[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
5 December 2015 1562 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual Saturday morning scour for some overlooked alternatives serves up three players who, on their day, are proven Fantasy royalty. We plunder Chelsea and Arsenal’s midfields as the search for an Alexis Sanchez replacement intensifies, whilst we call upon Liverpool’s fit-again frontman to do the business at struggling Newcastle.

Eden Hazard

Admittedly, Eden Hazard (10.9) is in the midst of his worst spell as a Chelsea player, having notched just one goal and three assists through the first 14 Gameweeks. There are signs, however, that both he and the Blues have arrested their descent and are now primed for an upturn in form ahead of a trio of strong home matches (BOU, SUN, WAT) in the next four rounds of fixtures. Indeed, the Belgium international was a thorn in Tottenham’s side last Gameweek, fashioning two of the best chances throughout the encounter.

In terms of his statistical output, Hazard can count himself unlucky that he didn’t record a single assist over the last four Gameweeks, considering that he racked up 10 key passes. Although he’s not posting eye-catching figures on the attacking front, the former Lille winger has still posed the most threat among Chelsea’s midfield contingent, amassing a solid return of seven attempts and six shots the box since Gameweek 11.

Jose Mourinho was delighted with how Hazard fared as a false nine at White Hart Lane, but there’s no guarantee he’ll retain that berth for Bournemouth’s visit. Regardless, Hazard is well placed to profit from a Cherries defence that charts joint-top for goals conceded (18) and top for big chances conceded (22) on the road.

Aaron Ramsey

In the wake of Santi Cazorla being ruled out until March with a knee injury, Aaron Ramsey is poised to enjoy a run of starts in the double pivot. The Welshman will be relishing his return to a central role, given that he rose to prominence in the 2013/14 campaign with 10 goals from a deep-lying midfield berth. With most erstwhile Alexis Sanchez owners plumping for Mesut Ozil as their replacement Arsenal coverage, Ramsey represents a cheaper alternative (8.0 compared to 9.4) that arguably offers more goal threat.

Despite being consigned to the treatment room for a quartet of fixtures, Ramsey has still carded seven more attempts (28 to 21), six more shots inside the box (19 to 13), 13 more penalty-box touches (64 to 51) and one fewer shot on target (seven to eight) than Ozil. Ultimately, the ex-Cardiff City recruit fires off attempts at a much greater frequency (one every 32.3 minutes to 55 minutes) than the Germany international, highlighting his points potential.

Bolstering Ramsey’s case for investment, the Gunners match up against Sunderland (home) and Aston Villa (away) in the next two Gameweeks. The Black Cats under Sam Allardyce will be a tricky proposition for an injury-ravaged Gunners but, in Ramsey, they have a player capable of making late runs into the box to plunder vital goals.

Daniel Sturridge

Daniel Sturridge (10.1) bagged a quick-fire brace on his return to the Reds’ starting line-up for their midweek thrashing of Southampton, reaffirming his capacity for explosive returns. It was a similar story earlier in the campaign when he netted a double at home to Aston Villa, prompting 130,000 managers to hastily recruit the high-priced forward.

Granted, the fact that Sturridge has been sidelined for 53% (564 out of 1060 days) of his Liverpool career renders him a serious risk – but one that could pay dividends. His exceptional eye for goal proves that he’s capable of delivering strong returns even on a short-term basis, with the Merseysiders’ favourable schedule (new, WBA, wat, LEI, sun) facilitating that narrative. Certainly, Sturridge will be rubbing his hands at the prospect of facing a Magpies defence that’s conceded more shots inside the box (69) at home than any other side.

Although Sturridge is unlikely to last the distance at St James’ Park, Jurgen Klopp said that the former Chelsea striker is available for selection after coming through the Saints victory unscathed. Christian Benteke and hat-trick hero Divock Origi are also options, but you’d imagine Klopp will be keen to help Sturridge establish rhythm and consistency of starts.

1,562 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. oghash
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Looks like Bertrand is injured, but fpl showing him as fit?

    1. Dr Dream
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why do you think he's injured

      1. Trigg ⭐️
        10 years, 10 months ago

        This. Eh?

      2. oghash
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Posted on instangram yesterday he was in dubai with his family. Could be flying back but seems unlikely.

        https://www.instagram.com/p/-3tGcqhxfl/

    2. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If you post things like this you better have a link

      1. oghash
        10 years, 10 months ago

        See above

    3. Jay_
      10 years, 10 months ago

      It's an old picture

      1. oghash
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Well I apologize then, he's in my team so hope you're right 🙂

        1. Jay_
          10 years, 10 months ago

          His in my team too, it's 100 % a old pic, 'tb' means 'throwback' relax 🙂

  2. Eden Hazardous
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Just really not sure about captaining Kane

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      😆 😛

    2. FPL Daniel
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He is.my vice. Sound option

      1. Eden Hazardous
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Read the last page...you will understand 😆

  3. FAITHNOMORENO
    10 years, 10 months ago

    think many will regret shipping kun out.
    if he sorts out his problem,he's got two mouth watering home games in three including SWA and SUN.
    huge differential.

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      His stats don't make for good reading

      1. Fitzy.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Do any stats?

        1. Eden Hazardous
          10 years, 10 months ago

          😉

      2. FAITHNOMORENO
        10 years, 10 months ago

        he was completely out of form when he scored five in 65mins.

        1. Eden Hazardous
          10 years, 10 months ago

          He was averaging 5 shots per game during that time

          1. FAITHNOMORENO
            10 years, 10 months ago

            how many goals in average during that time?

            1. Eden Hazardous
              10 years, 10 months ago

              0.14

              1. FAITHNOMORENO
                10 years, 10 months ago

                that is the only important stat.
                he was clearly out of form.
                and then,he propelled me from 600k to 50k in just one GW.
                having him is a major risk these days,but if it pays off,only sky is the limit.

  4. Jayblue
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Cech
    Smalling vandijk moreno
    Firminho ozil(C) Barkley mahrez
    Ighalo kane lukaku(VC)
    Sub: myhill cabaye otamendi huth

    1. Any changes needed to my starting lineup?
    2. Should i play bench boost or allout attack?

  5. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else captaining Ighalo?

    1. KISSES
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If i had him i would

    2. Soundwave
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Well, if you look at the plain stats :

      3 goals and 1 assist at home for Ighalo, comparing to 5 goals and 3 assists on the road...

      Personally, I think it is easier for the entire WAT team to play their game away, as they don't get very well in front of their fans, where they need to attack. And ARVIN-ATION posted very good analysis of NOR's defensive upgrade, so I would think twice about Ighalo this week.

  6. D0GS B0110XS FC
    10 years, 10 months ago

    ozil or lukaku as captain???

    1. KISSES
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ozzy

    2. Cocky Spaniel Alves
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not Özil

  7. iveseenitall
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who to bench?
    A) kolorov
    B) vvd
    C) moreno
    D) bellerin

    1. KISSES
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Tough, 4 at the back!?

      1. iveseenitall
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Then drop one of mata, ozil, mahrez, kdb haha tough week

  8. Helpmenowbruh
    10 years, 10 months ago

    on wildcard

    OUT Deeny and firmino
    in Lukaku and 4.2 mid

    1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Who's the 4.2 MID? Might help having a starter especially with the Christmas run of games coming up. Strong 15-man squad ideal.

      1. FPL Daniel
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Keep Deeney

      2. Helpmenowbruh
        10 years, 10 months ago

        stainelus

  9. Arvin-ation
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    One last post of my model's numbers for GW 15's fixtures, in case anyone wants to use it as a rough guide.

    I'm not taking the blame for any (C)aptaincy mishaps though 😉

    Ighalo: 28.81
    Vardy: 27.80
    Lukaku: 26.72
    Kane: 26.45
    Coutinho: 26.35
    Firmino: 25.34
    Mane: 25.20
    .
    .
    Mahrez: 22.93
    Ozil: 20.64
    Barkley: 20.55
    Giroud: 19.76
    Hazard: 14.04

    1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Cool kids captained Igloo last GW.

      1. Arvin-ation
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Note: Players heavily reliant on assists do not do particularly well under this model as it does not place much significance on assist potential/chance creation...since most players I run through are generally goalscoring mids/fwds.

        Also, would take Ighalo's score with a pinch of salt. Norwich have really tightened up recently and have had a change in tactics to prevent them leaking goals like they have been doing all season. So, despite their horrible defensive stats they're actual goals conceded is quite low - 5 in the last 4 GWs is quite an impressive upturn.....or maybe I'm just a bitter non-owner

        1. Eden Hazardous
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Bitter non-owner 😛

          What is Kone's score?

        2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Yup--- on the same page with you hence why I'm going with Vardy. As for being a bitter non-owner. That was me for the longest time till I sucked it up and got Vardy in. Each GW gets easier now.

    2. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks again!

    3. Venom Snake
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Number what? :/

      1. Arvin-ation
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Ranked by a little model I made up which takes into account a player's attacking and their opponent's defensive stats over the last 4 GWs to try and capture most recent form.

        1. zencro 42
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I see, do you have De Bryune's by any chance?

    4. zencro 42
      10 years, 10 months ago

      How is this interpreted? What does the numbers mean?

    5. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      What are your inputs? Did you consider volatility or weather conditions?

    6. Admiral Stark
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Hazard's figures don't exactly make for a pretty sight :/

  10. Venom Snake
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Westwood to Alli -4 done!

    1. KISSES
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I still need to rid myself of that parasite

  11. Soundwave
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Am I the only one backing Diego Costa as (C) for this week? 😀

    1. KISSES
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If he starts you could be laughing my man!

      1. Soundwave
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Well, a knee-jerk friend of mine sold him this week, so I think this could go either way 😀

        But your comment, I will take as optimistic one! 🙂

    2. sneif4
      10 years, 10 months ago

      How has Mourinho responded to having a bib thrown at him?

      1. Soundwave
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Costa, who appeared to throw his bib at Mourinho at the weekend, will be in the squad to face Bournemouth on Saturday.
        Mourinho said the players "needed" the party, which went ahead with his consent.
        "The next morning everyone trained very well, they were happy. They told me the dinner was good and the after-dinner was better."
        Costa was left on the bench for Sunday's 0-0 draw at White Hart Lane and Mourinho would not say if the Spain striker would start against the Cherries.
        "He's been very good, he trained very well," said Mourinho. "Diego is the type of player who always tries. I just need him to be what he is, I don't need a reaction."

        Source : http://www.bbc.com/sport/0/football/35007482

        This screams "come out and play!" but I guess we have to wait till tonight 🙂

        1. sneif4
          10 years, 10 months ago

          It's difficult to read into that I think. I wouldn't want to say don't do it but if it comes off it would be well played

  12. Kurtinho
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone here playing UFPL for the December monthly prize? Which 3 keepers are you going with?

    1. GoonerByron
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mignolet, Howard, Elliott

  13. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Sanchez/Agüero > Hazard/Kane -4?

    A) Yes
    B) No
    C) Maybe

    1. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I would definitely get rid of Sanchez, but probably keep Aguero

  14. Syd.
    10 years, 10 months ago

    The 3 differentials this week have to be the most expensive ever posted in this article

  15. sneif4
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I'm contemplating -4 for janmaat to Zouma. Madness?

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A good move IMO

    2. Soundwave
      10 years, 10 months ago

      other defenders ?

      1. sneif4
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Moreno Evans Bellerin Francis

        1. FALCAO & MOU
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Then it is a no for -4.

        2. Soundwave
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I personally avoid taking hits for defenders, so my advice is to wait for next GW

    3. FALCAO & MOU
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why? No playing 11?

      1. sneif4
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Got others to cover but I just want him in the team!

  16. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    koeman said he's got improve his defenders actually defending after Liverpool game.
    Is Cedric a guaranteed starter today or -4 to Zouma/Merte ?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 10 months ago

      -4 Zouma.

    2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He rates Yoshida. So honestly, I think it's 50/50. The reasoning I've heard is that Cedric is bad defensively .... Compared to Yoshida---I'd take Cedric. At least he's got attacking threat.

  17. NATSTER
    10 years, 10 months ago

    (1) Play Mahrez and bench Vardy, wrong ?

    KDB - Mane - Ozil - Hazard - Mahrez
    Kane - Lukaku (Vardy)

    (2) Safer to bench Mahrez ?

    1. Soundwave
      10 years, 10 months ago

      2 seems like safer option

    2. Jayblue
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nothing seems to be stopping vardy at the moment.. Wouldn't bet on Swansea as well

    3. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez is giving Vardy all his scoring opportunities. Safer to bench Mahrez until Vardy loses his run of scoring in my opinion. Mahrez won't be on penalties if Vardy needs it to continue his run.

  18. The Nuttmxn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    RMT says bench Huth, even Janmaat was a better option it said 😯

  19. Jayblue
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Sorry for the repost here again. Im really confused ATM
    Cech
    Smalling vandijk moreno
    Firminho ozil(C) Barkley mahrez
    Ighalo kane lukaku(VC)
    Sub: myhill cabaye otamendi huth

    1. Any changes needed to my starting lineup?
    2. Should i play bench boost or allout attack?

    1. CableEnable
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nope looks gtg, AOA maybe if you're bored but defo save bench boost for DGW.

  20. onetowatch
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who to start:
    A) deeney
    B) mahrez

    1. Sean.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      deeney

    2. BecAuse79
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Deeney

    3. Jayblue
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Deeney

  21. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    NEW TABLE!

    The profound influence of good passing ...

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/12379/

    😀

    1. JØ
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Fabregas must be there

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Why?

        1. The Nuttmxn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          He's lost and they can't find him anywhere else.

          1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 years, 10 months ago

            😆

        2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          He is, as it happens - near the bottom ...

        1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          😆

          1. Eden Hazardous
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Fabregas OUT Ramires IN

    2. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      🙂

    3. ​
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Where's my 'Arry?

      1. Eden Hazardous
        10 years, 10 months ago

        He has 70% pass accuracy (near that I think)

      2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        He's not there - worrying for us.

        1. ​
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Worrying for the table more like 😉

          1. Eden Hazardous
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Worrying for England... 😉

          2. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Actually, no.

    4. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I will just stand here in a corner 😉

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Ha!

        1. Eden Hazardous
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I love discussions on Football for a change....Fantasy Football is a pain in the arse sometimes

          1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Aye.

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😀

  22. BecAuse79
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Please help

    i need 1 of these 3 to play

    1)Simpson (bad CS record , not that hard match)
    2)Lanzini (can he do something against man unt)

    1. BecAuse79
      10 years, 10 months ago

      2 not 3 🙂

    2. Cojiro
      10 years, 10 months ago

      1

  23. Cojiro
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Azpi or Moreno?

    1. BecAuse79
      10 years, 10 months ago

      cant you play both ?

      rules is to go with Home Azpi , but i would go with Moreno

      1. Cojiro
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It's to get in on a transfer

        1. BecAuse79
          10 years, 10 months ago

          incase of transfer in , Moreno for sure

    2. KISSES
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Moreno, no competition for the LB spot

  24. Judas
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kane (C)

    Who's with me?

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Me although might switch to Studge but I think I'll stick.

    2. BecAuse79
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not me ,with Toni Pulis there

    3. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Just checked the frontpage poll--Less than 5%. Wasn't expecting it to be that low. Guessing most Kane owners have Lukaku as well.

    4. Mitchacho
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Next week mate, next week.

  25. lahi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    What's the best option for a one week punt?
    A) Costa
    B) Sturridge
    C) Pelle

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B)

    2. lahi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      *One week captaincy punt

    3. BecAuse79
      10 years, 10 months ago

      c

  26. Rabbinton
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who will take pens for arsenal now?

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Giroud most likely but perhaps Özil

    2. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Would be nice if it was Bellerin.

    3. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Here's the list : Arteta, Cazorla, Giroud, Wilshere

      According to :http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/premiership-set-piece-takers/

  27. temo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Aguero to Kane for a hit? Other FW is Vardy and Lukaku.

    Have Albrighton on bench.

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bench Aguero and play Albrighton.

    2. Epic Fail
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Aye.

  28. Syd.
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hearts v Inverness called off due to high winds

    Expect more

    1. Rainmaster
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Which games are likely to be affected?

      1. Syd.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Games in the northwest and Midlands

  29. Jet5605
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Should I play Nyom. Dawson or Williams?

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nyommm

    2. Rainmaster
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Which games are likely to be affected?

      1. Rainmaster
        10 years, 10 months ago

        o sorry post fail..meant to be posted in reply to another post. play nyom

  30. KOLASINA(C)
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Is someone captaining Lukaku over Kane?

    1. Judas
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not vs palace

      Kane vs brom looks better