Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.33
Sturridge LIV 1.80
Ibrahimovic MUN 1.83
Benteke CRY 1.83
Walcott ARS 2.00
Sanchez ARS 2.00
Giroud ARS 2.00
Costa CHE 2.10
Nolito MCI 2.10
De Bruyne MCI 2.10
Firmino LIV 2.10
Origi LIV 2.10
Mane LIV 2.10
Lukaku EVE 2.20
Kane TOT 2.29
Toure MCI 2.29
Rondon WBA 2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.72
Liverpool 1.90
Manchester United 2.20
Stoke City 2.25
West Bromwich Albion 2.29
Crystal Palace 2.40
Everton 2.62
Middlesbrough 2.62
Arsenal 2.75
Leicester City 2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Thunder Warrior
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Phillips or Chadli?

    1. Sjaugen
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Chadli is way riskier, even if he might nab the pens off Rondon

    2. nkhoughton
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Phillips

  2. Sjaugen
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Siggy (cpl) or
    Phillips (HUL)?

    Gonna make the switch before or after todays deadline anyways

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Phillips

    2. makaveli123
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Siggy for me.

    3. Salah Fingers
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Just done siggy to philips

    4. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      50/50
      Siggy as he is on SP

      1. Sjaugen
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        SP, spot kick/pens?

        1. Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          yep

        2. FPLtfs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Selhurst Park, I guess

    5. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Phillips

  3. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    What to do with this squad? 2 FT 0.4 ITB

    Grant
    Alonso Cedric McAuley
    De Roon Mane Hazard Sanchez
    Origi Ibra(C) Costa (VC)

    Subs:Pickford,Can,Love & Holebas

    1. Ferris Bueller
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Would Origi & Can > Rondon & Phillips work? Suspect may be just short

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Think Origi will start today not too sure Can can do Origi > Rondon can't afford the Can > Phillips switch 0.4 short.

    2. Sjaugen
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Holebas to Ake now. Then ship Mane and either Can/Origi depending

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Doing Cedric & Can > Phillips & Ake leaving me 0.1 left over ITB

    3. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'd ship either Cedric ( so many rotations) or Holebas (watford are awful atm)

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah I've been wanting to do one of them as of late think it will be Cedric always gets rotated.

  4. Ferris Bueller
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Grant
    Alonso Brunt Cedric
    Sanch Haz Erik Phillips
    Ibra Costa Anichibe*
    Subs; Pickford* Can Ward Amat*
    1FT, £2.1 bank

    Which do you prefer?
    A Anichebe > Rondon (3-4-3) (Capt Rondon)
    B Anichebe > Negredo (3-4-3) (Capt Ibra)
    B Cedric > Baines (3-5-2) (Capt Ibra)

  5. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Origi > Tekkers for a -4?

    CP has some good fixtures coming up.

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      not for a hit
      Origi has a big chance to start and it's Sunderland

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        thats what I am leaning towards that he was rested last GW so he should start against Sunderland!

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Just used my FT to do Siggy > Phillips.

          Good move???

          1. Lone Wolf FPL
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 7 months ago

            sounds good

  6. pug_chops
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    A) Defoe/ Hazard to Aguero/ Pedro -8?
    B) Amat to Brunt -4 (only starting defenders)?
    C) Both?
    D) Hold?

  7. LeicesterA
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Any rumours on Liverpool line up for today?

    If Can isn't likely to start, I need to do some team surgery.

    Thanks very much.

  8. RedMarks 赤的
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Need some suggestion....

    Valdes (Pickford)
    Alonso, Pieters, Brunt (Amat, Cedric)
    Lallana, Allen, Hazard, De Bruyne (Antonio)
    Kane, Costa, Carroll

    2 FT, 0.1 ITB

    Option:

    A. De Bruyne + Antonio --> Sanchez + Stanislas
    B. Antonio --> Stanislas (Keep 1 FT, De Bruyne --> Sanchez GW21)
    C. Other option...

    Cheers

    1. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      A

  9. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Nice day with Premier League. I needed to take a day off at work for this and I'm so happy 🙂

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      not good

    2. Ferris Bueller
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      That would put cat amongst the pigeons! Mind taking a look at my query above please Champ?

      1. Excused By Bemused Confusio…
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        If it were me I'd save the ft this gw, play can. Captain Alexis or Ibra.

        1. Ferris Bueller
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Cheers Champ

          1. Excused By Bemused Confusio…
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 7 months ago

            No worries

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Yup. Bellerin, Brunt and Gibson in my starting XI.

    4. :
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Couldn't have been in too much discomfort if he was playing with his phone at the time.

      1. SPECIALMOU
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        IMO he'll play.

  10. THEKID_88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Who to bench? McAuley, Jones,Alonso, Pieters

    1. Boydinho
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Alonso may not play anyway

  11. Manchester 17
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Repost:
    Hey guys,
    Jaku/Heaton
    Alonso/Kosc/Jones/Amat/Francis
    Mane/Haz/Sanchez/Snoddy/De Roon
    Kane/Ibra/Anichebe

    2FT

    What to do with the 2 transfers?
    Who to captains?

    Cheers!

  12. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Does Benteke as a (C) sounds terrible?

    1. rdamjan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Nah

  13. Fuddled FC
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Would you (-4)

    Hazard > Sterling / Toure
    Kane > Aguero

    Do it / Don't ?

  14. marcus2704
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    I planned to rotate Allen/Phillips, but expect each week I will be frustrated as I pick the wrong one and lose bench points. I would then have 4.6 for my defence, my aim is just to get 5 regular starters. Why are people transferring Holgate in - is he likely to play?

    1. william prunier
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Delusion

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I hate benching problems
      Holding lost his place. A lot still don't know that although they lost 2 vs Hull so you never know

    3. RubberDucky
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I rotate Allen and Phillips is a great option to have and not usually tricky to decide.

  15. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Best attacking option for each of the top 8 teams given price and that you need to have 5 midfielders and 3 strikers:

    Arsenal: Sanchez
    Liverpool: Lallana
    Spurs: Alli
    Everton: Lukaku
    WBA: Phillips
    Man Utd: Ibra
    Chelsea: Costa
    City: Aguero

    Personally quite like:

    Sanchez - Lallana - Alli - Phillips - (Fodder)
    Aguero - Ibra - Costa

    With Bolasie out at Everton think Baines and Coleman will be integral to their production so would have one of them.

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      that's about right

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Team for about £105m:

        Grant - Hennessey
        Baines - Evans - Chambers - Ake - Holgate
        Sanchez - Lallana - Alli - Phillips - De Roon
        Aguero - Ibra - Costa

        1. Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          beauty

    2. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I completely agree

      1. WVA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I can't afford Phillips in that front 8 though, has to be Stanislas but I have bruntinho

  16. fedolefan
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Asking a new crowd. Anyone tempted with bringing Townsend in? He is a poor man's Sanchez who lacks Lexi's finishing but you got to love a 5.9m mid who shoots whenever possible.

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      nice pick imo although Phillips is better as 4th mid

      1. fedolefan
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Think Philips will blank next GW and I don't really want Brunt and Philips next week.

    2. Reuser
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not at all - even within Palace I would rather have Cabaye, Zaha or Puncheon.

      Then there is Phillips, Allen etc....

  17. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Bench one:

    Jones (whm)
    Carroll (MUN)
    Pieters (WAT)
    Alonso (tot)

    Opinions appreciated! Struggling with this one. Currently leaning towards Jones although the bookies odds suggest not...

    1. william prunier
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Carrol

      1. rdamjan
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Alonso.

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'm on Carroll (have Jones)

  18. Rones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    a) Carroll + holebas --> benteke + ake

    b) Carroll + holebas --> Rondon + brunt

    (2 fts so no hits)

    Thanks!

    1. william prunier
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B out of that lot mate!

    4. rdamjan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B.

    5. Rones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers lads - pretty conclusive

  19. rdamjan
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Carroll to Benteke for FT? Is there any better fwd in that price bracket for next fixtures? Maybe Negredo?

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      benteke or rondon
      if you have phillips than go with benteke

      1. rdamjan
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I already have 3 West brom, Phillips also.

  20. only2
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Who do I start: Routledge (cry) or Capoue (stoke) ?

  21. Kun Tozser
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Best Liverpool punt for this week?

    1. william prunier
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Sturridge

      1. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        too punty
        Mane but it's his last game so maybe Firmino? although he looked awful vs City.

    2. Delhidynamo
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      lallana

  22. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Eriksen & Anichebe >> Phillips & Benteke (-4)

    Yes or No???

    Thanks 🙂

    1. Ed
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Wouldn't go near Benteke.

    2. A.T
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      No

    3. Ed
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      All fellow non Kun owners going Sanchez (C)?

      1. FCSB
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I'm currently on Ibra but tempted by Sanchez away record... although he looked tired last night

  23. rnrd
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Kdb minutes at Risk today?
    Really fancy captaining him but this is A concern.
    Other option is Ibra who seems to be just rotation and suboff proof

  24. DaveVak
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    What to do?
    1. Play Azpi, and bench one of whom?
    - Payet
    - JRod
    2. All Out Attack, bench Azpi

    1. william prunier
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      2

  25. blivy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Keep Origi or sell for Rondon (or other)?

    1. william prunier
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Rondon

    2. rnrd
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Give origi another game imo. Thats what I do

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I sold for Rondon yesterday

  26. Kun Tozser
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Most at risk of rotation players this week?

    1. Syd.
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Everyone

    2. Ferris Bueller
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Judging by the boards, all of them!

  27. Emp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    any word on firminho allegedly being benched today?

    1. Syd.
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Just paper talk

      1. Emp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        cheers

  28. Bullet Tooth Toney
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Anichebe > Rondon worth a -4?

    At the moment I only have 11 fit players including Stones...

  29. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Is it time to sell Hazard? Doesn't do enough for that price.

    Also, is Costa > Kun worth -4?

    1. Boydinho
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not if you sell Costa, need to have one of them imo

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'd sell Hazard before Costa (and I did).