Paddy Says
14 January 2017 1888 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Fancy a year in China with a few – and by few we mean 30 – million quid to cover some of the basic costs while you’re there?

You don’t have to answer straight away. Have a think about it.

And while you’re doing that, you might as well check out the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds Paddy has lined up for the weekend. Just in case, you know, things don’t quite…work out with the…with the China…thing.

Before that, here’s the latest Enhanced Offers for new customers opening an account this weekend.

And some of them are seriously enhanced,  like the monstrous 16-1 you can get on Liverpool beating Man United in Sunday’s match of the weekend.

If you’re a United fan or just think the Red Devils will win, or both, (what with it being at Old Trafford and everything), then there’s 10-1 available on exactly that outcome.

Sunday’s other offering, Man City v Everton, also gets some odds – 8-1 on Pep’s boys winning at Goodison.

Chelsea’s trip to Leicester was always going to be tricky. The Foxes are vaguely remembering how defending champions are meant to act, while the Blues have now completely forgotten how teams on a long unbeaten run should behave.

And now, you know, Diego and the…the China thing. Still, you can get 8-1 on Antonio Conte to prove that nobody is bigger than the team.

Arsenal beating Swansea looks considerably more predictable, unless Alexis Sanchez gets a pre-match offer to play up front in a 3-5-2 far, far away with Diego, and Paddy are offering 7-1 on the Gunners winning.

The Wenger boys also feature in this week’s Acca, with 20-1 available on Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea all winning.

The Hammers, who have their own issues with the talent at the moment, are at home to Palace. And at least their unhappy bunny only wants to go back to France.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.80
SanchezARS1.83
GiroudARS1.83
KaneTOT2.00
PerezARS2.10
IbrahimovicMUN2.25
WilsonBOU2.29
SonTOT2.40
DefoeSUN2.50
BentekeCRY2.50
IheanachoMCI2.60
HazardCHE2.62
AlliTOT2.70
LukakuEVE2.70
BatshuayiCHE2.70
HernandezHUL2.80

 

Alexis Sanchez is the overwhelming captaincy favourite of Gameweek 21, but not the scorer of choice for Paddy.

Fantasy bosses look at the Arsenal man’s away goalscoring record (10 on the road, three at the Emirates) and factor in Swansea’s home form (seven goals coughed up in their last two matches) and that’s good enough for them.

Paddy, however, has gone for Sergio Aguero (1.80), compared to Alexis on 1.83. The Argentinian has been drafted in by nearly 76,000 managers ahead of City’s trip to Everton, but he still lags well behind Sanchez’s 36.7% ownership figures.

Spurs entertain West Brom in today’s lunchtime match, with the Baggies conceding, on average, just a goal per away trip.

Harry Kane (2.00) hasn’t scored at White Hart Lane since Gameweek 15 and is owned by just 15.5% of Fantasy managers, so you can see why it is the Arsenal man proving a more popular armband choice there as well.

This week’s bandwagon boy, Dele Alli, has been bought in by a staggering half a million-plus managers on the back of his seven goals in four Gameweeks. He’s at 2.70 to continue that streak.

Coincidentally, Chelsea’s Michy Batshuayi is also at 2.70 to score at Leicester, with Eden Hazard – another contender to take over up top in the absence of Diego Costa – at 2.62.

Of the outliers, the 3.40 you can get on Robert Snodgrass making it three league goals on the spin when Bournemouth visit looks tidy.

Stoke’s Peter Crouch is priced at 3.60 to ‘do a Snodgrass’ at Sunderland, and you can get 6.00 on the third most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek, Albion’s Matt Phillips, to score against Spurs.

* As sharper eyes quickly noticed, we originally stated that Kane was at Evens with Paddy, which was correct when we checked first thing this morning. The odds have since been updated to a decimal value so we’ve changed the article accordingly. Apologies for the confusion, most of which resided with the author.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.72
Chelsea2.29
Arsenal2.40
Watford2.40
Southampton2.50
Man United2.75
Man City2.75
Middlesbrough3.00
Bournemouth3.10
West Ham3.20

Paddy has really got the hots for Spurs this weekend, making them the clear favourites, at 1.72, to keep a clean sheet.

The news that Nathan Ake has been recalled to Chelsea from his Bournemouth loan has made him the second most transferred-in defender of the Gameweek, with managers presumably taking a punt on him being an immediate, and cut-price, starter in the Blues’ back line.

That’s a proper gamble. Take him out of the equation, however, and Tottenham’s Danny Rose is one of the defenders of choice for Fantasy bosses, with just over 58,000 drafting him in this week.

Middlesbrough’s Calum Chambers just edges Rose for transfers-in and Boro are at 3.00 to keep a cleanie at Vicarage Road, while Watford are at 2.40 to do the same, so Paddy’s getting a 0-0 feeling about that one.

Burnley have just about given up travelling this season. When you’ve managed one whole point from away matches, you might as well save a lot of time, effort and money and just send an email congratulating the opposition on the three points.

But at Turf Moor, they are strangely awesome. And they’re also 3.40 to blank visitors Southampton today. The Saints are priced even lower to keep their sheets clean – 2.50 – so that could be another potential 0-0 worth investigating.

  1. Trentminator
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    WC team... what do you say?

    Heaton/Jakupovic
    Baines/Daniels/Rose(Love/Brunt)
    Hazard/Fraser/Sanchez/Alli(philips)
    Giroud/Aguero/Wilson

    help please?!

    1. SuperMario
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Love --> Amat
      Wilson --> Crouch
      Fraser --> Stanislas

  2. mr messi
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Hazard and Defoe or
    Kane and Lallana?

  3. Ed
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Costa > Giroud for FT?

    1. Paul
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Exact same dilemma

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      I would

    3. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Yes

    4. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      I've done it for a hit.... What's the fuzz?

    5. Artorias
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Do it

    6. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      And captain him

    7. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Yes I would.
      He won't play

    8. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      I did Costa to Defoe for a hit, so I would say yours is worth it if you rate Giroud. Lukaku a safer choice

  4. kalk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Morning guys!

    Who to play?

    a. Philips .Spurs away
    b. Jones liverpool home

    Thanks

    1. Dark_Mata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Having the same dilemma
      I'm playing jones cause it's one extra differential in a week where Spurs are the team this week with the highest odds to possibly keep a clean sheet by far

      1. kalk
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        What a dilemma! 8 min to go and I don't know what I am doing yet

  5. Duffy Dunk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Guys please answer fast, I have Costa but if it is certain he wont play today I want to replace him with another striker.
    I have Giroud and Ibra, I dont want Kane or Defoe.
    What do you think about Lukaku?

    1. Dark_Mata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Yes

    2. United10
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      you answered the question yoursef

  6. sttewwizza
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    3 from 5 in my XI... ?

    A: Pieters

    B: Jones

    C: Baines

    D: Chambers

    E: Friend

    1. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      CDE?

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      CDE probably the best!

    3. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      C , d , e

  7. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    whos your captain?

    A: Giroud
    B: Kane
    C: Alli
    D: Sanchez

    Giroud
    - Form
    - Playing away and swansea looked much better with new manger
    - On Pens
    - Donkey

    Kane:
    - Fixture
    - decent form...bagged a 16 pointer before his blank last gw
    - Burned managers a few weeks ago blankin in two plum home games
    - On pens

    Alli:
    - similar goal threat as kane but extra points as mid
    - No pens
    - Amazing form

    Sanchez:
    - Consistant esp in away games
    - Swans might be tighter

    1. Swanny18
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Sanchez

    2. SuperMario
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Sanchez

    3. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Currently Sanchez but debating Giroud

    4. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Sanchez. Arsenal have a good scoring record against teams in the bottom 6. Giroud may not get into scoring positions against the Swans - they concede a lot from shots at goal from around the six yard box. It would have been primed for Walcott - hoping Sanchez takes that role today.

  8. Don Broly
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Heaton
    Brunt, Dann, Daniels
    Hazard, Sanchez (c), Lallana, Philips, Pogba
    Ibra, Wilson

    Bench
    Grant, Rondon, Pieters, Ake

    Pieters or Brunt?
    Rondon or Philips?

  9. Dasher0303
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Play Two:

    Smith
    Baines
    Chambers
    ?

    1. Halftime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Chambers Baines

  10. Luton_Fan
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    my team currently. all 3 west brom players on my bench.

    heaton;

    Friend, holebas, walker, alonso

    Eriksen, alli (vc), sanchez (c), eriksen

    Ibra, Gray

    (grant, philips, rondon, gray)

    tempted to put phillips on for friend.

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      sorry hazard over one of my eriksens.

    2. Luton_Fan
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      oh my goodness. nyom in on my bench not gray. Not good at this am i?

  11. PlayPercentage
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Play Chambers or Baines?
    Everton will concede, but all Boro's clean sheets have come at home.
    May stick with Baines and hope for an Everton penalty...

    1. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      I'm playing both over Brunt.

    2. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Same problem here, with smith as well

    3. Swanny18
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      I'd play Chambers - much higher chance of Middlesbrough CS than Everton penalty

  12. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Choose on Wildcard:

    A) Heaton & Jaku

    B) Valdes & Henessey/Grant

    Appreciate your thoughts!

    1. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      B for me

      1. Karan_G14
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        I have Chambers.

        1. Dasher0303
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Then maybe Boruc/Randolph instead of Valdes? Only reason I like this option is because you have two playing keepers, and also Heaton has a bad fixture next week.

          1. Johnny 8
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 17 days ago

            Heaton loves bad fixtures where he gets loads of save points.

    2. Johnny 8
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Leaving it late Karan. You got Chambers so A it is.

  13. JIM BOB
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Captain Aguero (eve) or Ozil (swa) ?

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Aguerrrrro

      1. Johnny 8
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Kun

  14. Gustavo
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Bench one

    1)Alonso (lei)
    2)Jones (LIV)
    3)Cedric (bur)

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      2 or 3. Cedric played midweek so maybe 3

  15. Doylaz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Costa to:

    Kane or
    Giroud

    1. gaurava1216
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Same dilemma!

  16. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Any danger of Arsenal match postponed? Currently have C and VC in that match.

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      No.

    2. James H
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      No issues weather wise in Swansea .

  17. Dirty Harry
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 17 days ago

    Quick question...

    Worth bringing in Lukaku for a -4 (making it -8 for the week) for Costa? or play De roon?

    Chasing ML leader who wildcarded this week

    1. MTPockets
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Might be, although playing de roon personally.

        1. Dirty Harry
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Yeah just not sure if I just wait till after deadline and see the Costa situation. Though if Costa drops I lose value.

    2. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Which to do?

      A) Play Barnes (hope he plays)

      B) Costa to Lukaku (-4)

      1. Dasher0303
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Tough, probably B but I like Barnes for this week

      2. JIM BOB
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        A

    3. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 17 days ago

      Quick consensus on Costa?
      Assume everyone selling?

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Sold

      2. Connor's Calling
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        I have no subs really

        1. My Name Is Prince
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          I didn't have either, that's why I sold... If he stays, you can always buy him back... He's not playing today, so there's something going on, why would it be resolved all of a sudden for Hull?

          And if Costa plays for Hull, who says he is not affected by all of this... Price going down, you can buy him back later cheaper...

      3. MTPockets
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Not yet

      4. SamShi
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Bench Phillips or Lallana? Any reasons?

        1. JIM BOB
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Phil

        2. Unbelievable Jeff!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          I have the same question.
          I'm currently benching lallana as Phillips has slight edge on form but spurs defence is pretty tight. Tough one

        3. Toure The Route
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Phil, Spurs highest CS odds
          Lallana is a matchwinner

      5. gaurava1216
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Hi guys

        A) Costa to Kane for -4
        B) Costa to Giroud for -4
        C) Costa bench and play Capoue and wait for clarity this week

      6. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Have a feeling kane will produce today leaving spurs mid owners in the dust

        1. DA Minnion (Former great)
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Worried about this too.

        2. Bubz
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          I agree. But I have both

        3. Jigger & Pony
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Would hate it. Particularly if the wing backs assist.

        4. S.Kuqi
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Hopefully not. Last minute decison to have Lukaku instead of Kane in my wc team.

          Double donkey ftw!

        5. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          1-0 WBA - very lucky defensive rearguard and Morrison nicks a scrappy goal.

        6. Point-one short
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Hope so. 🙂

      7. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Finally got rid of the following on my Wildcard.
        Cech, Amat, Luiz, Holebas, Capoue, Siggy, De Roon, Costa and Benteke. I know 1 or 2 may get points today but am glad to be rid of them all the same.

      8. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Many on a Alli Erik rose treble up on here.

      9. willgriggsonfire
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Heaton or Grant?
        Brunt or Friend?
        Philips or Gray?

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Heaton, Brunt and Gray

        2. Toure The Route
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Heaton
          Friend
          And def Gray , has a great home record

      10. Crazy RedDevil
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Azpi or Alonso?

        1. My Name Is Prince
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Azpi

      11. GE
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        I need a 4th defender who plays regulary - max 4.5 (I play 3-5-2).

        Suggestions? 🙂

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Is Chambers nailed when Ayala is back?
          Is Pieters or Mee more nailed?

          1. Toure The Route
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 17 days ago

            Pieters fixtures get very hard , mee not a bad shout at all

        2. Toure The Route
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Only Chambers fits this
          Friend if you want a little risk with assist potential

      12. King H
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Anybody tempted with Alli captain ?

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          No, WBA will park the bus

        2. Toure The Route
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          they should score 2 goals
          One of Kane/Alli has to score one of those
          Bit risky but could work

      13. abaalan
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Start Lovren (Mun A) or Fuchs (Chel H)??

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Fuchs

        2. Toure The Route
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Fuchs

      14. Papaoutai
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 17 days ago

        Sounds crazy but would you do it 🙂 ?

        Cedric, Alonso, Allen, Origi -> Baines, Yoshida, Stanislas, Giru

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          yes

        2. Toure The Route
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 17 days ago

          Go for it
          You have only 4 mins left
          -8 s have good upturn if they work