[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
12 December 2015 1162 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our Saturday morning regular brings a couple of Arsenal and Man City midfielders onto our radars ahead of favourable Gameweek 16 encounters. Stoke’s former Barcelona frontman is also under analysis after Mark Hughes’ tactical tinkering helped the Potters overcome City last time around.

Theo Walcott

Having been sidelined for five matches with a calf injury, Theo Walcott (8.3) earned a 27-minute cameo last Gameweek against Sunderland, before being thrust back into the starting XI for Arsenal’s 3-0 victory over Olympiacos. Although Olivier Giroud has locked down the lone-striker berth with his recent form (five goals in seven league ties), injuries to Alexis Sanchez and Santi Cazorla (shifting Aaron Ramsey centrally) have diminished the Gunners’ depth on the flanks – augmenting Walcott’s starting potential.

Even in the event that the Southampton academy product is eased back into contention with another substitute outing, his searing pace against fatigued legs always renders him a threat in the dying embers. Moreover – for all his injury travails – Walcott is remarkably efficient with the pitch time he is afforded, as evidenced by the fact he’s produced a goal or an assist (43 goals, 40 assists) once every 102.9 minutes since the start of the 2010/11 campaign.

In spite of Arsenal’s depleted squad, Walcott will slot back into a side that fashioned three more big chances (13) than the rest of the field over the last four Gameweeks. Additionally, Arsene Wenger’s troops rank second for goals (16) and top for shots on target (44) in road clashes, which bodes well for their attacking potential against an Aston Villa team that recorded just one clean sheet in their previous 14 match-ups.

Raheem Sterling

Raheem Sterling (8.9) steered Manchester City to victory over Borussia Monchengladbach on Tuesday with a three-minute brace, reaffirming his viability as a mid-priced alternative to Kevin De Bruyne. Although the latter serves as the prime route into the Sky Blues midfield based on current form, De Bruyne’s recent paucity of goal threat (two attempts in four outings) widens the scope for Sterling to creep into contention if he can build upon a eye-catching display in the Champions League.

Over the last four Gameweeks, the former Liverpool starlet charts top among Man City’s roster for attempts (10) and shots inside the box (seven) and joint-top for shots on target (three). This is not just a recent trend either: across the entirety of the campaign, Sterling places second (30) – behind Yaya Toure (38) – for attempts, first for shots inside the box (23) and first for shots on target (13). Furthermore, he’s amassed 54 more penalty-box touches (89 compared to 35) than De Bruyne, which suggests he’s more inclined to drift into dangerous areas.

There will be a determination among the Man City camp to avenge their 2-0 loss at the hands of Stoke City and turn out a potent display at home to Swansea City. Aside from the fact that the Swans are without a manager and tasted victory just once in the last 11 Gameweeks, the Sky Blues will draw encouragement from their table-topping haul of goals (23), attempts (150), big chances (26) and shots on target (59) in home fixtures ahead of this afternoon’s showdown.

Bojan Krkic

In the wake off five league ties that harvested just two goals, Mark Hughes elected to reshuffle Stoke City’s attacking quartet for their home tie against Man City, fielding Ibrahim Afellay at the number ten slot and pushing Bojan Krkic (5.1) up to the lone striker berth. That tactical shift ultimately brought about a 2-0 win and the Potters’ most impressive performance of the campaign, with the incisiveness of their fluid attack causing all manner of problems for the City’s disorganised rearguard.

Although Bojan managed just a solitary attempt last weekend, the proficiency of Stoke’s team play bodes well for his Fantasy prospects ahead of an easier pair of match-ups (why, CRY). Notwithstanding the calibre of their opposition, Mark Hughes’ men carded the joint-most big chances (four) in the previous Gameweek, so they’ll be relishing the opportunity to face off against a Hammers defence that’s managed one clean sheet in ten and is without the qualities and leadership of Winston Reid.

Bojan faces stern competition from Troy Deeney (5.2) in the budget-forward bracket, yet Watford’s schedule beyond a trip to Sunderland this weekend (LIV, che, TOT, MCI) throws up serious question marks regarding his long-term prospects. Now that the Spaniard’s allure isn’t restricted by a deep-lying berth, the stage is set for Bojan to stake a claim as the next budget frontman to come under consideration.

1,162 Comments Login to Post a Comment
    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not with both hands, Stannis saw to that.

      1. Ser Davos
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Aye, he did...

  1. Ser Davos
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Walcott, Silva, Aguero, Kompany, Ramsey...

    Fantasy faves for the best two teams in the league but so unreliable, I may bypass their temptation altogether.

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why Ser? Start getting these when they become viable. All good options.

      1. Ser Davos
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Wonderful, indeed. So tempting but only to be let down by their injury proneness...

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ramsey the last broken you'd think. The others, yes, for now.

  2. tajulariff
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kane triple captain who with me? Guess this week is the good time

    1. Valar(Keith)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      lol

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Better weeks will come along.

    3. mojoindojo
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Might pay off or may be a dud.

    4. Frankieee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      no more than 6 points

    5. maratus
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Triple captain without DGW is total trash move.

    6. Jax
      10 years, 10 months ago

      How many times do people have to ask this? Use it in a DGW

  3. Zasa
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Early DZ post, James? Cheers, a rare sight.

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Sturridge and Hazard last week. Fair play on Ramsey.

      1. Zasa
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Aye, fair play. He's been a great addition to the Scouts, looks like Paul's been shifted to the back of the room now though 🙁

  4. vasishta94
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench two of: Stones, Nyom, Wollscheid, Moreno, Alderweireld
    One of: Barkley, Coutinho, Mahrez, Vardy.

    Is it ok to bench boost if my 2nd keeper won't start, but the other three can possible get good points?

    1. Emp
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If i were you i would take a hit for a secomd keeper as in reality its only really a two point hit especially if the keeper has a good fixture this week and then play the bench boost. It also gives you another keeper option long-term.

      1. vasishta94
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Hi - thanks for the reply!
        I already have a -4 for this week - so a hit for a keeper might prove expensive?

        1. Kim Philby
          10 years, 10 months ago

          No. That would still mean another -2 hit and a viable longterm option.

  5. Van Klinkert Delarosa
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Already did Williams + Vardy > Alderweireld + Kane. (2FT)

    Should I shift Ayew for one of these (Eriksen / Ramsey / Walcott) for a -4 hit.

    Thanks.

    1. mojoindojo
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bench?

      1. Van Klinkert Delarosa
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Bertrand, Francis, Bolasie.

  6. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    10 years, 10 months ago

    A few top 10K overall stats

    Biggest arrow into the top 10K
    http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/930736/history/

    2100 managers moved in/out of top 10K this week.

    Mahrez ownership moved from 89.3 to 95.7% before transfers.

  7. Mr. Grv
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Good morning Folks

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      The wind is howling like this swirling storm inside.

      Bit cold too.

    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Morning Grv

  8. Ser Davos
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Do we think Cameron has displaced Adam for the forseeable?

  9. Scratch
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Edgar just put Mendes down like a chump in the first round

    1. Acquafresca
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Like a sack of potatoes

  10. Mark-O
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I know what to do with my Leicester players now.

    http://www.mytimes.com.my/buddhist-monks-behind-leicester-city-incredible-start/

  11. Zasa
    10 years, 10 months ago

    @LR - Did Giroud get a mention in Club Le Flair's latest scouting mission?

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      You don't know about Giroud and me?

      3 years ago i was his spokesperson. He's my main man.

      1. Acquafresca
        10 years, 10 months ago

        3 yrs ago? More like every year you've been playing.

      2. Zasa
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Orly? Well touché then, hoping he does the business this week 😉

        1. Lateriser 12
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          He has an incredible record for me. Everytime i own him, he scores.

  12. Futbol Heritage
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench one of Toby Kola Moreno Bellerin.

    Right now split between Moreno and Bellerin. The again Kolarov without Kompany ?

    [I know its a lot of investment in defence, will be downgraded soon]

    1. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'm playing kolorav for the attacking threat and I would bench moreno but its a 50/50 for me.

      1. Futbol Heritage
        10 years, 10 months ago

        True. All of them carry a threat, Bellerin slightly lesser so if I had to pick.

        50/50 between Moreno and Bellerin?

        1. Mr. Grv
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Yup 50/50 but I only have bellerin so let's sail in the same boat.

          1. Futbol Heritage
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Haha can't fault that logic. Cheers

    2. mojoindojo
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kola

    3. tokara
      10 years, 10 months ago

      i would bench bellerin, arsenal cant keep cs

      1. Futbol Heritage
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks. Leaning that way

  13. Mr. Grv
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who to play cedric or souare ?

    1. Futbol Heritage
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Souare, I think.

  14. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hey guys, can't decide who to bench between Barkley and Vardy.

    Suggestions?

    1. tokara
      10 years, 10 months ago

      barkley for me

    2. mojoindojo
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Barkley

  15. Moin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    So Guys!

    O'Shea as First Sub or Nyom?

    1. Futbol Heritage
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nyom

      1. mojoindojo
        10 years, 10 months ago

        This

        1. Moin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Thanks!! 🙂

    2. Scratch
      10 years, 10 months ago

      O'Shea

      1. Moin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thinking that only...Watford have kept only 1 CS Away this season

        1. Scratch
          10 years, 10 months ago

          When in doubt go for the home team. Sunderland look better lately and this is a match they'll be targeting points from.

          Having said that i'd be surprised if either got a CS 😉

          1. Moin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 years, 10 months ago

            seriously..not expecting a CS...

  16. Eden Hazardous
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Great article this week

    1. Acquafresca
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Lose the beard gramps.

      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Went with EF

        1. Acquafresca
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Ok. What are the differentials looking like? Time to update the spreadsheet coach.

          1. Lateriser 12
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Once the GW deadline is up.

        2. Christina.
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Good luck guys. Sorry have been occupied yesterday. Now off to a wedding. Will catch you tomorrow evening(hopefully)

          Cheers

          1. Acquafresca
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Enjoy and drink responsibly 🙂

          2. Lateriser 12
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Av a good one!

  17. BecAuse79
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Howard

    Alderweireld...Kolarov...Moreno

    Sterling...Barkley...Özil...Coutinho...Eriksen

    Kane...Lukaku

    Subs :
    Ighalo...Ward...Simpson

    G2G or should i play Ighalo ? if so , who should i bench ?

  18. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    1) best def to own for next few gw's...rose/mertersacker/zouma
    2) who to bench between mane and vardy? already have mahrez starting
    3) is jenkinson nailed on? i expect whm to be really tight next few gws

  19. Scratch
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Play Alli or Mahrez I just can't decide

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez

    3. Futbol Heritage
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Id play both and bench vardy if you had him. Else alli

      1. Futbol Heritage
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Bench alli I meant

        1. Scratch
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I do but it's televised and I think i'd need to watch it from behind the couch if I benched Vardy

  20. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I hope ditching Feo doesn't bite me.

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      It Could

    2. Acquafresca
      10 years, 10 months ago

      You mean passing on him? You never technically owned him.

      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        aye. was between him and Aaron.

    3. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why did you ditch feo ?

      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        i never owned him. Passed him on i mean.

  21. whatsgoingon
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Please help play two
    A) dawson
    B) vvd
    C) souare

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Tough one...go with A and B

  22. hkhallaf
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench Boost?

    De Gea - Gomes
    Moreno - Fonte - Sagna - Dier - Cresswell
    Ozil - Mata - Mahrez - Duelofue - Coutinho
    Vardy - Lukaku - Ighalo

    1. BecAuse79
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Dier is fit yet ?

      if so yeah go for it

  23. Littlefish92
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who to captain?
    1.Lukaku vs Norwich
    2.Ozil vs villa
    3.silva vs Swansea
    4.coutinho vs west brom

    1. hkhallaf
      10 years, 10 months ago

      2

    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      1

  24. Venom Snake
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Start van Djik or Ogbonna?

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      VvD. Higher goal threat. Currently better team i reckon.

    2. Nickofoz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      VVD

  25. KUN+10
    10 years, 10 months ago

    ramsey (c)

  26. Acquafresca
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Nabil if you're online, I re-sent you the trade you sent me on Yahoo.

  27. ElDaddy
    10 years, 10 months ago

    For the love of god, is Dier fit?!

  28. bennyp
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Gtg?

    DDG
    Alder - moreno - cresswell
    Kdb (c) - ozil - barkley - coutinho
    Kane - vardy - lukaku

    Hennessey - vvd - simpson - drinkwater

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'd be tempted to play VVD over Cresswell

  29. Rushfort
    10 years, 10 months ago

    vardy to get an assist/goal ? 😀

    OR

    mane > coutinho for -4 ? need help lads !