Paddy Says
14 January 2017 1888 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
Share:

Fancy a year in China with a few – and by few we mean 30 – million quid to cover some of the basic costs while you’re there?

You don’t have to answer straight away. Have a think about it.

And while you’re doing that, you might as well check out the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds Paddy has lined up for the weekend. Just in case, you know, things don’t quite…work out with the…with the China…thing.

Before that, here’s the latest Enhanced Offers for new customers opening an account this weekend.

And some of them are seriously enhanced,  like the monstrous 16-1 you can get on Liverpool beating Man United in Sunday’s match of the weekend.

If you’re a United fan or just think the Red Devils will win, or both, (what with it being at Old Trafford and everything), then there’s 10-1 available on exactly that outcome.

Sunday’s other offering, Man City v Everton, also gets some odds – 8-1 on Pep’s boys winning at Goodison.

Chelsea’s trip to Leicester was always going to be tricky. The Foxes are vaguely remembering how defending champions are meant to act, while the Blues have now completely forgotten how teams on a long unbeaten run should behave.

And now, you know, Diego and the…the China thing. Still, you can get 8-1 on Antonio Conte to prove that nobody is bigger than the team.

Arsenal beating Swansea looks considerably more predictable, unless Alexis Sanchez gets a pre-match offer to play up front in a 3-5-2 far, far away with Diego, and Paddy are offering 7-1 on the Gunners winning.

The Wenger boys also feature in this week’s Acca, with 20-1 available on Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea all winning.

The Hammers, who have their own issues with the talent at the moment, are at home to Palace. And at least their unhappy bunny only wants to go back to France.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.80
Sanchez ARS 1.83
Giroud ARS 1.83
Kane TOT 2.00
Perez ARS 2.10
Ibrahimovic MUN 2.25
Wilson BOU 2.29
Son TOT 2.40
Defoe SUN 2.50
Benteke CRY 2.50
Iheanacho MCI 2.60
Hazard CHE 2.62
Alli TOT 2.70
Lukaku EVE 2.70
Batshuayi CHE 2.70
Hernandez HUL 2.80

 

Alexis Sanchez is the overwhelming captaincy favourite of Gameweek 21, but not the scorer of choice for Paddy.

Fantasy bosses look at the Arsenal man’s away goalscoring record (10 on the road, three at the Emirates) and factor in Swansea’s home form (seven goals coughed up in their last two matches) and that’s good enough for them.

Paddy, however, has gone for Sergio Aguero (1.80), compared to Alexis on 1.83. The Argentinian has been drafted in by nearly 76,000 managers ahead of City’s trip to Everton, but he still lags well behind Sanchez’s 36.7% ownership figures.

Spurs entertain West Brom in today’s lunchtime match, with the Baggies conceding, on average, just a goal per away trip.

Harry Kane (2.00) hasn’t scored at White Hart Lane since Gameweek 15 and is owned by just 15.5% of Fantasy managers, so you can see why it is the Arsenal man proving a more popular armband choice there as well.

This week’s bandwagon boy, Dele Alli, has been bought in by a staggering half a million-plus managers on the back of his seven goals in four Gameweeks. He’s at 2.70 to continue that streak.

Coincidentally, Chelsea’s Michy Batshuayi is also at 2.70 to score at Leicester, with Eden Hazard – another contender to take over up top in the absence of Diego Costa – at 2.62.

Of the outliers, the 3.40 you can get on Robert Snodgrass making it three league goals on the spin when Bournemouth visit looks tidy.

Stoke’s Peter Crouch is priced at 3.60 to ‘do a Snodgrass’ at Sunderland, and you can get 6.00 on the third most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek, Albion’s Matt Phillips, to score against Spurs.

* As sharper eyes quickly noticed, we originally stated that Kane was at Evens with Paddy, which was correct when we checked first thing this morning. The odds have since been updated to a decimal value so we’ve changed the article accordingly. Apologies for the confusion, most of which resided with the author.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

Team Odds
Tottenham 1.72
Chelsea 2.29
Arsenal 2.40
Watford 2.40
Southampton 2.50
Man United 2.75
Man City 2.75
Middlesbrough 3.00
Bournemouth 3.10
West Ham 3.20

Paddy has really got the hots for Spurs this weekend, making them the clear favourites, at 1.72, to keep a clean sheet.

The news that Nathan Ake has been recalled to Chelsea from his Bournemouth loan has made him the second most transferred-in defender of the Gameweek, with managers presumably taking a punt on him being an immediate, and cut-price, starter in the Blues’ back line.

That’s a proper gamble. Take him out of the equation, however, and Tottenham’s Danny Rose is one of the defenders of choice for Fantasy bosses, with just over 58,000 drafting him in this week.

Middlesbrough’s Calum Chambers just edges Rose for transfers-in and Boro are at 3.00 to keep a cleanie at Vicarage Road, while Watford are at 2.40 to do the same, so Paddy’s getting a 0-0 feeling about that one.

Burnley have just about given up travelling this season. When you’ve managed one whole point from away matches, you might as well save a lot of time, effort and money and just send an email congratulating the opposition on the three points.

But at Turf Moor, they are strangely awesome. And they’re also 3.40 to blank visitors Southampton today. The Saints are priced even lower to keep their sheets clean – 2.50 – so that could be another potential 0-0 worth investigating.

1,888 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. :
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    再见!旅途愉快 Diego!

    1. A.T
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      He's not gone yet.

      1. :
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Diego's mind's made up if I'm reading this right.

  2. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Any surgery required?

    Heaton (Grant)
    Rose, Alonso, Holebas, Koscielny (Amat)
    Antonio, Alli, San(c)hez (Phillips, Marney)
    Wilson, Ibra, Kane

  3. Stokelona
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Who would you bench:

    A Holebas (Boro H)
    B Chadli (Spurs A)
    C Pieters (Sunderland A)

    Thanks

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. InSaneMan-e
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Was gonna say Chadli but i remember he scored vs Spurs before...

    3. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      c for sure

    4. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks guys, think I'm going to bench pieters in the end. Gotta give chadli the chance and Holebas is at home

  4. Totally !rre!evant
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Will I get three starting defenders?

    Ake, Evans, Friend, Holebas, Amat

    1. JAC THE CAT
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      No

      1. Totally !rre!evant
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Ok so 2 at most. Worth a -4 to change out Evans? Would only have 4.5 to spend. Suggestions?

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Maybe if Amat starts

  5. InSaneMan-e
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone see Ryan Fraser play?
    Worthwhile for a 4.8 punt?
    Or do we think he got lucky in the last 2 games

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Been quality every time I've seen him, defo worth a punt

      1. InSaneMan-e
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks mate, he's in
        Especially with those fixtures

    2. Z
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Fair bit of rotation in the Bournemouth's attack

  6. @persecuted_by_mods
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Wildcard team, comments appreciated

    Jaku Heaton

    Rose Brunt Chambers Holebas Amat

    Alli Haz Sanchez Mutch Phillips

    Lukaku Giroud Ibra

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Holebas Amat Mutch Jaku are suspects

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Punting on Mutch, seems to be getting minutes under Big Sam. Agree the others aren't too good, cheers. No money to do anything else tbh bar lose alli haz or Ibra

    2. InSaneMan-e
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Mutch!
      He's still in the premiership!?
      other than that G2G

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 6 months ago

        He was on fire a few years ago, 7 goals and 6 assists then seems to have never played again, recently has been getting more minutes so why not try him

        1. Stokelona
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Yeh good shout for a base price

    3. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Mutch is ok for 4.2. Holebas is on 9 bookings so I wouldn't get him on a WC

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Holebas is actually britos, confused myself haha. Thanks

    4. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Oh and just get Paul Robinson backup goalie. If heaton doesn't play he's nailed whereas jak isn't.

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Good call, hopefully he's 3.9

  7. I Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Tom Carroll on his way to Swansea. Should we expect him to be a starter? Only 4.2m.

    1. InSaneMan-e
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Yes
      Dont see why Swans would get a player they would bench.
      They're in a crisis, and need players that can come in and start

      1. I Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Looking at him as my 5th mid.

  8. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Play Phillips (tot) or Pieters (sun)?

    Really struggling with this one!

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Phillips

  9. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Foster (Japu)
    Walker Alonso Daniels (Amat, Nyom)
    Sanchez Eriksen Siggy Phillips Allen
    Costa Ibra (Origi)

    0.9 ITB

    Still unsure what to do about my attack. Suggestions for a hit? Costa > Giroud possible *but* part of me wants to see the story unfold.

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      costa and origi out

      1. Ravager
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        My worry is him making up next week and I have to get him back in anyway..

    2. S.Agueroooooo
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Id already done origi to defoe but now id do origi to giroud, costa to lukaku

      1. Ravager
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Think I'll do Costa to Giroud then..

  10. thewhitepele
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Boruc
    Rose - Alonso - Lovren
    Hazard - Sanchez - Lallana - Stanislas
    Zlatan - Kane - Carroll

    Pick, De Roon, McAuley, Amat

    0FT, 0.7m ITB

    G2G?

  11. Attaka
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Dunno what to do with Payet. I'm in a H2H draft league. I will be playing with 9 unless Brunt and Ake play... what to do?

    A) Keep Payet
    B) Payet > Silva
    C) Payet > Redmond
    D) Payet > Antonio

    Thanks so much in advance!

    1. InSaneMan-e
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah
      I had already taken a -4 and the **** forced me to take a -8
      It's too much money to hold for me

      1. Attaka
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        With such limited options. Who would you do? Forgot to say it's for a -4

    2. I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B

      1. Attaka
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        For a -4?

  12. 8ball
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Play Allen (sun) or Phillips (tot)

    1. Attaka
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      For a -4?

      1. Attaka
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Reply fail!

  13. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on this lads.
    Grant Jac
    Baines Daniels Rose (Friend Brunt)
    Alli Alexis Hazard Erik (Phillips)
    Ibra Giroud Crouch

    Good to go?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Y

  14. Jimmy Boy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Bottomed
    A) Coutinho + Barnes + Giroud
    B) Fraser + Defoe + Giroud
    C) Pedro + Barnes + Lukaku
    D) Stanislas + Gray + Lukaku

  15. S.Agueroooooo
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Whats the arsenal guys twitter who is in the know? Camden?

  16. toystory2wasok
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    are there 3 starting defenders amongst this sorry lot?

    Alonso, Friend, Brunt, Ake, Amat

    Have AOA, but i have ibra and giroud who have small chance of not starting also.

  17. Sess!
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    £30m a year compared to £4m a year. How could you turn that down.

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      That is the problem.

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        not for costa

      2. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I know. He's gone. Chelsea enquired about Morata by all accounts.

        1. Scholes Balls
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          I do not think he will, everyone expects him too and Costa is always the one to shock all

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A lot of individuals hate on players for selling out, but I'm sure many would do the same

      1. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I would take that I'm a heartbeat. A premier league medal isnt going to set your family up for rest of their lives.

      2. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I am pretty sure Conte would take the money if he was offered to manage in China for 3x or more his current salary.

    3. Halftime
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      It's 30 million after tax too, a massive amount

      1. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Insane money

    4. boc610
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      but why now, half way through a season and your fighting for the title?he could easily command that fee in maybe 2 or 3 years time they way that league is going. Tevez is 32 and on 615k a week. its not like the ship will have sailed if he says no

    5. Ruth_NZ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Costa is on 185k per week. That's top money for any European team (and nearer £5m than £4m per annum).

      The China offer will be $ rather than £ so will probably be nearer £25m. But even so, it's 5 times his current wage. And he's Brazilian so what does the Premier League mean to him really?

      This is going to be a problem for European football in general. The only brake on it is that the Chinese teams are only allowed 3 non-Chinese players so there is a limit. But that also means they are mainly interested in top grade options.

      Someone clearly didn't do their research on John Obi Mikel. 😉

      But what will Arsenal do when Sanchez gets a huge offer? Who else? Aguero? Coutinho? Levy might even get lucky and extort a profit out of Lamela. 😀

  18. seanysheep
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Who to start? Any advice/logic?

    Ake or mcauley( currently on ake)

    Foster or jakupovic ( currently on foster)

  19. neiltaylor83
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Advice please! I have:

    Foster
    Alonso, Holeblas
    Stanislas, Firminho, Hazard, Phillips, Lallana
    Crouch, Aguero, Ibra
    (playing all out attach chip)

    Should I transfer Firminho to Ozil for a -4pt hit? Would give me a captain option and set me up for Arsenal's kind fixtures. Liverpool are away to Utd this week but have Hull next.

    If I don't get Ozil in, who should I captain?! Hazard or Aguero are my best guess right now.

  20. wowBOBwow
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    What's the deal with stanislas game time? He's barely played a full 90 all year.

    1. Attaka
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Fitness, had a few niggles.

  21. Melania
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Bench 1:

    1. Pieters
    2. Smith
    3. Holebas
    4. Cedric

  22. Crazy RedDevil
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Alonso or azpi?

  23. ragonian
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    play:
    Baines (MCI) or
    Friend (WAT)?

  24. AleksanderVN
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    With:
    Holebas, Ake, Alonso, (Brunt, Amat)

    Would you do Ake -> Chambers for free or save?

  25. English only please

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      How dare you!

    2. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I agree. And take Payet with you!

    3. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Agree 100%. Have a +1.

    4. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      As Guns n Roses once said .... DEMOCRACY IN CHINA!

  26. FPL Mentor
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Help.

    Need to climb in my ML. Who do i captain?

    Heaton
    Holebas Gabriel Jones
    Sanchez Hazard Alli Stanislas
    Aguero Ibrahimovic Carroll

    (Pickford, Phillips, Brunt, Amat)

    Sanchez(C) currently. Is that too common if hoping to gain ground? Stick or change Captain?

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Kun

  27. Totally !rre!evant
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Evans to? Have 4.5 to spend. Yoshida worth a punt?

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Chambers if you don't already have.

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        This

        1. Totally !rre!evant
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Already got Friend

  28. Jimmy Boy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Is it Bournemouth overkill having Boruc, Daniels and Fraser in my team for those fixtures?

  29. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Wish me luck.

    Heaton
    Baines - Walker - Rose
    Sanchez - Eriksen - Pedro - Stanislas
    Zlatan - Giroud(c) - Lukaku

    Subs: Philips, Chambers, Nyom, grant

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A Phillips goal would really suck for you

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        The way my season has gone. It will probably happen

    2. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good for this week.

  30. Psojkee
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Hazard, Giroud, Eriksen - who to captain?

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'm going haz because this gw is a mess so might as well rub myself up with red arrow oil and dive right in.

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Giroud for me.

      WBA pretty good against teams in the top 6 - do not lose by much.
      Hazard is a punt - mainly because you don't know which Leicester is going to turn up - the one that has been hammered by Chelsea, and Utd or the one that drew with Arsenal and beat Man City.
      Giroud is playing a bottom 3 team and Arsenal have a good scoring record against such teams.