Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.61
BonyMCI2.00
KaneTOT2.00
PelleSOU2.10
AustinSOU2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
IheanachoMCI2.20
De BruyneMCI2.20
GiroudARS2.29
SanchezARS2.29
OrigiLIV2.29
FirminoLIV2.29
LukakuEVE2.37
VardyLEI2.40
PatoCHE2.40
ToureMCY2.50
WelbeckARS2.50
LongSOU2.50
ManeSOU2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League “transfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.83
Southampton2.10
Liverpool2.10
Tottenham2.37
Crystal Palace2.50
Chelsea2.50
Bournemouth2.50
Leicester City2.60
Everton2.75
Arsenal2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

  1. ribskab
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    can we use wildcard and bench boost or triple capt at the same time?

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      No

    2. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      no

    3. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      use all 3 together.....
      in short only one chip at a time

  2. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Quick poll, first to 3....

    A) Lovren

    B) Sakho

    1. Mookty
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Liverpool def sucks, but if i had to choose then A ;]

    4. Meinhoff
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I went with Lovren, more attacking threat I think

    5. Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

  3. Mookty
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Am I crazy for benching arsenal players this week cos they play west ham away whilst sakho plays stoke at home and my other defenders have DGWs?

    Robles
    Jagielka, Sahko, Delaney
    Coutinho, Firminio, KDB, Sanchez, Lanzini
    Aguero, Lukaku

    Bench: Darlow, Bellerin, Gabriel, Mitrovic

    1. PÍE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      If you are, then I am too - also have Gab and Bell on my bench.

    2. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I have Bellerin and Iwobi on my bench so you're defo not alone

    3. Mookty
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Great! Payet damage reduction as well.

    4. Mookty
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Hi Five!!!

  4. andymck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Morning lads, can anyone help me with my predicament?

    Mignolet - Robles
    Smalling - Bellerin - Gabriel - Lovren - Simpson
    Sanchez - Payet - Coutinho - Lennon - Lanzini
    Martial - Lukaku - Aguero

    Gives me a full team in GW35 if I take a hit. The other option I thought was to take a risk on iwobi instead of lanzini and swap Bellerin for a city defender. Would rather not have mitrovic as I can't bank on Newcastle. What's the best option?

    1. Mookty
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      This wildcard and selection for this week?

      Robles
      Jagielka, Sahko, Delaney
      Coutinho, Firminio, KDB, Sanchez, Lanzini
      Aguero, Lukaku

      Bench: Darlow, Bellerin, Gabriel, Mitrovic

    2. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I prefer Lanzini to Iwobi, but not sure about taking Bellerin out for city

      Why don't you do Lanzini+Smalling+Gabriel> Iwobi+Rojo+ Citeh def (if you must) or Dawson

  5. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    GTG?

    De Gea, mignolet
    Bellerin, Gabriel, sakho, Fuchs, Smalling
    Sanchez, payet, Lanzini, Coutinho, lennon
    Aguero, kane, lukaku

    ?

  6. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Bottomed...

    Really struggling to decide, I'd welcome thoughts:

    A - GW33 WC, 99 players games until the end of the season without hits, Payet TC in GW37

    B - GW36 WC, 96 players games until the end of the season without hits, Sanchez TC in GW36

    Does the Sanchez TC and knowing who's still fighting for points in GW37 make up for the 3 fewer games??

  7. sk018
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    A) Mignolet, Clichy, Gabriel, Firmino, KDB, Mitrovic

    B) Robles, Clyne, Simpson, Ozil, Bolasie, Sturridge

    1. rl248
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A. Even though Sturridge s tempting for this week.

  8. rl248
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Repost:
    A) Barkley and Martial
    B) Payet and Mitrovic?

  9. Jøssy ⭐
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Team, done!

    No more tinkering... Please FPL gods, shine down on my players 😀

    Hart - Gomes
    Bellerin - Fuchs - Sakho - Gabriel - Delaney
    Sanchez - De Bruyne - Payet - Coutinho - Bolasie
    Aguero - Kane - Mitrovic

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Looks a good team - must be a high value

      1. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers Numb!

        Yeah, 109.8M, even after selling Mahrez, Ozil, Alli, and Butland, all with massive value tied up.

        Let's hope my value building (and all those hits I took), finally comes home to roost! 😀

    2. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      GL, but City will concede, would get DDG instead of Hart.

      1. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Wish I could!

        This is a team entered in a Liverpool Supporters Club league, and my main cash ML. In that league we're not permitted to buy Everton or Utd players, so I think I've built the strongest team possible with that restriction.

    3. George James
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Surely you can't leave out the beast. Surely

      1. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Have no choice. See my response to Jimmy above ^

    4. PÍE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      No Everton and 2x CPL? - that's unusual!

      1. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        I'm not able to buy Everton players in this particular league. 🙁

        See above

        1. PÍE
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Fair enough!
          In that case not a bad team at all!
          Who is you (C) this week?

          1. Jøssy ⭐
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Thats Pie!

            Aguero for me. Will be behind my sofa for the Everton game

          2. Jøssy ⭐
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            Thanks*

    5. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      No Lukaku is a huge call...

      1. SheBangsTheDrums
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        This!!!

        1. Jøssy ⭐
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          That ⬇

      2. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Actually, it was a really easy call. I'm playing with league restrictions for this team (see my response to Jimmy above).

        I do have an unrestricted team, where I can go after OR:

        Mignolet - Robles
        Bellerin - Fuchs - Sakho - Gabriel - Delaney
        Sanchez - De Bruyne - Payet - Coutinho - Lanzini
        Aguero - Kane - Lukaku

  10. Gazpilicueta
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    gotta go out soon, so this will be my last Rate my Wildcard team, BB next week

    Robles, Mignolet
    Bellerin, Gabriel. Delaney, Simpson, Lovren
    Sanchez, Firmino, KDB, Payet, Lanzini
    Lukaku, Aguero, Wickham

    0.3 in the bank?

    gtg? I know i dont have man U cover....but i think im ok with that. still trying to choose between coutinho and firmino.....and wickham is my punt

    1. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Looking good. Very similar to mine. I'm also going for no MNU cover. Not too keen on Wickham personally but could work out a dream! Good luck!

      1. Gazpilicueta
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        thanks, apart from wickham, would you change anything?

        1. SheBangsTheDrums
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          I'm going Coutinho over Firmino and Sakho over Lovren!

    2. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Your keepers are the wrong way round 😆

    3. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Awesome midfield, identical to my GW34 plan (Lanzini comes next week), with the exception of Coutinho for Fimino.

      Very similar defence too. Fuchs/Simpson and Sakho/Lovren

      Wickham is a risk, but was one I was tempted to take. I plumped for Mitrovic instead

  11. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Mahrez ---> Everton mid -4 ?

    1. Gazpilicueta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      nah

    2. rl248
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Nein

    3. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      LOL

    4. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      dont touch that...

  12. Rex Lapis
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    get Coutinho or Firmino?

    1. Gazpilicueta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I literally just changed to firmino

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Firmino. More clinical.

    3. simosalminen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      On the fence on this (actually bloody wasted 0.1 going back and forth on the WC...)

      Coutinho is the safer choice, he won't be rotated, stats always brilliant, but has not been able to convert those stats into points.

      Firmino is the better choice if healthy and Sturridge and Origi are out, but both are now back, and is he really healthy yet?

  13. kirwy
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Robles, Darlow
    Smalling, Bellerin, Gabriel, Sakho, Simpson
    Sanchez, Coutinho, Payet, Lennon, Bolasie
    Aguero, Lukaku, Mitrovic

    A final wildcard team from me (£2.7m ITB)

    GW33: 4 DGW players
    GW34: 1 FT: Bolasie > Firmino. 14 DGW players. Use BB
    GW35: 1 FT: Lennon > Khazri. Field 11 players
    GW36: Save FT
    GW37: 2 FT: Mitrovic > Defoe & Gabriel > Reid. 10 DGW players. Use TC

    All provisional of course.
    Please don't comment, can't take it anymore!

  14. jurgenizer | TRIPEIROS
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    cant wait for the transfer window to clone and to see my 15 playes with 2 fixtures next week 😎

    1. jurgenizer | TRIPEIROS
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      *close

  15. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    My mindset all week has been keep Kane but I've been tempted by KDB.

    Thoughts on this?

    Robles / Darlow

    Simpson / Gabriel / Bellerin / Sakho / Delaney

    Payet / Sanchez / KDB / Cout / Lanzini

    Kun / Kaku / Mitro

  16. DVassell
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Should I switch Clichy>Dawson and start Bellerin or hold? (on WC and plan bb34)

    My thinking is even if Clichy is rotated this game, he prob won't come on at all, but has a chance of playing both games in 34 and is first choice 35 onwards.

    Current WC team:

    ____________Robles____________
    Dann________Sakho_______Clichy
    Sanchez__Payet_Lennon__Coutinho
    Aguero_____Lukaku(c)____Sturridge

    Subs: Darlow, Iwobi, Bellerin, Smalling

    0.2 itb

  17. Zizoulicious
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Which seems best?

    A) Martial, Bolasie
    B) Kane, Iwobi, +4 points

    1. John78
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      1

  18. John78
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    So people actually think bb with 14dgw is better than TC Sanchez in gw34? What's the consensus?

    I don't fancy gw37 fixtures

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez would have to outscore your 4 benched players combined

      1. 32chickens
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        but mathematically you could captain snachez and bench boost so the maths question is
        ?1x sanchez >bench boost 4 players
        =I think bench boost wins

  19. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Last decision...

    A) Coutinho and Sakho

    B) Firminho and Clyne

    1. John78
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

  20. toystory2wasok
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    squeezing KDB in...

    Mignolet Robles
    Sakho smalling Gabriel dann simpson
    iwobi Cout mahrez Sanchez Payet
    Lukaku Aguero Martial

    2.9itb
    GW33 3xDGW
    GW34 13xDGW (play BB, save transfer)
    GW35 (smalling > aspi, martial > Kane) field 11
    GW36 (have a nice lie down)
    GW37 10xDGW

    PLAN??

    1. toystory2wasok
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      uh ignore first line.. i unsqueezed

  21. Psojkee
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Clichy and Darmian, both are big risk?

  22. seanmcging
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Bench Clyne or Bellerin? Need to bench one as thinking of playing AOA!!

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Same dilemma, but Sakho instead of Clyne.

      Currently benching Sakho because I'm too scared to bench Bellerin.

      1. seanmcging
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Other option is to bench Payet & not bother with the AOA, I just can't bench Coutinho, but benching Payet worries me aswell....

    2. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bell

      1. seanmcging
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Tough one, esp with Bellerin's returns of late!!

  23. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    What gameweek are ppl planning to use bench boost and triple C?

    1. Gazpilicueta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      the double gameweeks

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Im trying to decide when to use my WC. Should i use it now?

        1. 32chickens
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          its too late baby
          much too late......

          1. 32chickens
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            name that song DOOS

    2. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Most people BB 34 and TC 37

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        MJ - show us your WC buddy !

      2. SheBangsTheDrums
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        This

      3. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers.

  24. Hochoki
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    who is the safte FWD for CP??

    wickham or gayle ??

  25. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Is Rashford really dead as option for our WC?

    So cheap and easy to bench this week. The extra cash over Martial & Mitrovic goes a long way, and I think he'll start at least one (possibly 2) in the DGW

    1. PÍE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Trobule is that noone really knows what happens to their team once Asbo-Shrek is back.

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Nobody has a clue how many games he is going to play . LVG is too unpredictable

    3. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Not dead for me

  26. adidasOriginals
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Lennon V Lanzini

    On Lanzini but Everton have one more fixture than the Irons.....thoughts ?

    1. Gazpilicueta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Lanzini is better

  27. Rabbinton
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    a) Barkley & Delaney
    b) Lennon & Darmian (only Man U cover)

  28. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Don't forget DGW bingo today....bigger prizes than normal on offer.

  29. Viper
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    A. Darmian, Coutinho, Bolasie, Mitrovic

    B. Smalling, Milner, Lanzini, Martial

  30. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    A: Delaney (rojo in gw34) + kdb + lingard + mitrovic
    B: Dann (rojo/darmian gw34) + lennon + milner + martial
    C: Dann (rojo/darm gw34) + lennon + bolase (firmino gw34) + martial

    1. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      option c is mitrovic* sorry