Paddy Says
25 February 2017 1521 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Football – the gift that keeps on giving people the sack.

Paddy, however, gives you Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds. No sack. Just odds.

And he also dishes out tempting Enhanced Offers to new customers joining this weekend, so that is where we’ll start.

Just the three prices today, but they’re all belters, starting with the 5-1 you can get on Chelsea to beat Swansea. That’s the Chelsea who’ve won 11 of their 12 home matches this season, in case you’d forgotten.

If you think no Claudio means no silver lining for Leicester City, then you’ve got to be interested in the 7-1 on offer for Liverpool to prevail at the King Power.

And then there’s the EFL Cup final which, obviously, isn’t a Premier League match but contains two EPL teams, so the 8-1 available on Manchester United beating Southampton demands to be mentioned.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 26

Player Team Odds
Costa CHE 1.57
Lukaku EVE 1.66
Kane TOT 1.72
Hazard CHE 1.83
Rondon WBA 2.37
Alli TOT 2.40
Firmino LIV 2.50
Mane LIV 2.50
Pedro CHE 2.50
Hernandez HUL 2.50
Barkley EVE 2.60
Eriksen TOT 2.60
Son TOT 2.60
Benteke CRY 2.62
Mirallas EVE 2.70
Deeney WAT 2.80

 

With perennially popular captaincy pick Zlatan Ibrahimovic on an EFL Cup Zlabbatical and Alexis Sanchez with the weekend off to spend uploading shots of his dogs to Instagram, Romelu Lukaku (1.66) has emerged as the favourite armband-wearer this week.

Everton entertain a Sunderland side that probably stunned themselves by winning their last away match 4-0. Normal order was restored a week later when the Black Cats lost 4-0 at home to Southampton and over 200,000 Fantasy managers have loaded up on the big Belgian this week – only Liverpool’s Sadio Mane has gained more owners.

If Lukaku’s price is a bit too short for you, Ross Barkley’s 2.60 might be more to your liking.

Swansea City are on the up, but there are limits, and playing at Stamford Bridge is one of them. Chelsea have scored in every single home match this season, while the Swans have kept just the one clean sheet away. Small wonder then that both Diego Costa (1.57) and Eden Hazard (1.83) are solid choices for captaincy duty this Gameweek.

They’re also both in the top five for transfers-in, but a kinder price might tempt you into a punt on Pedro (2.50).

Spurs are out of the Europa League and a number of their bigger names are being escorted from many a Fantasy team, most notably Dele Alli – the fifth most transferred-out player of the Gameweek.

A Sunday home fixture with Stoke City still looks tempting, however, although Harry Kane (1.72) has failed to make it into the majority of managers’ captaincy calculations. But the 2.40 on Alli and the 2.60 on Christian Eriksen to score could reap rewards.

As mentioned above, the most popular purchase this week has been Sadio Mane, although many managers bought into him before the Ranieri rumpus. He’s at 2.50 to punish the Foxes for their infidelity.

Burnley don’t really do away clean sheets, although the one they’ve managed matches the number of points they’ve accrued on the road so they don’t really do anything away but lose. If that’s the case at Hull City, then the 2.87 on Oumar Niasse to score his second goal in three matches looks sound.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 26

Team Odds
Chelsea 1.83
Crystal Palace 2.00
Everton 2.00
Tottenham 2.00
Liverpool 2.29
Hull 2.50
West Brom 2.80
Watford 3.10
Middlesbrough 3.20
West Ham 3.40

 

No surprises that Chelsea top the odds for a clean sheet this weekend, although they’ve failed to do just that for the last three Gameweeks.

Swansea are clearly in a good way under Paul Clement, and the last time they were blanked on their travels was in Gameweek 17, but Chelsea could be a Stamford Bridge too far for them.

Palace have gone five home matches without a clean sheet, but Middlesbrough’s toothless attack goes a long way to explaining the Eagles’ low 2.00 price on them stopping the defensive rot today. Boro have scored just once in their last five attempts on the road, after all.

The 3.20 on the visitors keeping things clean looks equally tempting – the fixture has more than a hint of 0-0 about it.

Elsewhere, if Leicester’s players can get over being booed by their own fans when Liverpool visit on Monday, the 5.50 available on them remembering how they did things defensively last season could be worth a look.

1,521 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    G2G?

    Or Zlatan > Costa for a -4?

    Jaku
    Alonso - Walker - Coleman - Evans
    Eriksen - Mane - Siggy - Phillips
    Kane(VC) - Lukaku(C)
    (Heaton - Capoue - Pieters - Zlatan)

    1. Space Cadete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I did it, but your team already looks very strong this week so need for a -4 imo

    2. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Do it. Costa will go big this weekend.

  2. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    On the View Gameweek History page of FPL they should list all GWs down the left hand side (even if no played). Clicking on them would allow you to view your current team vs opponents for that GW.

    Would really help with planning during times like this.

  3. Epic Fail
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Who calls their son Romelu? I might have to change cap just because of that.

    1. Smoky Johnson
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Romelu Lukakus name is a portmanteau of his fathers three names: (RO)ger (ME)nama (LU)kaku.

  4. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Feels like a 30pt gameweek already, no early kick off.

  5. Gervinho's forehead
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Play Mirallas over Crouch??

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Gervinho is back 😮

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        They all want to be me.

        1. Gervinho's forehead
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 4 months ago

          Hahaha hey brother 😉

          1. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 4 months ago

            Hello there 🙂

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      MIrallas prob wont start

      1. Gervinho's forehead
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        So crouch it is then i suppose

  6. Adro34
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Bit crap

  7. theChosenOne
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Am I the only one who thinks these paddypower articles are disgusting? Using claims of fairly crappy "enhanced odds" to get people to gamble? Please ffs, stop selling your soul to the devil

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Mark is running a business fam.

    2. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I find them useful for captain choices. You don't have to gamble but can nick their odds info for free.
      You'll never meet a poor bookie.

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        #gamblegate

    3. MTPockets
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I don't like it either, but not a member so can't complain.

    4. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I despise it. Kind of goes against what the site stands for when it comes to having a safe community.

    5. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Paddy power are pure scum

      Bet365 only ones I use. ( I'm banned from most of others for matched betting)

    6. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Oddly I actually use it for FPL, odds on anytime scorer etc. viewable where as I couldn't be bothered to go on betting sites to get info.

  8. 50 Shades Oshea
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Play 1
    A) siggy

    B) Fraser
    Thanks

    1. Space Cadete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Siggy all day every day.

      1. 50 Shades Oshea
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers, if swans do score he is the man I suppose. Just Bournemouth more likely to score

    2. Nyom Legend
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      siggy anyday

    3. Adro34
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Siggy siggy

      1. 50 Shades Oshea
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers fellas

  9. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone benching Ibra and saving him for next week or worth swapping out this GW?

    1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I've kept and taken out Sanchez. No way with Bournemouth next.

      1. Clump
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        ^Same.

    2. Alexis Nonsense
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      If City has double GW in 27, Ibra will not be as "essential"

      I sold him, and will buy him back cheaper already (not for gw27, but after the last blank)

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah I'm leaving him on the bench and banking this weeks FT incase of that scenario which means I'll be able to get 2 City players.

  10. Alexis Nonsense
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    I have Mané, Lukaku & Costa as captain options

    My rival has Lukaku, but none of the other two

    My bet is that he's giving Lukaku the armband

    Safe option would be Lukaku, but I need a differential

    So crossing fingers on Lukaku 2pts (very likely!) but which one of Costa & Mané to outscore him?

    1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Costa

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      both

    3. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Costa.

    4. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Diego

  11. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    GW 26 Captaincy Conundrum : The Stats

    Player : PPG RF HF/AF OPP AGC GC6 A/H GSO
    1. Lukaku 5.92, 7.12, 12.33 SUN 1.8, 1.83, 2.0 1.66
    2. Costa 6.04, 4.0, 6.67 SWA 2.16, 1.67, 1.67 1.57
    3. Kane 5.95, 5.5, 8.3 STK 1.44, 0.67, 2.0 1.66
    4. Hazard 6.12, 5.8, 6.3 SWA 2.16, 1.67, 1.67 2.2
    5. Alli 5.6, 5.8, 8.0 STK 1.44, 0.67, 2.0 2.1
    6. Mane 6.0, 5.0, 6.67 lei 1.72, 2.0, 2.0 2.5

    PPG = Points Per Game ( Total points scored / Total games played)
    RF = Recent Form ( Avg of Points scored in the last six games )
    HF/AF = Home Form / Away Form ( Avg of Points scored in the recent 3 home (Or) away fixtures )
    OPP = Opposition for the current GW ( Caps denote home game )
    AGC = Average Goals Conceded by opposition
    ( Total goals conceded / Total games played )
    GC6 = Avg Goals conceded in the recent 6 games
    A/H = Avg goals conceded in the recent 3 home (Or) away fixtures
    GSO = Goal scoring odds for the GW

    Mane is the only player in the above list with an away fixture against LEI. So, his AF takes the average of points he scored in his recent 3 away games.

    Conclusion: The likes of Kane and Alli have played 3 games since their last PL outing against Liverpool. Recovery and fatigue are some key issues to be addressed. Lukaku and Mane, however had ample rest as their teams weren't involved in any Cup competitions. Factor in their leaky oppositions and it almost seems like a failproof logic. Chelsea have had just one game meanwhile and they have a very good home fixture too.

    So, my top 3 captaincy picks for this GW are
    1. Lukaku
    2. Mane & ( Keep an eye regarding injury reports )
    3. Hazard ( Spot kicks give him an edge over Costa )

    CREDITS : FANTASYKID

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Some deadline day numbers

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Lukaku

    3. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      That's numberwang....

    4. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      whats the injury reports?

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        There are none

    5. MTPockets
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Injury reports?

    6. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Good post. But it's in depth analysis like this that's driving me away from FPL. Not that it's bad, I just can't be bothered with it weekly.

  12. Bollemuza
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Is Brunt(c) madness? average of 9 pts in his last 7 home games and WB got bournemouth home. A team conceding an average of 3 goals away..

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I am highly tempted by him

    2. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I'm happy just to have him. One of my rules - never take risk with a Captain. Take risks with a Differential.

  13. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed. Can anyone help?

    I'm flapping. I haven't taken a hot this week which seems to be unusual. Do you think I should?!

    Foster
    Walker/ Alonso/ Pieters/ Funes Mori
    Alli/ King/ Stan/ Fletcher
    Lukaku/ Costa

    Pick/ Amat/ Sanchez/ Ibra

    1. tambourineman
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Wouldn't want to rely on Stanislas appearing, hit would probably involve Sanchez going so it depends whether you are prepared to lose any value you have build up with him

  14. Adro34
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Gtg? Not great but I'm a bit stuck

    Heaton Jaku
    Azpi McAuley Amat Williams Kone
    Siggy Sanchez Barkley Alli Clayton
    Kane Defoe Rondon

  15. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez -> Mane (free), Y or N?

    (Lose 0.4m value on him)

    1. Invincibles
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Yes, 3 games vs 1 game next 3 gws

  16. Invincibles
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Play one of

    A) Davies (SUN home)

    B) Walker (Stoke home)

    1. tambourineman
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      B

  17. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Jakupovic
    Alonso Walker Brunt
    Mane Alli Siggy Phillips
    Costa Lukaku Defoe

    Heaton Robertson De Roon Amat

    4.7 itb

    All set? Anything worth a hit?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      play robertson

      1. Smoky Johnson
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Already has Jaku in goal, better to spread risk. GTG mate.

  18. Hobolicious
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Question for next GW:

    A) Alli (Everton A)
    vs
    B) Sterling/Sané -4 (Sunderland A, Stoke H)

    1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      B

  19. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Ibrah going to drop tonight. Just realised

    1. tambourineman
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Possibly, transfers out will stop once BOU (H) appears

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Trend may reverse after deadline

  20. chaboi1998
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Would you rather have hazard or mane for only this week

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      ard

  21. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Brunt too good an option to not get for the next three? Have Evans but would do Evans to Brunt for 1FT

  22. white lightning
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Is selling Defoe to Costa worth a -4 hit or keep Defoe. Cheers.

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I would do it if you already have Lukaku

    2. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Could well pay off.

  23. Dobswell55
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Pick one to start out of the following:

    A) Chambers
    B) Carroll
    C) Daniels
    D) De Roon

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      D

  24. Kudo Warrior
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Play...

    King vs WBU
    OR
    Barnes vs Hull
    OR
    Siggy vs CHE?

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Tough one. Probably Siggy

  25. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    WHO'S EXCITED?

  26. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    If I can afford to own Kun now, do I just need to watch ONLY the players involved in the transfers prices or my whole team?

    1. Pocky
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Just Kun and whoever it is you'll sell to get him, Jeez.

  27. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Where is it....where is the article of the week?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Cancelled this morning.

      1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Serious or a wind up? That's a shame!

  28. F4L
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Forget about this GW, whos hyped for Aguero TC next week

    1. joeydordon
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Im in sterling sane in with him!

    2. Smoky Johnson
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      O/

  29. chaboi1998
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Hazard or mane for this gameweek?

    1. Pirlø's Pen
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      maybe Haz but Mane wins over next 3

  30. Aaa
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Heaton
    Azpi/Walker/Williams/McAuley
    Haz/Alli/Lallana
    Luk(c)/Kane/Defoe

    Grant/Siggy/Davies (EVE)/Jones

    1ft & 0.2itb

    G2G??? Next week looking at Kane and Defoe to Kun and Llorente