634x258 Spot the Differential
5 December 2015 1562 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual Saturday morning scour for some overlooked alternatives serves up three players who, on their day, are proven Fantasy royalty. We plunder Chelsea and Arsenal’s midfields as the search for an Alexis Sanchez replacement intensifies, whilst we call upon Liverpool’s fit-again frontman to do the business at struggling Newcastle.

Eden Hazard

Admittedly, Eden Hazard (10.9) is in the midst of his worst spell as a Chelsea player, having notched just one goal and three assists through the first 14 Gameweeks. There are signs, however, that both he and the Blues have arrested their descent and are now primed for an upturn in form ahead of a trio of strong home matches (BOU, SUN, WAT) in the next four rounds of fixtures. Indeed, the Belgium international was a thorn in Tottenham’s side last Gameweek, fashioning two of the best chances throughout the encounter.

In terms of his statistical output, Hazard can count himself unlucky that he didn’t record a single assist over the last four Gameweeks, considering that he racked up 10 key passes. Although he’s not posting eye-catching figures on the attacking front, the former Lille winger has still posed the most threat among Chelsea’s midfield contingent, amassing a solid return of seven attempts and six shots the box since Gameweek 11.

Jose Mourinho was delighted with how Hazard fared as a false nine at White Hart Lane, but there’s no guarantee he’ll retain that berth for Bournemouth’s visit. Regardless, Hazard is well placed to profit from a Cherries defence that charts joint-top for goals conceded (18) and top for big chances conceded (22) on the road.

Aaron Ramsey

In the wake of Santi Cazorla being ruled out until March with a knee injury, Aaron Ramsey is poised to enjoy a run of starts in the double pivot. The Welshman will be relishing his return to a central role, given that he rose to prominence in the 2013/14 campaign with 10 goals from a deep-lying midfield berth. With most erstwhile Alexis Sanchez owners plumping for Mesut Ozil as their replacement Arsenal coverage, Ramsey represents a cheaper alternative (8.0 compared to 9.4) that arguably offers more goal threat.

Despite being consigned to the treatment room for a quartet of fixtures, Ramsey has still carded seven more attempts (28 to 21), six more shots inside the box (19 to 13), 13 more penalty-box touches (64 to 51) and one fewer shot on target (seven to eight) than Ozil. Ultimately, the ex-Cardiff City recruit fires off attempts at a much greater frequency (one every 32.3 minutes to 55 minutes) than the Germany international, highlighting his points potential.

Bolstering Ramsey’s case for investment, the Gunners match up against Sunderland (home) and Aston Villa (away) in the next two Gameweeks. The Black Cats under Sam Allardyce will be a tricky proposition for an injury-ravaged Gunners but, in Ramsey, they have a player capable of making late runs into the box to plunder vital goals.

Daniel Sturridge

Daniel Sturridge (10.1) bagged a quick-fire brace on his return to the Reds’ starting line-up for their midweek thrashing of Southampton, reaffirming his capacity for explosive returns. It was a similar story earlier in the campaign when he netted a double at home to Aston Villa, prompting 130,000 managers to hastily recruit the high-priced forward.

Granted, the fact that Sturridge has been sidelined for 53% (564 out of 1060 days) of his Liverpool career renders him a serious risk – but one that could pay dividends. His exceptional eye for goal proves that he’s capable of delivering strong returns even on a short-term basis, with the Merseysiders’ favourable schedule (new, WBA, wat, LEI, sun) facilitating that narrative. Certainly, Sturridge will be rubbing his hands at the prospect of facing a Magpies defence that’s conceded more shots inside the box (69) at home than any other side.

Although Sturridge is unlikely to last the distance at St James’ Park, Jurgen Klopp said that the former Chelsea striker is available for selection after coming through the Saints victory unscathed. Christian Benteke and hat-trick hero Divock Origi are also options, but you’d imagine Klopp will be keen to help Sturridge establish rhythm and consistency of starts.

  1. oghash
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Looks like Bertrand is injured, but fpl showing him as fit?

    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Why do you think he's injured

      1. Trigg ⭐️
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        This. Eh?

      2. oghash
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Posted on instangram yesterday he was in dubai with his family. Could be flying back but seems unlikely.

        https://www.instagram.com/p/-3tGcqhxfl/

    2. SweeSwee
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      If you post things like this you better have a link

      1. oghash
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        See above

    3. Jay_
        10 years, 1 month ago

        It's an old picture

        1. oghash
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Well I apologize then, he's in my team so hope you're right 🙂

          1. Jay_
              10 years, 1 month ago

              His in my team too, it's 100 % a old pic, 'tb' means 'throwback' relax 🙂

      • Eden Hazardous
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Just really not sure about captaining Kane

        1. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          😆 😛

        2. FPL Daniel
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          He is.my vice. Sound option

          1. Eden Hazardous
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Read the last page...you will understand 😆

      • FAITHNOMORENO
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        think many will regret shipping kun out.
        if he sorts out his problem,he's got two mouth watering home games in three including SWA and SUN.
        huge differential.

        1. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          His stats don't make for good reading

          1. Fitzy.
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Do any stats?

            1. Eden Hazardous
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              😉

          2. FAITHNOMORENO
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            he was completely out of form when he scored five in 65mins.

            1. Eden Hazardous
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              He was averaging 5 shots per game during that time

              1. FAITHNOMORENO
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                how many goals in average during that time?

                1. Eden Hazardous
                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 1 month ago

                  0.14

                  1. FAITHNOMORENO
                    • 14 Years
                    10 years, 1 month ago

                    that is the only important stat.
                    he was clearly out of form.
                    and then,he propelled me from 600k to 50k in just one GW.
                    having him is a major risk these days,but if it pays off,only sky is the limit.

      • Jayblue
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Cech
        Smalling vandijk moreno
        Firminho ozil(C) Barkley mahrez
        Ighalo kane lukaku(VC)
        Sub: myhill cabaye otamendi huth

        1. Any changes needed to my starting lineup?
        2. Should i play bench boost or allout attack?

      • JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone else captaining Ighalo?

        1. KISSES
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          If i had him i would

        2. Soundwave
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Well, if you look at the plain stats :

          3 goals and 1 assist at home for Ighalo, comparing to 5 goals and 3 assists on the road...

          Personally, I think it is easier for the entire WAT team to play their game away, as they don't get very well in front of their fans, where they need to attack. And ARVIN-ATION posted very good analysis of NOR's defensive upgrade, so I would think twice about Ighalo this week.

      • D0GS B0110XS FC
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        ozil or lukaku as captain???

        1. KISSES
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Ozzy

        2. Cocky Spaniel Alves
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Not Özil

      • iveseenitall
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Who to bench?
        A) kolorov
        B) vvd
        C) moreno
        D) bellerin

        1. KISSES
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Tough, 4 at the back!?

          1. iveseenitall
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Then drop one of mata, ozil, mahrez, kdb haha tough week

      • Helpmenowbruh
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        on wildcard

        OUT Deeny and firmino
        in Lukaku and 4.2 mid

        1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Who's the 4.2 MID? Might help having a starter especially with the Christmas run of games coming up. Strong 15-man squad ideal.

          1. FPL Daniel
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Keep Deeney

          2. Helpmenowbruh
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            stainelus

      • Arvin-ation
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        One last post of my model's numbers for GW 15's fixtures, in case anyone wants to use it as a rough guide.

        I'm not taking the blame for any (C)aptaincy mishaps though 😉

        Ighalo: 28.81
        Vardy: 27.80
        Lukaku: 26.72
        Kane: 26.45
        Coutinho: 26.35
        Firmino: 25.34
        Mane: 25.20
        .
        .
        Mahrez: 22.93
        Ozil: 20.64
        Barkley: 20.55
        Giroud: 19.76
        Hazard: 14.04

        1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Cool kids captained Igloo last GW.

          1. Arvin-ation
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Note: Players heavily reliant on assists do not do particularly well under this model as it does not place much significance on assist potential/chance creation...since most players I run through are generally goalscoring mids/fwds.

            Also, would take Ighalo's score with a pinch of salt. Norwich have really tightened up recently and have had a change in tactics to prevent them leaking goals like they have been doing all season. So, despite their horrible defensive stats they're actual goals conceded is quite low - 5 in the last 4 GWs is quite an impressive upturn.....or maybe I'm just a bitter non-owner

            1. Eden Hazardous
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Bitter non-owner 😛

              What is Kone's score?

            2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Yup--- on the same page with you hence why I'm going with Vardy. As for being a bitter non-owner. That was me for the longest time till I sucked it up and got Vardy in. Each GW gets easier now.

        2. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Thanks again!

        3. Venom Snake
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Number what? :/

          1. Arvin-ation
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Ranked by a little model I made up which takes into account a player's attacking and their opponent's defensive stats over the last 4 GWs to try and capture most recent form.

            1. zencro 42
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              I see, do you have De Bryune's by any chance?

        4. zencro 42
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          How is this interpreted? What does the numbers mean?

        5. SweeSwee
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          What are your inputs? Did you consider volatility or weather conditions?

        6. Admiral Stark
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Hazard's figures don't exactly make for a pretty sight :/

      • Venom Snake
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Westwood to Alli -4 done!

        1. KISSES
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          I still need to rid myself of that parasite

      • Soundwave
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Am I the only one backing Diego Costa as (C) for this week? 😀

        1. KISSES
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          If he starts you could be laughing my man!

          1. Soundwave
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Well, a knee-jerk friend of mine sold him this week, so I think this could go either way 😀

            But your comment, I will take as optimistic one! 🙂

        2. sneif4
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          How has Mourinho responded to having a bib thrown at him?

          1. Soundwave
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Costa, who appeared to throw his bib at Mourinho at the weekend, will be in the squad to face Bournemouth on Saturday.
            Mourinho said the players "needed" the party, which went ahead with his consent.
            "The next morning everyone trained very well, they were happy. They told me the dinner was good and the after-dinner was better."
            Costa was left on the bench for Sunday's 0-0 draw at White Hart Lane and Mourinho would not say if the Spain striker would start against the Cherries.
            "He's been very good, he trained very well," said Mourinho. "Diego is the type of player who always tries. I just need him to be what he is, I don't need a reaction."

            Source : http://www.bbc.com/sport/0/football/35007482

            This screams "come out and play!" but I guess we have to wait till tonight 🙂

            1. sneif4
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              It's difficult to read into that I think. I wouldn't want to say don't do it but if it comes off it would be well played

      • Kurtinho
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone here playing UFPL for the December monthly prize? Which 3 keepers are you going with?

        1. GoonerByron
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Mignolet, Howard, Elliott

      • Cocky Spaniel Alves
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Sanchez/Agüero > Hazard/Kane -4?

        A) Yes
        B) No
        C) Maybe

        1. SweeSwee
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          I would definitely get rid of Sanchez, but probably keep Aguero

      • Syd.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        The 3 differentials this week have to be the most expensive ever posted in this article

      • sneif4
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        I'm contemplating -4 for janmaat to Zouma. Madness?

        1. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          A good move IMO

        2. Soundwave
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          other defenders ?

          1. sneif4
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Moreno Evans Bellerin Francis

            1. FALCAO & MOU
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Then it is a no for -4.

            2. Soundwave
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              I personally avoid taking hits for defenders, so my advice is to wait for next GW

        3. FALCAO & MOU
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Why? No playing 11?

          1. sneif4
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Got others to cover but I just want him in the team!

      • tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        koeman said he's got improve his defenders actually defending after Liverpool game.
        Is Cedric a guaranteed starter today or -4 to Zouma/Merte ?

        1. Gregor
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          -4 Zouma.

        2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          He rates Yoshida. So honestly, I think it's 50/50. The reasoning I've heard is that Cedric is bad defensively .... Compared to Yoshida---I'd take Cedric. At least he's got attacking threat.

      • NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        (1) Play Mahrez and bench Vardy, wrong ?

        KDB - Mane - Ozil - Hazard - Mahrez
        Kane - Lukaku (Vardy)

        (2) Safer to bench Mahrez ?

        1. Soundwave
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          2 seems like safer option

        2. Jayblue
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Nothing seems to be stopping vardy at the moment.. Wouldn't bet on Swansea as well

        3. SweeSwee
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Mahrez is giving Vardy all his scoring opportunities. Safer to bench Mahrez until Vardy loses his run of scoring in my opinion. Mahrez won't be on penalties if Vardy needs it to continue his run.

      • The Nuttmxn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        RMT says bench Huth, even Janmaat was a better option it said 😯

      • Jayblue
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Sorry for the repost here again. Im really confused ATM
        Cech
        Smalling vandijk moreno
        Firminho ozil(C) Barkley mahrez
        Ighalo kane lukaku(VC)
        Sub: myhill cabaye otamendi huth

        1. Any changes needed to my starting lineup?
        2. Should i play bench boost or allout attack?

        1. CableEnable
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Nope looks gtg, AOA maybe if you're bored but defo save bench boost for DGW.

      • onetowatch
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Who to start:
        A) deeney
        B) mahrez

        1. Sean.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          deeney

        2. BecAuse79
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Deeney

        3. Jayblue
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Deeney

      • Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        NEW TABLE!

        The profound influence of good passing ...

        http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/12379/

        😀

          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Fabregas must be there

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Why?

            1. The Nuttmxn
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              He's lost and they can't find him anywhere else.

              1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                😆

            2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              He is, as it happens - near the bottom ...

            1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              😆

              1. Eden Hazardous
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                Fabregas OUT Ramires IN

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          🙂

          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Where's my 'Arry?

          1. Eden Hazardous
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            He has 70% pass accuracy (near that I think)

          2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            He's not there - worrying for us.

              • 12 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Worrying for the table more like 😉

              1. Eden Hazardous
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                Worrying for England... 😉

              2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                Actually, no.

        2. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          I will just stand here in a corner 😉

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Ha!

            1. Eden Hazardous
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              I love discussions on Football for a change....Fantasy Football is a pain in the arse sometimes

              1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                Aye.

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            😀

      • BecAuse79
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Please help

        i need 1 of these 3 to play

        1)Simpson (bad CS record , not that hard match)
        2)Lanzini (can he do something against man unt)

        1. BecAuse79
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          2 not 3 🙂

        2. Cojiro
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          1

      • Cojiro
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Azpi or Moreno?

        1. BecAuse79
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          cant you play both ?

          rules is to go with Home Azpi , but i would go with Moreno

          1. Cojiro
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            It's to get in on a transfer

            1. BecAuse79
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              incase of transfer in , Moreno for sure

        2. KISSES
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Moreno, no competition for the LB spot

      • Judas
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Kane (C)

        Who's with me?

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Me although might switch to Studge but I think I'll stick.

        2. BecAuse79
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Not me ,with Toni Pulis there

        3. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Just checked the frontpage poll--Less than 5%. Wasn't expecting it to be that low. Guessing most Kane owners have Lukaku as well.

        4. Mitchacho
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Next week mate, next week.

      • lahi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        What's the best option for a one week punt?
        A) Costa
        B) Sturridge
        C) Pelle

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          B)

        2. lahi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          *One week captaincy punt

        3. BecAuse79
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          c

      • Rabbinton
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Who will take pens for arsenal now?

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Giroud most likely but perhaps Özil

        2. SweeSwee
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Would be nice if it was Bellerin.

        3. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Here's the list : Arteta, Cazorla, Giroud, Wilshere

          According to :http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/premiership-set-piece-takers/

      • temo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Aguero to Kane for a hit? Other FW is Vardy and Lukaku.

        Have Albrighton on bench.

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Bench Aguero and play Albrighton.

        2. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Aye.

      • Syd.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Hearts v Inverness called off due to high winds

        Expect more

        1. Rainmaster
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Which games are likely to be affected?

          1. Syd.
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Games in the northwest and Midlands

      • Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Should I play Nyom. Dawson or Williams?

        1. KOLASINA(C)
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Nyommm

        2. Rainmaster
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Which games are likely to be affected?

          1. Rainmaster
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            o sorry post fail..meant to be posted in reply to another post. play nyom

      • KOLASINA(C)
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Is someone captaining Lukaku over Kane?

        1. Judas
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Not vs palace

          Kane vs brom looks better