Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
Share:

All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    No matches off, right?

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nope

      1. Arsene's boys
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        not yet at least

    2. estheblessed
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yet yet

    3. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No and there won't be. Is it people who live abroad who panic over this? Not saying you by the way. It just crops up every time and I can only remember one premier league fixture ever being called off through the weather. I accept there may be more but it's as rare as rocking horse poo these days.

    4. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      They will all be on. They can't just cancel 20 mins before game. The whole reason they might be stopped is to keep people who are travelling safe.

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Correct. Too much money involved these days for postponements. All clubs will be armed to the teeth by fa and tv companies to get surrounding areas safe for supporters etc.

  2. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Too confused on what to do this week. Any thoughts?

    DDG
    Kenny / Alonso / Mee
    Salah (c) / Walcott / Mkhi / Sterling
    Firmino / Kane / Wilson

    Subs: Chamberlain, Duffy, Ogbonna

    1FT 0.5 itb

    A. Alonso + Chamberlain --> VVD + Shari -4

    B. Alonso + Chamberlain --> Davies + Arnie -4

    C. Anything else?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C save

    2. Arsene's boys
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save and maybe play chamberlain over walcott

  3. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Coventry now off. Games dropping like flies in the Midlands.

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes it’s been really bad here

  4. ignis88
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 1:

    A) Walcott
    B) Niasse
    C) Bardsley

    1. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A or b

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  5. PukkiBlinder
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Please help me decide which of these.
    A: Sterling > Eriksen
    B: Aguero > Kane
    C: Both for -4

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  6. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Most points over next 2:

    1. Sterling* (che), Sterling (stk), Ayew (hudd) + def extra for gw31
    2. Vardy (bou), Vardy (wba), Shaq (city) + Milivo extra for gw31
    3. Mahrez (bou), Mahrez (wba), Ayew (hudd)

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      *Ayew on in case Sterling no show

  7. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    will wilson start today or defoe?

  8. rvp786
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    any prem games at risk of being called off?

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      None at the moment. Swansea too stated they're confident of theirs' going through.

  9. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick one

    A Siggy
    B Alli

    Have Kane and Eriksen. Thinking of triple Spurs

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      if fh in31 b... if not a

  10. fkmzcgp
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero to Firmino OR Sterling to Mahrez?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Firmino

  11. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which transfer would you prefer?

    A) Ramsey or Son to Shaqiri
    B) Depoitre to Niasse
    C) Save and play Milli

    Pope
    Alonso, Smalling, Mee
    Salah, Mane, Ramsey, Son, Mili
    Kane, Firmino

    Subs: Elliot, Depoitre, Naughton, Ogbonna

    2.1 in the bank

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  12. milanista10
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench 1:
    A) Alonso
    B) Fernandez
    C) Wilson

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  13. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any thoughts?

    1. Sterling -> Mahrez
    2. Sterling -> Eriksen
    3. Gross -> Ramsey
    4. Save, G2G

    DDG
    Otamendi VVD Davies
    Shaqiri Salah Walcott Sterling Gross
    Kane Firmino

    Elliott Ayew Long Ogbonna

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      3

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      4

  14. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    If leicester game is off will you get rid of wilson?

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      is it a real risk?

    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      is it being called?

    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No, gets rid of my benching headache

    4. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Look at you stirring the pot 😆

    5. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bemba doing what he does best

    6. *Reformed-Character*
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      its not getting called off, stop stirring ...fool

  15. Super Silva
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Absolutely NO idea what transfer to make this Gw. Please any advice would be worth GOLD.

    Fabianski
    Otamendi Robertson Bauer Ogbonna
    Hazard Sterling Salah
    Kane Aguero JRod

    Speroni Carroll Milo Mbemba.

    2fts pls help !

  16. Johnmph
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will Vertonghen be risked today or will he be rested for the CL?

  17. Mr Flibble
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Last night's drunken transfers.

    Otamendi/Sterling -> Mahrez/Davies (for free)

    Had exact money and Davies and Sterling were potential price changes so I hit the button. Not convinced I would have done the double transfer sober as I wasn't sure about ditching Sterling but looking at it this morning and I'm OK with it.

    Team Value took a £1M hit though

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Team value didn't lose anything unless you plan on getting Ota/Sterling back

  18. In Carrick we trust
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain picks?????
    Im currently on kane

    1. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    3. Pancake
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

  19. Captain Kakaroto (I blame R…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    What we think on D.silva? Is his personnal problem left behind or its still there?

  20. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench 1:
    A) Chillwell (BOU H)
    B) Fernandez (WHU H)
    C) Alonso (Mci)

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  21. McSauce
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any hope Gomes will Start for Liverpool?

  22. Longlatini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone got all 11 starters playing at home this week?

    I’ve got 10/11 so terrible gw more than likely 😉

  23. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I hope Leicester Bournemouth goes ahead, most of us wil have a good few players from their teams.

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have none so hope it is 🙂

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I hope it doesn't go ahead. Gets rid of my benching headache and don't need to worry ahead Mahrez/Vardy/Maguire

    3. *Reformed-Character*
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      omg for the last time the game is not being cancelled, christ people are annoying...

      1. Delph & Safety
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Obviously there is going to be speculation when there has been weather like this.

  24. Urchin
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Please help me choose one:
    A. Ramsey
    B. Mkhitaryan
    C. Ozil

  25. Mr. Sitter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:

    A) Walcott
    B) Wilson
    C) Lingard
    D) Shaqiri

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B, just

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott. Really regret getting him in my team.

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A or B but most prob B

    4. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      wilson

  26. LeicesterA
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    FYI, Leicester confirmed an hour ago via Facebook that the game now remains on course and fans should arrive early.

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks, great news...Go Mahrez!!

  27. FISSH
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    If you have an acca on and some of the games are called off do you get your money back?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Some sites give you the money back, some have the acca go ahead with that particular item at 1.00

  28. mblack751
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Worth going Son to Arny or Sane for the next two?

    1. Mesh
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No, Son could score well in the next 2

  29. seanie3
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Alonso • Van Dijk • Davies
    Salah(C) • Sterling • Lingard • Shaqiri
    Kane • Aguero • Wilson
    (Elliot / Millivojevic/ Ogbonna / Holgate )

    1.7 in the bank and one free transfer, really want to bring in Arnie or Mahrez this week but don't know who for...
    any ideas please or should I keep transfer and have two next week..

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would keep and have 2FT next GW

  30. Blame it on Traore
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Milivojevic to Shaqiri for free? Thanks a lot guys.

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. *Reformed-Character*
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      absolutely not with 31 in mind

      1. Blame it on Traore
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks guys