Paddy Says
14 January 2017 1888 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Fancy a year in China with a few – and by few we mean 30 – million quid to cover some of the basic costs while you’re there?

You don’t have to answer straight away. Have a think about it.

And while you’re doing that, you might as well check out the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds Paddy has lined up for the weekend. Just in case, you know, things don’t quite…work out with the…with the China…thing.

Before that, here’s the latest Enhanced Offers for new customers opening an account this weekend.

And some of them are seriously enhanced,  like the monstrous 16-1 you can get on Liverpool beating Man United in Sunday’s match of the weekend.

If you’re a United fan or just think the Red Devils will win, or both, (what with it being at Old Trafford and everything), then there’s 10-1 available on exactly that outcome.

Sunday’s other offering, Man City v Everton, also gets some odds – 8-1 on Pep’s boys winning at Goodison.

Chelsea’s trip to Leicester was always going to be tricky. The Foxes are vaguely remembering how defending champions are meant to act, while the Blues have now completely forgotten how teams on a long unbeaten run should behave.

And now, you know, Diego and the…the China thing. Still, you can get 8-1 on Antonio Conte to prove that nobody is bigger than the team.

Arsenal beating Swansea looks considerably more predictable, unless Alexis Sanchez gets a pre-match offer to play up front in a 3-5-2 far, far away with Diego, and Paddy are offering 7-1 on the Gunners winning.

The Wenger boys also feature in this week’s Acca, with 20-1 available on Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea all winning.

The Hammers, who have their own issues with the talent at the moment, are at home to Palace. And at least their unhappy bunny only wants to go back to France.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.80
SanchezARS1.83
GiroudARS1.83
KaneTOT2.00
PerezARS2.10
IbrahimovicMUN2.25
WilsonBOU2.29
SonTOT2.40
DefoeSUN2.50
BentekeCRY2.50
IheanachoMCI2.60
HazardCHE2.62
AlliTOT2.70
LukakuEVE2.70
BatshuayiCHE2.70
HernandezHUL2.80

 

Alexis Sanchez is the overwhelming captaincy favourite of Gameweek 21, but not the scorer of choice for Paddy.

Fantasy bosses look at the Arsenal man’s away goalscoring record (10 on the road, three at the Emirates) and factor in Swansea’s home form (seven goals coughed up in their last two matches) and that’s good enough for them.

Paddy, however, has gone for Sergio Aguero (1.80), compared to Alexis on 1.83. The Argentinian has been drafted in by nearly 76,000 managers ahead of City’s trip to Everton, but he still lags well behind Sanchez’s 36.7% ownership figures.

Spurs entertain West Brom in today’s lunchtime match, with the Baggies conceding, on average, just a goal per away trip.

Harry Kane (2.00) hasn’t scored at White Hart Lane since Gameweek 15 and is owned by just 15.5% of Fantasy managers, so you can see why it is the Arsenal man proving a more popular armband choice there as well.

This week’s bandwagon boy, Dele Alli, has been bought in by a staggering half a million-plus managers on the back of his seven goals in four Gameweeks. He’s at 2.70 to continue that streak.

Coincidentally, Chelsea’s Michy Batshuayi is also at 2.70 to score at Leicester, with Eden Hazard – another contender to take over up top in the absence of Diego Costa – at 2.62.

Of the outliers, the 3.40 you can get on Robert Snodgrass making it three league goals on the spin when Bournemouth visit looks tidy.

Stoke’s Peter Crouch is priced at 3.60 to ‘do a Snodgrass’ at Sunderland, and you can get 6.00 on the third most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek, Albion’s Matt Phillips, to score against Spurs.

* As sharper eyes quickly noticed, we originally stated that Kane was at Evens with Paddy, which was correct when we checked first thing this morning. The odds have since been updated to a decimal value so we’ve changed the article accordingly. Apologies for the confusion, most of which resided with the author.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.72
Chelsea2.29
Arsenal2.40
Watford2.40
Southampton2.50
Man United2.75
Man City2.75
Middlesbrough3.00
Bournemouth3.10
West Ham3.20

Paddy has really got the hots for Spurs this weekend, making them the clear favourites, at 1.72, to keep a clean sheet.

The news that Nathan Ake has been recalled to Chelsea from his Bournemouth loan has made him the second most transferred-in defender of the Gameweek, with managers presumably taking a punt on him being an immediate, and cut-price, starter in the Blues’ back line.

That’s a proper gamble. Take him out of the equation, however, and Tottenham’s Danny Rose is one of the defenders of choice for Fantasy bosses, with just over 58,000 drafting him in this week.

Middlesbrough’s Calum Chambers just edges Rose for transfers-in and Boro are at 3.00 to keep a cleanie at Vicarage Road, while Watford are at 2.40 to do the same, so Paddy’s getting a 0-0 feeling about that one.

Burnley have just about given up travelling this season. When you’ve managed one whole point from away matches, you might as well save a lot of time, effort and money and just send an email congratulating the opposition on the three points.

But at Turf Moor, they are strangely awesome. And they’re also 3.40 to blank visitors Southampton today. The Saints are priced even lower to keep their sheets clean – 2.50 – so that could be another potential 0-0 worth investigating.

  1. columbo
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Someone must have been drunk writing this article, evens shorter than odds on.

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Only excuse is that they sorted the numbers in Excel and the letter got in before the numbers. If not then yeah, they're drunk

      1. columbo
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Paddy, however, has gone for Harry Kane at evens, compared to Alexis on 1.83.

        That's not an excel fault! I

  2. screamer73
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Lukaku or Defoe? Have Baines

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Lukaku

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Defoe better value imo. On pens as well.

  3. Will
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Last min WC decision (shoulda left 5 mins ago!!)

    Best 3td striker in a 3/5/2?

    Currently on crouch

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Depends on budget, for cheap I'd say Barnes.

    2. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Yes keep it on crouch

    3. GE
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Diomande/Barnes

  4. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    I think Mark is lying about oversleeping. Think he has recieved an offer from China. Poor attempt at covering up.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      😀

  5. GE
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    On a WC: Keep Aamat (bought him at 4.0) or ship him out for who?
    I have 1.0 itb.

    My bench (playing 3-5-2): Robinson, Chambers, Amat, Diomande

    All of my 11 are regular starters, except Giroud.

    1. GHB
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      May as well gamble with Yoshida. Amat is terrible even if he plays

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Then I will lose 0.2. No problem?

  6. Pete Campbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Any games at risk of postponement?? Which ones most at risk? Live in the US so I'm out of the loop.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      All good mate

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Temperatures between 5-10 C so I doubt there will be much snow

    3. Pete Campbell
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Fantastic

  7. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Who to bring in for Ake

    A) Pieters
    B) Smith

    Thanks

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Pieters

    2. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B

    3. Bored Bear
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B

  8. Lucky_Z
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Heaton
    Alonso▪Cedric▪Holebas▪ McAuley
    Alexis (C)▪Hazard▪Stsnislas▪Phillips
    Aguero (VC)▪Ibrahimovic

    Subs: Jakupovic▪Amat▪Walcott▪Anichebe

    A) GTG
    B) Walcott => Coutinho and bench McAuley

    1. Lucky_Z
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B for -4

      1. Guru Mediation
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Not for a minus 4

  9. mranonymous
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    who is most nailed in Swans backline?

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Fabianski and Taylor, bit would personally steer clear

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I'd strongly advise you to step away from the screen.

    3. Lucky_Z
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Mawson maybe, but none of them is an option

    4. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Stop drinking

    5. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Have they got a backline?

      1. Lucky_Z
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        This

      2. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Lol'd

  10. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Can I get opions on this WC please!! I'm royally screwed:

    Heaton Grant

    Rose Baines Jones Chambers Brunt

    Sanchez Eriksen Alli Phillips Stanis

    Lukaku Giroud Ibrah

    1. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      4th mid looks a bit on the weak side for me in the long term

    2. Lucky_Z
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Very good. Similar to mine when I projected WC, but dedided to save for DGW. However there will be benching headache at some point

    3. Individual
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Looks good dude

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        THanks all. You're very kind.

    4. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      You've got 5 defenders all of whom are good enough to play.

      Suggest you're gonna be playing 3-4-3 with that setup.

      Downgrade one (probably Jones from those) to bench fodder, upgrade Phillips or Stan if you can reach the 7/8m bracket

  11. Sonic Huth
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Ake out or not?

    1. Jimmy Boy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Out until he's a proven starter, it will still be incredibly cheap to get him back in if he proves to be. No point in having someone consistently getting 0-1 points a week for now

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Nope, if anything will be a least a great 5th enabling defender.

  12. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Who to bench:

    A) Allen (sun)
    B) Philips (tot)

    1. Bored Bear
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Bench Allen imo.

    3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      allen

    4. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I'd bench Allen despite the fixtures.

      1. trinzoo
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Thanks all, really helpful!

  13. NorwichCityLad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Is Benteke a good option with those fixtures?

    Costa > Benteke

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Can you afford Defoe instead?

      1. NorwichCityLad
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Yeah

        1. NorwichCityLad
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          I just like fixtures

          1. Scapegoat Salah
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            OK. I think Defoe is more reliable despite the fixtures. Good luck.

  14. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Could it be worth getting Pedro for up front etc ?

  15. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Who to replace Origi with?
    A) Rondon
    B) Negredo
    C) C.Willson

  16. Gommy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Which 2 to start from:

    A) Pieters (sun)
    B) Chambers (wat)
    C) A Smith (hul)

    Cheers

  17. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Sell for giroud

    A) Deeney
    B) origi

  18. Sergeant Garcia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Bench Negredo (wat) or Lallana (mun) ?

  19. fitzy
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C2H6dwsW8AAPmfG.jpg:large

    This should be posted any time someone mentions the AOA chip.

    1. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Love this. Not playing mine till GW38.

  20. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    United fans I know are really confident about tomorrow. Probably comes from their good run and performances. But they've struggled against the big sides and form goes out of the window in these types of games. I just hope they don't sit back like they did at Anfield.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      It was 100% the right tactic to use last time out. I'm sure we'll come at you tomorrow, our form is unreal.

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        I think it might be a tight game. Mourinho's natural instinct in these games is to not lose before anything else.

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Yup, but we'll be eyeing up the win. It's there for the taking. 🙂

    2. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Impossible to predict those games

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Yeah, could be anything really. From our point of view, I just hope we risk Matip.

    3. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      You are right. The history shows that the form has little to say on the outcome. Think we will see a different game than at Anfield.

    4. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      In the past I dont like how Mourinho plays these big games, trys to get a goal lead then park the bus. Often backfires....

    5. KingNidge
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Think the sitting back and bus parking is being rather over played looking back mate.. United were the better side in that first half at Anfield and controlled the game berbs.. Liverpool came into it more in the second half as the home team would be expected to and Jose tightened things up and ultimately got his point.. we're a much better side now and at home we will be looking to get at your defence from the first whistle.. if i was you i would hope they do sit back

  21. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Captain Defoe or captain Sanchez?
    Home fixture, mike dean and Stoke playing poor away are the points which made me captain Defoe .

    About Sanchez, he faces Swansea. Do I need to say anything more?

    Views on this.
    Any help choosing one of them would be appreciated

    1. MTPockets
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Sanchez

      • FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Defoe if you need to make up ground in OR.

        Sanchez if you're within the top 100k.

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Only 3 cs for Pulis side all season. Has TP lost his touch?

      Still worth having Wba def for their nice run of fixtures?

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        This

    3. ShaunGoater123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      In a mess any advice appreciated, have Evans and Barragan out, with Amat as next defender. Anything I do is for a hit:

      A) Evans to brunt - long term as nice fixtures but risk not playing today
      B) Barragan to friend- boring but solid
      C) use it as a AOA chance. Would need to switch obiang for any midfielder up to 6.9, if so who do you think?

      Any help appreciated!

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        C. Pedro.

        1. ShaunGoater123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          That's what I was thinking. Chelsea double up and then for two weeks then either him or haz out

    4. Crazy RedDevil
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Crouch or Defoe?

    5. StoneMountain
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Good to go on a WC?

      Heaton (Jaku)
      Daniels, Pieters, McAuley (Morgan, Amat)
      Alexis, Alli, Lallana, Stanislas (De Roon)
      Ibra, Aguero(c), Giroud

      Thanks!

    6. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Anything wrong with captaining Hazard this weekend?

      1. Ziro
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        nope. g2g.

        1. Davido989
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Where you going?

          1. Ziro
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            To the top of your ML 😉 3rd as of now. 😀

            1. Davido989
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 19 days ago

              Go on son 😉

      2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        im hoping he really punishes the sellers this week

      3. bring_on _the_fantasy
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        apart from his awful away form?

    7. bojack
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Paul Pogba has found a way back into my XV.

      I don't like it and neither does he.

      1. Sergeant Garcia
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Trust the process.

    8. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Pedro owners could benefit.. was replacement for Costa when suspended

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Didn't Hazard play as a false9? But hope you are right as I just brought Pedro in

    9. Cantonascollar7
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I'm thinking of doing the following.....

      Costa to Lukaku
      Barragan to Chambers

      For a - 4

      Current team is:
      Valdes Grant
      Alonso Cedric Ake* Amat* Barragan*
      Phillips Sanchez Stanislas De Roon lallana
      Kun Costa* Ibra

      Good idea or not? Any thoughts much appreciated.

      1. GoonerByron
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Do you have AOA?

        Just play that and only Costa -> Lukaku if you do

        1. Cantonascollar7
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Yes I've still got all of my chips mate, thanks for the advice!

    10. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      What are the maximum hits you are willing to take before using your WC?

      1. Numb
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        -8

      2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        -12 maybe

      3. Dasher0303
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        -12 or -16

      4. Lawrø
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        -8

      5. Cantonascollar7
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        -8