Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
Share:

With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.61
BonyMCI2.00
KaneTOT2.00
PelleSOU2.10
AustinSOU2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
IheanachoMCI2.20
De BruyneMCI2.20
GiroudARS2.29
SanchezARS2.29
OrigiLIV2.29
FirminoLIV2.29
LukakuEVE2.37
VardyLEI2.40
PatoCHE2.40
ToureMCY2.50
WelbeckARS2.50
LongSOU2.50
ManeSOU2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League “transfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.83
Southampton2.10
Liverpool2.10
Tottenham2.37
Crystal Palace2.50
Chelsea2.50
Bournemouth2.50
Leicester City2.60
Everton2.75
Arsenal2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

  1. Mahesh_Kumar
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Bolasie to Yaya next week for a sneaky punt for the 34 double sounds good right?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      No.

      1. Mahesh_Kumar
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Care to explain?

  2. megabunch
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Any suggestions here lads? Am I GTG?

    Robles Darlow

    Bellerin Gabriel Sakho Smalling Simpson

    KDB Payet Sanchez Fletcher Coutinho

    Aguero Lukaku Martial

    Appreciate your help!

    1. athreya
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Why fletcher? Iwobi or Lingard better options at that price bracket.

  3. Nath88
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Why is there no love for Lingard? Cheap and tasty fixtures?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Prefer other players.

    2. MDK
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      It's if he's affected by Rooney's impending return

    3. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Could be dropped because Young and Rooney back

    4. BROOKLYN GOONER
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Low scores and could lose his spot soon, to Rooney.

  4. MDK
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Martial away at Spurs or Lanzini at home to Arsenal?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Martial.

    2. Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Same problem
      I'm playing martial atm

    3. Eskimooo
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Both pretty dreadful options on paper , flip a coin it's that close .

      1. MDK
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Happy chappy this morning aren't ya? 🙂

    4. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Martial. On pens

  5. Krul Runnings
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    This GW will be grim.

    You will be annoyed when players you WC'ed out do well.
    You will be annoyed when players you considered for your WC but omitted do well.

    I have the same feeling now I do when I'm on a plane and there is turbulence. 'HOLD ON TIGHT, EVERYTHING WILL BE OK'

    *GULPS*

    GL everyone!

    1. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      you too, mate!

    2. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      this week is about survival into gw34

  6. Eskimooo
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Non wildcarders get ignored entirely round here .....

    It's just full of countless rmt's which are exactly the same , over and over and over again .

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Don't use your WC early next time then

      1. Eskimooo
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        What a great intellectual response , I have my wildcard active thanks , It's just an observation as I noticed yet another non wildcard related question getting ignored , followed up by another identical rmt .

    2. TheCurseOfRaheem
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      firmino and barkley or kdb and lanzini?

    3. BROOKLYN GOONER
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      I'd cut them some slack, it's tense times. 🙂

  7. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Let's be honest, Firminho is fit and should be more likely to play than Coutinho

  8. King66544
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    A) Darlow Souare Barkley

    OR

    B) Mignolet Delaney Bolasie

    Other gk is Robles

    1. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      A

  9. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Bench 1:
    Coutinho
    Firmino
    Payet
    Martial

    Ty

    1. Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Martial

    2. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      same boat. martial for me

  10. keotes
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    I can afford these guys... Who should I pick?

    A) Lennon
    B) Bolasie
    C) Barkley

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      A

    2. simosalminen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      I think Barkley out of those, I think he'll be back to the 10 spot. And Everton's fixtures are sweet. And with Mirallas, Kone, Cleverley and Deulofeu all fit, Lennon's spot is quite windy. Bolasie is good for this GW, but next GW it's horrible - Arsenal and Mun away....

  11. El Muñeco
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    For this GW only:

    KBD + 4

    or

    Barkley

    1. simosalminen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      KDB + 4

  12. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    A. Sakho

    B. Just leave the space blank

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      B

  13. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Squeaky bum time?
    Can't wait to see my rivals WC squads
    Actually feeling a sense of relief now that I've settled on my squad

  14. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    How risky is it going without any west ham cover in WC?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      No such thing as cover. It's risky without going with specific players.

    2. Montezuma
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Very. Payet is a must

  15. Gr3g
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Cou or Fir from now on? Chances of second one to start this GW? Cheers!

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Fir

  16. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    A) Ighalo instead of Mitrovic
    B) No KDB
    C) No United defence ( Gabriel , Bellerin , Sakho , Lovren , Simpson)

  17. andrinho
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Arnie going to play????
    Thanks:)

    1. BROOKLYN GOONER
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Looking like a coin toss, from what I can tell.

  18. Psojkee
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Firmino or Coutinho?

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Coutinho

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Fir

    3. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      both

  19. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Playing Payet... play two

    A) Lanzini
    B) Mitrovic

    1) Bellerin
    2) Simpson

  20. ARKANOIIDE
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    How many times will there be "WC fail" today? 😛

  21. jimbobmij
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    My thinking for wildcarders is you should have no more than 4 outfield players who blank in GW35.

    Obviously Payet and Lukaku each have to take a spot. So that leaves two spots. A Man Utd defender feels essential for the DGW, and it's no good covering that with De Gea because the only keepers with good fixtures in GW35 are expensive, so you may as well have Hart, Cech or Mignolet as your expensive keeper. De Gea also has a poor fixture this week, and anyone with a good fixture is either expensive or also blanks in GW35. So another spot seems to need to go to a Utd defender.

    That leaves one spot. Now considering Martial has Villa and Palace at home next week, Barkley is very off form and Lennon has terrible underlying stats and is a rotation risk. I just can't seem to justify including Lennon or Barkley in a wildcard team over the likes of Martial. Especially when I could double up on Firmino and Coutinho, who have just as many games across the next 3 GW's and in better fixtures. My only concern being the EL return leg.

    Opinions?

    1. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      too much thinking - just get players who have DGWs and score points.

    2. athreya
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Depends. If you save FTs and take the odd hit you can get 11 playing in gw35. So that shouldn't put you off form players who have DGW.

    3. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Um Lennon has scored a total of 45 in last 7 gameweeks??? over 6ppg

    4. fitzy
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      You can have up to 6 non starters , use the 2 FT and field 11 for that week which is just fine.

      Personally I have 6 FT and I am willing to take a hit for a chelsea / west ham player to field a full team in GW 35.

    5. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      happy to take a hit or 2. net -2

    6. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      My approach is very different. I'm going all out for this week and next and hoping that banks profit that I can spend in GW35.

      There's no guarantee that you can pick a GW35 lineup today. Anything could happen with injuries, suspensions and rotation with FA Cup replays and European ties at play.

      I'm going to maximise points for now and then tackle GW35 later, hopefully with some extra profit in the bank to spend.

      1. rye5098
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Exactly my thoughts...

        Out of interest who have you gone for in the pegs?

    7. simosalminen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      I think Barkley's form will improve with him back at 10, and I think Mitrovic is a very strong candidate to replace Martial.

  22. Ohhhhh Gary Macca!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Do I keep Sturridge is the question?

    Robles | Darlow
    Bellerin | Moreno | Simpson | Gab | Rojo
    Sanchez | Payet | KDB | Coutinho | Lanzini
    Aguero | Sturridge | Lukaku

    How does it look?

  23. BadgersBoys
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    So, just to confirm. No one is punting on Moreno then?

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Sakho vs Lovren seems to be the debate , some have sakho and lovren .

      1. BadgersBoys
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Morning Adam. I currently have Sakho, but would like to tak a punt on Moreno as that 0.1could actually go a long way as myTV is poor. You Wc'ing?

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 12 months ago

          Yep I don't like my team in the slightest . There is a four day gap between Stoke and the Dortmund game and I am fairly certain I saw on here that Flanagan is not eligible for the Europa League.

          1. BadgersBoys
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 12 months ago

            Really? Didn't realise that. I absolutely loathe my team when I look at it.. But it's what we have to do I suppose to get those green arrows. To use a better expression, I think it could all go t*ts up tbh.. Will be interesting though at the least.

            1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 12 months ago

              🙂

    2. asif316uk
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Still considering it..

    3. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Pool have too many games and Flannagan is an able deputy. But at most, Moreno will miss only 1 game

      1. BadgersBoys
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks CC. One game is still quite a loss over the coming GW's if others have guaranteed DGW players..

  24. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    One week punt guys.....Bolaise or Cabeye?

    Will be out next week for Firmino depending on how well he has recovered from injury this week.

  25. Kryten
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Panic stations I an on my million wild card team draft

  26. BecAuse79
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Play

    A)Alli
    B)Ozil

    !!??

  27. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    RMWCT

    Robles Migs

    Gabriel Koscielny Sakho Delaney Simpson

    Sanchez KDB Firmino Payet Lennon

    Kun Mitrovic Lukaku

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Could also do Mitro + Lennon -> Martial and Lingard. Currently lack Utd

  28. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    From 1-10, how afraid should I be of Jagielka getting rested for one of the four fixtures in GW 33 and 34?

    1. simosalminen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      3

  29. JacquieH
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    when would you use your triple captain if you had these 2 players?

    A) Lukaku this week
    Or
    B) Aguero next week

    Thanks

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Alexis next week

      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        This would be far better imo. Of course there are no guarantees.

    2. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Err neither tbh. I'd be looking for a form DGWer with at least 1 tasty home tie between them.

  30. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    8 green arrows in a row and a jump from 1.25M to 447K 🙂 has me enjoying FF again after a disastrous season start 🙁 .

    GW 33 G2G?
    Robles (Darlow)
    Kosceilny Sakho Mangala (Gabriel Rojo)
    Ozil Payet Bolasie Barkley Coutinho
    Lukaku (TC) Kun (Rashford)

    All the best peeps