Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.33
Sturridge LIV 1.80
Ibrahimovic MUN 1.83
Benteke CRY 1.83
Walcott ARS 2.00
Sanchez ARS 2.00
Giroud ARS 2.00
Costa CHE 2.10
Nolito MCI 2.10
De Bruyne MCI 2.10
Firmino LIV 2.10
Origi LIV 2.10
Mane LIV 2.10
Lukaku EVE 2.20
Kane TOT 2.29
Toure MCI 2.29
Rondon WBA 2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.72
Liverpool 1.90
Manchester United 2.20
Stoke City 2.25
West Bromwich Albion 2.29
Crystal Palace 2.40
Everton 2.62
Middlesbrough 2.62
Arsenal 2.75
Leicester City 2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. flippetyflop
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Will Rodriguez start todays for Saints?

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      very likely
      rested last game

    2. Hakchak
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Probably yes

  2. Vman
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Morning Can I get a RMT on this please and stuck on Captain choice,

    Grant
    Klavan Jones Chambers
    Sanchez De-Roon Lallana Hazard
    Costa Aguero Zlatan

    Subs-Randolph-Coquelin-Ake-Martina

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Banging team. Aguero.

      1. Kitman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Serious strikeforce!!

    2. v12w12
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Great team. Sanchez

    3. nn11
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      That front 6 is mightly scary

      Aguero (c)

    4. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      But bench De roon

      1. Vman
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        And play Coquelin?

    5. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Very good, if a little imbalanced.

      Nonetheless you have impressively managed to afford Sanchez, Hazard, Zlatan, Aguero and Costa which is an impressive feat!

      1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        And sorry captain Aguero.

        What is your TV BTW?

        1. Vman
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          106.0

        2. Vman
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Thank you for the feedback I was hoping most would say Aguero and that was the whole reason for getting him in as most in my mini league cannot afford him.

      2. Vman
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I know I have sacrificed balance but there has been so much inconsistancy that I did not think it would make much difference so opted for max strike force, It will either work or bite me were it hurts. Cheers

        1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          The only thing really missing I'd say is a CHE def but they come at a massive premium.

          The only players I'd change LT are Randolph to a cheaper possibly non playing keeper, Klavan (as Phildagger suggested) to another def purely cos of playing time and Martina for the same reason.

    6. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      don't like Klavan Martina 4th 5th mids

      1. Vman
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        All I could afford and knowing they play most weeks unlike Amat/Holgate, had to sacrifice somewhere to get my strike force.

  3. -SB-
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Foster (Jakupovic)

    Friend | Alonso | Baines

    Sanchez | Eriksen | Alli | Zaha | Fletcher

    Ibra | Costa

    Subs: Jones | Walker | Barnes

    2.4 in bank.

    G2G?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Yes - upgrade Zaha to Lallana after the FA Cup and that is a good team

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Alternatively Zaha and Eriksen to Lallana and Phillips - very balanced then.

  4. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Crazy to sell Nacho isn't it?
    He'll surely start after City have less than 48 hours rest?

    So Carroll to Rondon or Tekkers??

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      indirect meaning of your post :

      Aguero on bench

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      He hardly played when Aguero was out.

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        But this is exceptional circumstances

  5. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Grant or Foster? Odds say Grant.

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I've always trusted Foster.

  6. Syd.
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Keep Lukaku

    1. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      was that meant to be my reply

  7. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Siggy -> Lallana for a hit?

    1. Gorbitz
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    2. Rajveer
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      No brainer... Do it

  8. That Fantasy Guy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    2 Questions...
    Who would you rather have when city face spurs?:
    A. Kane
    B. Aguero

    Which scenario scores better this week?
    A. Aguero (C) and Barnes -4
    B. Kane and Origi

    Cheers

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      A
      A

  9. Gorbitz
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Dear advisors,
    Can -> Phillips worth a -4 hit ??

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure if worth -4 unless phillips scores then I suppose you come out even with phillips going forward..,

    2. v12w12
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I think so, yes.

  10. nn11
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Bench one of Allen, Phillips or David Luiz?

    1. Gorbitz
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Luiz

    2. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Luiz

    3. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Luiz

    4. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Nuh uh. Allen.

  11. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Choose one of he following options:

    A) Can & Origi > Phillips & Negredo
    B) Cedric & Can > Ake & Phillips

    1. Kitman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B) quite comfortabley I think

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I like A for this week

    3. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Depends if you think Origi will start.

  12. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Jones
    Alonso
    Friend

    Bench one ?

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Friend

    2. Rajveer
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Alonso

  13. Totti
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    GTG????
    Boruc
    walker coleman evans
    sanchez sterling lallana allen
    aguero(C) costa ibra (V)

    pickford coquelin holebas amat

    need your suggestions guys!

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Totally

  14. ricardo_vaz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Any chance Aguero gets rotated today? Don't want to waste the captaincy...

    In normal circumstances I would think so, but City are struggling, they've got injuries and the other attacking players have clocked many more miles than Aguero in recent weeks

  15. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    any news on llorente?

  16. Jay_
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Took a -12 to bring in Phillips Brunt Aguero and Barnes (fodder and enabler)

    Feel like a man that's committed a needless murder and on death row waiting for the stay of execution. 2 o'clock the judges decision.

    1. Bellerinmondo
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      prob a good move over the next few

    2. Oven Glover
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Can always activate WC to lessen the blow

  17. FPL ElasticO
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Is it worth going without Kun???? As he is not in form

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Same question pretty much as me :/

    2. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      True that he hasn't scored in city's last 6 PL games but he was suspended for 4 and the other 2 were against Chelsea and Liverpool. He scored 5 in the previous 4!

      I know it's a gamble but I expect I'll be selling Kane to afford him

  18. Stockport Hatter
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    What should I do with this please?

    Heaton
    Alonso Alderweirald Brunt
    Sanchez Hazard Lallana Eriksen
    Anichebe Ibra Costs

    Pickford Kingsley De Roon Pieters

    1FT 0.3ITB

  19. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    bench 1;

    Can
    Walker

  20. TLF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    G2G ?

    Heaton (Robo)

    Alonso, Pieters, Brunt

    Phillips, Eriksen, Hazard, Sanchez (C)

    Carroll, Ibra, Costa

    (Cedric, Capoue, Amat)

    1.8 itb but not FT

  21. Here's the manager
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Morning. Bit of advice with this shambles appreciated. Bold are red flagged

    Kosc Pieters Holebas AMAT COLLINS
    Sanchez Mane Eriksen Zara GUNDOG
    Ibra Defoe Carroll
    2FT 2.6

    Thinking of holding Amat and doing
    A Collins Eriksen/ Mane Defoe to Holgate Phillips Aguero
    B Collins and Gundogan to Holgate and Phillips

    Any takers?

  22. Ben the Mee
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Feel like I want to get Kun in there somehow but don't know how.
    A part of me is telling me to keep. Thoughts?

    Heaton - Grant
    Dann - Baines - Brunt - Ake - Amat
    Haz - Sanchez - Alli - Phillips - de Roon
    Costa - Ibra - Giroud

    1. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Pretty good team, might keep Giroud Vs Bou, if he starts good chance he'll poach a goal.

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Haz to Lallana and Giroud to Aguero. Downgrade Dann to Chambers.

      1. Ben the Mee
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Still short through this method. Think I'll hold and WC if he starts banging them in. Thanks though!

  23. Bellerinmondo
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Any thought on Kun v Sanchez for (c)

    I was on Kun but after watching Arsenal yesterday have moved to San(c)hez - the man looks ready to explode (+ see arsenal away goals vs lower teams), but, on the other hand Kun v BUR is actually a differential, crazy...

    1. Legomane
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      My current lineup :
      Aguero (C)
      Ibra (v)
      Sanchez (v2)
      Mane (v3)
      Origi (v4)
      Philips (v5)

  24. derdourily
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    cedric
    williams

    Bench one ?

  25. Legomane
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone else think there are similarities to Spurs interchanging front 3 to Liverpool's before they lost Couts? I've shifted Kane to Aguero this week, but planning to do Mane > Alli, doubling up with Eriksen until Couts returns.

  26. Mayo for Sam
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Any ideas or GTG?

    1ft 0.5ITB
    Heaton
    Alonso, Toby, Friend,
    Hazard, Phillips, Siggy, Sanchez(c) Lalana
    Kane, Ibra,

    Anichebe*, Evans, Amat

    1. Fernando Torres
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'd play Evans over Alonso

  27. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Team looking ok lads? Play Antonio over stanislas?

    Cech
    Valencia Evans azpi
    Sanchez lallana Antonio Phillips
    Kun costa rondon

    Pickford stanislas holebas Amat

  28. Fernando Torres
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Heaton/Pickford
    Amat/Chambers/Holebas/McCauley/ Pieters
    Lallana/Eriksen/Hazard/Sanchez/Phillips
    Kane/Ibra/Barnes

    0FT 2.5M ITB... would you take a hit for any defenders considering rotation? Was thinking Amat > Bellerin.

  29. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Captain
    1)Ibra
    2)Sanchez
    Bench
    A)Jones
    B)Friend
    C)Alonso

    Cheers !

    1. Ed
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      2
      Same benching situation for me, tempted to say C.

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I know !

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      2 B

  30. Pauntley
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Which option would you choose for your team?

    A) Pogba
    B) Mkhitaryan

    Thanks

    1. Kitman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Pogba. His stats are quite beastly over last few

    2. Trae44
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      A for me