Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.61
Bony MCI 2.00
Kane TOT 2.00
Pelle SOU 2.10
Austin SOU 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Iheanacho MCI 2.20
De Bruyne MCI 2.20
Giroud ARS 2.29
Sanchez ARS 2.29
Origi LIV 2.29
Firmino LIV 2.29
Lukaku EVE 2.37
Vardy LEI 2.40
Pato CHE 2.40
Toure MCY 2.50
Welbeck ARS 2.50
Long SOU 2.50
Mane SOU 2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League β€œtransfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.83
Southampton 2.10
Liverpool 2.10
Tottenham 2.37
Crystal Palace 2.50
Chelsea 2.50
Bournemouth 2.50
Leicester City 2.60
Everton 2.75
Arsenal 2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

2,341 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Do we have any reliable Liverpool twitter people?

    1. Zombie
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Demi

      1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Link?

  2. BenjaminFlow
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Final tinkering, very worried about Man City fixture list if and when they get to semis in CL.

    My team:

    DDG/Robles
    Bellerin/Gabriel/Sakho/Fuchs/???
    Sanchez/Coutinho/Lanzini/???/???
    Aguero/Lukaku/Martial

    Option A) KDB + Lennon + max 4.7m defender (who? Simpson? Morgan? Delaney? PVA?)¨
    Option B) Firmino + Barkley + max 5.4m defender (Darmian? Someone cheaper?)

    I'm leaning towards doubling up with Liverpool mids, since KDB will most likely be rested for GW35 and no quarantee for this week either.

  3. Emp
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A) Otamendi and rashford
    B) Delaney and mitro
    C) Simpson and mitro

    1. mojoindojo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

  4. Gerci
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Wimmer, Arnautovic -> Gabriel, Firmino or Coutinho for a hit? (no WC)

  5. big_cliff
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Pick one please?

    A) Mata-Mitrovic
    B) Martial-Mahrez

    1. Tshelby
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. Viprin
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B

  6. JimmyCoop
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Help please guys!

    A) Robles DDG
    Simpson Bellerin Gabriel Sakho Delaney
    Sanchez Couts KDB Lanzini Lennon
    Aguero Lukaku MARTIAL

    or
    B) Robles MIGNOLET
    Simpson Bellerin Gabriel Sakho Delaney
    Sanchez Couts PAYET Lanzini Lennon
    Aguero Lukaku KANE

    1. fickle
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. siweltrebor87
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I see the logic I really do

      I'd choose B, far better option even though Kane only has one game in 34.

  7. Arteta
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Which one looks better?
    1)
    Mignolet - Robles
    Darmian - Smalling - Gabriel - Sakho - Simpson
    Özil - Alexis - Payet - Coutinho - Lanzini
    Agüero - Lukaku - Deeney

    2)
    Darlow - Robles
    Fuchs - Mangala - Gabriel - Sakho - Simpson
    Özil - Alexis - Payet - Coutinho - Lanzini
    Agüero - Lukaku - Martial

    1. Ha.
      10 years, 6 months ago

      1

    2. Zombie
      10 years, 6 months ago

      How will you handle so many blankers in GW35?

    3. Prøphet
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Hmmm a few tweeks and i would go with A. Why not pick up Mitro and downgrade Darmian to Delaney?

  8. Luttte ouvriere
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Lovren or Sakho?
    thx!

    1. Aiders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I've gone Sakho because of price, think both are equally nailed so nothing in it really

  9. mozza
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Lots of last minute Coutinho to Firm... Hmmm

  10. HonestBlatter
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Is anyone thinking Milner over Cou/Fir as differential. On the spot kicks also I assume?

    1. rdamjan
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Cou+Milner for me.

      1. rocky7st
        10 years, 6 months ago

        That's what I did, more cash than anything

    2. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Might do as need nailed players for DGW

  11. MFC86
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Those with martial in wc, are you playing or benching this week?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Playing over Lanzini.

    2. FPL_Sponge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Playing over Iwobi

  12. Prøphet
    10 years, 6 months ago

    God... last minute tinkers... Decided to go KDBless anyways. low ownership wont hurt me as much, if he scores 100 points so be it.

    Mignolet / Robles
    Smalling / Bellerin / Gabriel / Simpson / DANN (1 gw punt)
    Sanchez / Cout / Firmino / Payet / Bolasie
    Kun / Lukaku / Martial

    .4 ITB. Will ship Dann for gw 34 to someone with a game in 35.

    Thoughts?

    1. BadgersBoys
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I'm considering going Payetless and getting in Firmino

      1. Prøphet
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Cant do it... Just cant πŸ™

        1. BadgersBoys
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Don't think I can either tbh

    2. Sepp Blattered
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      How did you get rid of Kane! I jut can't do it for Mitrovic

      1. Prøphet
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Cant for mitro, but for AVL CPL i have to. If i dont i will hate myself for it. Thats the only reason.

        1. Sepp Blattered
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Team looks good though Kane may hurt you. For your advice, which combo do you prefer fornext 3 GWs

          A) Mangala, Lingard, Barkley, Kane
          B) Sakho, KDB, Lennon, M

          1. Prøphet
            10 years, 6 months ago

            Oh i know Kane WILL HURT, but have to take it on the chin.

            Well i wouldnt pick first 3 in A at all. Not sure about KDB's minutes hence me dropping him this morning...
            I would honestly avoid Mangala,Lingard, Barkley, KDB.

            So, Lennon sakho and Kane great picks. Fit the last player in and you are golden

  13. Sepp Blattered
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Taking account of 33 34 35.. Would you

    A) Mangala, Lingard, Barkley, Kane
    B) Sakho, KDB, Lennon, Mitrovic

  14. BadgersBoys
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Had no worries about Continho until I logged on here. Now considering doing Payet to Firmino as I have Lanzini.

    Tell me, am I crazy?

  15. Ha.
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Last minute gitters...

    A) Kane and Coutinho
    B) Martial and KDB

  16. Zombie
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Play one: Williams, Wollscheid, Dawson ?

  17. MoFish
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Bolasie or Lennon

  18. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Was on a) Lennon Sanchez but I see last years winner Simon March went b) Ozil Barkley

  19. Inspector Gadget
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Darlow, ??
    Bellerin, Sakho, Delaney, ??, ??
    Firmino, Payet, Sanchez, Mahrez, ??
    Aguero. Lukaku, Martial

    A. De Gea, Coleman, Lovren and Iwobi
    B. Robles, Gabriel, Simpson and Coutinho

    Keep changing my mind as to which to go for. Any help greatly appreciated!

    1. big_cliff
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B only coz I think Couts is a must-have

  20. camarozz
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I FEEL SICK. Worst gw ever. Panic, worry setting in. BIG TIME.

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Don't worry, we're all about to make big mistakes with our teams.

    2. Give The Todd Some Love
      10 years, 6 months ago

      lol

    3. Eskimooo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Get a grip seriously ....

    4. Jafooli
      10 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ˜†

  21. FPL ElasticO
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Come on Guys need some help with my team. I have only Lukaku for this GW as DGW er. Do I need to have any other players??

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Need to? No. Next DGW is much more crucial.

  22. King66544
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Darlow Souare Barkley

    OR

    Mignolet Delaney Bolasie

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Who's your other GK?

      1. King66544
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Robles

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Tough one - B for me, just.

          1. DVassell
            10 years, 6 months ago

            Or mignolet, Delaney and Lennon?

  23. The Count of Monte Cristo
    10 years, 6 months ago

    G2G - bench order and everything?

    Robles
    Sakho | Delaney | Simpson
    Sanchez | Payet | Coutinho | Mahrez
    Aguero | Martial | Lukaku (C)

    Darlow | Lanzini | Bellerin | Darmian

  24. Simon March
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A: Mahrez, Lovren & Barkley

    or

    B: Firmino, Janmaat/Rojo & Lennon?

    (Don't ask me why it's come to Janmaat, it just has!)

    1. Arvin-ation
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      B with Rojo

      1. Simon March
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers

  25. Viprin
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Philipe or Roberto?

  26. ARKANOIIDE
    10 years, 6 months ago

    http://i.imgur.com/dX1nl1l.png

    Done, done tinkering πŸ™‚ lets go!

    1. ARKANOIIDE
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck all πŸ™‚

    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Very nice

  27. BigCasher
    10 years, 6 months ago

    My last WC team:

    Robles - Darlow
    Gabriel - Simpson - Delaney - Sakho - Bellerin
    Sanchez - Payet - Coutinho - KDB - Lennon
    Aguero - Martial - Lukaku

    0.2 ITB

    GW 35: Delaney -> Azpi and Martial to Defoe
    GW 37: Simpson -> PVA and KDB -> Firmino ( Aguero to Costa for a hit )

    Any suggestions for improvement? Considering Firmino right away that give me Smalling instead of Simpson but then i need a hit to field 11 in GW 35.

    1. BigCasher
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I`ll take that sound of silence as this is the perfect team and plan πŸ˜›

    2. butt0n1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Our teams are almost identical and I am leaning towards KDB & Simpson. GW35 you need a hit and I would not play Smalling this week versus I would play Simpson so actually there is 3 games for Simpson and 2 games for Smalling in next 3 GW with that benching.

      Also imo KDB has better fixture and is more nailed this GW.

      1. BigCasher
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks for feedback. Good luck then!

  28. Jazz!
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Can't find last night's article. Can anyone tell me who the risers/fallers were?

    Many thanks πŸ™‚

    1. BROOKLYN GOONER
      10 years, 6 months ago

      You can always go here:

      http://fplstatistics.com/Home/Events

      1. Jazz!
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers!

  29. Bobby_Baggio
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Morning all - who to drop? currently on Cout

    Mahrez - Sanchez - KDB - Cout - Payet

    1. big_cliff
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Forwards?

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Undroppable - kun - luk - wick

  30. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on my wildcard:

    Mignolet Robles
    Rojo Simpson Sakho Bellerin Gabriel
    Coutinho KDB Sanchez Payet Lingard
    Martial Lukaku Aguero

    Will have Bolasie instead of Payet for 33

    Opinions much appreciated.