Paddy Says
4 March 2017 931 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
Share:

Time once again to open the door to Paddy’s house, wipe our feet on his mat o’welcome and wander down the corridor until we come to a room known only as ‘Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds’.

And before we take a second to reflect on why anyone – even a bookmaker – would choose such a name for a room, let’s take a look at the Enhanced Offers available to new customers signing up this weekend.

Liverpool have won just once in their last seven league matches, while this weekend’s visitors to Anfield, Arsenal, have lost two of their last three and got badly Bayerned in Munich not so long ago to boot.

So unless they stagger to a draw, somebody’s going to have to remember what victory tastes like, and Paddy’s got some major odds in both flavours.

If it’s a home win you want, then you can get 10-1 on the Reds to beat Arsenal.

And if or some reason you don’t think that’s generous enough, then even you can’t fail to be impressed by the borderline insane 16-1 you can get on the Gunners to prevail.

Back on more stable odds grounds, Chelsea are 7-1 to beat West Ham, although they’ll have to break a run of two straight away draws to do it, Manchester United are 6-1 to beat Bournemouth at Old Trafford and Man City are at the same price to win at Sunderland.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 27

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.44
IbrahimovicMUN1.61
KaneTOT1.83
CostaCHE2.00
RashfordMUN2.25
SonTOT2.37
HazardCHE2.40
MataMUN2.40
VardyLEI2.60
AlliTOT2.60
GiroudARS2.62
ToureMCI2.62
SterlingMCI2.62
SigurdssonSWA2.70
LlorenteSWA2.70
De BruyneMCI2.70


I’ve got a piece of card with Romelu Lukaku’s name on it, so congratulations to him for winning this week’s captaincy poll.

Wait.

No.

It’s Sergio Aguero. He won.

It could only be him, what with those tasty double fixtures and his nearly 300,000 new owners.

He won the poll by a landslide and Paddy’s 1.44 on him to score at Sunderland tomorrow is one of the shortest prices we’ve seen in a while.

Two of the also-rans in the poll – Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.61) and Harry Kane (1.83) – aren’t priced much more attractively, although Diego Costa at 2.00 has some merit.

He broke a three-match run without a goal against Swansea last week and faces a West Ham outfit that, while unbeaten in three, have kept just the one clean sheet in nine matches.

Interest in Costa’s team-mate Pedro is on the up – he’s in the top five for transfers-in this week after scoring in back-to-back matches. You can get a chunky 3.00 on him making it three in a row.

Even more popular than Pedro has been Southampton’s Manolo Gabbiadini who, until a late rush to acquire Aguero and Raheem Sterling, was the Gameweek’s most purchased player.

The Italian has five goals from his first three starts for the Saints and Paddy are offering 3.25 on him continuing his run away at Watford.

On the downside, will Southampton be suffering an EFL Cup hangover after coming so close to Wembley glory? On the upside, the Hornets have kept just one clean sheet since Gameweek 9.

If you’re inclining towards that downside, then Troy Deeney (four goals from his last five starts) looks generously priced at 3.60.

And if you fancy a proper punt, you can get 8.50 on West Brom’s Gareth McAuley scoring for the third week in a row when the Baggies entertain Crystal Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 27

TeamOdds
Manchester United1.72
Stoke City2.10
Manchester City2.10
Chelsea2.29
Leicester City2.29
Tottenham Hotspur2.40
West Brom2.50
Swansea City2.50
Southampton2.50
Liverpool3.20


Something is rotten in the state of Bournemouth, who haven’t won since Gameweek 19 and will struggle to reverse that trend at Old Trafford today.

They have, however, only been blanked twice in that run, so it’s no surprise that Antonio Valencia is the only Man United defender to make it into the top 30 for transfers-in this week. The Red Devils’ impending Gameweek 28 blank will have much to do with that as United are the shortest-priced team (1.72) to keep a clean sheet this week.

Leicester City versus Hull City at the King Power could reap richer rewards.

The champions’ new Shakespearean age started with a bang against Liverpool, although the quality of the Merseysiders was decidedly strained.

Only Jamie Vardy has troubled the top 30 for new buys among Leicester players, but the 2.29 on them blanking Hull – without an away goal from their last three trips – suggests Paddy has faith in their defenders.

The Tigers, meanwhile, shut out both Man United and Liverpool recently, so the 4.33 you can get on them repeating the trick at Leicester looks interesting.

Fantasy interest in Hull players seems to have stalled this week, however, with precisely zero of them in the top 30 for transfers-in despite the allure of a Gameweek 28 fixture to come.

931 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Duffy Dunk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Do you think the transfers-out of Aguero after today's deadline will be enough to take him out of the price risers?
    I just thought he'd have risen last night to go +0.2 in total and I'd make profit from him, but after the deadline the Aguero->Lukaku will be a very popular move.

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I think he will rise, people will be keen to see how he does in the second game may decide if people hold him or not

    2. Pep says
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I think they might. Be a few casuals draft him in after the 1st game might keep his price up

  2. Big Hippo
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    TC played. Phone off until 11:31. Good luck everyone

    1. Pasqualinho
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Pearce off.

  3. RapidViper
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Heaton
    Holebas Mawson Coleman
    Sterling Phillips Pedro Siggy
    Aguero(TC) Lukaku Costa

    GTG?

  4. Demí
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Repost
    For those tc'ing Aguero, make sure the captain logo on Aguero has changed from black to white, after you refresh your my team page. Simple thing to do/check, but so easy to forget.

    1. Carpe Diem
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      C armband is black, TC is white, subtle racism from the towers?

    2. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      You doing it Demi?

      Really torn still vs a Sanchez double

      1. Demí
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Nah i'm gonna save it i think. Not that Aguero needs to play the full 90 to do damage, but prefer saving it for someone guaranteed 90 in both or close to and with pens. Kane, Alexis, Ibra all in the running.

    3. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      What about for us non TC-cappers?

      1. Demí
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Make sure the captain logo is black on Craig Mawson after you refresh your page, and your VC armband is on Matt Phillips.

        1. Jafooli
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Done, many thanks Demi......

  5. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Ben Dinnery @bennydinnery 23secs

    Just sat on my elbow and nudged the bloke next to me with my @@rse. All very odd.

  6. boc610
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Michael Antonio a breath of fresh air ,listening to him on BBC radio 5 live podcast ,quite a journey he's been on,it's similar to vardy

  7. Hurricane Gilbert
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    FPL stats is getting worse at predicting rises and falls, especially falls. 103-105 % prefictions gone wrong.

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Those pesky wildcards messing things up

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        People wilcarding this GW? Seems like a dumb strategy to me

        1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Wildcards in general are affecting the accuracy

  8. DeadStarComing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    No mods about to remove comments suggesting injuries with no links provided? I thought the Scouts were cracking down on this sort of thing more these days?

    1. A.T
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Which comment?

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Probably been removed by a mod 😉

      2. A.T
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        And if you're concerned by a comment, please flag it so we can see it.

      3. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Most of mine....

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      they are, several have been removed this morning

    3. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Flag the posts

    4. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Oh I didn't even know about the flag comment thing! I'll use that. Shame you can't flag a user 😉

    5. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      No problems with having mine removed. Service as normal.

  9. Captain Blanks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero this season average ppg when he starts: 5.73 (86 points from 15 starts)

    And that includes when he was first choice pen taker (3 scored). Is there any reason to think he's going to do so much better now?

    1. Bleach †
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Best striker in PL.

      1. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Is he now though? Under Pep? Not first choice pens?

        1. Bleach †
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          He's Sergio Agüero.

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      He's Sergio Aguero.

    3. Peggi
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      yes. plum fixtures, form, and class player

      1. boc610
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Don't jinx it!

    4. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      You wouldn't take 60 pts from a TC? I'd say that's decent

      1. fiveyears
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        My maths is awful 😀

    5. Carpe Diem
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I would take the 11 points *3. Not to mentions the pens did him more harm to him than good.

      1. Emp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        11 no way I'm expecting 20 at least

        1. Bleach †
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          20 would be good yes, that's what I'm aiming for.

      2. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Hasn't missed a pen in a game he's started

    6. BROOKLYN GOONER
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Weak opposition and he and team back on form. But even if just returns 11-12 points, that's bankable. Not a haul, but not a failure.

    7. pls
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      4 goals and 2 assists in his last two games has two plum fixtures in a dominant man city attack no jesus and nacho out of favour, and because its Sergio Aguero who has scored 5 goals in one game previously.

      form is temporary class is permanent and kun has both right now...

    8. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Except more since good fixtures

    9. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Just saw his 90 rated in form card on FUT. Best player in the league 🙂

  10. shibaz10
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Which city def hav highest chance to play both game??

    Thankss!!

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Kolarov

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Kolorov. I nearly brought him in.

  11. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    If you were 90-100 points ahead in your 2 main mini-leagues, would you save your TC for later? Really torn...

    Thanks

    1. Bleach †
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Im leading about 100ish, 75% sure I'll use it now.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        I think I'm going to leave it! It's a very tough call though

      2. FPLtfs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        same position here, playing it. Will captain the obvious options later on to cancel out

    2. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      If that is the only reason holding you back then I think you should TC now. However, if you think there are better candidates for TC, your reluctance could be valid.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        It's not the only reason. Some minor doubts around Pep, rotation, injury, etc

        1. Emp
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          theyre pretty minor hey , I think tis unlikely we will get a better oppurtunity

        2. sunzip14
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          On the flip side, If Aguero did score high, you will be flying very high too. Your rivals will then have to take extreme measures like taking hits after hits to try and play catch up or just give up. I see it working on your favor. even if it didn't work, you will most likely be leading by a margin and can make moves without much panic.

  12. sunzip14
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Am I gtg with this lot? No FT left.

    Grant
    Baines, Yoshida, Nyom
    Sigurdsson, Mane, Sterling (VC), Coutinho
    Aguero (TC), Costa, Lukaku

    Subs: Jaku, Carroll, Chambers, Holgate

    Appreciate your response!

  13. The Tinkerman
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one:
    A) Baines (tot)
    B) Yoshida (wat)

    1. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I am starting both 😀

  14. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    I have sterling and Kun

    At the moment I only have 5 players for gw28

    Should I get in.....

    A) siggy (be sensible)

    B) sane (go all out)

    1. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Siggy, only because I did the same !

    2. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Siggy

  15. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero cappers - who's your VC?

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling

    2. Carcetti
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Ibra

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Same, and have Sterling 😮 you?

        1. Carcetti
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Don't have Sterling. Was reluctant on taking a hit for him

    3. Jönny
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I'm not using one, I'm that confident. Going to save it so I have two next week.

      1. BROOKLYN GOONER
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        🙂

    4. Bleach †
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Ibra. Doesn't matter though.

    5. Carpe Diem
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Sane

    6. Melvin Udall
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling. Be annoyed if it came to that though.

    7. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling

    8. Z
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      VC Aguero, TC Chambers

  16. jam
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    So tempted to TC Sergio if it wasn't for his unreliable hamstring.
    I have a nightmare vision of him wincing at the bench after 20mins.

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      But then he can go on an get 16 points in each game and the triple cappers will enjoy 96 points...

  17. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Just seen that Kane is flagged.......is he likely to play?

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Trained all week. Missed a commercial session hosted by Nike. Good to go imo.

  18. Jönny
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    The way I see it is this... If I DON'T use the TC this week, and Ageuro flops, I will feel smug, sure, but I'll basically feel like I got away with it.

    If I DON'T use it and Aguero goes mad, I'll look back at the fact he had a double gamekeeper against Stoke and Sunderland, and wonder what the hell I was thinking.

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I'm posting from the future and have to ask "What the hell were you thinking?"

      🙂

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      better to regret something you did, rather than something you didn't

  19. MGD
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Start Philips with De Roon on the bench or start De Roon?

    I'm worried for a last minute cameo for Philips if he doesnt start..

    1. Emp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      its worth the risk imo, very little upside with de roon

  20. Vlad Tepes
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Hi guys i need some advice.
    Team right now

    Foster
    Alonso, Cedric, Brunt (Williams)
    Mane, Couthino, Erikssen, Sigurdsson, Zaha
    Aguero(TC), Lukaku

    0 FT, 1,8 ITB

    Should i play Zaha or Williams, and im also wondering if its worth to take a -4 hit and trade away Zaha for any stoke/city player. Or should i just save FT and get a westham player for GW 28(Snod, Antonio or Lanz) ?

    Thanks.

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Please guys 🙂

    1. Melvin Udall
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Wonder if Enya us still on pause?

  21. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Am I ready?

    Foster
    Alonso, Baines, Walker, Maguire
    Sterling, Sane, Phillips
    Aguero, Ibra, Kane

    Pickford, Snodgrass, De Roon, Amat

    -4 1.8itb

  22. RapidViper
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Reposting

    Heaton
    Holebas Mawson Coleman
    Sterling Phillips Pedro Siggy
    Aguero(TC) Lukaku Costa

    GTG?

  23. Cojiro
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Play

    A) Coleman (tot)
    B) Holebas (SOU)

  24. AusBest11
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth -8 hit for chambers or Reid to stones or brunt?

    Defense is Azpil Coleman Reid Holgate and chambers.

  25. Melvin Udall
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Loving the fact people are doubting TC Aguero. I am hoping to be the only TCer in the entire universe this week so here goes.

    Please, nobody triple captain Sergio Aguero. He will only play a few minutes of one game....honestly..its a terrible week to use your chip....dont do it...it'll back fire...captain Zlat this week.

    1. zizoo10
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      shitpost

      1. Melvin Udall
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Shitbag

      2. Melvin Udall
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Shitpot

      3. Melvin Udall
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Shithead

      4. Melvin Udall
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Spose it was a bit.

  26. POWERPOD
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling or Sane?

    -8 with 0ITB doing Defoe -> Kun, Erikson -> Siggy and Sanchez -> Sane.

    Heaton (Pickford)
    Alonso Brunt Pieters (Amat, Maguire)
    Pedro Sane Phillips Siggy (Capoue)
    Kun(TC) ibra Lukaku

    Thoughts?

  27. Jumping Jurgen
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero TC, do I give vice to Mane/firmino/Eriksen, or Willy?

    Possibility of 2 clean sheets and 36 points, but is he nailed to start both games?

    1. Melvin Udall
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Again. Would be pssed off if it came to the VC choice. I'm going sterling.

  28. thepoet85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Tc'ing Kun.

    Only headache is to start Coleman or Philips, thoughts?

    1. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Same. Currently on Philips, Coleman 1st sub

    2. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I would say Philips, I think everton will have a hard time vs Spurs.

      1. thepoet85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers 🙂

  29. CunkOnFPL
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Play
    a) Holebas or b) Williams
    1) Foster or 2) Jaku (have Brunt)

    Thanks in advance!