[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
23 January 2016 960 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
Share:

We call upon the services of three overlooked Fantasy options this Saturday morning as the minutes tick down to the Gameweek 23 deadline. Newcastle’s lone frontman earns the nod away to Watford, whilst we turn to Sunderland and Everton’s midfield ahead of plum home clashes with Bournemouth and Swansea respectively.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Despite carding just one win over the last four Gameweeks, Newcastle have upped their level of performance game by game, culminating in a 2-1 victory over West Ham United in the previous round of fixtures. Excluding Georginio Wijnaldum, Aleksandar Mitrovic (6.2) has arguably been the biggest catalyst for the Magpies’ improvement in the final third.

The Serbian frontman lays claim to a solitary goal in six outings, yet his underlying statistics highlight his latent potential. Since Gameweek 19, only Harry Kane has chalked up more attempts (18) than Mitrovic (17), while the Toon recruit ranks top – ahead of Sergio Aguero (14) – for shots inside the box (15) and joint-top for shots on target (eight). Added to that, only three forwards recorded more key passes (eight) during that timeframe, illustrating his creative qualities.

Considering that the Tyneside outfit ranked second for shots inside the box (41) and top for shots on target (24) over the last four Gameweeks, they’re well placed to punish a Watford team that’s reeling in the wake of four straight defeats. Beyond the Hornets clash, Newcastle travel to face an Everton unit that’s conceded more home goals (20) than any team in the league.

Adam Johnson

Having failed to make any noise on the Fantasy scene since the 2013/14 season, Adam Johnson (5.8) has thrust himself back into relevancy with four assists in three outings, putting him well on course to surpass a career-best haul of assists (nine). Although Sunderland continue to ship goals at an alarming rate, they rank joint-top for goals (eight) since Gameweek 20, paving the way for cut-price differentials like Johnson to emerge.

Over the last four Gameweeks, only seven midfielders tallied more key passes than Johnson (nine) and only three recorded more through balls (three), underlining his pivotal role in the Black Cats’ build-up play. Certainly, if Jermain Defoe can maintain his purple patch (five goals in three), there’s every chance Johnson will be the man delivering the crucial final ball.

Next up for the Wearsiders is a home clash against Bournemouth, who rank joint-fourth for goals conceded in road fixtures (21). Moreover, only Norwich City have surrendered more big chances (35) on their travels than the Cherries (32), which suggests that Sam Allardyce’s troops will be afforded their fair share of scoring opportunities at the Stadium of Light.

Kevin Mirallas

In light of Gerard Deulofeu’s rise to prominence and Roberto Martinez’s propensity for rotation in wide areas, Kevin Mirallas (6.8) struggled for pitch time in the first half of the season, managing just two starts.

However, the illusive winger looked close to his best against Chelsea last Gameweek, expertly lashing home his second goal in three outings and employing his lively dribbling skills to outfox a dazzled Blues’ rearguard. Indeed, during yesterday morning’s press conference, Roberto Martinez lavished praise on the Belgian’s recent showings, raising hopes that he can nail down that left wing berth from here on in.

Illuminating the Belgian’s rich potential for attacking returns, Philippe Coutinho was the only midfielder that racked up more attempts (12) than Mirallas (nine) across their last two outings. Furthermore, the former Lille recruit ranks fourth for shots inside the box (five) and joint-top for shots on target (five) from that perspective. Taking the campaign as a whole, Mirallas possesses the third-best shot frequency (one every 22.1 minutes) among midfielders who’ve recorded 20 or more attempts.

For all the Toffees’ defensive travails, they netted seven goals in their last quartet of match-ups and rank second for home goals (23) ahead of a home encounter against Swansea City, who’ve posted just one clean sheet on their travels. Everton then welcome a Newcastle side that’s allowed the joint-fourth-most goals in away fixtures (21), so the stage could well be set for Mirallas to grace the scoresheet and help fire the Toffees up the table.

960 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tronity
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Correct to bench Alli over Mahrez, Ozil, Payet and KDB?

    1. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      No, look at his away record and look at the picks

      1. Tronity
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Bench Mahrez then?

        1. HVT
          10 years, 8 months ago

          For me Yes.

    2. _Gunner
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I'd play Mahrez

    3. Taribo West on a free
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I have the same mids and benched Payet. It's a close call.

      1. hillbillypete
        10 years, 8 months ago

        payet did well against city earlier in season...assist and bonus

  2. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    G2G? 0FT so hope so.

    Butland

    Daniels - Baines - Moreno

    KDB - Payet - Mahrez - Ozil

    Kane - Lukaku (c) - Aguero

    Subs: Stanislas - Davies - Souare

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Looks ready to rumble to me

    2. _Gunner
      10 years, 8 months ago

      G2G

    3. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      It's surprising how reassuring it is when someone just confirms your team as G2G.

    4. Psakhotherapy
      10 years, 8 months ago

      that really is super

  3. scarlet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Bench one of these:
    A. Mahrez
    B. Alli
    C. Payet

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A

  4. RubeRx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Why am I up at 4AM trying to make FPL decisions?

    1. La Roja
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Because it would be rude not to

    2. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Because you like many others (aka - RCA) have been consumed by this game Rx.

      1. RubeRx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        consumed is putting it nicely 😆

        1. HVT
          10 years, 8 months ago

          It's early 😉

    3. Clump
      10 years, 8 months ago

      🙂

  5. Vote Joke
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Captain Lukaku, Ighalo or Aguero?

    1. The Farke Side Gallery
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Iggy pop

    2. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku

    3. mambo
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku

    4. Boz
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku

  6. hillbillypete
    10 years, 8 months ago

    got 2 free transfers but nothing to do. hate wasting a transfer!

    1. The Farke Side Gallery
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I bet you do lad, team?

    2. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Post it Hbp

      1. hillbillypete
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Butland Rudd

        Alder Daniels Kos Evans Williams

        Mahrez Ozil Yaya Payet Ali

        Lukaku Kane Aguero

        1. HVT
          10 years, 8 months ago

          Lol-lots to do here Pete!
          Rudd > Elliott (dgw?)
          Williams > Jags/Baines
          Mahrez/Yaya > 4.2/Sllva,Sanchez,Kdb

          1. hillbillypete
            10 years, 8 months ago

            I have contemplated the gk suggestion.

            can't afford the second.

            i think Yaya will do somethin today and can't afford the upgrade.

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Team?
      Go for a flair pick like firmino/mirallas

    4. _Gunner
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Whats your team?

    5. Flintstone
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Williams to Jags if you've got .3m or downgrade one to targett to free up funds for sanchez maybe?

      1. hillbillypete
        10 years, 8 months ago

        i've got 0.1 in the bank. Williams has 2 good fixtures after today. Im having a bench issue today.

        1. Flintstone
          10 years, 8 months ago

          Brom vs Swansea who will you play?

          1. hillbillypete
            10 years, 8 months ago

            id like to play both..

            1. Flintstone
              10 years, 8 months ago

              Okay. Hope it works out for you. Alli or Mahrez for the bench? I'm pondering the same. Best of luck.

  7. King H
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Kane and Mahrez
    Or
    Vardy and Oscar

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A

  8. Boz
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Start one:

    A) Kosc (CHE)
    B) Moreno (nor)
    C) Huth (STK)

    Rest of defence is Dawson and Toby

    Currently starting A but not sure

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      B

  9. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Kasper
    Toby, Bellerin, Moreno.
    Mahrez, Özil, Payet, Barkley.
    Lukaku, Ighalo, Aguero.

    Bench- kdb, Smith, Dann. Butland (gk).

    Gtg? Its kdb versus Mahrez that feels tricky.

  10. Vamos Sergios
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Play either;

    Ramsey or Payet

  11. Viprin
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Mahrez. Keep or sell? I personally think that we should keep him. Had him since GW1. He could easily get back inform like in the 1st half of the season.

    1. Vamos Sergios
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Keep for sure

  12. Ziro Becomes One
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Anybody having Kun and capping Luka? Madness. I dare you to do it and stick by it till deadline.
    Kun(c) all the way.

    1. Whazza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Yup, no chance I'll switch

      1. Ziro Becomes One
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Meaning Luka(c)u?

        1. Whazza
          10 years, 8 months ago

          Yeah

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I'm thinking Kane (c)...

    3. Taribo West on a free
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I have both a Lukaku as captain. Don't trust City away, and Lukaku always gets chances.

    4. Ziro Becomes One
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I salute the 3 of you and will check back after the game.

      1. Whazza
        10 years, 8 months ago

        good luck mate

      2. Taribo West on a free
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, didn't exactly work out...

    5. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku safe option

      Kun living dangerously option

      I'm living dangerously this week.

  13. Demel
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I was about to bring Miracles in and read this....

    Manager Martinez has rotated the winger and his other wide attackers to contend with the Christmas and early-January fixture schedule - and he has intimated it will be a policy he will continue to adopt, with a congested two weeks ahead.

    He said: “We’ve got five games now in 14 days. We are going to share that effort.

    “It’s the end of January and we want to be involved in three competitions. We want to embrace it.

    “But, like we did with the previous block of fixtures, it’s making sure that the team always remains competitive from game to game.

    “We need to be fresh enough with the amount of demands we have to share.”

    1. Ziro Becomes One
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Nice dig.

    2. Clump
      10 years, 8 months ago

      We all would welcome a Miracle 🙂

    3. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      From this Mira would be a rotator, Barks would be saferDemel.

  14. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Who to bench from:

    mahrez ozil ramsey alli payet

    have a bad track recording of benching the wrong player...thinking of benching ramsey? arsenal dont have a good record against chelski

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Ramsey

    2. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Ramsey

  15. Clump
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Granted, I couldn't find sh!t in a stable.
    Where is the captain's poll on the site?
    Ta.

      1. meerlight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        and below the scout tweets

  16. McQueen
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Best defender for next few guys?

    CS and attacking threat?

    1. King H
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Baines

      1. McQueen
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers.

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Baines/Daniels/cresswell

      1. McQueen
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers, 0.1M short for Kos to Baines 🙁

  17. King H
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Baines and Wollshield
    Or
    Jagz and Dawson

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. La Roja
      10 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A

    4. Numb
      10 years, 8 months ago

      B

    5. King H
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Wtf this is so close. Whos gonna win

  18. Longtermsufferer
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Good morning chaps. Will Arnie play? Also could any one tell me how to link your FPL profile to your profile on this site? Forgive my ignorance please. First year on here!

  19. MountainBeach
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Play Simpson at home to Stoke or Kos at home to Chelsea??

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Simpson

    2. HVT
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Kos all day

  20. asif316uk
    10 years, 8 months ago

    My answers to the 2 questions everyone seems to be asking.

    A. Kun or Lukaku for (c)

    Ive gone Kun simply because its Kun.

    B. Firmino or Barkley

    Ive gone Firmino, simply because my rival has Barkley and im a pool fan, but nothing between them if you ask me.

    I hope I have been of assistance

  21. zizoo10
    10 years, 8 months ago

    anybody have the decision to bench one of payet or mahrez??

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Mahrez

      1. hkhallaf
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Mahrez

  22. Jay Jay Okocha
    10 years, 8 months ago

    G2G?

    Gomes
    Smith, Toby, Wollscheid
    KDB, Alli, Payet, Ozil
    Kane, Aguero (C), Lukaku (VC)

    Hennessey, Mahrez, Simpson, Souare

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Play simpson over Smith?

  23. La Roja
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Lukaku averages almost 9 points per game at Godison Park.

    Zing!

    1. RubeRx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      but we want double digits

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 8 months ago

        You made us sound like sheeps

        But we are anyway

      2. Whazza
        10 years, 8 months ago

        that's why we C him

        1. RubeRx
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 8 months ago

          touche

    2. Ziro Becomes One
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Swansea defence is clicking into gear last 5 weeks. West Ham has a worse defence, imo.

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Swansea and gear 5 should be forbidden to use in same sentences

  24. For Fuchs Sake
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Play moreno or huth

    1. Whazza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Moreno

  25. hkhallaf
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Ighalo or Lukaku to the captain?

    New castle have Dummit out of the squad!

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Luk

      1. La Roja
        10 years, 8 months ago

        aku

    2. La Roja
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Wow that changes a lot!

      Triple captain him

    3. Whazza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      lucky Luke

  26. RicardoAVFC
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Hi All
    Two questions, need your help please.

    Bench
    A)Payet
    B)Ozil
    C) Mahrez
    D) KDB
    E) Arnie

    Currently on E.

    Captain Aguero or Lukaku?

    Thank you!!!!!!

    1. Whazza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      E) and Lukk

      1. RicardoAVFC
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks Whazza!

    2. hkhallaf
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Arnie

      1. RicardoAVFC
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Who to captain?

    3. For Fuchs Sake
      10 years, 8 months ago

      E and I can't decide myaelf

      1. RicardoAVFC
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Who you currently on? What's your gut telling you?

  27. Mikey44
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Bench one out of:
    A. Bellerin
    B. Dier
    C. Moreno
    D. Evans

    Thanks

    1. Whazza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. hkhallaf
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Bellerin

  28. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Gentlemen,

    A) Alli (cry)
    B) Ramsey (CHE)

    1) Double up on Albion vs Villa with Myhill and Dawson
    2) Play Bellerin (CHE) over Dawson

    1. Whazza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      A1

  29. lennyify
    10 years, 8 months ago

    bench 2

    williams , huth , monreal , smalling , alderweirld

  30. Goose
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Which 2 to bench:
    Toby (cry)
    Koscielny (CHE)
    Simpson (STK)
    Cathcart (NEW)
    Daniels (sun)

    1. Oven Glover
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Simpson Daniels