Paddy Says
26 December 2016 510 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Like a tardy Santa, Paddy Power is dishing out his Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds and we don’t even have to be a good boy or girl to take advantage of them.

But before we look into the potential for comfort and joy from Gameweek 18’s festive fixtures, let’s examine the contents of the stocking known as Paddy’s enhanced offers for new customers.

The most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek has been Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The United striker has garnered more than 390,000 new Fantasy Premier League managers based on his form (seven goals from his last six starts) and a tasty set of fixtures that starts with today’s rather obliging encounter with Sunderland at Old Trafford.

Paddy is offering new customers  4-1 on United to beat Sunderland, and seeing as the Black Cats have won away just the once all season (and kept no clean sheets), that’s decidedly generous.

Stoke City’s form on the road is better than that, but a trip to Anfield is a daunting prospect for anyone – the Reds are unbeaten at home and have been held to a draw on Merseyside just twice all season. You can get 4-1 on Liverpool making it their sixth home win in eight attempts.

The other 4-1 offer available involves Man City beating Hull.

Pep Guardiola’s team go east with back-to-back wins under their belt. On the downside, they were woeful the last time they travelled, losing 4-2 at Leicester. Previous to that, they’d won three away matches on the spin, so flooring a punch-drunk Hull should not be beyond them.

Southampton are a tough nut to crack at St Mary’s – they’ve kept three consecutive clean sheets at home – so Paddy is going long on a Spurs win in Wednesday’s fixture.

If you think Spurs are up to the task, there’s an 8-1 price on them doing it.

And then there’s this week’s Acca, with 12-1 available for Arsenal, Chelsea, Leicester and Man U all winning.

You know about United already, while Arsenal will entertain West Brom, Chelsea host Bournemouth and Leicester face Everton at the King Power. All four fixtures are later today.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that these specials are only available to those aged 18 and over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 18

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.50
SturridgeLIV1.57
WalcottARS1.80
SanchezARS1.80
RashfordMUN1.80
BatshuayiCHE1.83
OrigiLIV1.83
FirminoLIV1.83
MkhitaryanMUN1.90
IheanachoMCI1.90
SterlingMCI1.90
NolitoMCI1.90
ManeLIV2.00
HazardCHE2.29
PogbaMUN2.29
BentekeCRY2.29
KaneTOT2.40
LukakuEVE2.40

Some of the usual captaincy suspects – Aguero, Costa – are going nowhere near Gameweek 18. Others – Kane, Sanchez – are either out of form or in a team having a bit of a wobble.

The upshot of all that is Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.50) bestriding the Fantasy landscape like the colossus he knows he is.

His form is detailed above and his opponents below. He will surely be taking the armband in a huge number of our teams today, and his Anytime Goalscorer odds reflect that.

Liverpool’s match with Stoke at Anfield is another fixture promising home comforts, and a number of Jurgen Klopp’s men figure at the top end of the odds as a result.

Notably, the in-form Divock Origi has fallen in Paddy’s estimation from 1.57 to 1.83, with Daniel Sturridge (1.57) now the more fancied, while the third most popular transfer target of the Gameweek, Adam Lallana (2.70), perhaps offers a more tempting price.

Arsenal duo Alexis Sanchez and Theo Walcott are both priced at 1.80 to find the net when West Brom visit the Emirates. The Chilean has been a captaincy stalwart over the past few weeks, and he’s even provided returns during the Gunners’ last two defeats.

But he excels on the road and there’s a perfectly plausible Boxing Day scenario involving the Baggies frustrating their hosts and the home crowd, already twitchy after back-to-back defeats, not exactly improving the mood if their side struggles to break down the visitors.

Chelsea’s home match with Bournemouth would have made Diego Costa a big captaincy favourite if he wasn’t suspended. His obvious replacement, Michy Batshuayi (1.83), isn’t guaranteed a start, which makes Eden Hazard’s (2.29) price rather more attractive – if he ends up playing in the ‘false nine’ role, that is.

Elsewhere, Paddy is clearly as confused as the rest of us when it comes to second-guessing Pep Guardiola. As a result, there are three possible candidates for the ‘striker’s’ role priced at 1.90.

The 5.1% of FPL managers still hoping that it will be Kelechi Iheanacho this Gameweek might finally get their way, although Raheem Sterling did the job last time out and Nolito is also well-versed in the role.

Finding joy in all of those City options looks tricky. Maybe investing in the Big Sam Effect would be wiser – he’ll no doubt look to shore up Palace’s leaky defence first and foremost, but 2.29 on Christian Benteke scoring against Watford isn’t a bad shout.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 18

TeamOdds
Manchester United1.66
Arsenal1.90
Chelsea2.00
Manchester City2.10
Liverpool2.10
Middlesbrough2.62
Burnley2.87
Watford3.00
Tottenham3.00
Southampton3.25

Gameweek 18’s leading transfer targets are almost exclusively strikers and midfielders, with only one defender making it into the top 10.

That trend-bucker is Cesar Azpilicueta, who has found his way into more than 75,000 new FPL squads this week. Chelsea are priced at 2.00 to keep visitors Bournemouth at bay and their form – nine clean sheets in their last 11 matches and four in five at home – tells you why.

The Cherries’ away form is patchy, although they’ve only been blanked on the road three times this season, but Chelsea look good to continue with their miserly ways, even without the influence of N’Golo Kante as their midfield barrier.

At number 11 in the transfer, list is the man of a thousand gurns, Phil Jones.

The United centre-half has become an integral part of Jose Mourinho’s back four in recent weeks, and that unit has now produced two clean sheets in their last three matches.

The visit of Sunderland should hold no fear for the Red Devils – David Moyes’ men have scored just twice in their last six trips – and both of those came in the same match. Small wonder, then, that United are at just 1.66 to blank the Black Cats.

The 3.25 available on Southampton stopping Spurs looks rather more attractive.

The Saints, as mentioned above, haven’t conceded at home for three straight matches and that solidity, allied to a sweet run of fixtures to come, has prompted FPL managers to make Virgil van Dijk one of only four defenders to make it into the top 20 transfers-in since last weekend.

Seeing ’tis the season to be jolly, you’d spend the rest of 2016 with a stupid grin on your face if you’d bet on Sunderland keeping it to zero at Old Trafford.

It would mean a first away clean sheet of the campaign for the Black Cats, so let’s not get carried away here, but Moyes is almost certain to park the bus at his not-so-happy old haunt, and 10.00 is a hefty price for an outcome that is possible, if improbable.

510 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Champione
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Any predicted Liverpool lineup for tomorrow's game? Will Klopp start Origi or Sturridge?

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      think Sturridge will come off the bench again.

      1. Champione
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        cheers. Hopefully Origi will start this game before I ship him out

        1. batmaniac
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I expect 60mins from origi then ship for benteke

  2. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Morning.
    You guys reckon Iheanacho gets some minutes today? Alternative is playing Amat (WHU). Not interested in hitting him out.

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sold him, so probably plays 90..

  3. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Eriksen to:

    A) Walcott
    B) Sterling

    1. MTPockets
        8 years, 11 months ago

        a

      • Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Keep Eriksen, but get Walcott also

      • Tomlette Greggs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        A

      • Champione
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        A

      • RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        A

    2. Mesh
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      How nailed is Phil Jones with others coming back from injury?

      1. Respect My Authoritah
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Pretty nailed. He's first choice alongside Bailly imo

        1. Kiwivillan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          What about Smalling

      2. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Not sure, but they are also very likely to pay up big time for Victor Nilsson Lindelof from Benfica in January!

    3. Gabriel Agbonlahor
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Start capoue (CRY) or snodgrass (MCI)?have costa & ake on the bench

      1. Pirlø's Pen
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Snod

      2. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Snoddy

    4. comeonspurs
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I need to play one

      Amat WHM
      Prodl CRY
      McAuley ars

      Any advice I know prodl is a doubt

      Thanks

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Prodl

      2. MTPockets
          8 years, 11 months ago

          prodl

      3. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cannot decide who to captain...help needed; Sanchez or Zlatan ? Sanchez more explosive, so that's the reason to prefer him?
        Thanks.

        1. Champione
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Sanchez seems to be more explosive away from home this season, so I prefer Zlatan out of those

        2. Giovanni Giorgio
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          WBA D >>> SUN D

          1. Winston.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Yes, but Sanchez has 3x more chances created...Ibra on pens. I'm confused..

        3. MTPockets
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Going Sanchez, but Ibra probably safer.

          • Hansel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            I'm going Zlat

            1. Winston.
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Thanks...just difficult to trust Zlatan...dunno.

          • JurgenRocks
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            I'm captaining Zlatan, as Sanchez is better away.

        4. ILOVEBAPS
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Play Capoue or Defoe?

          No faith in Sunderland to breach MU.

          1. MTPockets
              8 years, 11 months ago

              defoe

            • Get up ya bum
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Defoe

            • JurgenRocks
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Capoue

          2. JIM BOB
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Really fancy a Utd clean sheet...

            Captain...Valencia (SUN) or Ozil (WBA) ?

            1. Champione
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Valencia out of those

            2. MTPockets
                8 years, 11 months ago

                Don't think I've ever captained a defender, so Ozil.

                1. Yellin' in my Ear
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  I did, transferred and captained Baines for a 15 pointer, although also did it with Kolarov last season for a double zero trying to be different after a terrible start),.

              • Yellin' in my Ear
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                If that's your gut then go for it, I'd rather go Ozil out of those two however

            3. Hansel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Grant somewhat of a bonus magnet lately, Zlatan as Captain against Sunderland. Yet, should I start Pickford ahead of Grant?

              1. Champione
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                start Grant. United will smash Sunderland with Micky back

            4. Winks Club
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Where can i find assist-odds?

              1. JIM BOB
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                Google?

                1. Winks Club
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Thanks, didn't help!

                  1. JIM BOB
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    Damn. Maybe there isn't such a thing?

            5. JurgenRocks
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Heaton
              Lovren, Alonso, Amat,
              Sanchez (VC), Walcott, Phillips, Marney, Eriksen,
              Ibra (C), Benteke

              Pickford, Smith, Evens, Costa
              G2G

              1. MTPockets
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Yep, although think I'd bench Amat whoever the other option is.

                  1. JurgenRocks
                    • 10 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    Smith, who is playing Chelsea away.

              2. Get up ya bum
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                2.40 on kane ags eh

                1. Respect My Authoritah
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Fair. Extremely likely Southampton will keep a cleanie imo

                  1. Get up ya bum
                    • 16 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    I fancy a punt on it.

              3. Siva Mohan
                • 13 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                Ibra's first boxing day fixture? did he play earlier in Spain, France, Italy during Christmas?

                1. Get up ya bum
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Just another match day siva

                  1. JIM BOB
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    This

                  2. Siva Mohan
                    • 13 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    yes Champ.. but depends on how much he ate or drank last evening 🙂

                    1. Get up ya bum
                      • 16 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Haha true. I can say for sure I would struggle to score today.

              4. CamTheMan
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                Defoe out Benteke in?

                1. Champione
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  good long term move imo

                2. MTPockets
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    Maybe if for free.

                3. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Who to captain: Hazard or Ibra?

                  1. Get up ya bum
                    • 16 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    Dunno. First time I've seen it asked.

                4. comeonspurs
                  • 15 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Actually I need to play two

                  Prodl. WHM
                  Amat. CRY
                  McAuley. ars

                  I know Prodl is a doubt

                  Thanks

                  1. Get up ya bum
                    • 16 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    First two I guess. Likely one or two points for all of them

                5. Jindaljain
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Captain Zlatan or SancheZ?? My heart says Sanzhez

                  1. Siva Mohan
                    • 13 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    Sanchez .. own both

                  2. MTPockets
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Sanchez for me.

                  3. Viper
                    • 15 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    Just seen an FPL page on twitter (that doesn't appear to be a troll) say that Ibra is unlikely to play today after being home for Xmas.

                    I know he was home but this isn't actually a thing is it?

                    1. Siva Mohan
                      • 13 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      2 hours from Sweden to Manchester?

                      1. Jindaljain
                        • 10 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                      2. Get up ya bum
                        • 16 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        🙂

                    2. Get up ya bum
                      • 16 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      get your vice captain sorted then

                    3. twoplustwo
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      No way just as they find some form

                    4. Kiwivillan
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      That would suck balls

                  4. twoplustwo
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 11 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    650k transfers out for Costa is huge

                    1. MTPockets
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Good. I kept him.

                      • RamaJama
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        So many are wasting 2 FTs taking him out and then in again...

                        1. Viper
                          • 15 Years
                          8 years, 11 months ago

                          You can't say 'wasting' until you see the outcome.

                          I've gone Costa (bought at 10.8) to Ibra & Kane -> Costa next week.

                          Pointless selling a fit Harry Kane when Costa is in the stands

                          1. Hansel
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 15 Years
                            8 years, 11 months ago

                            Same here with exact same sales price. Would do Harry -> Zlatan anyways so not 2FT wasted but rather 1FT traded for the difference in outcome between Kane and Fletcher this week

                      • Kiwivillan
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Bought him 2 weeks ago sold for Ibra. Not getting back when I could get Azpi scoring the same just with CS

                    2. Siva Mohan
                      • 13 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      https://www.facebook.com/ZlatanIbrahimovic/?fref=ts

                      Q: Today, you and your Manchester United are facing Sunderland, a team fighting to stay in the Premier League. What do you think of the match?
                      Zlatan: It’s going to be a tough match against a defensive team.

                      --

                      Bad Boy is back in Manchester and ready for tame Black Cats!

                      1. Siva Mohan
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        *to tame

                    3. CamTheMan
                      • 9 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Play Heaton or Cech?

                      1. Siva Mohan
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        if you are benching Cech against WBA, you better sell him and save some cash

                    4. DP7657
                      • 10 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Morning and Merry Christmas one and all.

                      Wildcard, 45 minutes remaining, all advice greatly appreciated!

                      Costa bought for £9.6 so had to swallow his drops up and keep him this week!

                      Heaton (Pickford)
                      Alonso - Jones - Friend (Ake - Amat)
                      Sanchez - Haz (V) - Lallana - Zaha - De Roon
                      Ibra (C) - Bentekke (Costa)

                      Thanks!

                    5. Over Midwicket
                      • 13 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Thinking of doing the dullard Ibra(c). Just saw a few people bigging up Mhki to start and tear Sunderland a new one. He's the king of assists, could rack up a huge score with Ibra...

                    6. Jarnathan
                      • 9 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      I'm going to Captain Siggy rather than Hazard (poor form) and Sanchez (WBA parking the bus)...

                      1. Over Midwicket
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Such a sexy choice. If I had bigger cajones I'd do it too, but Swansea are so awful, and Wham have just kept two cleanies.

                        1. Jarnathan
                          • 9 Years
                          8 years, 11 months ago

                          I want to see the results of going with my gut... my more 'cerebral' decisions haven't worked out so well in the past.

                    7. AYLD28
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Defoe >

                      A. Llorente
                      B. Benteke
                      C. Other
                      D. Save

                      1. Over Midwicket
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Save...

                        1. Hansel
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 15 Years
                          8 years, 11 months ago

                          100%

                    8. sk018
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 12 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      How to play?
                      A) Amat
                      B) Capoue with AoA chip

                      1. Kiwivillan
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Is your def that bad?

                        1. sk018
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 12 Years
                          8 years, 11 months ago

                          Smith and McAuley the other two in contention. Smith -> Jones for -4 a possibility

                      2. Kiwivillan
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Play McAuley. Don't trust Arsenal defence

                    9. L9
                      • 9 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      pick one.... valdes heaton randolph henessay boruc.. i was going to go with heaton but i am thinking about saving cash for kun return..

                    10. Over Midwicket
                      • 13 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Captaincy doing my head in..

                      A) Ibra - boring, sheeplike choice
                      B) Sanchez - WBA will park their bus
                      C) Hazard - differential, explosive, terrible opponent, poor form
                      D) Siggy - super differential, flair, explosive, Swansea are awful

                      1. skodaole2
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 11 months ago

                        Have A,B,D will probably go for D awful defences i hope for a high scoring game, SUN will try to park the bus

                    11. skodaole2
                      • 13 Years
                      8 years, 11 months ago

                      Bench

                      A) Can
                      B) Chadli