Paddy Says
3 December 2016 636 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s that time on a Saturday morning when we dunk Paddy’s sweet biscuit of odds into the steaming beverage of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet prices.

But before we dissect the various ways in which that particular cookie might end up crumbling, let’s savour the flavour of the latest enhanced offers available for new customers opening a Paddy Power account.

Gameweek 14 is cutting straight to the chase by holding the match of the weekend at 12.30 today. Man City host Chelsea and if you think Pep will prevail, you can get 6-1 on a home win. But Conte’s boys have won seven on the spin, so if you’re after eight then Paddy has absolutely mint odds of 12-1 on a Chelsea victory.

Arsenal and November get on like a dog and a postman, so Gooners everywhere will be thankful we’ve finally made it into December. Three points from a trip to West Ham this evening will seal the deal, and you can get 6-1 on them doing just that.

Even more generous are the odds on Man United winning at Goodison on Sunday – take advantage of the 7-1 available on that result here.

You can also get Spurs to beat Swansea at 4-1 as well as 5-1 on Liverpool beating Bournemouth.

And if accumulators are more your thing, there’s 16-1 on Leicester, Spurs and Arsenal all to win. The Foxes are away at Sunderland, to save you the bother of double checking.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 and over. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK

Player Team Odds
Kane TOT 1.61
Aguero MCI 1.83
Bony STO 1.83
Sanchez ARS 1.90
Austin SOT 1.90
Walcott ARS 1.90
Negredo MID 2.00
Ibrahimovic MUN 2.10
Mane LIV 2.10
Firmino LIV 2.10
Origi LIV 2.10
Arnautovic STO 2.10
Defoe SUN 2.25
Costa CHE 2.29
Eriksen TOT 2.40
Slimani LEI 2.40
Lukaku EVE 2.50

Harry Kane (1.61) won a bit of a landslide victory in our captaincy poll this week , scooping 37% of the vote on a platform of scoring against Swansea, opposing a third runway at Heathrow and greater acceptance of men with faces slightly longer than the average.

The Swans kept an away clean sheet in Gameweek 1 and… that’s it. Since returning from injury, Kane has three goals from three tough London derbies and Swansea look ill-equipped to stop him continuing his fine form.

Three other main men in the captaincy vote,  Sergio Aguero, Alexis Sanchez and Charlie Austin, are all short-odd prospects as well, as is Stoke’s Wilfried Bony (1.83). This says more about the Potters’ visitors, Burnley, than Bony, who might not even start.

If you’re looking for someone to capitalise on a Clarets defence that’s conceded at least three goals in all but one of their away days this season, then the returning Joe Allen (3.00 and a 13.6%-owned Fantasy asset) looks a better bet.

Another dodgy defence belongs to Man City, so the 2.29 on Diego Costa to make it six goals from his last eight Chelsea starts is perhaps more generous than it should be. And a revitalised Pedro, who has netted three times in five matches, is a tempting 4.20 to score against a team with just one home shut-out this campaign.

Of the outliers, the 7.50 available on Emre Can scoring for Liverpool at Bournemouth could be worth a look. With the Reds’ midfield missing some key figures, the German has been afforded a more progressive role in which he has been firing in the same level of goal attempts as the likes of Eden Hazard in recent weeks.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK

Team Odds
Tottenham 2.10
Middlesbrough 2.10
Stoke 2.20
West Brom 2.50
Man United 2.62
Arsenal 2.62
Southampton 2.70
Liverpool 2.80
Leicester 3.00

A brief glimpse at the most popular Fantasy Premier League transfers of the week reveals Gareth McAuley at number five, with 93,000+ new owners. The West Brom centre half has two goals from his last five starts, which is double the number of clean sheets his team has managed.

But there’s clearly a lot of managers expecting another shut-out at home to Watford today, and Paddy’s 2.50 seems a reasonable price, particularly as the Hornets have scored just twice in their last four road trips.

Liverpool defenders Nathaniel Clyne and Dejan Lovren have also been popular this Gameweek as the Reds go for a third consecutive league clean sheet away at Bournemouth. You can get 2.80 on that, although the Cherries have only blanked once at home all season in a goalless match with Spurs.

Leicester’s record on the road has been poor thus far – both of their clean sheets have come at the King Power – so the 3.00 being offered by Paddy on them shutting down Sunderland looks rather short. The improving Black Cats are at 4.00 to frustrate the Foxes, and that looks the more appealing price.

636 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. thep025
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Play 3 out of Alonso Cedric Barragan Nyom Amat?
    And start Heaton or Pickford ?

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      First three

      Pickford

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Alonso Cedric Barragan
      Start Heaton

  2. sergioaguero67
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Whom to play?

    A. Fuchs
    B. Holebas

    Please help.

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      50/50 that one, but Holebas for me.

  3. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Start Redmond or Lovren?

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Redmond

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Redmond
      Bournemouth will score imo

  4. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Start Stones or Holebas?

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Holebas

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Holebas
      Though I'm benching

    3. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Yup Holebas. I'd ditch stones for Cedric and play him. Even for a -4. Stones is pish

      1. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, I will put Stones first sub and even if Man City keep a clean sheet it would be worth it as that would mean blanks for Costa and Hazard whom I don't own.

  5. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    a) Sanchez/Walcott for -4

    or

    b) play Redmond or Capoue

    1. PURPLE-RONNIE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      A only for Sanchez otherwise play redmond

    2. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Get Sanchez and captain

  6. neopaint2005
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Is Costa to Kane (c) for -4 pts hit worth a try?

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Could be, but you might want Costa straight back next weekend.

    2. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Def not

    3. neopaint2005
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Plus I already did -4 pts hit for other position, maybe I stay put. Thanks lads

  7. Kalou
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Play one?

    A.williams

    B.Alonso

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. neopaint2005
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Alonso

    3. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      b

    4. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Alonso. He's a beast down the wing

  8. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Thinking Anichebe over Mata. Then Zuniga>Cedric next week.

    Grant Pickford
    Alonso, Lovren, Pieters, Zuniga, Amat
    Hazard, Firmino, Siggy, Sanchez(c), Mata
    Costa, Anichebe, Aguero

    G2G?

    1. neopaint2005
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      good team

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Looks good.

  9. Garlana
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Play Chadli who may or may not start vs Watford

    Or

    Capoue who will start away to west brom.

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Chadli I think

    2. FPL Footy Show Pod
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Start Chadli and if he doesn't feature you'll have Capoue off the bench!

      1. neopaint2005
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        +1

      2. Garlana
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        My concern is that chadli played last game but came on as a sub

  10. FPL Footy Show Pod
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Who are the 4th mids from next week?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Siggy

      1. FPL Mentor
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        yep

    2. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Siggy for me too and VC

      1. Smurf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Who's VC?

        1. jayzico
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Siggy is my VC

  11. MTPockets
    9 years, 7 months ago

    GTG - double wba defence?

    Foster
    McAuley Cedric Holebas
    San(c)hez Hazard Firmino Allen
    Aguero Costa Defoe

    Subs: Pickford Gundogan Kelly Amat

    1. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Double WBA dee-fence will serve you well, young Luke.

    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      g2g yeah.

      You're not entirely relying on WBA to keep a CS there either - save points potentially for Foster, plus McAuley keeps grabbing goals.

    3. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Thank you masters. Yeah just seems the better fixture.

    4. EmreCanDrinkwater
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'd play Gundogan over Allen
      Have a feeling he's going to make a mark today

      1. MTPockets
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I've wavered as similar feeling, but fixtures/potential position/sub risk trump my feeling.
        Good luck though, would like to keep Gundogan & lose Allen.

  12. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Lying in bed while the missus cooks a fry up.
    Telling her I'm working...
    Anyone need any FPL advice? 🙂

    1. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Dear Aunty AZ,

      I'm ranked 2 mill and I have all the players top of the Watchlist. Have the Scouts deliberately sabotaged the W-list to destroy my season?

      1. Az
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Dear Jafalad

        Congratulations on working out our master plan.
        If you send me some bank details I will send you the real watchlist which I guarantee will get you to #1 in the world

        Love aunty Az

        1. Jafalad
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          and where's my bacon and eggs? 😉

    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Please!

      Pick one to play:

      a) Stones (CHE)
      b) Williams (MUN)
      c) Amat (tot)
      d) De Roon (HUL) with AoA chip

      1. Az
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Definitely not D.
        Williams has the most goal threat and the best chance of a CS so I'd say him (albeit reluctantly).
        Might be a good time for a hit? I took Williams out for Van Dijk but Cedric a good option. Even if it's for a -4 I'd say it would pay for itself over the next few weeks and more.

        1. Slartibartfast
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Definitely not D? 😮

          I was looking at a -4 for Cedric, but I don't think they'll keep a CS this weekend, so hopefully I can just do it for free next GW.

      2. MTPockets
        9 years, 7 months ago

        d although seems bit of a waste of aoa.

      3. Slartibartfast
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Oh hang about, decision just got easier. De Roon is my only player with MNF - madness not to play him 😎

        1. columbo
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Would you do Aguero to Kane and stick the armband on him?

          1. Az
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 7 months ago

            It would have been incredibally tempting if I had no other transfers to make.

            I've left Aguero in though and gone for a bit of a differential in Alli as my Cout replacement...

            It wouldn't be stupid though so if you're feeling it, do it!

            1. columbo
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 7 months ago

              Thanks mate

    3. red devil 7
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Dear Aunty AZ

      Whom to play? Anychubby or Giroo

    4. CHRIS CPH
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Hi AZ.

      Anything you would change in this WC team?

      Grant Pickford
      Alonso Cedric Barragan Evans Amat
      Hazard Firmino Walcott Siggy Fletcher
      Aguero Kane Austin

      0.2m ITB

      Thanks!

  13. PURPLE-RONNIE
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    captain Walcott or Austin I'm leaning towards Walcott atm?

    1. FPL Mentor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Austin

  14. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    People benching Siggy for Allen. Really like

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Ssssh, let them...

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Don't have Siggy but I would.

      1. The Left Duke #3
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Ah stop. He's on every set piece against the team that done him over. Allen could easily play DCM where he belongs

        1. Hurricane Gilbert
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Tottenham can defend the few set pieces Swansea will get. Toby & Rose back.

          Allen will easily play no 10 since they need him there. Whelan back as DCM.

        2. MTPockets
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Maybe. We'll see in a few hours.

  15. FPL Mentor
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    G2G?

    Heaton
    Brunt Lovren PvA
    Hazard Firmino Alli Sigurdsson
    Kane(C) Aguero Austin

    (Pickford, Can, Stones, Amat)

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Yep

    2. PURPLE-RONNIE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Yep g2g

  16. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Playing Anichebe against Leicester over Smith against Liverpool, both at home. I think Bournemouth will hold Liverpool, but I also think Sunderland will do well against Leicester. Right decision, even if it is a terribly boring one?

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Ya play Anichebe mate, Leicester aren't playing well at all and Pool likely the score every game

  17. BB-8
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Anything worth a -4?

    Pickford
    Mustafi Pieters Evans
    San(c)hez Firmino Alli Siggy
    Kun Costa Rondon

    Heaton Holebas deRoon Amat
    0 FT, 0.8 ITB

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Looks grand

    2. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Rondon not injured?

      1. BB-8
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Tonsillitis. Could play. Worth a hit to get in Austin for him?

        1. BrockLanders
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Probably not

  18. Tatty Bojangles
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    A. Lukaku

    B. Costa -4

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      a

    2. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      The Costa move is a good long term move and I'd probably say yes in any other week than City away.

      That being said he's in great form so I wouldn't begrudge it 🙂

      1. Tatty Bojangles
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Its happening next week for sure, just didn't know if it was maybe worth it with Citys leaky defense.

        One more chance for Lukaku to disappoint 🙂

  19. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Good morning all,

    How goes it on this chilly Saturday morning?

    Teams all locked in and ready to start tinkering for GW15 yet? 🙂

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Still trying to decide on captain. Aguero, Sanchez or Austin

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Would be Sanchez for me from those.

        1. Hybrid.power
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          That's who I have right now. West Ham dont really do clean sheets and they will want to bounce back from the midweek defeat.

          1. andy85wsm
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 7 months ago

            Yup. Sanchez good away form too.

            I expect Austin to score but am always wary about how many Southampton will score in a single game.

            Aguero always good for a goal but surely Chelsea can keep it to a minimum?

      2. neopaint2005
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I would captain Sanchez if I have him on my team.

    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Kind of just want this GW to be over... looks a dodgy one on paper with triple Chelsea vs City and Austin looking my best captaincy option!

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I'm not expecting big things this week really.

        Slightly regretting the Walcott move this morning as I was much more wanting Sanchez or Alli previously and went against my initial instincts. Hopefully West Ham are awful though

        1. Hybrid.power
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah I think people are bigging this week up too much. I predict a lot of disappointment.

        2. Slartibartfast
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          WHU without Cresswell and Antonio - I don't think you need to hope for them to be awful!

          I've no Kane and no Arsenal attackers, so very low expectations indeed this weekend. Walcott was a good move, I reckon.

    3. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      thinking how to get chelsea in for next week

    4. Jafalad
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'm ready for week 38. Wretched season. Already in Doosra mode, hits aplenty.

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        High five for hits!

    5. Delhidynamo
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Looking at Siggy on my bench is giving me chills in the afternoon

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Ballsy!

  20. neopaint2005
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Is it madness to captain Firmino over Kun this week ??!!

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Nope

      1. neopaint2005
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks mate, I'll keep Firm my captain then ^^

    2. thep025
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      NOt really

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not at all, though there are better options surely?

    4. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not really if they're your best two options.

      It's a slight worry though - slightly uncertain how well Liverpool's attack will do without Coutinho.

      1. neopaint2005
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks , my other option are Wally, Hazar, and Austin

  21. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Grant
    Alonso Rose McAuley
    Hazard Sanchez(vc) Firmino Milner Allen
    Kane(c) Austin

    Pickford Deeney Holebas Smith

    Gtg? Worried playing Allen over Deeney, but he's done nothing for weeks has he?

    1. FPL Footy Show Pod
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Personally I'd bench Allen. Could play deep and Troy on pens...

  22. 1Banksy
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    I need values to stay the same for my 2 pre planned transfers for next week. If I transfer at 12.01 before the game updates transfers will I get them for next week without impacting this week?

    1. 1Banksy
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      *11.31

  23. TheBabyfacedAssassin
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Play foster or Pickford? Playing Evans as well.

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Foster edges it

    2. neopaint2005
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Foster

    3. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Foster for me

    4. Bun Rab
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Foster. Watford not scoring much if at all.

  24. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Play gundog or capoo ??

  25. FFFoxy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    A. Aguero
    B. Kane (-4) and captain

    And will heaton & rondon play?

  26. John wick
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Ready for gw14

    Grant
    Mcauley williams smith
    San(c) hez siggy bolaise capoue
    Kun ibra costa

    Jaku amat deroon martina

    Queeries

    A. Ibra or sanchez
    B. Play deroon over capoue....tempting mnf pluss hull could be a good gamble

  27. fordy049
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Chances of Heaton playing? Worth a -4 to get Pickford as second keeper?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'm expecting him to miss this game and be back next week.

      Who's your current 2nd keeper?

      1. fordy049
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Jaku

  28. thep025
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Good to go?
    Heaton
    Alonso Cedric Barragan
    Sanchez Firmino SIgurdsson Pedro De Roon
    Aguero Kane Austin
    Subs:Pickford Nyom De Roon Amat
    Any final changes required??On a WC....

  29. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Siggys rise he scuppered GW 15 plans of Walcott, Phillips and Fuchs to Siggy Moses and Alonso by 0.1 :'(

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Walcott v Stoke though!

  30. Adz87
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Gilfy Walcott hazard de bruyne Allen Costa Kane Austin

    Struggling to bench anyone