[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
28 December 2015 2709 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With just hours remaining until Gameweek 19 is upon us, we turn to a trio of overlooked options for your Monday morning perusal. Chelsea and Southampton’s midfields supply us with a player apiece, whilst Liverpool’s weekend match-winner gets the nod as the Merseysiders roll up to Sunderland.

Christian Benteke

Christian Benteke (8.2) – who replaced the injured Divock Origi at the 38-minute mark against Leicester City – made the most of his opportunity, prodding home from inside the area to claim his fifth goal of the season. As the only fully fit member of the Reds’ attacking contingent, the Belgium frontman looks set to be tasked with leading the line as they embark on a pair of promising road trips (sun, whu).

Despite clocking just 240 minutes over the previous four Gameweeks, Benteke ranks joint-sixth – alongside Harry Kane – for attempts (11) and sixth for penalty-box touches (30), while only a trio of strikers mustered more shots inside the box (10). Liverpool as a whole chalked up eight more key passes (22) than any team last Gameweek, which gives us confidence in Benteke’s supply lines at the Stadium of Light.

In the wake of their 4-1 drubbing at the hands of Manchester City, Sunderland are four clear of the field in terms of goals conceded (37), having recorded just three clean sheets throughout the season. In addition, the Black Cats place top for goals conceded (11), second for shots inside the box conceded (42) and top for big chances allowed (14) during the previous four Gameweeks, highlighting their pitiable defensive form.

Sadio Mane

Prior to last Gameweek, Sadio Mane (7.7) was slipping into the shadows, having accrued just one assist across his previous seven outings. Southampton’s 4-0 mauling of Arsenal on Saturday marked a return to form for both team and player, with the Senegal international bagging his seventh assist of the campaign. Indeed, if Saints can sustain the attacking momentum they generated against the Gunners, you’d fancy Mane to be among the prime beneficiaries.

Although Mane’s shot accuracy (8.3%) has clearly curtailed his attacking output over the last four Gameweeks, the wealth of chances he’s able to fashion bodes well for future fixtures. During that time frame, only three midfielders notched more attempts (12), while Marouane Fellaini (11) was the only counterpart to surpass Mane’s haul of shots inside the box (10). Moreover, the former Red Bull Salzburg wide man ranked third for penalty-box touches (24) among his peers.

Southampton’s favourable quartet of upcoming match-ups (whu, nor, WAT, WBA) provides the greatest incentive to invest in the jet-heeled winger. West Ham United have conceded just four goals in as many league ties, yet no side surrendered more shots inside the box (43) over the stretch – playing right into Mane’s strengths. Beyond that head-to-head, the south-coast outfit collide with a Norwich City side that’s mustered just a single clean sheet.

Willian

Despite being Chelsea’s best player throughout their wretched run of form under Jose Mourinho, Willian (7.0) still went into their home tie against Sunderland off the back of seven successive blanks. The tireless Brazilian has since racked up three assists in two starts, furnishing us with a viable route into the Blues’ midfield. Certainly, with Eden Hazard struggling for rhythm and fitness, and Pedro coming in at a prohibitive 8.9, Willian currently boasts the most upside.

In the two Gameweeks since Mourinho signed off, Willian places joint-fourth among midfielders for attempts (six), which represents a significant increase on his shot frequency (one every 31.5 minutes from 54.9) when compared to the rest of the campaign. The ex-Corinthians recruit also charted joint-sixth for key passes (four), illustrating a capacity for Fantasy returns beyond his set-piece proficiency.

Next on the agenda for Chelsea is a road encounter against Louis van Gaal’s floundering Manchester United outfit. Aside from the fact that the Red Devils are in the midst of a three-match losing streak, the Blues will be emboldened in the knowledge that they rank joint-second for shots inside the box (21) and joint-top for big chances (five) over the last two Gameweeks, underlining their rejuvenation in the final third.

2,709 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. HNI
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Is it worth doing Vardy to Ighalo for Free this week?

    I know Ighalo is in fine form but even Vardy is facing CITY and BOU next and both are poor Away defensively

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yes. I think double Leicester time is over.

    2. The Man Pastore
      10 years, 10 months ago

      yep i would do it for a FT

  2. The Man Pastore
    10 years, 10 months ago

    G2G for this GW? Bnch in order?

    Hennessey
    Moreno Dawson Souare
    Silva Coutinho Ramsey(VC) Marhez
    Lukaku Aguero(C) Kane

    Bench: Butland Kolarov Bertrand Gosling.

    1. HNI
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Great!

      I would bertrand 1st on bench

      Can help me above?

  3. jai1212
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Which striker should I get rid of to get Aguero?
    Kane, Giroud or Lukaku

    And the best midfielder replacement for Sterling within 6.5 to 7

    1. Sweetboi
      10 years, 10 months ago

      None. Arnautovic or Alli.

      1. jai1212
        10 years, 10 months ago

        If I aint getting Aguero then i don't think I'll get rid of Sterling just yet. Need some City attack.

    2. HNI
      10 years, 10 months ago

      None for now...Maybe Giroud after NEWC is done

    3. Emp
      10 years, 10 months ago

      i also own sterling , you expecting him to be rotated again ? Even affter not starting against arsenal so will theoretically be fresher than the others?

      1. jai1212
        10 years, 10 months ago

        But then again he started against Sunderland. I think he should retain his starting 11 place purely because of his pace. Whenever he's been on the pitch, City's attack has been good.

        1. Emp
          10 years, 10 months ago

          i hope youre right im contemplating switching for theo but i have already have yyt and kun so i should probabaly just go ahead

  4. La Roja
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Theo is owned by 2.7%

    Hatty for captainers could make some serious changes in ranking

    1. Kevtheotter
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Is he nailed to start?

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        With the amount of injuries we have, I can't see him not starting this game, especially when we need to bounce back from a shocking performance vs Saints

    2. Trae44
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Rambo at 5.3% too, we can only hope

    3. Shifty
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Desperate times

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It certainly is shifty

  5. Kizza_10
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Sagna out

    In:
    A. Bellerin
    B. Dann
    C. Alderweireld

    1. Sweetboi
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Kevtheotter
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A for these fixtures

  6. Kevtheotter
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Would appreciate some help lads. So many options, so different

    Butland
    Rose Bellerin Evans
    Marhez Winjaldum Ozil KDB
    Kane Lukaku Vardy

    McCarthy Zouma WW Huth 5.5 ITB 2FT

    A) Zouma and Winjaldum to Dann and Ramsey/Wally
    B) Zouma and Vardy to Ward and Kun
    C) Winjaldum and Vardy to Alli and Kun
    D) Westwood and Zouma to Ramsey and Dann - bench Vardy

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A with Theo(c)

    2. jai1212
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B or C

    3. Kizza_10
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    4. Kevtheotter
      10 years, 10 months ago

      This didn't help me too much 🙁

  7. ILOVEBAPS
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed out 🙁
    I am REALLY stuck guys so please help?
    2FT's and £2.7itb

    Myhill
    Toby, Bellerín, Ward
    Coutinho, Özil, KDB, Mahrez
    Lukaku, Vardy, Kane

    (Hennessey, Morrison, Kolarov, Zouma)

    Best move defensive yes? Who to bring in though?!

    1. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Stoke defender or Vardy to someone who is less injured and tired

      1. Mo Mané Mo Problem
        10 years, 10 months ago

        ^

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Thanks guys. Wolls OK or splash for GJ?

    2. Kevtheotter
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Wow that defence.... You can save on defence. Coutinho to Ramsey/Wally?

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Coutinho can have sunderland game to prove himself. Hope it does not backfire!!

        I think Kolarov and Zouma are rubbish picks now and one needs to go.

        1. Kevtheotter
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Zoom goes. Man I can't decide what to do. Might go 352 this week by doing Westwood to Wally then AOA next week

          1. ILOVEBAPS
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Tough choices. No one really knows so good luck. They all seem decent picks tbh.

    3. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Zouma out Dann in

      Save other FT

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        10 years, 10 months ago

        So triple CPL? And shift Ward next GW??

        1. La Roja
          10 years, 10 months ago

          My bad, just noticed you have ward

          I'd start ward and Hennessey

          Zouma out for GJ

          1. ILOVEBAPS
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Ahh thanks. Wish I started Ward and Henn last GW 🙁
            Was thinking last chance for Myhill and if he screws up I'll shift him for Butland.

        2. Woy of the Wovers
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Get Wollschied then.

  8. Hakuna Juan Mata
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Can you do wildcard and bench boost in the same gameweek?

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nope

    2. Nickofoz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No

  9. SpaceCadet
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Final dilemma - Bench toby or dawson?

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Dawson

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Toby

  10. Alittude
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Logic is saying C ozil, but have a feeling I should C Kane. What should I listen to?

    1. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Gut feeling

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Your feelings are bit mad. You need a dose of logic.

      Kane out of those two.

      1. Alittude
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Haha thanks guys, don't fancy ozil kav?

        1. King Kav. QC at law
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Think he'll be benched, otherwise I'd captain him.

    3. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ozil

  11. Eden Hazardous
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Once LVG is sacked , Smalling will once again *mysteriously* become an average CB 😯

    1. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Stop talking rubbish please.

  12. La Roja
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hoes she looking?

    Hennessey
    Souare Bellerin Moreno
    Theo(c) Ozil Mahrez Silva
    Lukaka Kane Vardy

    Myhill Walker Zouma Gosling

    4.4m ITB

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Very good 🙂

      I would be tempted to play Walker over Souare tho

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Going for Palace double up, hoping for a cs

    2. KUN+10
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Hoes be looking fine brotha

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😀

    3. Thomas Magnum
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Risky (C) I like it

    4. Holmes
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Good to go

    5. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Pretty good, think it's Vardy out time personally. Jump before everyone else does?

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        2 blanks so far. Keeping until he feck things up, not now.

    6. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'll scratch yours if you scratch mine.
      Dbl Palace instead of Myhill?
      I played the wrong keeper last week 🙁

      Love the C pick! Didn't work last GW though huh.

      G2G!

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I don't trust Wbrom defense anymore
        Hope Theo captain comes off this time

        1. King Kav. QC at law
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I think it will. Good luck.

          1. La Roja
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Pretty desperate with my 10 red arrows in a row now, phew.

  13. Thomas Magnum
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Worth bringing in Walcott or Rmasey for a one week punt or save the transfer and use two next week to bring in Sanchez

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Worth bringing imo

  14. Holmes
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Just when I thought of transferring out Mane! 😀
    Anyway, I have a spare FT, should I save or do Zarate to Ighalo?
    ----------------Mignolet
    --------Nyom, Moreno, Ward
    Mane, Ramsey, KDB, Mahrez, Walcott
    --------------Luka, Kane
    Bench: Adrian, Zarate, Cedric, Francis
    Thanks! 🙂

    1. Thomas Magnum
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Are Ighalos fixtures good?

      1. Holmes
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Next 4 are decent and not many options available

    2. Nickofoz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Save

      1. Holmes
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

  15. lalua
    10 years, 10 months ago

    at the risk of being obnoxious, last try - Help please lads

    Cech/mccarthy
    Sagna Nyom Azpi Cameron VVD
    Mahrez Ozil Deulefeu Wijnaldum Sanchez
    Kane Lukaku Ighalo

    2 FT, $1.3

    bring in 2 of walcott, rfamsey, sterling, silva, kdb, yaya coutinho ?
    or bring 1 of these and use the the other FT on defence?

    1. Thomas Magnum
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Are you looking for the differential or the safe option

      1. Mr_Majestyk
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I have 2FT 3.2 ITB – no real clue what to do this week –
        Should I do Kolarov> Palace/Saints def
        maybe upgrade GK McCarthy
        Any suggestions?

        Myhill (McCarthy)
        Moreno Wolly Bellerin (Rose Kolarov)
        Ozil KDB Mahrez Ramsey Alli
        Kane Lukaku (Vardy)

      2. lalua
        10 years, 10 months ago

        differential srtrictly, need to make 20-25 pts over league leader who has all template

        1. lalua
          10 years, 10 months ago

          ne one?
          think I will
          walcott for Sanchez
          dawson for azpi

  16. vaco
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Is Vardy going to play??
    I've got 2FT and 3.4 ITB

    butland
    Zouma, Johnson, Nyom
    KDB, Mahrez, Ozil, Barkley
    Vardy, Ighalo, Lukaku

    Bench:hennessy, smalling, kolarov bolais

    I really want to bring in Giroud this week but not sure who to drop out of lukaku vardy and ighalo..Man City are pretty weak defensively recently.. I'm so torn on what to do this week!! Pretty sure Man Utd won't be able to score against Chelsea..

  17. Eze Really?
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Is Olsson nailed?

    1. Nickofoz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Martin or Jonas?

      Jonas no, Martin first choice

      1. Eze Really?
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Jonas but thanks

  18. Diva
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mrs Diva completed her wildcard team in 5 minutes tonight. For me, it would be a week long process involving stats tables, fixture tickers and spreadsheets etc - and it probably would have ended up looking pretty similar!

    1. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      how's it looking?

      1. Diva
        10 years, 10 months ago

        From memory, she has:
        Butland | Elliot
        Monreal | Alderweireld | Wollsheid | Smith | VvD
        Özil | Ramsey | Henderson | Mahrez | Stansilas
        Agüero | Ighalo | Lukaku

        And 2.2m ITB

        1. Francescoli
          10 years, 10 months ago

          looks great!

          1. Diva
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Yep, I think she might do some damage with that lot.

        2. Don Look Back in Wenger
          10 years, 10 months ago

          superb setup. especially with hendo as a punt in there. hat off for 18weeks of patience on hitting that wc lol

    2. Acquafresca
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Who you captaining this week? I'm between Ozil and Rambo atm.

      1. Diva
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I've been oscillating between those two too. I'm not really thrilled with either pick. Currently on Rambo with Yaya as back-up.

  19. Emp
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed :

    Henesee (Myhill)

    Rose** Moreno Koscielny (Janmaat Cedric*)

    Sterling** Yaya Alli Mahrez (Bolasie *)

    Vardy Aguero Lukaku

    1FT 1.8ITB

    * injured
    ** rotation risk
    What to do?
    A). Sterling to Walcott
    B). Sterling to Walcott and Bolasie to Coutinho (-4 , bench Vardy)
    C) save (hope for the best, use 2 fts to sort out bolasie next week

  20. Pulis Ki Vardy
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mahrez on bench. Is this suicide?

    Coutinho Ozil Ramsey KDB (Mahrez)
    Ighalo Lukaku Kane

    Concerned that without Vardy 100%, Mahrez could be impacted. Also Mahrez looked tired. If not him who else?

    1. Holmes
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Would bench KDB

    2. 42towels
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Igloo. Least explosive this week.

  21. thes7s
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who to get rotated in Arsene's squad

    1. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      the question on everyone's lips. worried about ozil's minutes

      1. thes7s
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Currently on Giroud and Walcott, at least one of them is nailed.

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 10 months ago

      We don't know.

    3. La Roja
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I reckon Flamini Monreal Campbell will be benched

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Oh and I expect one of Kos/mert too

        1. Acquafresca
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Kos Gabriel I reckon.

        2. thes7s
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Giroud, Wally and Ozil safe?

          1. La Roja
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Yes imo

      2. Acquafresca
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Praise the Lord if Flamini is benched.

    4. thes7s
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks folks

  22. Fernando Torres 9
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Lukaku > Giroud
    Lukaku s fixtures turn to worse....
    Giroud is a 2 week punt and also considering captaining him

    Thoughts??
    Cheers

    1. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      not a bad move. who are your other strikers?

      1. Fernando Torres 9
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Kane ighalo.. ...
        Idh a clear captain..... So considering giroud

        Thanks in advance

        1. Francescoli
          10 years, 10 months ago

          perhaps keep your forwards as they are.

          1. Fernando Torres 9
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Could you please choose a cpatain for me

            Ozil mahrez kdb wijnaldum
            Lukaku ighalo kane

            Its damn tough

            1. Francescoli
              10 years, 10 months ago

              I'd go Ozil i think

  23. Zasa
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Regarding KDB away from home:

    Naturally, KDB's form coincides with Man City's poor away attacking form as of GW5. They only scored 3 goals in those 6 away matches with an xG total value of 7.9 (6.5 xGC, with 8 goals conceded). Contrast that to their xG total value of 17.4 in the 8 home matches since, scoring 24 goals with 3 being PK's (8.0 xGC, with 12 goals conceded & 1 being an OG).

    On average their xG at home (2.17) as apposed to away (1.32) is miles better. Though what's interesting here is they've averaged pretty even xG conceded values with (1.08) away, & averaging (1.0) at home,

    Home: (WHU, NEW, BOU, NOR, LIV, SOU, SWA, SUN) Light defenses.
    Away: (cry, tot, mun, avl, stk, ars) Way tougher fixtures here, IMO.

    With only 3 goals away, three different Man City attackers scored & only YYT contributed to more than one goal with an assist & goal vs (tot, ars). At home KDB's contributed to 12 goals out of the
    24 scored, with an outstanding 50% goal involvement. Still very healthy (obviously skewed) roughly 48% goal involvement in the matches he's played overall.

    The fixtures up ahead look very enticing & an opportune moment for Man City to add balance to their away form with lighter away games now, IMO (lei, wat, EVE, CRY, whu, sun). It should give us a fairer view on Man City's attacking form away from home.

    1. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      thanks

    2. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      thanks zasa. kdb and aguero could fire.

    3. Penang Sandman
      10 years, 10 months ago

      plus in those games City was without Silva/Kompany

      1. Zasa
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Yup, good point.

  24. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Gtg?

    Henessey --- Lloris
    Moreno Dawson Janmaat -- Souare simspon
    Mahrez Ozil Mane Yaya --- Alli
    Kane Kun Kaku

    - benching souare as i have henessey and dont want to dbl up. newc better chance a cleanie then spurs (lloris) imo
    - not sure who to bench between yaya and alli
    - who to cpt? city's poor away form..currrently the safe option of kaku

    A: save FT
    B: Yaya >> ramsey and captain him...city fix are lei, wat, EVE..3 tough ones

  25. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Best def upto 5.1m? have moreno and dawson and need to ship out janmaat

    1. Mo Mané Mo Problem
      10 years, 10 months ago

      wolly?

  26. Snapes on a Plane
    10 years, 10 months ago

    2 FT 2.1 ITB
    Mignolet
    Ward -Alderweireld-Monreal
    Ozil-Barkley-Kdb-Couthino
    Vardy-Lukaku-Kane

    (Butland-Ali-simpson-Coleman)

    What to do?
    A) Barkley+Vardy>Aurnotavic+Giroud
    B) Barkley+Vardy> MAne+Giroud
    C) Coleman+ Vady> Fonte/dier+Giroud

    1. The 12th Man
      10 years, 10 months ago

      From those C.

      Barkley > Ramsey and forget about Giroud?

  27. The 12th Man
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Transfer done. gtg?
    Captain Ozil or Ramsey?

    Butland
    Ivanovic, Alderweireld, Bellerin
    Ozil, Ramsey, KDB, Coutinho, Mahrez
    Kane, Lukaku

    McCarthy, Vardy, Moreno, Simpson
    0FT 1.1m itb

  28. Penang Sandman
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Not a bad GW to punt on captaincy guys? feels like going big, Kun(C)

  29. Boydinho
    10 years, 10 months ago

    play Moreno, Evans, VvD and bench Woolschield?

    1. bdwhite91
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bench Evans

  30. bdwhite91
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench

    A)Dier
    B)Nyom
    C)Monreal

    1. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      nyom

    2. Francescoli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Dier

    3. Boydinho
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nyom

    4. hkhallaf
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nyom