We delve into the Gameweek 20 data this evening in our first members article of the week. Wayne Rooney’s upturn in attacking potential arrives under analysis, whilst we also cast an eye over midfielders from Spurs, West Ham, Arsenal and Newcastle, before assessing Liverpool and Leicester’s threat in the final third.
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How am I looking, I'm itching to WC I'm -4 already and don't like my defence
WC or Hold tight
Butland
Bellerin Souare Azpi
KDB Ozil Mahrez Arnautovic
Kane Lukaku Aguero
Hennessey Antonio Moreno Evans
Would probably WC to something like this
Butland (Hennessey)
Walker Creswell Azpi (Simpson, Nyom)
KDB Ozil Payet Mahrez Alli
Kane Ighalo Aguero
With cash in the bank for Sacnhez return-
definitely no need to WC. hold fire sir.
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I'd hold
Your team is G2G -
Moreno and hennessey need to go in the near future but nothing drastic enough to need to wc
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Hold tight.
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Thanks all. Hold it is.
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w/c yes but defence is weak
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Who to play next week?
A- Francis
B- Moreno-
Francis. Arsenal will batter us.
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I'm not so sure we will
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Sorry got caught at the bottom of the last page!
Which is better?
A) Ward, Wollschied + KDB
B) Dann, Dawson + YAYA?
Thanks!-
A for me
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A
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A
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A
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A is what I've got at the moment on wc- but this article has made me want the attacking defenders and yayas numbers are very good!
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We underestimate Yaya a bit here on ffs, as I see it.
But KdB got good underlying attempts backing up his points.
Yaya's points looks a bit more unsustainable from a stats perspective-
Thanks!
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A
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A
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***Benching headache alert***
Which of the front 8 sits out?
Payet (Bou), Alli (LEI), Mahrez (Tot), KDB (EVE), Ozil (Liv)
Aguero (EVE), Kane (LEI), Lukaku (Mci)-
Same mid as me, but with Siggy instead of Payet. I think i'm benching Mahrez
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As below I've just benched Mahrez...
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Bench Payet
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Lukaku? Tends to bottle it in big games especially away....
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Has to be Payet/Mahrez IMO
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I'm currently benching Mahrez
Leicester couldn't score against Liverpool and Spurs are tighter at the back.
But you never know with Mahrez -
No Dembele = bench Kane
With Dembele = tell you later 😆 -
Payet - reduced minutes likely
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FA Cup match this weekend to regain fitness
Still likely to play more than 70' against Bou-
Dembele >50% likely to be back for Bou? 0% for Lei right?
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i was looking at benching lukaku, but you all have me thinking.
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Apologies but a rare RMT from me, your feedback appreciated folks:
Hennessy (Myhill)
Toby Bellerin Wolly (Moreno Dawson)
Alli Ozil Payet Ayew (Mahrez)
kun (c) Kane Lukaku
Any changes for this week? Should I be looking at Ayew out for someone else? Should I play AOA to avoid benching Mahrez?-
Looks good man. Definitely good to go.
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Cheers. I'm in two pretty serious money leagues and me and the other 2 guys have had almost identical teams all season, getting boring so now Aguero, Payet, Ayew and Alli are all differentials for me.
What do you think about AOA this week?-
Nice differentials!
Wouldn't play it in all honesty. Think Leicester will struggle vs Spurs-
Cheers. Can't help feeling I am mental for chucking KDB though, have had him since week 1!
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G2G
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Liverpool are fooked
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No we're not. Klopp will pick some good youngsters from U21's and we'll rise above these injury woes to beat Arsenal. No other team is better than us. YNWA
JK we're screwed... -
Is Toure fooked as well?
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Ilori, Enrique, Flanagan available
Lucas and Can can play DM
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You think I'm playing 3 correct defenders this week?
Toby Williams Kolarov (Bellerin Ward)-
Think Arsenal have a way better chance of a cleanie - you playing kola for attacking returns? I would go Bellerin personally
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Thanks
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I would have gone with bellerin ward and Williams.... Rejuvenated Leicester could score at whl and evertons attack on city's defence could cause problems
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Ward over Kolarov.
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I think so. But wouldn't be surprised to see either or both of a Bellerin or Ward CS.
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Thanks all
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All Out Defence chip? 🙂
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aka PTB (Park The Bus)
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Haha
Could work out
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Choose the best three to play:
A. Alderweireld (LEI)
B. Simpson (tot)
C. Monreal (liv)
D. Cresswell (bou)
E. Ward (avl)
Cheers-
A D E
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ADE
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Butland / Elliot
Toby / Souare / Bellerin / Cook / Moreno*
Alli / Mahrez / Ozil / Arnie / KDB
Kun / Lukaku / Vardy
2ft 1.0itb
Stupid to just hold on to Vardy? He migth just come back and score a lot of goals in a couple of weeks. Just do Moreno -> Cresswell, and hold the other ft?
Or just do Vardy -> Iggo and keep Moreno on the bench?-
Vardy > Iggy and keep Moreno on the bench. He's cheap enough.
Or you could upgrade Cook?-
Cook is my 5th defender and I`ve never played him. He has also scored 6+ in three of the last six. Think I just do Vardy -> Iggy, then. Thanks for reply!
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Any thoughts on security of starts for Antonio. Seems like the real deal. Does Payet's return impact his playing time?
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As long as Lanzini and Moses are out, I think he is pretty nailed on. Depends on his performance though. If he blanks 3/4 games, Bilic might drop him. Short term option imo.
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I have him as a short term option to cover Arnautovic tough fixtures. 5.2 could work out as a 5th mid.
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From what I've read on here he's fairly nailed at mo especially with Lanzini being it.
Think Payet return will be a positive for Antonio as he will create a lot more chances-
Lanzini being out **
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I'm tempted to get both him and Ali on WC in an effort to enable KDB and Aguero...
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Potentially Payet could change whms play style which could mean Antonios returns stop very quickly
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Payet playing would only increase his returns. Payet to us is like ozil at Arsenal. Will create so many chances.
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What to do ?
Have 0.4 in the bank and 2 ft. Happy with my front 8
Oxford to rangel or ward to walschield ?
Cech, Hennessey
Alderweireld, Ward, Moreno, Simpson, Oxford-
Maybe upgrade Moreno?
Keep Ward-
Think moreno is season keeper I bought him for 4.6
Another option is hennessey and simpson to rudd and walshield ?-
I agree he is, but I feel like you don't have enough money spent in defence.
Could upgrade Simpson to Watford? I'd also keep Hennesey for the time being.-
🙂 need to ditch hennesey for 3.8 or 3.9 gk to upgrade simpson.
Have 0.4 in the bank and 4.0 selling value for simpson-
Damn, now that is hard.
Oxford to Rangel seems best then haha
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Do i widlcard? plenty i'd liek to change...
Bultand Henn
Zouma Soaure Toby (Moreno,B Jones)
Mahrez Ozil KDB Cout Barkley
Kane Vardy Igahlo
There's six/seven i could switch there however don't if i'm panicing. I've got two frees so whatever happens Cout and Vardy will be out but could be tempted to take a -4 in order to enable Aguero.-
I'd take out hennessey Moreno Jones coutinho and vardy but none of them are desperate so I would just use the transfers
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Yeah I'd lose all of those on WC, if i did it.
but i'm sort of thinking now just Vardy/Cout and perhaps one other.
I've pretty much missed the price rise/fall boat also this week.
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Just Cout to Payet / another is the only thing pressing I'd say.
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Who should I start?
A) Guzan vs CPL
B) Gomes vs Saints-
Gomes
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B
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Guys which of these metrics should be most imp to gayge strength of a defence apart from obvious goals conceded?
1) Shots on target
2) Shots in box
3) Aby other you think?
I was all set on shots in box as it shows the quality of defence pressing and tackling but was alarmed by how many a good defensive side like Tottenham conceded SIB! (9 vs Nor(Home)
So thought must be lookin at it the long way...-
Gauge*
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It's a bit tricky, as the reality is a bit more complex than isolated stats, but big chances conceded should be a decent indicator imo.
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big chances conceded correlates by 0.5-0.6 on the small samples I've run - vs goals conceded. Highest I've found
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figures. also, if you think about the impression you get watching defences that just keeps on giving away big chances.
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The "contender" seems to be goal attempts conceded, and that has a much lower degree of explaination
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Who would you guys bench out of this lot?
Butland/ Gomes
Alderweireld Koscielny Cresswell Ward Wollscheid
KDB Ozil Payet Mahrez Alli
Aguero Lukaku Ighalo -
Any news on the extent of Coutinho's injury?
Wait, who am I kidding, I need to get rid of the dud anyway.-
An injurys just an excuse to send him on his bike
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You have the perfect excuse to get rid now 🙂
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indeed. wish i had it before i even got him though 😕
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push the button mate. Too many good options to be waiting on injury news for Coutinho
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Good numbers as always.
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Rooney in? 🙂
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We don't trust the numbers that much....
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It'd be interesting to do a retrospective article based on big numbers. I bet they pay off a lot more than we give them credit for.
Willian and Siggy have shown great improvement these past couple of weeks...and boom.
We do tend to concentrate on the fails (Coutinho) more than the successes sometimes.-
very true
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The brave would be gambling on Costa and Rooney for sure. Either that or just folk who want a different team to their rivals.
A lot to be said for the latter for those less serious.-
I don't think either are bad picks, in fact both could be inspired. Both have shown to be form players that get a goal and go on a run. I love FFS but the forums are always promoting last week's performers; sometimes you need to follow your own gut.
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That being said I won't be touching either for now!
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Bench who?
A) Arnie H NOR
B) Alli H LEI
C) Mahrez A TOT-
wow thats a toughie!
Who are your strikers and other midfielders? Do you have AOA?
If i had to pick from any of those I would pick Alli-
Agree wIth this
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Mahrez
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regards,
spurs fan
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Cheers!
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So I'm 1.5M short on doing Vardy -> Aguero. What is the optimal course of action?
A) Vardy, KDB -> Aguero, Yaya -4p
B) Vardy, Lukaku -> Aguero, Igalho -4p
C) Forget about Aguero and do Vardy -> Costa
Current team:
Butland
Dawson, Alderweireld, Bellerin
Payet, Özil, KDB, Alli, Mahrez
lukaku, Kane
subs: Hennesy, Moreno, Vardy, Simpson-
B
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B
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B for me
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B all day
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A
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C
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How long do we expect Sakho to be a regular starter now at Pool?
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I'd say he's nailed
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I wouldn't bank on it long term though. Klopp talking about buying defenders as well.
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True that. Only realize he's injured
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I'm going to have some difficulty deciding between Smalling (new) and Bellerin (liv) this GW.
What do you reckon?-
Bellerin- more likely for attacking returns and Newcastle have a habit of beating the big teams at home
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Tough choice. I'd probably go Bellerin, but you really could toss a coin.
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cheers
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I think Bale to United is going to happen this year.
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I really don't.
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I have a friend who is an ITK, somethings-a-rumbling.
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So LVG can put him back at left back?
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LVG wont be there to train him
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I don't think Bale would be content with Europa League. Why do you think so?
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I'm pretty confident United finish top 4, in case you mean summer. I don't think it would happen this month, wouldn't he be cup tied?
See above though. Also I have to imagine there's some displeasure at the fact he's now had 3 managers in a little over 2 years.-
ITK's get it right sometimes, but it just doesn't make any sense career wise for a player like Bale.
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Why do you think? United are a couple players and a competent manager from returning to stride. (not our win all the time stride, but a legitimate contender one).
He's also a welsh wizard who could come over to be our new one and be back in England. Why not the biggest club in England?-
Because Bale can choose literally between any club in the world that can afford him, so why chose a club that _might_ return to glory. He's the kind of player that is very determined about his career, so they'd at least have to prove themselves a proper side again, and get rid of that godawful LVG. In my opinion at least.
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Trying to say this with as little hubris as possible but we are literally too big to fail. It's not a matter of if we return to glory but when.
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it's not.
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We'll see. Much more pointing to yes than no.
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Why is Leicester at home a tougher fixture than Totenham away in the season ticker?
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Whole season form and Mahrezs ability for away returns?
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Signs points to benching Mahrez, and I've seen the terrors of that going bad firsthand here 😐
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Hmmmm... 😕
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So what to do with McCarthy (CPL) now? Just hold, and suck it up for Rudd or someone come WC time?
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i'm in the same position mate.
I'm just holding until WC or I have a free transfer going spare. Too many other things to try and juggle and as long as your other keeper is nailed on then I think it's best to just keep him.-
Yeah, Butland is solid. Would only have played my 2nd GK for his Everton match of the last 6
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Who will score from now...
1.vardy
2. Jane
3. Costa-
not vardy
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Costa Kane vardy in order
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Maybe Kane. If Dembele is out, it might come down to a pen or nothing
Vardy, maybe. Form is out the window.
Costa, I don't see it. But I didn't see the Stoke game either. WBA were solid the two previous
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2.kane ha
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you reply failed a typo clarification! awesome haha
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Coutinho to Payet?
Or should I hold till he get back in form?-
everybody wait until after he's scored double digits for 3-4 GWs please 🙂
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Do it, do it now.
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By now i mean wait until he's about to go up / coutinho go down. No point until then as if it means you get to see the FA cup games first then its worth it.
Keep an eye on the price changes however so you don't miss out.
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Is there any developments that Jose mourinho could be Man United manager?
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Are you LVG?
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Hahaha you never know.
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At the moment, United are backing LVG (meaning until they're not backing him).
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Fair enough I suppose
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I think the answer is no.
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Pity
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Is it right that you keep your second wild card as long as you want this year instead of having to use in jan?
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Yes
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WC could be crazy value before a DGW
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Right as in it's the rules - but I don't like it. It's just not right for the game.
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You reckon? The jan wild card was always a bit of a joke.
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I do. It takes out a much needed dilemma - before we needed to decide whether we take an early-season WC or wait for the DGW. Now we don't have that decison to make - so everyone who's paying attention makes an early-season one - this encourages an early template which is not something that enhances the game for me. Agreed that January WC meant that we had a strong template team in January - but this rule change now moves that forward to September. And when DGW comes around everyone's teams migrate to the DGW template. I like teams being diverse, and so am not a fan of the 2 WCs.
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