Spot the Differential
13 January 2018 1378 comments
James H James H
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With forwards still struggling to bring in the points, we’ve chosen a pair of midfielders and a budget defender as our first trio of differentials for 2018.

A Bournemouth winger who has quietly been producing sensational numbers in recent weeks takes centre stage. A Chelsea stalwart with kind fixtures also catches the eye, while the prospect of a double-figure score has drawn us back to a West Brom defender favoured heavily in the early season.

Jordon Ibe

Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe is emerging as a fresh budget fifth midfielder option on the back of some fine recent showings.

Setting us back just 4.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the winger has impressively registered more shots (17) than any other midfielder over the last four Gameweeks.

Indeed, only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah (seven) has produced more efforts on target than Ibe (six) over that spell.

The Cherries winger notched his fourth assist of the season in the 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion in Gameweek 22 and has also impressed with his creativity.

He has registered 13 key passes over the same four-match spell, which is bettered only by Brighton’s Pascal Gross (14) among midfielders.

Ibe is benefitting from a sustained run in the side.

The signing from Liverpool has started the last five, having previously only been selected in the starting XI for seven of the opening 17 matches.

It remains to be seen if Ibe can retain a starting role on the right flank, though Ibe’s convincing recent form could force the returning Junior Stanislas to compete with Ryan Fraser for a role on the left.

Eddie Howe’s men entertain Arsenal tomorrow, colliding with a Gunners rearguard that has shipped eight goals in their last four encounters.

Arsene Wenger’s side, who will be without key defenders Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal, have also allowed 46 shots from inside the penalty area over their last four matches. Only West Ham United (47) have conceded more.

Ibe, meanwhile, has helped the Cherries fire 50 shots from inside the box since Gameweek 19, more than any other side.

With the fixture list (whu che STK hud NEW) also kind for some time to come, the 0.4%-owned winger looks an enticing option for those getting frustrated by the injury-prone Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Cesc Fabregas

A home fixture against a Leicester City side that has managed just a single clean sheet on their travels this season brings Chelsea’s Cesc Fabregas into our thinking.

The Spain international has registered a modest one goal and four assists so far but is impressively creating a chance every 22 minutes – more frequently than any player who has made at least two starts.

Fabregas is currently benefitting from playing as the most advanced of the three central midfielders for the champions, pulling the strings behind Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morata.

Chelsea’s upcoming schedule remains favourable over the coming weeks (bha BOU wat WBA), so the 3.4%-owned playmaker could also provide a longer-term solution.

Available at just 6.8, Fabregas can be a cheaper option from the Blues attack at a time when Morata and, to a lesser extent, Hazard are struggling to justify their premium price tags.

For those Fantasy managers who need to find differentials capable of double-figure hauls, the Chelsea midfielder looks worthy of serious consideration over these next five Gameweeks.

Ahmed Hegazi

Although the West Bromwich Albion defender is nominally part of 18.9% of FPL squads, a high proportion of those are doubtless unmanaged ‘ghostship teams’, ensuring that the Egyptian is now a differential of sorts among active managers.

It is fair to say that this afternoon’s home clash against Brighton has all the hallmarks of a 0-0 draw – both sides have had four goalless draws this season, more than any other teams.

The centre-back, who has now returned to his original starting price of 4.5, has picked up bonus points on three occasions when the Baggies have kept a clean sheet.

He has registered an eye-catching 219 clearances, blocks and interceptions, which is 102 more than any team-mate and third overall among defenders.

Hegazi also boasts a significant set-piece threat – only three defenders have had more big chances (four) than the three for the Baggies centre-back.

Most significantly, Brighton have conceded more goals (14) from set-plays than any other side this season and also rank first for the most set-piece chances allowed, with 112.

With the potential to produce points at both ends of the pitch, Hegazi is finally back on the radar as an option – albeit in the short-term.

  1. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench:

    A) Ritchie
    B) Doucoure
    C) Depoitre

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. lamagica
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

  2. Fantasy Gold
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Don’t think any of those differentials will do well this week

    1. Warmsy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I agree. A waste of time.

  3. cheese XL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which 3 of these to play?

    A) Gomez
    B) Dunk
    C) Ogbonna
    D) Otamendi
    E) Gross

    Cheers.

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B D E

    2. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      BCD

  4. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Whats the situation with Everton defence. Is Martina nailed atm?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not nailed

    2. Kip
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nailed untill baines is back

      Unless they sign someone

  5. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Best move here?

    A...save

    B...son to lingard

    Elliot (fab)
    Alonso ota ogbonna (kenny wimmer)
    Salah sterling son Arnie rlc
    Kun Kane (dcl)

    Thanks

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save

    2. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save and sort out DCL next week

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cool . Yeah I'll be downgrading dcl next week...

  6. LaCazettio
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Hazard nailed to start this GW?

    1. SUAREZ_MESSI_COUTINHO
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes I think so.

  7. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Wouldn’t be rushing to get any of those differentials as a punt

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A couple of weeks ago they were all spot on.

      Not sure about these fellas 🙂

  8. blo_in
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Ramsey? Will he even start?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not this week imo

      1. blo_in
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

  9. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Will Fabregas get game time over the next few?
    Fixtures are very good.

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Always a threat from Drinkwater/Bakayoko

  10. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What ever happened in the Firmino v Holgate-gate saga ?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Diddly squat

  11. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Otamendi / Alonso / Mee / Ogbonna
    Alli / Salah / Sterling / Arnie
    Kane / Firmino

    Elliot - RLC / DCL / Martina

    Correct bench order ? GTG ?

    1. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      GTG. Armband on Harry?

      1. trinzoo
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah!

        1. MiguelAngel
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Nice

  12. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Vardy from next week on?

    Will firmino be affected by Coutinho?

    1. Dreaming of glory
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pool have scored more and won more games without couts this season randomly enough.
      Figures were something like 3.5 goals per match without and 2.2 with.
      Vardy has nice fixtures coming tho

      1. Delph & Safety
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah but Firmino specifically looks worse without. Idk if you watched the fpl show.

        Vardy always seems to score against bigger teams though.

  13. Dreaming of glory
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Differentials have been on good form of late and tempting me to move hegazi into my 11 from 1st sub perhaps in place of rooney.
    Rooney being on pens is stopping me tho atm

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Rooney's last chance to score at Wembley today...?

  14. Captain Vantastic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sell Son or Alli for Lingard?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sell Alli and captain Son

      1. Captain Vantastic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone else? Please help.

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Alli

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Son is good value and scores well at home

    3. Captain Vantastic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys!

    4. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sell Alli for Pogba! Then bang the captains armband on him!

  15. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play Wilson(ARS) over Vardy(che)?

    1. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Aye

  16. Strchld
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do Eriksen to Lingard or save FT?
    Have also Kane and Son.

    1. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Probably

      1. And nothing else Mata'…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Save

    2. Abaddon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Same as me. And i am doing it

  17. klopp it guys
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    GTG
    Elliot
    Alonso, jones, zanka
    Pogba, mane, Arnautovic, lingard
    Kane (vc), aguero (c) ayew

    Bench, pickford, yedin, cork, vvd

  18. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play 2
    A) Ota(LIV A)
    B) Yedlin(SWA H)
    C) Dunk(WBA A)

  19. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    DDG Speroni
    Vertonghen Alonso Otamendi Mee Gomez
    Eriksen Sterling Salah RLC Carroll
    Kane Firmino Depoitre

    A) Firmino & Eriksen > Aguero & Lingard/Richarlison
    B) RLC > Ibe
    C) Gomez > Hegazi
    D) Save

  20. Powell
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I think it’ll be a good week for underlying stats. Arsenal look on the edge to me, so Bournemouth win and Ibe haul looks entirely plausible.

    1. JurgenRodgers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Tempted to play Daniels in this game!

      Could be any scoreline

      Any early Chelsea teamnews pal?

  21. Rabbinton
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    4th mid option 5.7m or below? Needed to fund Morata to Aguero

    1. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I would stick tbh

      1. Rabbinton
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        He’s infuriated me the last few weeks

        1. Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          But consider which 4th Mid you're downgrading as a consequence too

          1. Rabbinton
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Looking at Zaha out

    2. Dyslexia Untied FC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not many options... gudmundson for Burnley? 5mil and think he is on set pieces

      1. Rabbinton
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It’s a struggle

    3. FlockofSeagulls
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Albrighton

  22. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Right starting 11 and GTG?

    Adrian Ryan
    Dunk Ogbonna Christensen
    Arnie Sterling Salah Son
    Firmino Morata Kane

    1FT & £0.3itb Adrian RLC Kabasele Kenny

    1. Rabbinton
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good apart from Morata...!

  23. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Save ft or Alli to Lingard. Torn.

    1. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think it's going to be very advantageous to have 2 FTs next week personally

      1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Agree.

        But I have Son and Kane too and no Man U attack.

        Difficult!

        1. Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I am in same position (as above) and not too worried. Though a Manure defender would be nice

    2. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yep you should save. Both have a good fixture.

  24. Collie01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any news about Burnleys CBs and who is likely to start, all 3 have knocks

  25. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play Elliot or Pope?

    1. Captain Vantastic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Eliott. Care to answer above?

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        done

  26. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any word on Loftus-Cheek? Will he play?

  27. Craig
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Stuck between Arnie and Mahrez as as a Coutinho replacement. Any suggestions? No other attacking players from either team.

    1. Captain Vantastic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Arnie. Cheap and lovely fixtures. Thoughts above?

    2. Rabbinton
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Arnie’s fixtures

    3. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Depends if you want to spread that money (arnie) around your team.

    4. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Albrighton?

  28. Raf
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys,

    Is Kenny nailed on? Think he’s missed a few games of late. Any replacements at max 4.4m?

    Cheers

  29. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Guys, any advice with 4.5m itb?

    Elliot
    Azpi / Mee / Zeegelar / Ogbonna
    Sterling / Alli / Son / Lingard
    Kane / Morata
    (Adrian / RLC / Niasse / Francis)

    A) Alli -> Hazard
    B) Zeegelar -> Alonso or Jones
    C) RLC -> Arnie
    D) any other suggestion

    1. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save, then do Alli Azpi to Haz Alonso

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B with Alonso

  30. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Salah now rising. Who regrets selling him for the DGW and how money will you lose if you buy him back?

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      o/

      0.6 have to pay more

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I dont regret it at the moment. Still think it was the right choice for my team at the time. Will cost me 0.4 to buy him back (sold for 9.7).

    3. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hahahahaha...... lol at this whole comment

    4. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      dont regret selling him or coutinho last week. i didnt want two zeros from 20 mill of player

    5. Pranav Santhosh
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I certainly don't regret it 0.6 more to pay now