Scout Betting
9 April 2016 2341 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With Wildcard tinkering rolling on until deadline, it’s time to sidetrack to assess whether Paddy Power’s latest odds can shape any last minute strategies.

Before we scan the odds for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to register an account with Paddy, you can claim one of several enhanced odds offers over the weekend.

This week’s European acca offers odds of 20/1 on wins for PS G (at Guingamp), Man City (vs West Brom), Barcelona (at Real Sociedad) and Juventus (at AC Milan).

Switching to Sunday’s live matches, new customers can get a beefed-up 6/1 on Leicester to maintain their relentless title charge with a win at Sunderland.

Later that day, you can choose to back Leicester’s rivals Spurs with Paddy offering 6/1 odds for a home win over Manchester United at White Hart Lane.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.61
BonyMCI2.00
KaneTOT2.00
PelleSOU2.10
AustinSOU2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
IheanachoMCI2.20
De BruyneMCI2.20
GiroudARS2.29
SanchezARS2.29
OrigiLIV2.29
FirminoLIV2.29
LukakuEVE2.37
VardyLEI2.40
PatoCHE2.40
ToureMCY2.50
WelbeckARS2.50
LongSOU2.50
ManeSOU2.50

Despite the fact he failed to score in four of his last six starts, Sergio Aguero (1.61) has been handed the shortest odds by some margin. Although Man City are a more dominant attacking force with Kevin De Bruyne back on the teamsheet, Aguero may just be thwarted by a West Brom defence that conceded just three goals in their previous four road ties. In response to the Sky Blues’ 4-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, Wilfried Bony (2.00), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.20) and De Bruyne (2.20) also feature in the top echelons of Paddy’s assessment, with the bookmaker clearly backing goals for Manuel Pellegrini’s men.

Considering that he’s the league’s form frontman – having bagged six goals in four outings – it’s perhaps surprising that Harry Kane is pitched as long as 2.00 ahead of Manchester United’s visit to the Lane. Although Spurs chalked up 12 goals across their last five home encounters, the league’s top scorer is their only representative in our table.

Prior to an enticing home clash against Newcastle United, Graziano Pelle and Charlie Austin (both 2.10) place in the top five. The former has notched three goals in as many starts and will relish the prospect of facing a Magpies rearguard that’s conceded 10 goals in their last four road trips.

Daniel Sturridge is also pitched at 2.10 before Liverpool’s contest against Stoke City at Anfield. Having been rested for the Merseysiders’ Europa League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, the England striker looks well place to net for the third start in four. The Potters have just one clean sheet to their name in 10 outings, ensuring that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino (both 2.29) also feature in the ranks.

In the wake of Arsenal’s resounding victories over Everton and Watford, Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez (both 2.29) are priced keenly for a trip to West Ham United. The latter has recovered from a mid-season slump – notching two goals and three assists in four appearances – and currently ranks fifth for Fantasy Premier League “transfers in” prior to the Gameweek deadline.

While Romelu Lukaku has dominated this week’s Captain Poll ahead of his double Gameweek, Paddy have pitched him mid-table, handing him odds of 2.37 to notch anytime at Watford prior to his midweek visit to Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 33

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.83
Southampton2.10
Liverpool2.10
Tottenham2.37
Crystal Palace2.50
Chelsea2.50
Bournemouth2.50
Leicester City2.60
Everton2.75
Arsenal2.87

Man City (1.83) have conceded just once in their last four outings and are matched up against a Baggies unit that’s drawn successive blanks, prompting Paddy to grant them the shortest clean-sheet odds.

Southampton (2.10) currently place second as they prepare to host a Magpies attack that failed to score in three of their previous five away match-ups. Liverpool have now have identical odds to the Saints having come in from 2.20, although Jugen Klopp’s side will do well to silence a Stoke outfit that’s notched in every match since the beginning of February.

In the capital, Tottenham (2.37) will fancy their chances of repelling a Man United attack that’s carded three goals in four fixtures; Spurs have conceded just once in their last three league outings.

Crystal Palace and Chelsea both come in at the 2.50 mark before mid-afternoon encounters on Saturday. The Eagles haven’t recorded a shut-out in 12 outings but will face a Norwich City side that has posted blanks in four of their last five away trips. Meanwhile, the Blues pay visit to Swansea City, who have netted in all but one of their previous 13 fixtures.

Despite their two recent heavy defeats, Bournemouth are valued at 2.50 as they travel to face an Aston Villa side that is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive blank. Despite claiming four clean sheets in a row, league leaders Leicester (2.60) are handed relatively long odds for their trip to face relegation threatened Sunderland.

  1. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Play Bellerin or Simpson?

    1. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Simpson.

    2. Bullet Eder
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I'm going for Simpson. Got Smalling and Bellerin on the bench which feels very strange.

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks

  2. Exxtreme
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Payet or Vardy?

    1. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy- just

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy.

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Payet

    4. Exxtreme
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Thx guys, Vardy's got better opp, but Payet is awesome atm. My middle atm is Mahrez, Coutinho, Sako, De Bruyne, attack Aguero, Vardy and Lukaku. Should I bench other than Payet than?

  3. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Which is better?

    A- Robles + Mangala + Barkley

    B- Hart + Jags + Lennon

    If for just this week, who is better?

    1- Vardy
    2- Pelle

    1. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Don't really like either but B if you must

      Vardy for the week

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B - Marginally
      2

  4. Gazpilicueta
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Just seen 50 Shades is around again! woohoo missed you mate, wanna rate my team?

    Robles, Mignolet
    Bellerin, Gabriel, Delaney, Lovren, Simpson
    Sanchez, Firmino, KDB, Payet, Lanzini
    Aguero, Lukaku, Wickham

    0.3 in the bank

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good but do you have a plan to ship Delaney and Wickham? I'm not sure they'll deliver much in GW34 even if its a double.
      Also, most think Sakho is slightly more nailed on than Lovren and 0.1 cheaper

    2. magnetsbitch
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      hw did u convince urslf over wickham.? injury return..gayle score in the last match,,hw mate

  5. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Can't believe I brought in Antonio yesterday for 5.5 and he's now worth 5.4 today?! WTF

    1. Gazpilicueta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      if you are on wildcard you should trade him out and then back in again, because if he rises, he will gain you money sooner

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks mate - great advice.

        1. Gazpilicueta
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          no worries, rate my wildcard team above?

        2. Shah G
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Dont do that.. If you take him out and back in again then you'd need him to rise twice for u to make 0.1.. Keep n when he rise once u'll get ur 0.1 back..

      2. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        That's nonsense. He goes back up to 5.5 you'll not get the 0.1

      3. norths
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        He would get the full price rise value anyways as you only get half value for rises above your purchase price only.

        1. Jet5605
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Too late - already pulled the trigger.
          So now I bought him for 5.4 which is what he's worth. If he scores this weekend then many might bring him in next week

  6. FantasyFS007
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Nearly there... currently weighing up:
    A) Bellerin & Lanzini
    B) Otamendi & Iwobi (for an extra in GW35)
    C) Any other changes needed?

    Robles | Darlow
    Bellerin | Smalling | Gabriel | Sakho | Simpson
    Sanchez | Coutinho | Payet | Lennon | Lanzini
    Kun | Lukaku | Martial

    £0.1 ITB

    1. Bullet Eder
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Nice dilemma to have, great team as well by the way.

      I would worry about not having Bellerin in DGW34.

      1. FantasyFS007
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers!

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. mozza
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Deg and jags is cheaper than Robles and smalling

      1. mozza
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        *ddg

  7. Mavric Marco
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Great feeling to finally have my WC team locked in 🙂

    Sorry for all you guys still tinkering, it'll come together soon - have faith!

    1. Rabbinton
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I'm not sure it will

  8. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Last spot...

    Deeney
    Defoe
    Rashford???

    1. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Ew

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Rashford

    3. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Deeney for sure

    4. TokyoRed 東京赤
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Ew is right but I'd go Defoe

    5. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      I have a feeling Defoe will nick crucial goals in the run in that could save Sunderland

    6. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      ha cheers. Defoe each way it is. He's the best long-term pick out of these anyway

  9. temo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Finaly happy. Gtg?
    Robles Darlow
    Bellerin Gabriel Clyne Sakho Delaney
    Sanchez kdb Coutinho Barkley Lanzini
    Kun Lukaku Martial

    1. DVassell
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Nice- not worried about Payet?

      1. temo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Very! But need the cash!
        Alternatively:
        Clyne Lanzini Barkley to
        Lovren Lingard Payet

  10. ktk_interista
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    I am assuming most WCers have a benching headache this GW specially in midfield (especially if you kepy Mahrez). Something to consider:

    - Out of Coutinho's 7 goals and 6 assists, 5 goals and 4 assists came away from home.
    - Shawcross is back for Stoke.
    - Slight risk of rest for Coutinho given Firmino is back and in need of minutes and Sturridge rested for the Europa league game.

    If you are debating benching one of Payet, Coutinho, Mahrez for example, consider the above.

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Firmino wont get 90 minutes. Can see Klopp managing his game time until he's fully match fit

  11. Bastien
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Any idea when Kompany is expected back?

    cheers

  12. pax888
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone know why Flanagan wasn't in the Liverpool squad last weekend?

  13. Declan
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    A or B? Thanks

    A) Bellerin, Antonio, Martial

    B) Rojo, Firmino, Mitrovic

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Bullet Eder
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A, as long as you already have Coutinho.

    3. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

    4. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

  14. manbenpig
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Bench 2:

    A) de Gea (tot)
    B) Darlow (sou)

    1) Simpson (sun)
    2) Bellerin (whu)
    3) Sakho (STO)

    1. Declan
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B1

    2. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      D1

      1. chilli con kone
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        *B1

    3. Bullet Eder
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B2

    4. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B1

    5. manbenpig
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers

  15. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    One week only draft league punt.

    A. Gayle (NOR/EVE)

    B. Bony (WBA)

    Both have obvious rotation issues but best I can do. My guess would be both will start today.

    1. Declan
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      A

  16. Green_street
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    KDB and Rashford

    OR

    Firminho and Martial

    Already have Coutinho in the team.

    Cheers.

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Second

  17. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Guys, what changes would you suggest for this WC attempt of mine?

    Robles / Darlow
    Fuchs / Bellerin / Gabriel / Delaney /.Sakho
    Mahrez / Sanchez / KDB / Payet / Coutinho
    Aguero / Lukaku / Martial

    0.4m itb

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Looks like my team, but Delaney to Smalling and Mahrez to Lennon. So good.

    2. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Downgrade Simpson and Upgrade Mahrez for a DGWer?

      1. SheBangsTheDrums
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Sorry... Downgrade Fuchs to Simpson*

  18. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts please lads, wc team

    Robles darlow
    Bellerin Gabriel Sahko Simpson ogbonna
    Coutinho sanchez Lenton payet Mahrez
    Aguero lukaku mitrovich

    Many thanks

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Nice, not sure if Ogbonna is nailed though ?

  19. DanLFC1
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one this week. Lanzini (ARS) Martial (tot)

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Martial

    2. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Lanzini

  20. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Morning Guys

    Which 2 should I play out of

    Sakho (STO)
    Walker (MUN)
    Clyne (STO)

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bench Walker

    2. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Sakho
      Walker

    3. SweepaKeepa
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Bench Walker

  21. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone else not going with any MNU cover? How worried are you about it?

    1. Andy1
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Not at all

    2. Rabbinton
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Very worried

      1. Rabbinton
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Talking about defence

  22. JurgenRocks
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    WC team all ready to go

    DDG
    Simpson, Delaney, Jagielka
    Payet, Firmino, Coutinho, KDB
    Martial, Aguero, Lukaku

    Bench:
    Darlow, Iwobi, Bellerin, Sakho

    Does the bench look all right?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Have you seen Arsenal's fixtures? You need more attacking coverage than just Iwobi.

  23. Astronautovic
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 11 months ago

    Coutinho or firmino?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 11 months ago

        If i knew both would start I'd go Firmino but coutinho is on form and more likely to start maybe? I'm undecided myself

      • JurgenRocks
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Coutinho

      • SweepaKeepa
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Firmino

    2. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      It's probably not going to matter but are people vice captaining Kun or another DGW player?
      Just in case Lukaku twists his ankle when stepping off the team bus

    3. Siggy Azalea
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Morning guys,

      Would you play Simpson in defence (Sunderland, away) OR
      a) Siggy (Chelsea, away)
      b) Alli (MUN, away)

      Thanks

      1. JurgenRocks
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Simpson

      2. Emre Can Pie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        I recommend attackers above defenders if both away from home.

    4. Gerci
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      NO WC:

      Henn / De Gea

      VVD Simpson Wimmer Clyne Cresswell

      Payet Alli Özil Arnautovic Mahrez

      Agüero Lukaku Kane

      1.6 ITB, 1 FT; will prob. take a hit today

      Thinking of Wimmer, Arnautovic -> Gabriel, Coutinho/Firmino

    5. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Morning People and various Animals 🙂

      Start Bellerin or Clyne?

      1. Emre Can Pie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Play home defender.

      2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        What about people dressed as animals . Tough one I would go with Clyne

        1. The Nuttmxn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Cheers both 🙂

    6. Green_street
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      KDB and Rashford

      OR

      Firminho and Martial

      Already have aguero and Cout in team

      1. Rabbinton
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        B, I'm starting to doubt KDB minutes

      2. JurgenRocks
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        Firmino and Martial

    7. ktk_interista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      With Silva injured, can Pelle risk playing KDB with CL game midweek? I'm not sure. I think KDB will not start this week. Worst case scenario as a non owner, he plays 45 mins. Nasri willl start today imo.

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        What? Silva injured means KDB is almost guaranteed to start. Nasri can start too.

        1. ktk_interista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          I am not up-to-date about the injury situation of City. Is Sterling available? If he is, he and Navas as wide men Fernandinho and Delph/Fernando in the middle and Nasri in the hole is possible.

          1. VS10_
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 11 months ago

            He is not. At least check the team news tab at the top before "guessing".

      2. Donhush
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        My opinion is that the premier league is just as important as 4th place is not guaranteed. Pelli even said they have to ensure to get maximum points from now till the end of the season. Bottom line is I think KDB would start, no other effective #10 player too

        1. ktk_interista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 11 months ago

          Maybe. But still KDB gets 60 mins max imo. Regardless if game is won or not.

    8. Donhush
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 11 months ago

      Morning guys, I can do with some help here, which 3 would you start this GW?
      A. Jag
      B. Bellerin
      C. Sakho
      D. Delaney
      E. Simpson

      1. Gerci
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 11 months ago

        ADE