Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Ziro
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    In b4 TM?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Not on the last article 😉

      1. Ziro
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        😀

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 4 hours ago

          or this one if I bothered 😛

          1. Ziro
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 4 hours ago

            lol, I had a cup of tea in my hand. No chance otherwise. 😛

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              9 years, 4 hours ago

              Still eating breakfast here.

  2. MartialMatas
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Bench who?
    a) brunt
    b) rondon

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Probably A.

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      B

    3. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      B.

    4. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      B. I don't Rondon as a good FPL asset.

      1. The Enlightener
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        *rate

  3. sully29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Quick question: this week only, Coleman or Brunt?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Brunt

  4. T
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Play Coleman or Antonio?

  5. Zilla42
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Hey!

  6. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Hi guys could I please get advice on what to with my FT? 0.1 itb and no spurs coverage

    Heaton

    Kosc Baines Jones

    Hazard Sanchez Stanislas Phillips

    Kun Ibra Carroll

    Subs: Pickford, Nyom Capoue Amat

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Haz > Alli, easy.

    2. 50pipsDaily
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Haz to Alli or Eriksen.

    3. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Kun to Kane. Easy.

  7. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Evening, I don't have any pressing transfers to make.....

    but should I do Defoe to Kane or save the free transfer?

  8. Sarnab
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Choose one player to bench

    1. Brunt
    2. Jones
    3. Alonso
    4. Pieters

    1. Mohit20
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Pieters

    2. Snevitz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Pieters surely.

  9. 50pipsDaily
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    RP

    Currently no Spurs,

    A) Lallana & Cedric -> Alli & Holgate -4

    B) Lallana & Kun -> Alli & Kane -4

    Option B give me money to do Giroud -> Lukaku next GW. Or i can just do :

    C) Lallana & Kun -> Alli & Lukaku

    Cheers.

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      C makes sense to me.

    2. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      C

      1. 50pipsDaily
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        Options C also for -4, good to go?

  10. Zilla42
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Almost had it.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Not really 🙂

      1. The Hindu Monkey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        Holgate

  11. Shaikh91
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Holgate or yoshida?

  12. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Any big transfer news today?

    1. Viper
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Nope.

      Momo Sakho to Palace possibly

    2. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Yes, transferred in Gray 5 minutes back.

    3. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Cheers both....

  13. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Which two of these three would you start tonight?

    A - Funes Mori (stk)
    B - Lallana (CHE)
    C - Defoe (TOT)

    No replies on the last article...Cheers!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      BC

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        Cool, thanks

    2. Viper
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      B & C

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        Lovely, thanks

  14. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    If I play AOA and start Holebas, will Jones come straight off the bench to replace him? Its time to start getting in rivals heads and I just want to be 100% sure...

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      ha ha, if he's your first sub yeah

  15. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Alonso collecting dust on my bench. Madness to keep him there a couple of weeks?

    1. Snevitz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Your other defenders have better fixtures and more chance of points, he'll be there waiting for you in a couple of weeks.

  16. Viper
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Grant

    McAuley Coleman Alonso (Holebas Amat)

    Sanchez Alli Lallana Philips (Capoue)

    Kane Ibra Carroll

    A. Save ft

    B. Lallana - > Eriksen

    C. Holebas - > Rose/Baines

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      A

    2. 50pipsDaily
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Save

  17. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Paddy knows the Power of wally 😉

    1. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      We are talking about a firm that payed out on Hillary Clinton about 6 weeks befor the election

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        before

    2. Viper
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Wow.

      Not sure why he's so short tbh

  18. KJT123
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Grant Pickford
    Alonso Baines Nyom Ake Amat
    Sanchez Alli Phillips Stanislas Kightly
    Aguero Ibra Giroud

    1 FT, thoughts?

  19. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Thoughts on the team. 0FT and 0ITB

    Valdes (Pikford)

    Alonso, Brunt, Coleman (Amat, Evans)

    Hazard, Phillips, Sanchez, Stanislas, Alli

    Lukaku, Ibrahimovic (Anichebe)

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Pretty template.

  20. Mohit20
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Need some help lads

    A--- Lukaku to Kane
    B---Morgan to baines
    C---amat to fines mori

    Thanks in advance..

  21. Duffy Dunk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Heaton
    Alonso Baines Brunt
    Sanchez Alli Eriksen Pedro *
    Ibra Lukaku *

    Should I play Phillips or Rondon today?

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Phillips

  22. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    What's this Ake chat about?

    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Bid from Bournemouth

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        Supposedly

    2. ChristoBisto
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Please be true!

  23. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Dawson (4.4) or Robertson (4.3)

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Robby

      1. UnitednationsXI
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        cool...any rationale if i may ask?

  24. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Look good to go?

    Cech
    McAuley Rose Baines
    Sanchez Lallana Alli Phillips
    Giroud Gray Ibrahimovic(c)

    Jaku Luiz De Roon Chambers

    1 FT & 1.5 ITB

  25. Z
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    If you had Aguero, would you captain him?

    I have all the usual suspects in Hazard, Alli, Ibra and Sanchez

  26. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    About to Hazard to Walcott. Wally should start right.

    1. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Do it Horse.

    2. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      That would be like closing the barn doors after the horses got out.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 hours ago

        🙂

    3. Leaf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      I'd save that one

    4. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Not really

  27. JIM BOB
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Ozil or Alli or Aguero captain?

    1. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 hours ago

      Of those 3 Ozil

  28. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Anyone watching Jim White instead of the match tonight?

  29. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Sanchez or Ibra as captain?

  30. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 hours ago

    Bournemouth have made an £18m bid for Chelsea's Nathan Ake. (Source: Independent)