Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
Share:

All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Essrick
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning chaps,

    Been ill all week and only managed to look at my team now. Got 2FT's and £1.9m ITB. Ideally only want to make 1 transfer but will make 2 if it makes sense. Any ideas?

    Fabianski/Elliot
    Alonso/Otamendi/Bauer/Duffy/Ogbonna
    Salah/Sterling/Lingard/Shaqiri/Milivojevic
    Kane/Firmino/Niasse

    1. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      3rd liverpool player?

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. Think I'd rather get Mane over VVD/Robertson but would involve 2 transfers with Lingard and maybe Sterling (not sure I want to sell Raheem)...

    2. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Duffy to vvd or Robertson

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. Seems like a good move but it rules out the Liverpool attacking triple-up...

    3. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ota to VvD?

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. Think I'd rather spend some £££ and do Duffy to either VVD/Robertson but not sure if Mane is the way to go for my 3rd Liv player...

  2. Siggy Azalea
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1) Will Son start against Huddersfield?

    ...Or is it worth playing Naughton / Hegazi in case he gets brought on late on?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Probably 2 pointers from your defenders, so take a punt on Son. He could easily score from the bench too.

      1. Siggy Azalea
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, had been thinking similar...thanks!

    2. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don't bench Son this gw

  3. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero and Ibe OUT
    Vardy and Arnautovic IN
    -4 points
    (PLAYING Aguero and Wilson vs Vardy and Arnie)

    Yes or no???

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes for me

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

    3. Siggy Azalea
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    4. Camp No No
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not for me.

    5. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      You should never take kun out for a bit unless he's likely not to start

      1. Yozzer
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        * hit

    6. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks guys.
      I'm basically betting on a low score from Aguero.
      Risky!

  4. MannionUK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play: Daniels

    B1: McArthur
    B2: Kenny

    Agree?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd start Kenny. But not much on offer from any of them!

      1. MannionUK
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Think he will start?

        1. Boss Hogg
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Probably not, but unlikely to come of the bench if he is a sub and I can see a 0-0 in that game.
          Tbh, they could all score anywhere in the wide range of 0-1 points this week!

  5. le flem
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    When are people using their free hit?

    1. Camp No No
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Probably the later blank GW for me.

    2. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gw 31 or 35 i think

    3. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gw35

      1. le flem
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        coolio

  6. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 3:
    A). VVD
    B). Alonso
    C). Otamendi
    D). Fernandez
    E). Daniels

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      ABC

  7. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play one:

    A - Wilson (lei)
    B - Ogbonna (swa)

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

      1. Boss Hogg
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Wilson

  8. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    First on bench?

    A- Ogbonna
    B- Wilson

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        You would bench Wilson over ogbonna?

      2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Wait, I think I miss read his question, they are both being benched.

        B for sure then!

    2. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      As above!

  9. FISSH
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Raf back at anfield and Newcastle resilience has my salah (c) jittering.

    Rivals are all going Kane though.. Stick on salah?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      The problem with Salah is that pools got many other goal scoring sources like firm,mane etc,and if they are in a winning position,klopp will pull salah off,cannpt guarantee the minutes,but with kane we can ensure the 90 minutes,with that being said,i still gonna cap salah anyway 🙂

    2. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

  10. Spurs Go MaddiSon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1 FT and 0.8M ITB. What to do?

    Sterling to:
    1. Eriksen
    2. Ramsey
    3. Mahrez
    4. Hold

    Deulofeu to:
    A) Shaqiri
    B) Stanislas
    C) Doucoure
    D) Hold

    1 & D currently most likely

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      4 and Arnie

  11. Fuddled FC
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which one to lose for Shaq?

    a) sterling
    b) B. Silva

  12. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope, Elliot
    Alonso, Davies, Van Dijk, Jones, Ogbonna
    Salah, Sterling, Son, Walcott, Carroll
    Kane, Firmino, Wilson

    1FT, 0.4 in bank

    A.) Son --> Sane
    B.) Walcott --> Ramsey/Arnautovic
    C.) Son & Walcott --> Mahrez & Ramsey (-4)

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B Ramsey

    2. MannionUK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don’t get rid of Son this week!!

  13. Viper
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Wilson or Walcott?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      walcott.

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m in the same predicament.

      Currently I’m playing wilson. Burnley are more solid than leicester. But Wilson has been useless and Defoe lurking makes me worried.

  14. Mike-Kovic
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1st sub ayew or ogbonna?

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ayew

  15. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Do you think It's worth doing Sterling -> Mahrez for my free transfer? (I have no Leicester player)

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I did it, feel it will pay off in the next 2

  16. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench

    A) Alonso
    B) Naughton

    1. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. white heart pain
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        +1

  17. Ciro Di Marzio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A question about Kenny,

    Is there a chance he plays less than 60 mins. Or is he gonna play either 90 or 0?
    I want to start him but worried I’ll get a 1 pointer. Should I just Ogbonna to be safe?

    Cheers

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Coleman is back so Kenny may come off early/come on if Coleman is tired

      1. Ciro Di Marzio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers man, I’ll just play Og!

      2. The Final Boss
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        so is it better to start duffy ahead of kenny? i have kenny kiko maguire currently starting daniels and duffy in bench..my defence looks terrible at the moment,planning to take wc after the bgw anyway.

        1. Viper
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I think I'd play Duffy personally

    2. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      same concern..i am starting kenny..on the bench daniels as fts sub,duffy as second...

      1. Ciro Di Marzio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Not worried about a 1 pointer, Coleman will surely struggle to play 90.

        1. The Final Boss
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          hope sam saves coleman for the next fixture at home against brighton..

  18. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Do we think Callum Wilson starts?

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Replaced early for Defoe last week. Threat?

        1. Viper
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I'd imagine so, yeah

  19. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is the Everton game in a danger of being called off?

    1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      according to bbc all prem games are going ahead

    2. Cojiro
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Southwest only bad area

  20. Pjanić At The Disco
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Otamendi (CHE) or Alonso (mci)?

    1. white heart pain
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ota

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench anyone facing City, regardless of price.

  21. skriniar
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    simple question:
    (c) Salah or Kane?

    1. white heart pain
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    3. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      simple answer
      not sure 🙂

    4. The Big Fella
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I am on perma-captain Salah until the end of the season now

    5. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

    6. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think the general feeling is Salah to be safe and Kane if you want risk/reward.

  22. white heart pain
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG hold FT?

    Fab
    VDV Lowton Chilwell
    Salah © sterling Shaquiri Myki
    Kane Kun Firmino

    Speroni Francis RLC Hune

    1. white heart pain
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have 0.2 bank

  23. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsey or Mkhitaryan in for Lingard out?

    1. white heart pain
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I went myki

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Hahaha which one?

        1. Hotdogs for Tea
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Probably Ramsey and use the saving in price elsewhere

  24. Camp No No
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best non-Liverpool defender who has a fixture on GW31?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Schindler IMO

      1. Camp No No
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Anyone else?

        Because I already have him.

  25. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG? Or some swaps between first 11 and bench??

    Adrian
    Ota/Bavies/VVD
    Son/Sterling/Salah/Shaq
    Kane(c)/Firmino/Wilson

    Elliot/Wally/Mee/Mbemba

  26. fridge
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG? Bench order Ok?

    Adrian
    Ota. Kenny. VVD
    Salah (c). Mahrez. Erik. Walcott. Mili
    Kane. Firmino

    Ryan. Quaner. Ogbonna. Schindler

  27. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench 1 : ogbona lowton walcot

  28. fkmzcgp
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope (Elliot)
    Alonso, VVD, Ogbonna (Long, Kabasele)
    Salah, Sterling, Son, Shaqiri (Ibe)
    Kane, Aguero, Wilson

    1FT 0ITB who needs to go first
    Aguero >> Firmino?? I’m not using FH in GW31 but tempted by Sterling/Son to Mahrez

  29. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hey guys, what would you do with this team? Have 1FT and 0.9 ITB. It looks like I should make a TF but I don’t know what to do so considering to save..

    Pope-3.9
    Duffy - Hegazi - Alonso - Francis - 3.9
    Mane - Allen - Salah - Sterling - McArthur
    Wilson-Aguero-Kane

    Thanks!

  30. Js31
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sanchez > Mane/Eriksen worth a hit? Tempted to hold