Paddy Says
26 December 2016 510 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Like a tardy Santa, Paddy Power is dishing out his Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds and we don’t even have to be a good boy or girl to take advantage of them.

But before we look into the potential for comfort and joy from Gameweek 18’s festive fixtures, let’s examine the contents of the stocking known as Paddy’s enhanced offers for new customers.

The most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek has been Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The United striker has garnered more than 390,000 new Fantasy Premier League managers based on his form (seven goals from his last six starts) and a tasty set of fixtures that starts with today’s rather obliging encounter with Sunderland at Old Trafford.

Paddy is offering new customers  4-1 on United to beat Sunderland, and seeing as the Black Cats have won away just the once all season (and kept no clean sheets), that’s decidedly generous.

Stoke City’s form on the road is better than that, but a trip to Anfield is a daunting prospect for anyone – the Reds are unbeaten at home and have been held to a draw on Merseyside just twice all season. You can get 4-1 on Liverpool making it their sixth home win in eight attempts.

The other 4-1 offer available involves Man City beating Hull.

Pep Guardiola’s team go east with back-to-back wins under their belt. On the downside, they were woeful the last time they travelled, losing 4-2 at Leicester. Previous to that, they’d won three away matches on the spin, so flooring a punch-drunk Hull should not be beyond them.

Southampton are a tough nut to crack at St Mary’s – they’ve kept three consecutive clean sheets at home – so Paddy is going long on a Spurs win in Wednesday’s fixture.

If you think Spurs are up to the task, there’s an 8-1 price on them doing it.

And then there’s this week’s Acca, with 12-1 available for Arsenal, Chelsea, Leicester and Man U all winning.

You know about United already, while Arsenal will entertain West Brom, Chelsea host Bournemouth and Leicester face Everton at the King Power. All four fixtures are later today.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that these specials are only available to those aged 18 and over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 18

Player Team Odds
Ibrahimovic MUN 1.50
Sturridge LIV 1.57
Walcott ARS 1.80
Sanchez ARS 1.80
Rashford MUN 1.80
Batshuayi CHE 1.83
Origi LIV 1.83
Firmino LIV 1.83
Mkhitaryan MUN 1.90
Iheanacho MCI 1.90
Sterling MCI 1.90
Nolito MCI 1.90
Mane LIV 2.00
Hazard CHE 2.29
Pogba MUN 2.29
Benteke CRY 2.29
Kane TOT 2.40
Lukaku EVE 2.40

Some of the usual captaincy suspects – Aguero, Costa – are going nowhere near Gameweek 18. Others – Kane, Sanchez – are either out of form or in a team having a bit of a wobble.

The upshot of all that is Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.50) bestriding the Fantasy landscape like the colossus he knows he is.

His form is detailed above and his opponents below. He will surely be taking the armband in a huge number of our teams today, and his Anytime Goalscorer odds reflect that.

Liverpool’s match with Stoke at Anfield is another fixture promising home comforts, and a number of Jurgen Klopp’s men figure at the top end of the odds as a result.

Notably, the in-form Divock Origi has fallen in Paddy’s estimation from 1.57 to 1.83, with Daniel Sturridge (1.57) now the more fancied, while the third most popular transfer target of the Gameweek, Adam Lallana (2.70), perhaps offers a more tempting price.

Arsenal duo Alexis Sanchez and Theo Walcott are both priced at 1.80 to find the net when West Brom visit the Emirates. The Chilean has been a captaincy stalwart over the past few weeks, and he’s even provided returns during the Gunners’ last two defeats.

But he excels on the road and there’s a perfectly plausible Boxing Day scenario involving the Baggies frustrating their hosts and the home crowd, already twitchy after back-to-back defeats, not exactly improving the mood if their side struggles to break down the visitors.

Chelsea’s home match with Bournemouth would have made Diego Costa a big captaincy favourite if he wasn’t suspended. His obvious replacement, Michy Batshuayi (1.83), isn’t guaranteed a start, which makes Eden Hazard’s (2.29) price rather more attractive – if he ends up playing in the ‘false nine’ role, that is.

Elsewhere, Paddy is clearly as confused as the rest of us when it comes to second-guessing Pep Guardiola. As a result, there are three possible candidates for the ‘striker’s’ role priced at 1.90.

The 5.1% of FPL managers still hoping that it will be Kelechi Iheanacho this Gameweek might finally get their way, although Raheem Sterling did the job last time out and Nolito is also well-versed in the role.

Finding joy in all of those City options looks tricky. Maybe investing in the Big Sam Effect would be wiser – he’ll no doubt look to shore up Palace’s leaky defence first and foremost, but 2.29 on Christian Benteke scoring against Watford isn’t a bad shout.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 18

Team Odds
Manchester United 1.66
Arsenal 1.90
Chelsea 2.00
Manchester City 2.10
Liverpool 2.10
Middlesbrough 2.62
Burnley 2.87
Watford 3.00
Tottenham 3.00
Southampton 3.25

Gameweek 18’s leading transfer targets are almost exclusively strikers and midfielders, with only one defender making it into the top 10.

That trend-bucker is Cesar Azpilicueta, who has found his way into more than 75,000 new FPL squads this week. Chelsea are priced at 2.00 to keep visitors Bournemouth at bay and their form – nine clean sheets in their last 11 matches and four in five at home – tells you why.

The Cherries’ away form is patchy, although they’ve only been blanked on the road three times this season, but Chelsea look good to continue with their miserly ways, even without the influence of N’Golo Kante as their midfield barrier.

At number 11 in the transfer, list is the man of a thousand gurns, Phil Jones.

The United centre-half has become an integral part of Jose Mourinho’s back four in recent weeks, and that unit has now produced two clean sheets in their last three matches.

The visit of Sunderland should hold no fear for the Red Devils – David Moyes’ men have scored just twice in their last six trips – and both of those came in the same match. Small wonder, then, that United are at just 1.66 to blank the Black Cats.

The 3.25 available on Southampton stopping Spurs looks rather more attractive.

The Saints, as mentioned above, haven’t conceded at home for three straight matches and that solidity, allied to a sweet run of fixtures to come, has prompted FPL managers to make Virgil van Dijk one of only four defenders to make it into the top 20 transfers-in since last weekend.

Seeing ’tis the season to be jolly, you’d spend the rest of 2016 with a stupid grin on your face if you’d bet on Sunderland keeping it to zero at Old Trafford.

It would mean a first away clean sheet of the campaign for the Black Cats, so let’s not get carried away here, but Moyes is almost certain to park the bus at his not-so-happy old haunt, and 10.00 is a hefty price for an outcome that is possible, if improbable.

510 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Champione
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any predicted Liverpool lineup for tomorrow's game? Will Klopp start Origi or Sturridge?

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      think Sturridge will come off the bench again.

      1. Champione
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        cheers. Hopefully Origi will start this game before I ship him out

        1. batmaniac
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          I expect 60mins from origi then ship for benteke

  2. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning.
    You guys reckon Iheanacho gets some minutes today? Alternative is playing Amat (WHU). Not interested in hitting him out.

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sold him, so probably plays 90..

  3. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Eriksen to:

    A) Walcott
    B) Sterling

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      a

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Keep Eriksen, but get Walcott also

    3. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    4. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    5. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  4. Mesh
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    How nailed is Phil Jones with others coming back from injury?

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Pretty nailed. He's first choice alongside Bailly imo

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        What about Smalling

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Not sure, but they are also very likely to pay up big time for Victor Nilsson Lindelof from Benfica in January!

  5. Gabriel Agbonlahor
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start capoue (CRY) or snodgrass (MCI)?have costa & ake on the bench

    1. Pirlø's Pen
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Snod

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Snoddy

  6. comeonspurs
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I need to play one

    Amat WHM
    Prodl CRY
    McAuley ars

    Any advice I know prodl is a doubt

    Thanks

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Prodl

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      prodl

  7. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Cannot decide who to captain...help needed; Sanchez or Zlatan ? Sanchez more explosive, so that's the reason to prefer him?
    Thanks.

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sanchez seems to be more explosive away from home this season, so I prefer Zlatan out of those

    2. Giovanni Giorgio
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      WBA D >>> SUN D

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Yes, but Sanchez has 3x more chances created...Ibra on pens. I'm confused..

    3. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Going Sanchez, but Ibra probably safer.

    4. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm going Zlat

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks...just difficult to trust Zlatan...dunno.

    5. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm captaining Zlatan, as Sanchez is better away.

  8. ILOVEBAPS
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play Capoue or Defoe?

    No faith in Sunderland to breach MU.

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      defoe

    2. Transient Anus
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Defoe

    3. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Capoue

  9. JIM BOB
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Really fancy a Utd clean sheet...

    Captain...Valencia (SUN) or Ozil (WBA) ?

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Valencia out of those

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Don't think I've ever captained a defender, so Ozil.

      1. Yellin' in my Ear
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I did, transferred and captained Baines for a 15 pointer, although also did it with Kolarov last season for a double zero trying to be different after a terrible start),.

    3. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      If that's your gut then go for it, I'd rather go Ozil out of those two however

  10. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Grant somewhat of a bonus magnet lately, Zlatan as Captain against Sunderland. Yet, should I start Pickford ahead of Grant?

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      start Grant. United will smash Sunderland with Micky back

  11. Winks Club
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Where can i find assist-odds?

    1. JIM BOB
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Google?

      1. Winks Club
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks, didn't help!

        1. JIM BOB
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Damn. Maybe there isn't such a thing?

  12. JurgenRocks
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Heaton
    Lovren, Alonso, Amat,
    Sanchez (VC), Walcott, Phillips, Marney, Eriksen,
    Ibra (C), Benteke

    Pickford, Smith, Evens, Costa
    G2G

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yep, although think I'd bench Amat whoever the other option is.

      1. JurgenRocks
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Smith, who is playing Chelsea away.

  13. Transient Anus
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    2.40 on kane ags eh

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Fair. Extremely likely Southampton will keep a cleanie imo

      1. Transient Anus
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I fancy a punt on it.

  14. Siva Mohan
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Ibra's first boxing day fixture? did he play earlier in Spain, France, Italy during Christmas?

    1. Transient Anus
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Just another match day siva

      1. JIM BOB
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        This

      2. Siva Mohan
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        yes Champ.. but depends on how much he ate or drank last evening 🙂

        1. Transient Anus
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Haha true. I can say for sure I would struggle to score today.

  15. CamTheMan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Defoe out Benteke in?

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      good long term move imo

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Maybe if for free.

  16. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who to captain: Hazard or Ibra?

    1. Transient Anus
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Dunno. First time I've seen it asked.

  17. comeonspurs
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Actually I need to play two

    Prodl. WHM
    Amat. CRY
    McAuley. ars

    I know Prodl is a doubt

    Thanks

    1. Transient Anus
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      First two I guess. Likely one or two points for all of them

  18. Jindaljain
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Captain Zlatan or SancheZ?? My heart says Sanzhez

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sanchez .. own both

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sanchez for me.

  19. Viper
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Just seen an FPL page on twitter (that doesn't appear to be a troll) say that Ibra is unlikely to play today after being home for Xmas.

    I know he was home but this isn't actually a thing is it?

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      2 hours from Sweden to Manchester?

      1. Jindaljain
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

      2. Transient Anus
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        🙂

    2. Transient Anus
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      get your vice captain sorted then

    3. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No way just as they find some form

    4. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      That would suck balls

  20. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    650k transfers out for Costa is huge

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Good. I kept him.

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      So many are wasting 2 FTs taking him out and then in again...

      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        You can't say 'wasting' until you see the outcome.

        I've gone Costa (bought at 10.8) to Ibra & Kane -> Costa next week.

        Pointless selling a fit Harry Kane when Costa is in the stands

        1. Hansel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Same here with exact same sales price. Would do Harry -> Zlatan anyways so not 2FT wasted but rather 1FT traded for the difference in outcome between Kane and Fletcher this week

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Bought him 2 weeks ago sold for Ibra. Not getting back when I could get Azpi scoring the same just with CS

  21. Siva Mohan
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    https://www.facebook.com/ZlatanIbrahimovic/?fref=ts

    Q: Today, you and your Manchester United are facing Sunderland, a team fighting to stay in the Premier League. What do you think of the match?
    Zlatan: It’s going to be a tough match against a defensive team.

    --

    Bad Boy is back in Manchester and ready for tame Black Cats!

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      *to tame

  22. CamTheMan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play Heaton or Cech?

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      if you are benching Cech against WBA, you better sell him and save some cash

  23. DP7657
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning and Merry Christmas one and all.

    Wildcard, 45 minutes remaining, all advice greatly appreciated!

    Costa bought for £9.6 so had to swallow his drops up and keep him this week!

    Heaton (Pickford)
    Alonso - Jones - Friend (Ake - Amat)
    Sanchez - Haz (V) - Lallana - Zaha - De Roon
    Ibra (C) - Bentekke (Costa)

    Thanks!

  24. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Thinking of doing the dullard Ibra(c). Just saw a few people bigging up Mhki to start and tear Sunderland a new one. He's the king of assists, could rack up a huge score with Ibra...

  25. Jarnathan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm going to Captain Siggy rather than Hazard (poor form) and Sanchez (WBA parking the bus)...

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Such a sexy choice. If I had bigger cajones I'd do it too, but Swansea are so awful, and Wham have just kept two cleanies.

      1. Jarnathan
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I want to see the results of going with my gut... my more 'cerebral' decisions haven't worked out so well in the past.

  26. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Defoe >

    A. Llorente
    B. Benteke
    C. Other
    D. Save

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Save...

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        100%

  27. sk018
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    How to play?
    A) Amat
    B) Capoue with AoA chip

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Is your def that bad?

      1. sk018
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Smith and McAuley the other two in contention. Smith -> Jones for -4 a possibility

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Play McAuley. Don't trust Arsenal defence

  28. L9
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    pick one.... valdes heaton randolph henessay boruc.. i was going to go with heaton but i am thinking about saving cash for kun return..

  29. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Captaincy doing my head in..

    A) Ibra - boring, sheeplike choice
    B) Sanchez - WBA will park their bus
    C) Hazard - differential, explosive, terrible opponent, poor form
    D) Siggy - super differential, flair, explosive, Swansea are awful

    1. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Have A,B,D will probably go for D awful defences i hope for a high scoring game, SUN will try to park the bus

  30. skodaole2
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Bench

    A) Can
    B) Chadli