Paddy Says
14 January 2017 1888 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Fancy a year in China with a few – and by few we mean 30 – million quid to cover some of the basic costs while you’re there?

You don’t have to answer straight away. Have a think about it.

And while you’re doing that, you might as well check out the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds Paddy has lined up for the weekend. Just in case, you know, things don’t quite…work out with the…with the China…thing.

Before that, here’s the latest Enhanced Offers for new customers opening an account this weekend.

And some of them are seriously enhanced,  like the monstrous 16-1 you can get on Liverpool beating Man United in Sunday’s match of the weekend.

If you’re a United fan or just think the Red Devils will win, or both, (what with it being at Old Trafford and everything), then there’s 10-1 available on exactly that outcome.

Sunday’s other offering, Man City v Everton, also gets some odds – 8-1 on Pep’s boys winning at Goodison.

Chelsea’s trip to Leicester was always going to be tricky. The Foxes are vaguely remembering how defending champions are meant to act, while the Blues have now completely forgotten how teams on a long unbeaten run should behave.

And now, you know, Diego and the…the China thing. Still, you can get 8-1 on Antonio Conte to prove that nobody is bigger than the team.

Arsenal beating Swansea looks considerably more predictable, unless Alexis Sanchez gets a pre-match offer to play up front in a 3-5-2 far, far away with Diego, and Paddy are offering 7-1 on the Gunners winning.

The Wenger boys also feature in this week’s Acca, with 20-1 available on Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea all winning.

The Hammers, who have their own issues with the talent at the moment, are at home to Palace. And at least their unhappy bunny only wants to go back to France.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.80
Sanchez ARS 1.83
Giroud ARS 1.83
Kane TOT 2.00
Perez ARS 2.10
Ibrahimovic MUN 2.25
Wilson BOU 2.29
Son TOT 2.40
Defoe SUN 2.50
Benteke CRY 2.50
Iheanacho MCI 2.60
Hazard CHE 2.62
Alli TOT 2.70
Lukaku EVE 2.70
Batshuayi CHE 2.70
Hernandez HUL 2.80

 

Alexis Sanchez is the overwhelming captaincy favourite of Gameweek 21, but not the scorer of choice for Paddy.

Fantasy bosses look at the Arsenal man’s away goalscoring record (10 on the road, three at the Emirates) and factor in Swansea’s home form (seven goals coughed up in their last two matches) and that’s good enough for them.

Paddy, however, has gone for Sergio Aguero (1.80), compared to Alexis on 1.83. The Argentinian has been drafted in by nearly 76,000 managers ahead of City’s trip to Everton, but he still lags well behind Sanchez’s 36.7% ownership figures.

Spurs entertain West Brom in today’s lunchtime match, with the Baggies conceding, on average, just a goal per away trip.

Harry Kane (2.00) hasn’t scored at White Hart Lane since Gameweek 15 and is owned by just 15.5% of Fantasy managers, so you can see why it is the Arsenal man proving a more popular armband choice there as well.

This week’s bandwagon boy, Dele Alli, has been bought in by a staggering half a million-plus managers on the back of his seven goals in four Gameweeks. He’s at 2.70 to continue that streak.

Coincidentally, Chelsea’s Michy Batshuayi is also at 2.70 to score at Leicester, with Eden Hazard – another contender to take over up top in the absence of Diego Costa – at 2.62.

Of the outliers, the 3.40 you can get on Robert Snodgrass making it three league goals on the spin when Bournemouth visit looks tidy.

Stoke’s Peter Crouch is priced at 3.60 to ‘do a Snodgrass’ at Sunderland, and you can get 6.00 on the third most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek, Albion’s Matt Phillips, to score against Spurs.

* As sharper eyes quickly noticed, we originally stated that Kane was at Evens with Paddy, which was correct when we checked first thing this morning. The odds have since been updated to a decimal value so we’ve changed the article accordingly. Apologies for the confusion, most of which resided with the author.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

Team Odds
Tottenham 1.72
Chelsea 2.29
Arsenal 2.40
Watford 2.40
Southampton 2.50
Man United 2.75
Man City 2.75
Middlesbrough 3.00
Bournemouth 3.10
West Ham 3.20

Paddy has really got the hots for Spurs this weekend, making them the clear favourites, at 1.72, to keep a clean sheet.

The news that Nathan Ake has been recalled to Chelsea from his Bournemouth loan has made him the second most transferred-in defender of the Gameweek, with managers presumably taking a punt on him being an immediate, and cut-price, starter in the Blues’ back line.

That’s a proper gamble. Take him out of the equation, however, and Tottenham’s Danny Rose is one of the defenders of choice for Fantasy bosses, with just over 58,000 drafting him in this week.

Middlesbrough’s Calum Chambers just edges Rose for transfers-in and Boro are at 3.00 to keep a cleanie at Vicarage Road, while Watford are at 2.40 to do the same, so Paddy’s getting a 0-0 feeling about that one.

Burnley have just about given up travelling this season. When you’ve managed one whole point from away matches, you might as well save a lot of time, effort and money and just send an email congratulating the opposition on the three points.

But at Turf Moor, they are strangely awesome. And they’re also 3.40 to blank visitors Southampton today. The Saints are priced even lower to keep their sheets clean – 2.50 – so that could be another potential 0-0 worth investigating.

1,888 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. PvA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone thought about the fact that Paul Clement has been scouting Arsenal since his time at Bayern with Champions League fixtures?

    Add that on top of the fact that Arsenal struggle against Swansea...

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      They won't struggle against this Swansea team.

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      You can do all the scouting you want, but if the players are not good enough it won't matter.

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I think it is about the goals. Arsenal have a good scoring record against teams in the bottom 6. They may miss Walcott today - I hope Sanchez takes up the position that Walcott usually does.

  2. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    First -8 of the season. Ruddy Costa! The chaos he causes!

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Already had two -12s and one -20. True story.

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Doc Wakey will applaud you.

        Did they pay off?

        1. Sess!
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Probably not. Yeah saw he'd taken even more than me. Good lad.

          1. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            When did you take the -12 and -20?

    2. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I've had a couple of -16, a -20 and numerous -8s... not doing too badly.

  3. HesaCat
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Randolph
    Walker Jones Chambers
    Sanchez Snoddy Stanislas Eriksen
    Ibra Kun Kane (c)

    Subs: Jaku Pieters Phillips Marc Wilson

    G2G?

    1. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good to me.

  4. Moves like Dejagah
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Courtois

    Brunt, A Smith, Alonso, Pieters

    Rodriguez, Sanchez (c) Sigurdsson

    Costa, Kane, Giroud

    Pickford, Larsson, Capoue, McAuley

    Correct selection? I've used my FT already.

  5. Sadio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Last decision to make on my wildcard:

    A) Sanchez Coleman Schneiderlin
    B) Ozil Ake Coutinho

    1. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

  6. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    I know how hectic it is arounf this time any input is appreciated what to do this GW already used my FT my current squad looks like this:

    Grant
    Alonso Holebas Love McAuley
    Ali Hazard Phillips Sanchez (C)
    Costa Ibra (VC)

    Subs;Pickford,Origi,De Roon & Ake

    A) Keep Costa
    B) Costa > Lukaku
    C) Costa > Giroud

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      C for sure

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        His gametime worries me but his form doesn't think he's nailed for the next 3?

    2. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Keep for this week.

    3. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B next week

    4. MTPockets
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A & not sure between McAuley/Ake. Actually think I'd start De Roon over both.

    5. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      D) Costa to Defoe
      Loads itb for next week.

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Hmm worth considering gives me an option to get Lukaku next GW if I do that move cheers for the feedback Clump mate.

    6. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Are you playing Love over Origi??

      B.

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah potential CS Origi will get about 25-30 mins tomorrow if were getting beat by United.

    7. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      C

    8. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Play De Roon and keep an eye on what happens with Costa. If not resolved transfer to Lukaku next week

  7. S.Agueroooooo
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Holders of costa... what do you think we will realistically hear today? Surely message will be negative and hard to stick with through the hits. Should we just -4?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      It doesn't feel good, take the hit.

    2. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'm holding but don't expect him to play next week. It's more as I'm already on -4 and no idea who to bring in as have giroud and don't fancy Lukaku. Defoe would be the one but going to give myself this gw to assess.

      1. S.Agueroooooo
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I had already done origi to defoe (due to financial constraint) but i think lukaku is good switch, even this week. City defence is pretty awful and no fernandino protecting?

      2. Scholes Balls
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Well there is still hope. But the lack of good replacements is what makes me keep him as I have both Ibra and Lukaku

    3. MTPockets
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Don't think we'll hear much at all. Just don't want to take a -4 and pray for a goal to break even.

      1. S.Agueroooooo
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I always think if in doubt dont make a transfer.. kept that logic twice this season and been burnt.. 3rd time lucky? Haha

        1. MTPockets
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Yeah to be fair hits have worked out so far. But I don't want Giroud/Lukaku, not convinced by Kane. Which leaves Defoe who while solid isn't exactly inspiring. So, De Roon...

          1. S.Agueroooooo
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            Im de roon to! Good luck to us!

            1. MTPockets
              9 years, 6 months ago

              Good luck

  8. markieffm
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Lost on last page 🙂 Before the time runs out PLEASE RMWCT

    Heaton
    Walker McAuley Brunt
    Stanislas Sánchez Alli Capoue
    Defoe Giroud Ibrahimovic

    (Grant)(Friend Holgate)(Phillips)

    1. King H
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Nice but I would keep my Wc

    2. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Don't wc

    3. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Capoue to De Roon and upgrade Holgate?

  9. Le _ Professeur
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    GTG lads 🙂 ?

    Foster
    Brunt* - Pieters - Daniels
    Sanchez (c) - Lallana - Stanislas - J. Rodriguez
    Ibra* (v) - Aguero - Lukaku

    Bench: Jaku* - de Roon - Martina* - Amat*

  10. Charan77
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Kane, Aguero or Giroud for captain?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      No Sanchez no party

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Giroud out of those

  11. Jönny
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Any Saints fans out there... Rodriguez likely to start this week? Bit worried since he played in the cup and looked knackered by the end by all accounts...

    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'd love a Southampton player. But way too much rotation, even without the fixture congestion.

  12. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Who do i replace Origi with?
    A) Negredo
    B) Wilson
    C) Rondon

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      C

  13. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Is Lalanna still a decent option? Tempted to ditch for Haz.

    1. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Fixtures aren't great

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Less so with Couts back, but I'd wait to see how they line up

    3. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers. Patience is probably the right option but so tempted to get it done now and have Haz ready for Hull.

    4. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'm sticking. Fixtures not great but he's a good long term bet at his price.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers. I just think I need Haz for next week and Ali is locked

  14. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Yet to have a response 😆 G2G?

    Heaton (Grant)
    Rose, Alonso, Holebas, Koscielny (Amat)
    Antonio, Alli, San(c)hez (Phillips, Marney)
    Wilson, Ibra, Kane

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good to me.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thank you. Just not sure about Antonio at the moment.

    2. MTPockets
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Fingers crossed.

  15. SamShi
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Need to play 3 out of Siggy/Phillips/Allen/Lallana - Which ones?

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Bench Phillips

    2. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Bench lal

  16. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    How would you choose your captain this week?

    Will you play safe or go maverick

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Same week as every week. Picking the player who I think will score the most.

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Don't overthink it, go Alexis

      1. Yellin' in my Ear
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        This

    3. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Just pick the one who you think is more likely to score more points, which is normally the safe option...

    4. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Just pick Defoe already! 😉

  17. Gashead9
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    WC Current team -

    Jaku
    Rose, Daniels, Chambers
    Sanchez (C), Alli, Phillips, Stanislas, Hazard
    Ibra, Giroud

    Foster - Barnes, Mee, Amat
    2.9 ITB

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Barnes over Diomande? Isn't Diomande "more" nailed?
      Jaku nailed?
      Like your team 😉

      1. Gashead9
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, not sure there is much between Dio and Barnes, not sure about Jaku but if he does'nt play I have Foster

  18. Kevin Twine
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Start Pieters or Smith? Both clean sheet odds are virtually identical but Smith maybe more attacking?

    1. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Smith

  19. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Captain giroud or Sanchez?

    1. SamShi
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Sanchez

    2. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Wish they had a choice of VC giving something like 1.5 times points 😉

      Giroud is good differential

    3. Dele
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Alexis

  20. Loker Joker
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Current team (already on a minus 4)\
    Heaton / Pick
    Alonso / Ake / Pieters / Evans* / Amat
    Alli / Lallana / San(C)hez / Phillips / Clayton
    Defoe / Ibra / Costa
    0.7 ITB

    Seeing how I would only be able to field 2 playing defenders & the recent costa news, sld I do take another hit to get in a playing defender like Chambers for Ake?? Help appreciated! (:

  21. Don Broly
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Heaton
    Brunt, Dann, Daniels
    Hazard, Sanchez (c), Lallana, Philips, Pogba
    Ibra, Wilson

    Bench
    Grant, Rondon, Pieters, Ake?

  22. Urchin
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Atleast one good thing came out of not owning Costa all season 🙂

    1. King H
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Amen to that

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Barely had him all season and 16k OR

    3. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I had him briefly and pocketed some profit

    4. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Tbh he's done his share of damage.

    5. I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Will it even be a good thing though? I sold him when he got suspended. Owners could benefit from being forced into the Aguero/Giroud/Kane/Lukaku switch.

  23. SuperMario
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Captain check:

    San(c)hez here

    1. King H
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Hazard !
      False no 9

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Leicester CS

      2. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        With this Leicester match can either see it being a 0-0 or 1-0 Leicester or Leicester get a hammering (e.g. 4-1). Not sure which though - don't know what this Ndidi guy will do - might make them more solid.

    2. Clifford☯
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      San(c)hez here

    3. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      o/

    4. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      o^

  24. King H
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    30 mins to go !!

  25. united07
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Arsenal gets a penalty today.. Who takes it?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Giro

    2. Clifford☯
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Gru

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Giroud.

    4. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Groot

    5. Halftime
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Giroud

    6. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Cech

  26. SuperMario
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Bench one from: Pieters, Alonso, Cedric, Lovren....

    Currently its Lovren..

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Lovren is correct

      1. SuperMario
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        thanks! locked in so

  27. Give Me the Mane
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Have the following team:-

    Grant

    Alonso McAuley Chambers

    Hazard Sanchez(C) Pogba Alli Phillips

    Costa Ibra

    Subs - Jaku Ake Grabban Amat

    1. Give Me the Mane
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Forgot to post the question !

      On a -8 already and all uncertainties(Costa, Ake) and stuff do you advise me to use my wildcard?

  28. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Play one:

    A) Chambers wat
    B) Lovren mun
    C) Pieters sun

    Got Defoe and Ibra out of the opposing attacks.

  29. Moose™
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    1. Any news on Benteke?

    2. Kun for (c)?

  30. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Any news on Ashley Barnes?