Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.61
BonyMCI2.00
KaneTOT2.00
PelleSOU2.10
AustinSOU2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
IheanachoMCI2.20
De BruyneMCI2.20
GiroudARS2.29
SanchezARS2.29
OrigiLIV2.29
FirminoLIV2.29
LukakuEVE2.37
VardyLEI2.40
PatoCHE2.40
ToureMCY2.50
WelbeckARS2.50
LongSOU2.50
ManeSOU2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League “transfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.83
Southampton2.10
Liverpool2.10
Tottenham2.37
Crystal Palace2.50
Chelsea2.50
Bournemouth2.50
Leicester City2.60
Everton2.75
Arsenal2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

  1. Eden Azzzar
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    64% of people would rather have Payet in their team than Ozil I'm shocked

    1. ST United
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Shocking stuff

    2. Fowler23
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Cos ppl have Sanchez already? And double Arsenal defence and possibly Iwobi who is cheap as chips ?

    3. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez + Payet

  2. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Start
    1) mitrovic
    2) lanzini

    1. Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Mitrovic on pens

  3. Samurai Blue
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    My WC team is ready! Let's get those points!

    DDG / Robles
    Bellerin / Gabriel / Lovren / Delaney / Simpson
    Sanchez / Coutinho / Payet / Lennon / Bolasie
    Aguero / Lukaku / Martial

    Next week Lennon & Bolasie OUT, Lanzini & Lallana IN.

    Good luck to all!

    1. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      GL!

  4. Christina.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Play Bells or Smalls?

    1. athreya
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bells no? More attacking potential.

    2. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I'm playing Bells, benching Smalls...

    3. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bell

    4. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bells

    5. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Ta, that's how I have it.

  5. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Barko in the hole with Barry back?

    1. PÍE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Probably

    2. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Yes. Or Lennon if Martinez liked what he saw last game

  6. el flacooo
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    A) Barkley
    B) Bolasie
    C) Lennon

    First one 'll get 3 vote will be my man

    1. siweltrebor87
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Barkley if you can afford them

    2. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Lennon

    3. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Barkley

    4. el flacooo
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      cheers mate my first choice was lennon for the differential but let s go with ross

    5. Worzel Gummidge
        9 years, 11 months ago

        a

    6. jimbobmij
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      My thinking for wildcarders is you should have no more than 4 outfield players who blank in GW35.

      Obviously Payet and Lukaku each have to take a spot. So that leaves two spots. A Man Utd defender feels essential for the DGW, and it's no good covering that with De Gea because the only keepers with good fixtures in GW35 are expensive, so you may as well have Hart, Cech or Mignolet as your expensive keeper. De Gea also has a poor fixture this week, and anyone with a good fixture is either expensive or also blanks in GW35. So another spot seems to need to go to a Utd defender.

      That leaves one spot. Now considering Martial has Villa and Palace at home next week, Barkley is very off form and Lennon has terrible underlying stats and is a rotation risk. I just can't seem to justify including Lennon or Barkley in a wildcard team over the likes of Martial. Especially when I could double up on Firmino and Coutinho, who have just as many games across the next 3 GW's and in better fixtures. My only concern being the EL return leg.

      Opinions on this?

      1. Ohhhhh Gary Macca!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Stop overthinking.

      2. Paul Psychic Octopus
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Agree totally

      3. JogaSemmedo
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Lot of thought gone into it & all valid points.

        However Barkley or Lennon just needs to score & it all goes out the window. Just back yourself

      4. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Well I'm having all of the above.

        Lennon+Martial+Coutinho+Firmino+Smalling.

        It means I only have 10 in 35, but I'm okey dokey with that as i might do a -4 if required.

      5. siweltrebor87
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        I actually pretty much agree with you on that one.

        Same logic in choosing Mignolet.
        I have Payet and Lukaku.

        I'm shopping for a United defender next week. Also choosing my Liverpool midfielder after seeing how they do this weekend.

        I'm probably keeping Kane but playing a 3, 5, 2 in double gameweek as it stands.

    7. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bolasie triple cap, who's with me?

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Royscalleranne . Good luck 🙂

        1. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          cool, thats lofty company

      2. athreya
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Not even Bolasie.

      3. NissA
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Triple Crap more like it.

    8. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      THE question for is go with Kane or go with KdB?

      1. TheCurseOfRaheem
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        kdb.

      2. siweltrebor87
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Kane this week, KDB maybe next

        1. Tshelby
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Wish it was that easy to make that transfer without taking a hit

      3. PÍE
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        KDB

    9. Nolberto Solano
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      G2G?

      De Gea Robles

      Smalling Bellerin Clyne Gabriel Simpson

      Sanchez Payet Coutinho Mahrez Lanzini

      Aguero Lukaku Mitrovic

      1. Aarono23
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Keeper for GW 35?

        1. Nolberto Solano
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Don't mind not having one. Man Utd could be in line for two clean sheets for the double.

    10. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Which one would you start today?

      Ighalo, Yaya, Austin

      Only Ighalo is sure to start but the other two have great fixtures 😕

      1. athreya
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Definitely not Austin.

      2. Fred54
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Stop wasting precious space!

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Eh?

      3. Viper
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Austin

    11. tatjana78
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bench one:

      Azpilicuetta, Alderweirld, Bellerin

      1. MDK
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Tough one - possibly Bellerin but he's got attacking potential

      2. Fowler23
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Alders

    12. Jay_
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Too much smelly balls and Barry's backside on this page, filth 😀

        1. Jay_
            9 years, 11 months ago

            And holes

            1. Jafooli
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 11 months ago

              😎

        2. Hansel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          a) Mitrovic + Lennon

          b) Martial + Lingard

        3. Viper
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          A. Darmian & Bolasie (Bolasie -> Lanzini next week. Benching Darmian & Mitrovic)

          B. Lanzini & Smalling (Benching both this week) Starting Mitrovic

        4. Teahupo'o
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Still at it.

          Mignolet *
          Bellerin Gabriel Simpson Delaney *
          KDB Payet Coutinho Sanchez Lennon
          Kun Lukaku Martial

          A) Robles Sakho
          B) Darlow Jagielka

          ??

          1. Ceebes
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            A

          2. Hansel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            a

          3. Teahupo'o
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Thanks all

        5. Ceebes
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          A) Mignolet / Simpson / Sanchez / Iwobi
          B) Darlow / Fuchs / Ozil / Mahrez

          Thoughts?

          1. Ceebes
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            (Darlow wouldn't be first choice, I have Robles)

        6. Snapes on a Plane
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          How is this for a WC team?
          GTG? Is it too risky going without any west ham cover?

          Robles(Darlow)
          Delaney-Sakho-Simpson(Bellerin | Smalling)
          Sanchez-Bolasie-KDB-Coutinho-Barkley
          Augero-Lukaku(Martial)

        7. Garfield1001
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Thoughts on my wildcard:

          Mignolet Robles
          Rojo Simpson Sakho Bellerin Gabriel
          Coutinho KDB Sanchez Payet Lingard
          Martial Lukaku Aguero

          Will have Bolasie instead of Payet for 33

          Opinions much appreciated!!

          1. le flem
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            no rojo

        8. Kun Tozser
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          How has Watford's defence been recently?

          Lukaku or Bolasie for (c)

          ?

        9. andrinho
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Is Arnie going to play today?
          Says 50% chance on FPL
          Thanks:)

        10. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Cabaye the best Palace midfielder you reckon? Given pens, FKs and corner duties?

          1. le flem
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            bolasie

            1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
              • 16 Years
              9 years, 11 months ago

              Because?

              1. Christina.
                • 16 Years
                9 years, 11 months ago

                cheaper
                more explosive
                Goal threat

          1. MDK
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            The Daily Mail won't get the lineup right the day after the game let alone the day before

            1. Ziro Becomes One
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 11 months ago

              😆

            2. Jafooli
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 11 months ago

              😆

          2. PÍE
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Liverpool play tomorrow

        11. Gaz Downright
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Robles (Mignolet)
          Delaney Sakho Bellerin
          KDB Sánchez Coutinho Lennon
          Agüero Lukaku Martial

          (Lanzini,Gabriel, Smalling)

          Good to go?

          1. Ziro Becomes One
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Good as any.

          2. Arvin-ation
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Good to go.

            Best of luck! 🙂

          3. Gaz Downright
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Thanks 🙂

        12. _Gunner
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Pelle or Vardy for just this week?

          1. Fowler23
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Pelle

        13. Fowler23
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          KDB and Rashford to Martial and Barkley?

        14. TheCurseOfRaheem
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          KDB and Lanzini or Firmino and Barkley?

        15. sk018
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          My last shout-out!

          A) Gabriel, Otamendi, Firmino

          B) Simpson, Clyne, Ozil

        16. Pariße
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Pick 2:
          A) Sakho
          B) Moreno
          C) Lovren

          1. athreya
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Omit Moreno.

        17. ST United
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          For this GW play
          A) Ozil
          B) Payet

          1. ST United
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            ?