford 2.87
Manchester United 2.87

Pitted against a Swans outfit that failed to score in three of their last five outings, Liverpool (2.00) are the deemed the favourites to bag a clean sheet in the Gameweek. Arguably, the Reds are a surprise entry at the summit of this table, given that they’ve carded just a single shut-out at home and in the last 10 Gameweeks.

Crystal Palace and Man City are both tipped at 2.40 ahead of their respective home match-ups. The Eagles face off against a Newcastle United side that’s scored one goal in four outings, while the Sky Blues lock horns with a Saints outfit that lacked bite in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke. Given City’s capitulation against Liverpool and the fact that they are again without their injured skipper Vincent Kompany, Paddy’s odds look a little on the skinny side.

Elsewhere, West Ham United (2.50) will attempt to rebuff the advances of West Bromwich Albion – who place bottom for attempts (118) and shots inside the box (69) – when they roll up at the Boeyln Ground. Meanwhile, Norwich City rank second-bottom for goal attempts (34) over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for Arsenal’s (2.60) clean-sheet prospects at Carrow Road.

Stoke City (2.70) and Manchester United (2.87) round off our assessment. The Potters could be the pick of the bunch in the lead up to their road clash against Sunderland, considering they registered five clean sheets in the last six Gameweeks. The Red Devils have surrendered just one goal since Gameweek 9 but will do well to silence a Leicester City team that’s scored in every fixture so far this term.

2,403 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Count of Monte Hristo
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Deeney or Ighalo?

    1. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ighalo

    2. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ighalo

    3. Gunner77-
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ighalo

    4. @FPLMason
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Igh

    5. Evasivo
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Is that a joke?!

      1. meerlight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        deeney is on pens and is getting more returns, so not a joke.

        I'd still favour ighalo 🙂

    6. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You won't get a sensible reply here.

      https://fpldiva.wordpress.com/2015/11/28/troy-deeney/

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Doesn't really do justice to Ighalo though, who despite not being on penalties has outscored Deeney by 4 goals and matched him for assists...

        1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 11 months ago

          On the contrary.

          1. Somalion
            10 years, 11 months ago

            I see the last sentence isn't too full of praise. Ignore me!

  2. Mohit20
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Any news on Coutinho?

      1. Home Run Baker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Never gets old 😉

    1. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      klopp was silent on the matter

  3. alfast1c
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Moreno and Lloris or Mignolet and Walker? same price

    Willian or Ayew? same price..

  4. Ayew Serious
    10 years, 11 months ago

    So apparently if Lukaku blanks today he's all of a sudden a troll, I'm sure his owners won't complain with
    14, 8, 12, 2

    Non owner

    1. Gunner77-
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Who's the guy in your grav?

      1. Ayew Serious
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Pablo

        1. Gunner77-
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Hernandez?

          1. Ayew Serious
            10 years, 11 months ago

            Escobar

    2. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Won't complain about the last three weeks...will complain about this week.

      1. Ayew Serious
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Still an average of 9

  5. lornemalvo
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Rojo - Kolarov - Moreno

    Bench: Rose - Simpson

    Right order?

    1. Buck The Trent
      10 years, 11 months ago

      yeah, rojo injury doubt

    2. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Moreno's the only one with a chance of a good chance of CS. So look at attacking threat. I'd play Rose over Rojo

      1. Pochecinno
        10 years, 11 months ago

        ...chance of a good choice... sigh

        1. Pochecinno
          10 years, 11 months ago

          I should just give up

  6. The Man Pastore
    10 years, 11 months ago

    A) Kun + Coutinho -4pts

    or

    B) Vardy + KDB

    1. Buck The Trent
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

  7. Jackpatton98
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Is benteke guaranteed to start or is ighalo or bean better options?

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      There's no guarantee.

    2. No Name to Display
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Benteke will start!

  8. Buck The Trent
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Would you start Nyom vs Villa or Evans vs West Ham ?

    1. @FPLMason
      10 years, 11 months ago

      nyom

    2. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nyom

    3. Pariße
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nyom

    4. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nyom

  9. justmatt
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Who to start?

    a - Barkley
    b - Mahrez
    c - Vardy

    1. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      a

    2. Captain Vantastic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You wot?

      1. Epic Fail
        10 years, 11 months ago

        m8

    3. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      C

    4. justmatt
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Rest of my team is Ozil, Sanchez, KDB, Lukaka and Ighalo. Cant decide between the other 3 on who starts.

  10. Pariße
    10 years, 11 months ago

    to start:
    a) Butland
    b) Hennessey

    a) Ake
    b) Ward

    1. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Butland and ward

      1. Buck The Trent
        10 years, 11 months ago

        this

    2. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B, B

      But maybe go A, B to spread the risk

    3. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Butland and Ake

  11. Rake
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Kolarov to Moreno for a freebie or save?

    My defence
    Souare Azpi Bellerin Target Kola

    1. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'd do it

    2. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

  12. Epic Fail
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Kun (c) 5+ goals is going to feel good. Confirmed.

    1. Captain Vantastic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You wot m8?

      1. Epic Fail
        10 years, 11 months ago

        😎

    2. S.Kuqi
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Thats good score for 15 minutes sub appearence

      1. KOLASINA(C)
        10 years, 11 months ago

        You don't own him, do you? 😀

        1. S.Kuqi
          10 years, 11 months ago

          No and not afraid 😎

          1. KOLASINA(C)
            10 years, 11 months ago

            Big mistake. 😀

  13. andrinho
    10 years, 11 months ago

    ****************************************
    Barkley or Deulofeu?
    ***************************************

    1. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Barkley. Just.

    2. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      ******************************
      Deulofeu
      *****************************

    3. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ross

    4. Gunner77-
      10 years, 11 months ago

      **********

    5. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      DEUF

    6. Ayew Serious
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Flagged

    7. Lyonnais
      10 years, 11 months ago

      ********
      Barkley
      ********

    8. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Barkley.

    9. Sailboats
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Boss Barkley

    10. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 11 months ago

      *************************************
      EEEEEEE MACARENA
      *************************************

  14. Hamstergod
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Who'd you captain out of this lot?

    Lukaku, Vardy, KDB, Alexis ?

    Currently on KDB (C), Lukaku (VC)

    1. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lukaku

      1. Hamstergod
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Gunner77-
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lukaku

      1. Hamstergod
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

      1. Hamstergod
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  15. VT9
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Worth a -4 to trade out Begovic/Williams/Sanchez?

    Also, which three to start?

    VVD, Sagna, Evans, Bellerin, Williams

    Cheers!

    1. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      VVD, Sagna and Bellerin

    2. Lyonnais
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Sagna, Evans, Bellerin

    3. Sailboats
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Bellerin, Evans and Sagna

  16. Lyonnais
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Myhill
    Bellerin, Moreno, Nyom
    Sanchez, de Bruyne, Mane, Mahrez
    Lukaku (C), Kane (VC), Vardy

    McCarthy | Gosling, van Dijk, Muniesa

    Good to go ?
    Or is Mane ---> Özil/Coutinho/Firmino worth a hit ?

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      No hit

      1. Lyonnais
        10 years, 11 months ago

        thanks!

    2. zon
      10 years, 11 months ago

      No, City without Hart and Kompany, I fancy Mane to score.

      1. Lyonnais
        10 years, 11 months ago

        thanks!

  17. semiconductor
    10 years, 11 months ago

    really need this to finalise my WC team (long term)

    1. walker + evans
    2. rose + 4.6m def maximum (souare or nyom)

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      2. Rose and Ake

      1. semiconductor
        10 years, 11 months ago

        id love that but after these 3 fixtures, watford has horrible fixtures

  18. Gunner77-
    10 years, 11 months ago

    ************************
    Bewbs or Ass?
    **************************

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Bass

    2. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      (◕︵◕)

      Rude.

    3. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Both

    4. Optimus.
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Ass

    5. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Both.

    6. Sailboats
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B00bs

    7. Bolivian Seaman
      10 years, 11 months ago

      80085

  19. Rushfort
    10 years, 11 months ago

    no love for the maestro david silva ? could be a nice differential though

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Not with a standard transfer, Maybe WC.

      1. Rushfort
        10 years, 11 months ago

        reason ? 😀

        1. Epic Fail
          10 years, 11 months ago

          It's be a 'sideway' move away from KDB or something with a normal transfer. Both capable of scoring well.

          1. Rushfort
            10 years, 11 months ago

            well, cant agree more !

      2. Cheezeweasel
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I brought him in for Sanchez and used the extra funds to change Pelle to Kane. No hit though. I think Aguero and Silva might start bringing in some real nice hauls soon

    2. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Tempted to get him for KDB, don't have the guts though

      1. Rushfort
        10 years, 11 months ago

        me too !

  20. Somalion
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I dreamt Vardy and Ayew scored. I was also the King of Tunisia and I rode a tiger into battle.

    Make of it what you will.

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Dreams come true. Confirmed.

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I better book flights to Tunisia.

    2. Hamstergod
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Better start getting Tiger riding lessons

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Might need to start Ayew as well

    3. Optimus.
      10 years, 11 months ago

      *calls RSPCA

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Pffft, they won't halt my glorious ascension!

      2. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        😆

    4. Ayew Serious
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I dreamt I moved to the top 100k this week...

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Now that is just far fetched! 😉

    5. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Tiger(c) 😎

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        The thing was bloody massive. I was the most dominant and powerful person in all of Tunisia.

        1. Mílanista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Going to eat all my ML rivals.

        2. Bolivian Seaman
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Was it Battlecat?

  21. UncleWoy
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Morning all,

    Man U fans - what are the chances of Darmian starting? Saw he started against PSV.

    Cheers.

    1. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      With Valencia, Jones and Rojo potentially out, I think he will.

    2. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I think he'll start yeah. Young will have to play left back and blind in the centre so many injuries.

    3. Demí
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Good chance with Rojo out

      1. UncleWoy
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers guys, he stays another week then. Good luck.

  22. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    How are people calling the foxes v United game? Not just in terms of fantasy really, but also result. Do we think Leicester will score past the best defence? Is anyone playing a united defender over vardy? Is anyone captaining a fox?

    Very hard game to call, I'd love it to be a big open match but I think 1 nil United is the most likely result.

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      1-1 or 1-2

    2. Sailboats
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy to score, but Utd to win imo.

      1. Slartibartfast
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Same

    3. zon
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I think (and hope) Leicester will force United open at some point and force a response, and we'll see both teams scoring.

  23. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Too many captain choices this week, so going with my most expensive player, which is Alexis! Next most expensive is KdB, but I'm bypassing him and making Kane my VC.

  24. Tshelby
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Butland over Myhill and Richards over VvD
    yay or nay?

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yay

  25. meechamspowders
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Bench 1:

    A) smalling
    B) Monreal
    C) Sagna
    D) cresswell

    1. Tshelby
      10 years, 11 months ago

      D

    2. zon
      10 years, 11 months ago

      C

  26. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Do you think it's risky to captain Kun considering Lukaku/Everton form and that he will be captained by so many? Funny to think that it could be bad choice to captain Aguero 😀

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      No.

    2. UncleWoy
      10 years, 11 months ago

      For me it has to be Lukaku on form, but you could always eat your words with Aguero.

  27. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    1. start mane or mahrez...already have vardy
    2. start begovic or hennessey..already have souare
    3. start janmaat (cpl or simpson (UTD

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 11 months ago

      1.
      2. Hennessey
      3. Janmaat

    2. Coldplay
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Mahrez
      Hennessey
      Simpson

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 11 months ago

      da feck

  28. Chicken-Mandy
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I have 1 FT. My defence needs sorting but I may just save the transfer for next week.
    I have Rojo, bellerin, azpi, kolarov and Richards
    Any advice on what to do as apparently rojo is injured?

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Save

    2. Rake
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Rojo to Moreno

  29. Gaz Downright
    • Has Moderation Rights
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Who should I get rid of first?

    Kompany
    Rojo
    Prödl
    Williams

    1. Gunner77-
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Prödl

    2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Williams.

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 11 months ago

        ^

        Followed by Prödl

    3. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      cheers