[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
12 December 2015 1162 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our Saturday morning regular brings a couple of Arsenal and Man City midfielders onto our radars ahead of favourable Gameweek 16 encounters. Stoke’s former Barcelona frontman is also under analysis after Mark Hughes’ tactical tinkering helped the Potters overcome City last time around.

Theo Walcott

Having been sidelined for five matches with a calf injury, Theo Walcott (8.3) earned a 27-minute cameo last Gameweek against Sunderland, before being thrust back into the starting XI for Arsenal’s 3-0 victory over Olympiacos. Although Olivier Giroud has locked down the lone-striker berth with his recent form (five goals in seven league ties), injuries to Alexis Sanchez and Santi Cazorla (shifting Aaron Ramsey centrally) have diminished the Gunners’ depth on the flanks – augmenting Walcott’s starting potential.

Even in the event that the Southampton academy product is eased back into contention with another substitute outing, his searing pace against fatigued legs always renders him a threat in the dying embers. Moreover – for all his injury travails – Walcott is remarkably efficient with the pitch time he is afforded, as evidenced by the fact he’s produced a goal or an assist (43 goals, 40 assists) once every 102.9 minutes since the start of the 2010/11 campaign.

In spite of Arsenal’s depleted squad, Walcott will slot back into a side that fashioned three more big chances (13) than the rest of the field over the last four Gameweeks. Additionally, Arsene Wenger’s troops rank second for goals (16) and top for shots on target (44) in road clashes, which bodes well for their attacking potential against an Aston Villa team that recorded just one clean sheet in their previous 14 match-ups.

Raheem Sterling

Raheem Sterling (8.9) steered Manchester City to victory over Borussia Monchengladbach on Tuesday with a three-minute brace, reaffirming his viability as a mid-priced alternative to Kevin De Bruyne. Although the latter serves as the prime route into the Sky Blues midfield based on current form, De Bruyne’s recent paucity of goal threat (two attempts in four outings) widens the scope for Sterling to creep into contention if he can build upon a eye-catching display in the Champions League.

Over the last four Gameweeks, the former Liverpool starlet charts top among Man City’s roster for attempts (10) and shots inside the box (seven) and joint-top for shots on target (three). This is not just a recent trend either: across the entirety of the campaign, Sterling places second (30) – behind Yaya Toure (38) – for attempts, first for shots inside the box (23) and first for shots on target (13). Furthermore, he’s amassed 54 more penalty-box touches (89 compared to 35) than De Bruyne, which suggests he’s more inclined to drift into dangerous areas.

There will be a determination among the Man City camp to avenge their 2-0 loss at the hands of Stoke City and turn out a potent display at home to Swansea City. Aside from the fact that the Swans are without a manager and tasted victory just once in the last 11 Gameweeks, the Sky Blues will draw encouragement from their table-topping haul of goals (23), attempts (150), big chances (26) and shots on target (59) in home fixtures ahead of this afternoon’s showdown.

Bojan Krkic

In the wake off five league ties that harvested just two goals, Mark Hughes elected to reshuffle Stoke City’s attacking quartet for their home tie against Man City, fielding Ibrahim Afellay at the number ten slot and pushing Bojan Krkic (5.1) up to the lone striker berth. That tactical shift ultimately brought about a 2-0 win and the Potters’ most impressive performance of the campaign, with the incisiveness of their fluid attack causing all manner of problems for the City’s disorganised rearguard.

Although Bojan managed just a solitary attempt last weekend, the proficiency of Stoke’s team play bodes well for his Fantasy prospects ahead of an easier pair of match-ups (why, CRY). Notwithstanding the calibre of their opposition, Mark Hughes’ men carded the joint-most big chances (four) in the previous Gameweek, so they’ll be relishing the opportunity to face off against a Hammers defence that’s managed one clean sheet in ten and is without the qualities and leadership of Winston Reid.

Bojan faces stern competition from Troy Deeney (5.2) in the budget-forward bracket, yet Watford’s schedule beyond a trip to Sunderland this weekend (LIV, che, TOT, MCI) throws up serious question marks regarding his long-term prospects. Now that the Spaniard’s allure isn’t restricted by a deep-lying berth, the stage is set for Bojan to stake a claim as the next budget frontman to come under consideration.

1,162 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Azathoth
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captaining Sterling is too risky?

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      10 years, 10 months ago

      do it

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        10 years, 10 months ago

        unless if you have Lukaku..

        1. Azathoth
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Have Luk & Kane & Ozil

        2. Make United Great Again
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Or Kane...

    2. Gazpilicueta
      10 years, 10 months ago

      good risky

      1. Rhinos
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It's risky but the upside is huge just deal with it if it fails

    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I am captaining silva

    4. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A bit risky when there's so many options.

  2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Was going to do Mane > Silva/Coutinho until I heard the news that Mane didn't win African Player of the Year. He's going to be like Messi after Ronaldo won the Ballon D'or... maybe four goals tmrw? Anyway, I'm about to ship Smalling out. Is Rose too much of a risk?

    1. Azathoth
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why not Toby?

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I mean I do have the lead in my group and my rival has Toby. So I guess it would only make sense, right? Something about Rose makes me think he is a bargain at 5.2

    2. Valar(Keith)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No risk attached to Rose really.. just paranoia on here. Bargain @5.2 especially since he is soooo attacking. 4 goals and 12 assists in the EPL in his last 50 games says it all.

      1. Valar(Keith)
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Saw of the Davies threat last season really.. and played every game when fit this season. His injury problems are the only worry but you can ignore a player cause he could get injured

        1. Valar(Keith)
          10 years, 10 months ago

          *cant

          1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
            10 years, 10 months ago

            I figured I'd match my rival and get Alder

      2. Valar(Keith)
        10 years, 10 months ago

        btw i could afford any defender in the game for Bertrand and after looking thru the stats and everything possible i ended up going with Rose even though getting Toby in would not affect my bank balance at all(6 million in the bank)

        1. QPR expects... glory!
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I bought Rose in over Toby for the same reason several weeks ago. Just wish he'd find his shooting boots. Is getting shots but nothing on target yet!

  3. Gazpilicueta
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hey guys! which player do you think makes the best captain this week?

    A) Harry Kane (NEW)

    B) Aaron Ramsey (avl)

    C) Romelu Lukaku ((nor)

    D) Riyad Mahrez (CHE)

    for the last few weeks, I just cant seem to pick

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      10 years, 10 months ago

      C for sure. But I like the look of Mahrez against Chelski

    2. Make United Great Again
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Form of Lukaku is something.

      But I'm going Kane because Newcastle love getting a hiding away from home.

    3. bluechief24
      10 years, 10 months ago

      well i can narrow it down to Kane and Lukaku,

    4. Fumi
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

  4. Alittude
    10 years, 10 months ago

    captain kane or put my socks on?

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Lukaku is too good to pass up right meow. Should've had a hattrick last week

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Captain Kane. Your feet need longer to air, trust me.

    3. bluechief24
      10 years, 10 months ago

      do it, bit risky but i think kane will score, especially since newcastle won last game, which mean they won't be trying hard to win for the next couple games, that how their team works, trust me

    4. Alittude
      10 years, 10 months ago

      cheers guys

    5. John Nerdelbaum
      10 years, 10 months ago

      pmso - it's cold

  5. C_G
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Aguero for Giroud or Kane? (-4)

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Both good options. Kane more nailed. Hence, Kane.

      1. C_G
        10 years, 10 months ago

        is it worth the hit? i'll be playing Alli since Aguero is benched

    2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

      1. Rhinos
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I've gone bony, makes it easy to get kun back

        1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
          10 years, 10 months ago

          didn't they play with KDB, Sterling, and Silva as their attack this Tuesday?

          1. Rhinos
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Yes but that was Europe. Will likely want a striker at home to Swans

  6. Defcons are for Kinnear
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Last Friday night I had a dream that Stoke were beating City 4-1.
    Yesterday I had a dream that City were losing 1-0 in the second half

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I think you need a more varied life. Sorry.

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Breadbin hi

    2. Rhinos
      10 years, 10 months ago

      So you were wrong

      1. Defcons are for Kinnear
        10 years, 10 months ago

        the result was correct

        1. King Kav. QC at law
          10 years, 10 months ago

          It was 2-0 I thought.

          1. Defcons are for Kinnear
            10 years, 10 months ago

            result and score are different

    3. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If only I based my FPL decisions on your dreams 🙁

    4. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I dreamt about knobbing Jennifer Lawrence last night but that won't happen either. Swansea are not good and sacking Monkey won't help either.

    5. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 10 months ago

      So you're dreams are wrong?

      1. Billy Gilmore
        10 years, 10 months ago

        *your

        Jaysus

      2. Defcons are for Kinnear
        10 years, 10 months ago

        My FPL dreams have always been badly wrong until last week when it was somewhat more accurate

        1. Rhinos
          10 years, 10 months ago

          So your dreams have a poor record and the first time youve been within 3 goals of the correct scoreline we're gonna take heed of your latest premonition, no thsnks Nostradamus 😛

  7. QPR expects... glory!
    10 years, 10 months ago

    DDG or Butland today?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Me thinks butland

      1. QPR expects... glory!
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Kinda leaning that way too. UTD injury hit defence, West Ham injury hit attack!

    2. bluechief24
      10 years, 10 months ago

      both might consede but ddg is safer

    3. Rhinos
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ddg but it's a coin toss

      1. QPR expects... glory!
        10 years, 10 months ago

        This is actually how I was planning to make the decision 😆

    4. Make United Great Again
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Butland

    5. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ddg

  8. Stats Don\'t Lie
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Any ideas on how to improve this team? I really dont want to waste that transfer. 2ft, 0.6itb

    Cech (Hennessey)
    Toby, wolly, moreno (cathcart, smalling)
    Coutinho, barkley, ozil(vc), Silva, mahrez
    Kane(c), lukaku (vardy)

    1. Beautiful Game
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Maybe get a West Brom defender / gk for the upcoming matches

      1. KOLASINA(C)
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Cathcart->Dawson would be nice.

        1. QPR expects... glory!
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Evans and McAuley get more baps though...

    2. QPR expects... glory!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Get rid of Cathcart for a WBA defender. You won't be playing him for a few weeks anyway

  9. Beautiful Game
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain Kane or Lukaku?

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Good options.

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kane, I'm not a fan of early kickoff captains

    3. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      In my opinion, Lukaku looks like a surer bet to score, Kane looks like a better bet to explode.

      Am i making sense?

      1. Beautiful Game
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Sure you do... My only concern about Kane (c) is if he blanks and Lukaku scores one it will definitely be a red arrow but if the other way round not to sure!

      2. Make United Great Again
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Yes

    4. Fumi
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

    5. bluechief24
      10 years, 10 months ago

      wow the choice is almost identical, decent teams, decent players, playing weak team

      Theres no way to tell who will do better but both have equal chances. its 50-50, although lukaku might be a bit safer

  10. John Nerdelbaum
    10 years, 10 months ago

    http://www.football365.com/news/football-on-tv-tony-gale

    anyone read these 'football on tv' columns on F365?

    worth a gander

  11. The Red Devil
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Shifts captain
    Kane-lukaku-KdB
    Repeat till deadline! 😀

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Set mine last Saturday.

    2. Rhinos
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Or leave the house

  12. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone in the Canada FIFFSA team around?

  13. Runaway
    10 years, 10 months ago

    G2G ?

    Butland
    Bellerin Toby Francis
    Hazard Coutinho Mahrez Bolasie
    Kane (C) Lukaku Giroud (VC)
    Hennessey Lingard Huth Janmaat

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Looks very good.

  14. C_G
    10 years, 10 months ago

    How many differentials you got playing this week lads? (10% or lower owned)

    I got:

    Moreno, Alli and Deulofeu

    1. Sailboats
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Only Moreno

    2. Beautiful Game
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bolasie, Moreno, Cresswell

  15. Make United Great Again
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I'm bending Barkley over Alli & Coutinho...thoughts?

    1. QPR expects... glory!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He's supple?

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bend it like beckham

      1. Make United Great Again
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Benching*****

  16. La Roja
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain David Silva then...

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Me too

  17. Jones Town
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Giroud captain - who's with me?

  18. MDK
    10 years, 10 months ago

    So Moreno...

    Liverpool have 2 clean sheets all season and have just conceded 2 away to Newcastle with Moreno having had just the one assist all season.

    Is he in the majority of teams based on the upcoming fixtures or is there some underlying stats I'm missing?

    1. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      2 clean sheets all season?

      1. MDK
        10 years, 10 months ago

        In the league

        1. Billy Gilmore
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Liverpool have 5 CSs

      2. QPR expects... glory!
        10 years, 10 months ago

        For Moreno in the Premier League, yes. The first 3 for Liverpool had Gomez at LB

        1. MDK
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Ah well that's one lesson learnt, I thought the CS stats were for the team not the player

    2. Rhinos
      10 years, 10 months ago

      a cheap nailed on attacking full back for a very well supported potential top 4 side

    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He had a perfectly good goal disallowed last week,and he is the most attacking defender in the league.

      1. Billy Gilmore
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Kolarov says hi

        1. Lord Flashheart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Tell him hi back. Ask him if he is nailed on.

          1. Billy Gilmore
            10 years, 10 months ago

            He pretty much is nailed. That doesn't change the fact that he's the most attacking defender in the league.

    4. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Could have had a goal an assist to his name already.

  19. Fumi
    10 years, 10 months ago

    A - Mane

    B - Silva (-4)

    1. C_G
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B and captain him to justify your decision

    2. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Runaway
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B

  20. RicardoAVFC
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain call.
    A) Kane
    B) KDB
    C) Lukaku

    Which one? Thank you.

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Runaway
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

  21. Tshelby
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Think I'm going with Kane (c) he rested on the midweek game wich they easly won with some none nailed players so they also got some convidence on the bank this could work 🙂

    1. Rhinos
      10 years, 10 months ago

      hes an obvious pick but my gut says no

  22. some witty pun
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench and captain?

    Coutinho Mahrez Silva Ozil Barkley
    Kane Lukaku Ighalo

    Now im leaning towards bench Ighalo, captain Silva

  23. hkhallaf
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Lukaku or Ozil for the double?

  24. edwardsjon96
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Ighalo and mane out for kane and ali (-4) what do you reckon? feel like I need kane as the majority of my opposition in my league have him...

  25. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    10 years, 10 months ago

    alright homies, please pick 2 for this week

    A) VVD

    B) Zouma

    C) Sagna

    lastly, who do I bench from Bolasie, Ighalo, Mane, and Mahrez? just one.. im leaning towards Bolasie

  26. KeepCalm
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Vardy to Kane or Mane to Silva/Sterling/Wally/Ramsey/Coutinho

    For a hit. Do these make sense? One of the two above, not both

    1. HVT
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No hit

    2. 1zverGGademN
      10 years, 10 months ago

      only if you cap them 😉

  27. Tomlette Greggs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Start which one this gameweek?

    A) Dele Alli
    B) Kaboul

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Alli. Easy.

    2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kaboul

    3. Fumi
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    4. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Alli

    5. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Always bench the defender.

    6. Make United Great Again
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Has to be A

      1. Tomlette Greggs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        thanks all

  28. HVT
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Is Stanislas nailed on?

  29. Concrete
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Butland Gomes
    Bellerin Moreno Toby (VvD Simpson)
    Coutinho Ozil Mahrez KdB (Lanzini)
    Vardy Kane Lukaku

    A Lanzini to Stanislas
    B Lanzini to King
    C Lanzini Alli
    D go big with Ramsey but will have benching headaches

  30. John wick
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Chances of baines starting? Hvin Galloway

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Galloway should be safe this week.
      according to an article I read yesterday, Martinez wants to give him some more time and more minutes off the bench before starting him. He'd said Baines picked up minor knocks and niggles after the Palace & Middlesborough games, so he wanted to ease him in

      1. Rhinos
        10 years, 10 months ago

        well if he gets more minutes this week Galloway wont make 60