[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
28 November 2015 2403 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With the luxury of several hours to contemplate our Saturday transfers, we’ve longer than usual to assess Paddy Power’s reckoning ahead of Gameweek 14.

Before we peruse Paddy’s latest odds for Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheets, those of you who fancy indulging in a flutter should get up to speed with the latest range of specials lined up for the weekend.

Firstly, Saturday’s big top of the table clash at the King Power comes packaged with a Paddy Power offer for new customers that presents odds of 7/1 on a United win, together with the chance to get a £10 free bet voucher each week when you make a weekly £10 wager.

On Sunday, Paddy have lined up a European acca, with big odds of 16/1 on wins for Arsenal (at Norwich), Liverpool (vs Swansea), Juventus (at Palermo) and Borussia Dortmund (vs VFB Stuttgart. While if you fancy sticking to bets on home soil, you can get a massive 8/1 on Harry Kane to score anytime against Chelsea in the noon kick-off at the Lane.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.61
SturridgeLIV1.83
BentekeLIV1.83
De BruyneMCI2.10
BonyMCI2.10
GiroudARS2.10
SanchezARS2.29
IheanachoMCI2.29
LukakuEVE2.37
OrigiLIV2.40
SterlingMCY2.50
JelavicWHM2.60
KaneTOT2.62
FirminoLIV2.62
VardyLEI2.70

Paddy are taking no chances with the fit-again Sergio Aguero (1.66), again handing the City striker the shortest odds ahead of a home tie against Southampton. Although the 13.1-priced forward is unlikely to be afforded much beyond 60 minutes in light of his run-out in midweek, that’s ample time for the league’s premier marksman to exert his influence. Despite the fact that Saints boast the joint-best road defence in the league (four goals conceded), Kevin De Bruyne (2.10), Wilfried Bony (2.10) and Kelechi Iheanacho (2.23) also rank in the top eight. De Bruyne is therefore the most fancied midfield goalscoring option according to Paddy.

In all likelihood, Liverpool will line-up without a recognised striker when they play host to Swansea City on Sunday, but Paddy have still elected to price Daniel Sturbridge (1.83), Christian Benteke (1.83) and Divock Origi (2.40) as a response to their dominant attacking display at the Etihad last time out. Roberto Firming seems the most likely to lead the Pool attack against Swansea – the Brazilian is placed at 2.62 in Paddy’s reckoning, third behind De Bruyne and Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez when it comes to the midfield goalscoring rankings.

Sanchez (1.90) has drawn four successive blanks in the league but reaffirmed his explosive potential with a brace for Arsenal in their midweek Champions League clash. The favourable nature of the Gunners’ trip to Norwich City also finds Olivier Giroud – who’s netted in four of the last five Gameweeks – backed at 2.10.

With four goals in his previous three outings, Romelu Lukaku looks under-priced at 2.37. The Belgian frontman will certainly fancy his chances against a Bournemouth rearguard that charts top for goals conceded (27) across the entire campaign.

Elsewhere, Jamie Vardy’s odds of 2.70 are of interest – clearly Paddy feels that Man United’s steely rearguard will restrict the Leicester striker’s bid to extend his goalscoring run to a record-breaking 11 matches. Similarly, despite scoring 7 goals in his last four league outings, Harry Kane is currently priced out at 2.62, with City’s Raheem Sterling more fancied to find the net against Southampton than the Spurs striker in his clash with Chelsea. This is somewhat surprising given Kane’s outstanding record in London derbies: he has notched 12 goals in 14 derby matches and fired a brace against Chelsea when the two sides met at the Lane last season.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

TeamOdds
Liverpool2.00
Crystal Palace2.40
Manchester City2.40
West Ham2.50
Arsenal2.60
Stoke City2.70
Aston Villa2.80
Watford2.87
Manchester United2.87

Pitted against a Swans outfit that failed to score in three of their last five outings, Liverpool (2.00) are the deemed the favourites to bag a clean sheet in the Gameweek. Arguably, the Reds are a surprise entry at the summit of this table, given that they’ve carded just a single shut-out at home and in the last 10 Gameweeks.

Crystal Palace and Man City are both tipped at 2.40 ahead of their respective home match-ups. The Eagles face off against a Newcastle United side that’s scored one goal in four outings, while the Sky Blues lock horns with a Saints outfit that lacked bite in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke. Given City’s capitulation against Liverpool and the fact that they are again without their injured skipper Vincent Kompany, Paddy’s odds look a little on the skinny side.

Elsewhere, West Ham United (2.50) will attempt to rebuff the advances of West Bromwich Albion – who place bottom for attempts (118) and shots inside the box (69) – when they roll up at the Boeyln Ground. Meanwhile, Norwich City rank second-bottom for goal attempts (34) over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for Arsenal’s (2.60) clean-sheet prospects at Carrow Road.

Stoke City (2.70) and Manchester United (2.87) round off our assessment. The Potters could be the pick of the bunch in the lead up to their road clash against Sunderland, considering they registered five clean sheets in the last six Gameweeks. The Red Devils have surrendered just one goal since Gameweek 9 but will do well to silence a Leicester City team that’s scored in every fixture so far this term.

  1. BDMC5
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Plan was pelle to Kane and payet to coutinho-4 this week.

    About to press the button on payet to coutinho minus 4. Too big a gamble ?

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Get Firmino.

      1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        This or wait to do Payet>Coutinho after this GW. He's not expected to feature this weekend.

  2. Yxz
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Start

    A) Mahrez (mun)
    B) Ayew (liv)

    Also playing Vardy

  3. alexwooty
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Doubling up with Firmino and Lallana - silly or sensible?

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Silly.

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Silly

      1. alexwooty
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Thank you. Change of plan!

  4. Mumm-Ra
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I haven't done any transfers yet but was wondering if i should just let it ride, what do you all think?

    Butland (Myhill)
    Dann Alderweireld Bellerin
    Cabaye Coutinho KDB Ozil(vc) (Albrighton)
    Vardy Lukaku(c) Benteke

    Thoughts?

  5. Griezlad
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Tweaked WC team:

    Butland - Hennessey
    Smalling - Dann - Bennet - Aderwield - Simpson
    ANY MID UNDER 8.1 - Ozil - Barkley - Mahrez - Lanzini
    Aguero - Lukaku - Kane

    How is it?

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yes | Yes, but fancy him to get dropped soon
      Yes | Prefer Soares | Nah | Yes | Fodder
      Firmino | Yes | Maybe | Yes | Yes
      Yes | Yes | Yes

      1. t4thomas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        * Souaré

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      pretty good although your midfield is a bit weak but I guess the attack makes up for it

  6. Siggy Azalea
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Morning guys, am I good to go?

    de Gea
    Dann - Sagna - Smalling
    Sanchez - KDB - Mahrez - Cabaye
    Benteke (c) - Vardy - Lukaku

    Bench: McCarthy - Wollscheid - Morgan - Redmond

    1. 50pipsDaily
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yep

  7. TheBusDriver
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Keep Martial or sell for a hit??

    Got Vardy and Kane and 6m in the bank.

    1. ONE PUNCH MAN
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I brought Aguero for a hit,fixture proof player.and solid captain .last time I captained him,got 50 pts,hoping again.

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      He could actually score today

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Agree

  8. edwardsjon96
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Worth playing bench boost with myhill, dawson and gosling on the bench? or save it for later gameweeks?

    1. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      save it for a dgw

  9. Super Tim Cahill
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Paddy are very confident Aguero will score and not nearly as confident as most of us in Lukaku..

    1. Rats Ass
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Their odds reflect the fact that they've taken more money on Aguero than Lukaku. Not a pure reflection of who they think will score.

      1. bring_on _the_fantasy
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        this

  10. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Been out the loop for a wee while so forgiveness for a question that has no doubt been asked multiple times, but...

    Likelihood of Sanchez, Coutinho and Rojo playing?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      75
      75
      25

  11. #WinterIsNotComing
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I still don't get.... almost 30% ownership and he is on rise. :/

    Kane is not going to score against Chelsea.

    1. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Thought that last year

    2. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      because you don't have him in your team.

      1. #WinterIsNotComing
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I want him for next GW but price rise will make it impossible to get him.

    3. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I can smell your fear from here

      1. Sjaugen
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        That's what I'm thinking as well. Mostly because I'm scared as well

    4. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I think he will and I don't own him 🙁

      1. #WinterIsNotComing
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Imagine someone taking a risk of not going with him nor Aguero this GW

  12. raz_sheikh
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Hi guys, hoping on some opinions please.

    I have McCarthy and Hart, and oh so annoyingly 0.6 ITB. (No FT)

    Do I take a hit and have a playing keeper this week? If so who?

    Selling McCarthy leaves me with 4.6, grrrr...

    1. raz_sheikh
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Anyone? :p

  13. Sailboats
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Kane (c) anyone?

    O/

    1. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kane or Kun for me

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah think I might noe

    3. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      between him and Sànchez

    4. Trae44
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yeppp

  14. Griezlad
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Which midfielder for under 8.1

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Under Herrera

    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Barkley anyway

      1. raz_sheikh
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        This...

    3. #WinterIsNotComing
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lingard, easily under 8.1

    4. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Firmino

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Looking at the fixtures, Willian

    6. Numb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Mahrez

  15. lornemalvo
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Captain:

    A) Aguero
    B) Lukaku
    C) Sanchez

    1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      B-- Obvious call
      A-- Takes some balls
      C-- Blind faith/optimism

    2. ONE PUNCH MAN
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I have finally gone with Aguero.20 minutes is enough for him to score 5 goals

      1. Jolly Good
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Bookies like A), majority here like B) ... So C)

  16. Lord Vardy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I need a new ST. Got Vardy, Lukaku and £11.9 ITB. Who to get, Giroud?

    1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Ighalo? Cheap and got 3 juicy fixtures. Giroud not a bad shout as well for what it's worth.

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      May as well get Kun now with that much in bank.

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Whoops

        Iggs Kane and Giroud all good

  17. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    PANIC!!

    I have always wondered why people leave their transfer plans so late. You have had whole week to prepare.

    I smell casuals here.

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      ಥ_ಥ

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        wtf

        1. t4thomas
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          (⊙﹏⊙✿)

          1. Gooner97
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Get banged

            1. t4thomas
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              ლ(́◉◞౪◟◉‵ლ

              1. Gooner97
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Foooooock you

      2. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        😯

  18. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Rumours that Rojo won't start. Any substance to that?

    1. Demí
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

      1. t4thomas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Any rumours about how many goals Kane will score?

        1. Demí
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Hearing 2

    2. There's Always One!
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Hope not but id well believe it

    3. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      It's only been reported because his wife posted a picture of him to Instagram last night, when he's supposed to be with the squad. It could easily be a picture of him from that morning, not the evening.

  19. There's Always One!
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    What would one think of this front 7

    Ozil, Mahrez, KDB, Coutinho
    Aguero, Kane, Lukaku

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      thats the new template.

      1. There's Always One!
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        It would involve selling sanchez

    2. #WinterIsNotComing
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Only if you can manage defence.

    3. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Very good

      1. Jolly Good
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Is that even affordable?

  20. Horlicks esq.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Quick one.

    Yaya or Mahrez or Vardy. Play one.

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Vardy

  21. Cooper123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Can bring in either Aguero or Kane for Pelle. Leaning towards Aguero. What do you reckon? I know it's finely balanced. May look to shift things around and bring in Kane as well for Vardy in the coming weeks

  22. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Could be a stupid question but....

    Who should I play?

    A) Nyom (avl)
    B) Mahrez (MUN)

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Mahrez by a mile

    2. raz_sheikh
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      If you have Vardy, then possibly Nyom is safer. I have a tendency to lean towards attacking players though...

    3. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      probably A, but it's too risky, mahrez is still brilliant

  23. Griezlad
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Willian a good option to swap with Sanchez so I can free up funds for Kane?

  24. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Any news on Coutinho?

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      No... 50/50... Trained yesterday though

  25. Jimbo123
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Mitrovic -----> Kone or Sakho?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Sell him for anyone

    2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Neither IMO but gun to head, Kone.

  26. Grounderz
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Start Rojo or Alderweireld?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Rojo is injured

    2. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Toby

    3. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Toby. I mean, Willian won't score another FK will he?

    4. Grounderz
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks folks.

  27. The Raging Bull
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Sanchez to drop for the third time this week tonight! I'm guessing this is to free funds to fit Aguero in?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      He'll rise soon on Monday

      1. The Raging Bull
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        perhaps, I'm pretty certain he's been sold to accommodate Kun.

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      yeah should be but I took out KDB personally

    3. Saniul
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      And lol if he scores a hattrick this weekend.

    4. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      They know something we don't.

      Madness to sell before nor,sun,avl

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Can't understand, with Sunderland at home next GW he should be everyones captain GW15

  28. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    wait so how long until lockout?

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I think 2pm?

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        oh yeah thanks I only asked because I live in Australia the time difference gets confusing

    2. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      UPDATING

  29. lornemalvo
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Play Smalling or Rose?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Smalling

  30. Saniul
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    BOU, lei, SUN, WAT in the next four weeks. Only one half-decent defence in them.

    So yes, I am buying Hazard for de Bruyne.

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      It could work, a hard game like this might make chelsea wake up

    2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Cheaper [more value] getting in a CHE defender no?

    3. Numb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Good move